Horse Racing Today

Parx Racing Picks & Analysis: Smart Sheets, Bias Insights, and Rich’s Winning Strategy for Every Race

Money Monday returns to Parx Racing with a 10-race card over a cold but fast track, and Terry and Rich are ready to kick off the week with sharp reads, pace analysis, and value-driven insights.

πŸ‘‰ Download the Smart Sheets for in-depth data and pace insights.

https://horseracingtoday.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/PARX-12-8-25.pdf

Smart Sheets Explanations
https://horseracingtoday.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/Data-Sheet-Explanations.pdf

πŸ‘‰ Like what we do? You can support the show through the Tip Jar β€” it keeps us producing daily analysis and picks!
https://www.paypal.com/donate/?hosted_button_id=7EY3A57YHD44J

Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Turf Paradise – https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt

Terry’s Picks

PARX Racing – 12-08-2025

Race 1

7 – Sunny Magic – Finished 3rd in last race; trained by a high-percentage trainer who wins 23% of the route to sprint entries and drops in class today.

9 – Pastero – Finished 3rd in 2 races out of 6 starts at PARX Racing; Best Dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed; Can handle the distance.

5 – Fast N Sweet – Switches to a high % winning jockey and the shorter distance can help.

Longshot:

3 – Tap the Devil – Showed an early foot so the cutback in distance should be a plus; trained by a high-percentage trainer.

Alternate:

6 – Craigh Na Dun

4 – Gentleman Don

Race 2

6 – Guaio – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race as the favorite. Has a high % winning trainer who wins 32% of the races with beaten favorites.; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).

2 – Aleah Aleah – Eased in last start but has workouts that show that he is sound; Switches to a high % winning jockey; Has a good 4F workout (Nov-28).

8 – Dirty Harry – He has placed in 4 of 6 previous races, winning 1 start; High-percentage trainer who wins 24% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse.

Longshot:

5 – Sincerito – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Trainer who wins 20% of the races in the 2nd race after a layoff.

Alternate:

7 – Pontiac

Β $.50 Pick 4: 2,5,6,8/2,3,7/5,6/1,2,7,9 – Cost $48.00 Β 

Race 3-

2 – Tavern Time: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Has a high % trainer and jockey.

7 – Huggy: Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % trainer.

5 – Reelin N Dealin: Finished in the money in 2 races out of the last 3 starts; Has a high % winning trainer and can go the distance.

Longshot:

6 – Centaur Centra: Finished in the money in 3 races out of the last 4 starts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

1 – Airman Trevor

Race 4–Female

5 – Shines Madelin: Won last race; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 17% of the route races he has an entry in.

6 – Hard Spice: Finished in the money in 4 races out of 6 starts at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer.

4 – Joyful Joyce: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Highest last race speed rating; Drops in class today.

Longshot:

7 – Flaming Eyes: Longer distance offers hope for improvement; Likes the distance and has a good jockey.

Alternate:

3 – Inamorata

9 – Spanish Girl

$.50 Pick 4: 4,5,6,7/1,7/4,5,6,10/5,6,9 – Cost $48.00 Β 

Race 5-

7 – Coach Knight: Won last race at PARX Racing; Highest last race speed rating; Has a high % trainer and jockey.

1 – Happyflyer: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a high % trainer.

2 – Curious Soul: Drops in class today; Has a high % trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

9 – Bobo Liver: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance will help.

Alternate:

8 – Drunkle

Race 6–

10 – Cap’n Cats: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Has a high % trainer and Switches to a high % jockey.

6 – Raging Cajun: Drops in class; trained by a 22% Maiden Claiming winner; could improve when switching back to a sprint.

5 – Lover Boy Ness: Has a high % trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

4 – Peach Smoothie: Drops in class today; Has a high % trainer.

Alternate:

9 – Soar Above

7 – Petey Motto

Race 7–Female

9 – Bailout Billy: Won the last 4 races; Highest last race speed rating (tie); Has a high % winning trainer.

6 – Missy Sixtysix: Finished in the money in the last 8 races, winning 1 of the starts; Has a high % trainer and jockey.

5 – Shetalkstomuch: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

2 – Put the Crazy Away: Finished in the money in the last 5 races, running 2nd in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

4 – Peridot Pendant

8 – Angel of Hope

$.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5,6,9/5,7/4,6/1,4,5,9,11 – Cost $50.00

Race 8–Female

7 – Vixenzhypnotkhoney: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race, winning the 2 previous races; Has a high % trainer and jockey.

5 – Ringer Card: Won 2 races out of the last 3 starts; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).

2 – Caitlin the Great: Finished in the money in 4 career races, winning the last start; Has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

3 – Jump a Fox: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 75% of the races, winning 26% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 75% of the races, winning 25% of the starts.

Alternate:

4 – I Am Rue

Race 9-

6 – Bouncer: Finished in the money in 6 races out of 8 starts, winning 2 races; Drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

4 – Twisted Ride: Class drop today; top dirt speed among starters; highest speed rating at this distance; trainer and jockey have high win rates.

2 – Sunny Breeze: Finished 3rd in last race; He has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

9 – Dropline: Has won 5 races at PARX Racing; He has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

7 – Dean Delivers

Bet: $20.00 Win: 6 – $10.00 Exacta Box: 4/6 – $10.00 Exacta:6/2,4,9 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 2,4,6

Race 10-Female

1 – Nohai: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; He has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

4 – Daisy Believes: Drops in class today; Has a good trainer and jockey.

11 – Sandy Girl: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances.

Longshot:

5 – Supersonic Betty: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer.

Alternate:

9 – Alice Fantastic

Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race – #6 – Bouncer

Rich’s Picks

Race 1: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Inside Out

2 – POP NEIGH – on the front with 1st Lasix in 2nd start – 2nd biggest class drop

9 – PASTERO – maybe the most consistent in the field – better ATB

7 – SUNNY MAGIC – Yes horse and biggest class drop

6 – CRAIGH NA DUN – TLRSP#+3

$5 Double: 2,7,9/2

Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus. 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount, Inside better than Outside

2 – ALEAH ALEAH – hoping speed is the way today – leader with biggest class drop

8 – DIRTY HARRY – biggest gains came in 2ndΒ up – highly consistent

5 – SINCERITO – finished 2nd last out and has more upside

9 – I CAN DO MAGIC – tough call over the 3 – better EP and has some upside

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,8/2,5,6,7/3,4/1,2,3,4,7,9

Race 3: 6 Β½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2/3 Small Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Discount but better than 4-7

2 – TAVERN TIME – Big SIM FAV – should be better in 2ndΒ up and 2ndΒ Parx race after track dropping

6 – CENTAUR CENTRAL – Top TOTAL PACE – 3rdΒ up and most dangerous up front – maybe there today

5 – REELIN N DEALIN – biggest in race edge of +6 LS and C ZONE says he fits

7 – HUGGY – Pacestetter potential for a PC – Big effort in last but DQd

Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Inside Out

3 – INAMORATA – Track drop -strong chance to be on the lead vs mid back field – better ATB

4 – JOYFUL JOYCE – TLRSP# +3 – Z Pattern and drops

5 – SHINES MADELIN – EZ w2w win in last MC 10K – Top Total Pace – Best C ZONE by a bit

6 – HARD SPICE – last of the YES horses (3,4) – much better EP in last

$0.50 Pick 4: 3,4/1,2,7,9/3,5,6,10/5,6,9

$5 Exacta Key Box: 3/4,5,6

Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus. 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount, Inside better than Outside

7 – COACH KNIGHT – biggest in race edge of +7 LS – ITM 4/4 at the distance

1 – HAPPYFLYER – strong SIM FAV and Top PAR+ by a decent bit

9 – BOBO LIVER – could be out front with the top C ZONE

2 – CURIOUS SOUL – another that should be on the pace – last race was maybe too fast

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,2,7,9

Race 6: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Inside Out

3 – HOUSEBUSTER DUDE – SIM FAV and YES horse

6 – RAGING CAJUN – coming in from Delaware with early speed – YES horse

10 – CAP’N CATS – just missed at this level in his last – PARX 4/0-3-0 – switch to Sanchez

5 – LOVER BOY NESS – for Ness – with a track dropper

$5 Exacta Key Box: 3/5,6,10

Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus. 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount, Inside better than Outside

9 – BAILOUT BILLY – Pacesetting SIM FAV, TOP PAR+ and Top TOTAL PACE

5 – SHETALKSTOMUCH – biggest in race advantage +8 LS – very consistent

6 – MISSY SIXTYSIX – correct distance – 11/3-2-3 vs 13/1-2-3

2 – PUT THE CRAZY AWAY – has some EP but showed more pace from Mid out in last

$0.50 Pick 4: 5,6,9/2,5,7/6,9/1,3,4,5,11

Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus. 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount, Inside better than Outside

5 – RINGER CARD – TLRSP#+5Β  – 5 Ways Better – resume says a little better in 2ndΒ up

7 – VIXENZHYPNOTKHONEY – ITM 5/6 at the distance – Top TOTAL PACE

2 – CAITLIN THE GREAT – maybe most upside in 5thΒ race – close to winning 4/4

4 – I AM RUE – YES horse with the 5 – signs of life in her last – better 5 ways

Race 9: 6 Β½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2/3 Small Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Discount but better than 4-7

6 – BOUNCER – Track dropper for Sanchez and Ness dropping from a G3

9 – DROPLINE – TLRSP#+3 – SIM FAV – first up with speed – winner 2/3 at the distance

4 – TWISTED RIDE – won 10/24 at Parx and 0 for 13 anywhere else – Horse for the Course

2 – SUNNY BREEZE – most PARX back class – tough call over the 7

Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus. 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount, Inside better than Outside

4 – DAISY BELIEVES – 2ndΒ race upside way past par – but been off for a year – biggest dropper

1 – NOHAI – 0 for 11 – Sanchez stays on YES horse with strong rail

11 – SANDY GIRL – YES horse that should be forward with Lone E Potential

3 – NEZY’S GIRL – only 3rdΒ race – gets 1stΒ Lasix – more than you can say about most of what’s left

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,3,4,11

You May Also Like

Horse Racing Today

10 races. Three surfaces. Sprints, routes, and loaded maiden races. Fast dirt, all-weather, and turf β€” this is a thinking bettor’s card. Smart Sheets...

Horse Racing Today

Tampa Bay Downs – Full Card Breakdown We’re back in action after a massive snowstorm wiped out the last two days at Parx Racing....

Horse Racing Today

From dirt to turf, sprints to routes, today’s card offers multiple betting angles, and we’re breaking it all down with Smart Sheets to uncover...

Horse Racing Picks

This Tampa Bay Downs card is analyzed using structured Smart Sheet metrics including TOTAL PACE, PAR+, TLRSP#, C ZONE, EP/Fractions, class movement, and positional...

Copyright Β© 2021 Horse Racing Today - ZoxPress Theme. Theme by MVP Themes, powered by WordPress.

Exit mobile version