Horse Racing Today

Parx Racing Picks & Analysis: Smart Sheets, Bias Insights, and Rich’s Winning Strategy for Every Race

Money Monday returns to Parx Racing with a 10-race card over a cold but fast track, and Terry and Rich are ready to kick off the week with sharp reads, pace analysis, and value-driven insights.

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Terry’s Picks

PARX Racing – 12-08-2025

Race 1

7 – Sunny Magic – Finished 3rd in last race; trained by a high-percentage trainer who wins 23% of the route to sprint entries and drops in class today.

9 – Pastero – Finished 3rd in 2 races out of 6 starts at PARX Racing; Best Dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed; Can handle the distance.

5 – Fast N Sweet – Switches to a high % winning jockey and the shorter distance can help.

Longshot:

3 – Tap the Devil – Showed an early foot so the cutback in distance should be a plus; trained by a high-percentage trainer.

Alternate:

6 – Craigh Na Dun

4 – Gentleman Don

Race 2

6 – Guaio – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race as the favorite. Has a high % winning trainer who wins 32% of the races with beaten favorites.; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).

2 – Aleah Aleah – Eased in last start but has workouts that show that he is sound; Switches to a high % winning jockey; Has a good 4F workout (Nov-28).

8 – Dirty Harry – He has placed in 4 of 6 previous races, winning 1 start; High-percentage trainer who wins 24% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse.

Longshot:

5 – Sincerito – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Trainer who wins 20% of the races in the 2nd race after a layoff.

Alternate:

7 – Pontiac

Β $.50 Pick 4: 2,5,6,8/2,3,7/5,6/1,2,7,9 – Cost $48.00 Β 

Race 3-

2 – Tavern Time: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Has a high % trainer and jockey.

7 – Huggy: Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % trainer.

5 – Reelin N Dealin: Finished in the money in 2 races out of the last 3 starts; Has a high % winning trainer and can go the distance.

Longshot:

6 – Centaur Centra: Finished in the money in 3 races out of the last 4 starts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

1 – Airman Trevor

Race 4–Female

5 – Shines Madelin: Won last race; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 17% of the route races he has an entry in.

6 – Hard Spice: Finished in the money in 4 races out of 6 starts at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer.

4 – Joyful Joyce: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Highest last race speed rating; Drops in class today.

Longshot:

7 – Flaming Eyes: Longer distance offers hope for improvement; Likes the distance and has a good jockey.

Alternate:

3 – Inamorata

9 – Spanish Girl

$.50 Pick 4: 4,5,6,7/1,7/4,5,6,10/5,6,9 – Cost $48.00 Β 

Race 5-

7 – Coach Knight: Won last race at PARX Racing; Highest last race speed rating; Has a high % trainer and jockey.

1 – Happyflyer: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a high % trainer.

2 – Curious Soul: Drops in class today; Has a high % trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

9 – Bobo Liver: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance will help.

Alternate:

8 – Drunkle

Race 6–

10 – Cap’n Cats: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Has a high % trainer and Switches to a high % jockey.

6 – Raging Cajun: Drops in class; trained by a 22% Maiden Claiming winner; could improve when switching back to a sprint.

5 – Lover Boy Ness: Has a high % trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

4 – Peach Smoothie: Drops in class today; Has a high % trainer.

Alternate:

9 – Soar Above

7 – Petey Motto

Race 7–Female

9 – Bailout Billy: Won the last 4 races; Highest last race speed rating (tie); Has a high % winning trainer.

6 – Missy Sixtysix: Finished in the money in the last 8 races, winning 1 of the starts; Has a high % trainer and jockey.

5 – Shetalkstomuch: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

2 – Put the Crazy Away: Finished in the money in the last 5 races, running 2nd in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

4 – Peridot Pendant

8 – Angel of Hope

$.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5,6,9/5,7/4,6/1,4,5,9,11 – Cost $50.00

Race 8–Female

7 – Vixenzhypnotkhoney: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race, winning the 2 previous races; Has a high % trainer and jockey.

5 – Ringer Card: Won 2 races out of the last 3 starts; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).

2 – Caitlin the Great: Finished in the money in 4 career races, winning the last start; Has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

3 – Jump a Fox: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 75% of the races, winning 26% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 75% of the races, winning 25% of the starts.

Alternate:

4 – I Am Rue

Race 9-

6 – Bouncer: Finished in the money in 6 races out of 8 starts, winning 2 races; Drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

4 – Twisted Ride: Class drop today; top dirt speed among starters; highest speed rating at this distance; trainer and jockey have high win rates.

2 – Sunny Breeze: Finished 3rd in last race; He has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

9 – Dropline: Has won 5 races at PARX Racing; He has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

7 – Dean Delivers

Bet: $20.00 Win: 6 – $10.00 Exacta Box: 4/6 – $10.00 Exacta:6/2,4,9 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 2,4,6

Race 10-Female

1 – Nohai: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; He has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

4 – Daisy Believes: Drops in class today; Has a good trainer and jockey.

11 – Sandy Girl: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances.

Longshot:

5 – Supersonic Betty: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer.

Alternate:

9 – Alice Fantastic

Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race – #6 – Bouncer

Rich’s Picks

Race 1: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Inside Out

2 – POP NEIGH – on the front with 1st Lasix in 2nd start – 2nd biggest class drop

9 – PASTERO – maybe the most consistent in the field – better ATB

7 – SUNNY MAGIC – Yes horse and biggest class drop

6 – CRAIGH NA DUN – TLRSP#+3

$5 Double: 2,7,9/2

Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus. 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount, Inside better than Outside

2 – ALEAH ALEAH – hoping speed is the way today – leader with biggest class drop

8 – DIRTY HARRY – biggest gains came in 2ndΒ up – highly consistent

5 – SINCERITO – finished 2nd last out and has more upside

9 – I CAN DO MAGIC – tough call over the 3 – better EP and has some upside

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,8/2,5,6,7/3,4/1,2,3,4,7,9

Race 3: 6 Β½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2/3 Small Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Discount but better than 4-7

2 – TAVERN TIME – Big SIM FAV – should be better in 2ndΒ up and 2ndΒ Parx race after track dropping

6 – CENTAUR CENTRAL – Top TOTAL PACE – 3rdΒ up and most dangerous up front – maybe there today

5 – REELIN N DEALIN – biggest in race edge of +6 LS and C ZONE says he fits

7 – HUGGY – Pacestetter potential for a PC – Big effort in last but DQd

Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Inside Out

3 – INAMORATA – Track drop -strong chance to be on the lead vs mid back field – better ATB

4 – JOYFUL JOYCE – TLRSP# +3 – Z Pattern and drops

5 – SHINES MADELIN – EZ w2w win in last MC 10K – Top Total Pace – Best C ZONE by a bit

6 – HARD SPICE – last of the YES horses (3,4) – much better EP in last

$0.50 Pick 4: 3,4/1,2,7,9/3,5,6,10/5,6,9

$5 Exacta Key Box: 3/4,5,6

Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus. 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount, Inside better than Outside

7 – COACH KNIGHT – biggest in race edge of +7 LS – ITM 4/4 at the distance

1 – HAPPYFLYER – strong SIM FAV and Top PAR+ by a decent bit

9 – BOBO LIVER – could be out front with the top C ZONE

2 – CURIOUS SOUL – another that should be on the pace – last race was maybe too fast

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,2,7,9

Race 6: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Inside Out

3 – HOUSEBUSTER DUDE – SIM FAV and YES horse

6 – RAGING CAJUN – coming in from Delaware with early speed – YES horse

10 – CAP’N CATS – just missed at this level in his last – PARX 4/0-3-0 – switch to Sanchez

5 – LOVER BOY NESS – for Ness – with a track dropper

$5 Exacta Key Box: 3/5,6,10

Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus. 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount, Inside better than Outside

9 – BAILOUT BILLY – Pacesetting SIM FAV, TOP PAR+ and Top TOTAL PACE

5 – SHETALKSTOMUCH – biggest in race advantage +8 LS – very consistent

6 – MISSY SIXTYSIX – correct distance – 11/3-2-3 vs 13/1-2-3

2 – PUT THE CRAZY AWAY – has some EP but showed more pace from Mid out in last

$0.50 Pick 4: 5,6,9/2,5,7/6,9/1,3,4,5,11

Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus. 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount, Inside better than Outside

5 – RINGER CARD – TLRSP#+5Β  – 5 Ways Better – resume says a little better in 2ndΒ up

7 – VIXENZHYPNOTKHONEY – ITM 5/6 at the distance – Top TOTAL PACE

2 – CAITLIN THE GREAT – maybe most upside in 5thΒ race – close to winning 4/4

4 – I AM RUE – YES horse with the 5 – signs of life in her last – better 5 ways

Race 9: 6 Β½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2/3 Small Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Discount but better than 4-7

6 – BOUNCER – Track dropper for Sanchez and Ness dropping from a G3

9 – DROPLINE – TLRSP#+3 – SIM FAV – first up with speed – winner 2/3 at the distance

4 – TWISTED RIDE – won 10/24 at Parx and 0 for 13 anywhere else – Horse for the Course

2 – SUNNY BREEZE – most PARX back class – tough call over the 7

Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus. 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount, Inside better than Outside

4 – DAISY BELIEVES – 2ndΒ race upside way past par – but been off for a year – biggest dropper

1 – NOHAI – 0 for 11 – Sanchez stays on YES horse with strong rail

11 – SANDY GIRL – YES horse that should be forward with Lone E Potential

3 – NEZY’S GIRL – only 3rdΒ race – gets 1stΒ Lasix – more than you can say about most of what’s left

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,3,4,11

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