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Parx Racing Picks & Analysis: Smart Sheets, Bias Insights, and Rich’s Winning Strategy for Every Race

It’s Terrific Tuesday at Parx, and we’re rolling in off a huge Monday performance. Terry nailed his Best Bet, and Rich went a perfect 3-for-3 with Benny and the Bets — a strong start to the week that we’re looking to build on.

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Terry’s Picks

PARX Racing – 12-02-2025

Race 1Female

6 – Moon Fleet: Placed in the last 5 races, finished 3rd against similar competition last time; fastest dirt speed among today’s entries.

2 – Melittlefrostgirl: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race as the favorite but she has a high % winning trainer who wins 17% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and she can go the distance.

5 – Rama Bama Lana: Has won 1 races out of 2 starts PARX Racing; Early speed running style helps chances; Can improve with Blinkers added today.

Longshot:

8 – J J’s Honor: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest last race speed rating; should improve at the shorter distance.

Alternate:

9 – Channel Loop

1 – Lumenique

Race 2Female

5 – Spectacular Belle: Moves down in class today; Has a high % winning trainer; Has a good 4F workout (Nov-25).

7 – Always in Play: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Has a trainer who wins 20% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-sprint-route.

3 – In the Biz: Has a high % winning trainer who wins 33% of the races in the 2nd route race a horse competes in.

Longshot:

4 – Sugar Princess: Drops in class today; Can improve while returning to dirt and returning to a route.

Alternate:

1 – Alyvia’s Lil Girl

2 – Wanting Attention

 $.50 Pick 4: 1,3,4,5,7/1,5/2,3,4,5,6/5,6 – Cost $50.00  

Race 3-

1 – Nantucket: Rail post is winning at 19% clip; Switches to a high % trainer who wins 38% of the races when taking a horse from a maiden to maiden claiming race.

5 – Atlantic Cat: Switches to a high % trainer; Has a high % winning jockey; Drops in class today.

3 – Never Till Now: Drops in class today; Has a high % trainer who wins 24% of the maiden claiming races; Has a bullet 3F workout (Nov-25).

Longshot:

4 – Dr. Merciless: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Early speed running style helps chances.

Alternate:

2 – Gunman Jayvo

6 – Jamaica Redd

Race 4

4 – Compa: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning jockey; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

2 – Gucci Vision: Won last race at Delaware Park; Switches to a high% trainer who wins 40% of the races when dropping a horse off claim; Has a high % winning jockey.

6 – Sweet Winner: Finished in the money in the last 4 races, winning the last start; Early speed running style helps chances.

Longshot:

5 – Authentic Kingdom: Drops in class today; Early speed running style helps chances; Can improve at the shorter distance.

Alternate:

3 – Sweet Winner

$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,5,6/5,6/1,2,3,5,6/1,2 – Cost $50.00  

Race 5-Female

6 – Repaynt: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 33% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 56% of the races, winning 22% of the starts.

5 – Reina Mar: Ran 2nd in last race, winning the previous race; Has a high % winning trainer.

7 – Miss Jones: Won 2 races out of the last 4 starts and can handle the distance.

Longshot:

1 – Royal Prado: Won last race; Rail post is winning at 19% clip and can handle the distance.

Alternate:

4 – Melody’s Kiss

Race 6Female

1 – J C’s Lovin’ Life: Placed in 3 of 4 career races; was fourth last out as the favorite. Trainer wins 25% with beaten favorites returning.

6 – Untouchable: Has a high % winning trainer; Switches to a high % jockey and blinkers added today.

5 – Silent Wrath: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Has a bullet 4F workout (Nov-25).

Longshot:

2 – Butter Kisses: Ran 2nd last race and has a high % winning trainer.

Alternate:

3 – Rosie’s Sugarplum

7 – Mischievous Twins

Race 7Female

1 – Beyondexpectations: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Rail post is winning at a 19% clip; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Has a bullet 4F workout (Nov-23).

2 – Marvelous Mo: Placed in 6 of 8 career races, winning 1 of the starts; trainer who wins 17% of the Sprints races.

5 – Trotsky: Finished in the money in the last 3 races, running 2nd in last race as the favorite but she has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again.

Longshot:

6 – Real Men Violin: Has a high % winning trainer and has the best dirt speed among today’s starters.

Alternate:

3 – Star Man Bob

6 – Real Men Violin

$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,5,6/1,4/1,7/5,6,8,9,10 – Cost $50.00

Race 8Female

4 – Divine Seeker: Ran 2nd in only start; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

1 – Spoonbill: Ran 2nd vs similar in only start; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Highest last race speed rating (tie).

6 – Yo Philly: Has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% whose horses competes in Maiden Sp Wt races; Switches to a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

9 – Panama Limited: Ran 2nd in only start at today’s distance.

Alternate:

5 – Aboltofsecondwind

8 – J K Strong

Race 9-

1 – Double Your Money: He has won her last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

7 – Fromanothamutha: Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

3 – Aztec: Won last race at PARX Racing; He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and this combo in the last 14 days has this record (8 5-3-0).

Longshot:

2 – Tunisian Spring: Drops in class today; Can improve while returning to dirt; He has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

5 – Hey Porter

Bet: $20.00 Win: 1 – $10.00 Exacta Box: 1/7 – $10.00 Exacta:1/2,3,7 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 1,3,7

Race 10-Female

9 – Bright Kohana: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 80% of the races, winning 33% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 83% of the races, winning 50% of the starts.

5 – Sonadora Girl: Ran 2nd in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

6 – Goldcrest: Finished 2nd in last race; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races in the 1st after race claiming a horse.

Longshot:

10 – Denali Rae: Has a high % winning trainer; Early speed running style helps chances; Highest speed figure at today’s distance.

Alternate:

8 – Getaway Palace

7 – Solemn Oath

Rich’s Picks

Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair

6 – MOON FLEET – Top Total Pace and Top PAR+  could be better in 2nd up

5 – RAMA BAMA LANA – should be pacesetter – better EP and Fractions

8 – J J’S HONOR – TLRSP#+6 – missed by a neck at this level last out – won lone off track

2 – MELITTLEFROSTGIRL – held her speed a little longer in her last

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,5,6,8

Race 2: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount

4 – SUGAR PRINCESS – biggest class dropper from last race and should lead – Top TP +12

7 – ALWAYS IN PLAY – TLRSP#+4 and Top C ZONE

3 – IN THE BIZ – better ATB in last – moving up the speed ladder

5 – SPECTACULAR BELLE – Only Pure MSW dropper and sort of track dropper

$0.50 Pick 4: 3,4,5,7/1,5/2,4,6/1,4,5,7

Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair

5 – ATLANTIC CAT – NESS class and track dropper – off for more than a year – 2nd race upside

1 – NANTUCKET – Ness and Sanchez on the biggest class and track dropper

3 – NEVER TILL NOW – could bounce back in the 3rd up

6 – JAMAICA REDD – only YES horse – got to have him in 2nd up

Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Similar Discount but Inside a Little Better

4 – COMPA – TLRSP#+5 and Top Total Pace+5 – better EP and Fractions – 2nd up

2 – GUCCI VISION – track and class drop – another Ness horse

6 – SWEET WINNER – SIM FAV – big win last out

3 – ADIOS JERSEY – Yes Horse that could be on the front – won lone trip on off

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,4,6/1,4,7/1,2,3/1,2,5

Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Inside Out

4 – MELODY’S KISS – only class dropper – top total pace and should be pacesetter

7 – MISS JONES – finally healthy horse making 2nd start in a row since March

1 – ROYAL PRADO – rail edge and big race last out – pairs big runs

5 – REINA MAR – 3rd up and much better EP in her last – Parx 2/1-1-0 since coming from GP

$5 Exacta Key Box: 4/1,5,7

Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Similar Discount but Inside a Little Better

1 – J C’S LOVIN’ LIFE – wide in last – move inside helps – better EP

2 – BUTTER KISSES – maybe the most consistent – SIM FAV and Top Total Pace

3 – ROSIE’S SUGARPLUM – track dropper with upside in just 3rd start

6 – UNTOUCHABLE – another with a lot of upside in just 3rd start

Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Discount – Inside a little Better than Out

1 – BEYONDEXPECTATIONS – YES horse with Sanchez and bullet work between races

2 – MARVELOUS MO – 3rd up with better EP and fractions despite going longer

5 – TROTSKY – TLRSP#+ 10 – better ATB in last and won lone wet race – YES horse with 1

4 – WILLISAU – 4SP# increases and better fractions last out

$0.50 Pick 4: 1,2,4,5/1,2,4,8/1,2,7/5,9

Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Similar Discount but Inside a Little Better

1 – SPOONBILL – 2nd race upside – missed by a head at this level last out

4 – DIVINE SEEKER – missed as the fav in debut and same 2nd race upside as the 1

8 – J K STRONG – Top Rated 1ster with solid works

2 – JAMIE AND AIDAN – 2nd rated 1ster with solid works too

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,2,4,8

Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Inside Out

1 – DOUBLE YOUR MONEY – PARX 9/3-6-0 – TLRSP# +14 and only YES

2 – TUNISIAN SPRING – left arrow horse vs all middle back – very consistent

7 – FROMANOTHAMUTHA – Top Total Pace – Ness Track dropper with Sanchez

3 – AZTEC – another NESS horse and should better in 3rd up

Race 10: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair

9 – BRIGHT KOHANA – TLRSP# +19 – Top Total Pace +5 – better ATB- Pacesetter

5 – SONADORA GIRL – highly consistent at Parx 9/3-2-2 and Distance 4/3-0-1

8 – GETAWAY PALACE – SIM FAV  – should be better in 2nd up

10 – DENALI RAE – strong on an off track 8/2-3-1 – more stamina in 2nd u[

$5 Exacta Key Box: 9/5,6,8,10

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