We’re back at Parx with an 11-race card and a pair of $75,000 stakes races that headline what looks like a prime bounce-back opportunity. Yesterday didn’t go our way — today is about precision. This card sets up well with: Competitive dirt sprints Route races where pace will matter Two $75K stakes that could create strong betting pools Value opportunities hiding behind logical favorites On today’s show: 🎯 Terry’s Best Bet 💵 Bennie and the Bets ($100 Strategy) 🔁 Pick 4 sequences 📊 Smart Sheets edge: TOTAL PACE, PAR+, C ZONE, TLRSP#, and trip modeling Parx can reward early speed — but when the setup tilts late, prices hit. We’re looking to isolate separation horses and capitalize on the deeper pools in the stakes races. Bounce-back cards are about discipline and structure. Let’s get it back today. Drop your Best Bet below before first post. 👇🏇💰
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Terry’s Picks
PARX Racing – 3-03-2026
Race 1–
8 – Waldrip: Finished in the money in 4 races out of 5 starts at PARX Racing, winning 2 races; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Nixon Joy: Won last race at PARX Racing; Switches to a high% trainer.
3 – Cody Pass: Finished 2nd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of races in the 1st start after claim.
Longshot:
2 – Elusive Target: Trainer and jockey have high win rates.
Alternate:
6 – Amedeus Music
Race 2-
7 – Saint Ephrem: Undefeated in 2 career starts at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Brave Blend: Highest last race speed rating; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Morethanafeeling: Ran 3rd vs similar last out; could improve at shorter trip; owns today’s top dirt speed; trainer and jockey have strong win rates.
Longshot:
4 – Cap Steak Robbery: Finished in the money in 5 races out of the 5 career starts, winning 2 races; Likes the distance.
Alternate:
5 – Keeping the Faith
3 – Southern Dream
$.50 Pick 4: 1,7/2,6/1,2,4,7/1,3,4,5,6,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 3–
2 – Sunday Spirit: Has won his last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Bet N Win: Won last race at PARX Racing; Strong trainer stats.
5 – Always Gambling: Won 2 races out of the last 3 starts; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
4 – Pogi: Beaten only 1-1/2 lengths in last start; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – I Feelucky Tonite
Race 4-Female
4 – Cocktail Humor: Finished in the money in the last 7 starts, winning 3 races; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Golden Dancer: Won 3 the last races Rail post is winning at a 20% clip.
2 – Whatta World: Drops in class today; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
7 – Cruise Missile: Won 3 races out of the 7 starts at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
5 – Lady Annabelle
3 – Mikey’s Song
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,4,7/1,3,5,7/2,4,7/5,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 5-Female
5 – Gamestonks: Has won his last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Mavilus: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Synergism: Rail post is winning at a 22% clip; Drops in class today; Trainer has high win rates winning 30% of the races in the 2nd start with the trainer.
Longshot:
3 – Rowsie Express: Won 2 races out of the last 2 starts at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
4- Warrior’s Ransom
6 – Breezy Dance
Race 6-
2 – Pastero: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest last race speed rating; Trainer and jockey has high win rates.
4- Alphadini: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race.
7 – Craigh Na Dun: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
1 – Tap the Devil: Shorter distance offers hope for improvement.
Alternate:
5- Gunman Jayvo
6- Gentleman Don
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,4,7/4,5,9,10/4,6/1,2,3 – Cost $48.00
Race -7-Female
10 – Motown Honey: Won last 2 races and top trainer-jockey team.
5 – Cha Cha Chukka: Trainer wins 38% of the races when Dropping off claim; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; The trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days (9 4-1-2).
4 – Sweet Marie: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; High % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
9 – Shines Madelin: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 50% of the races, winning 33% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 50% of the races, winning 33% of the starts.
Alternate:
3 – Lu Lu Vatonl
8 – Eloper
Race 8-
6 – Chance: Finished in the money in the last 4 starts, winning 2 races; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Trainer and jockey is a frequent winner.
4- Friday Surprise: Won last race at PARX Racing by 11 lengths; Highest last race speed rating.
8 – Trust Issues: Finished in the money in 5 races out of the last 7 starts, winning 1 races; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
9 – Smoke Wagon: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Lasso
$.50 Pick 4:4,6/1,3/1,3,5,8/2,3,4,6,8,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 9-Female
3 – Our Golden Gator: Placed 3rd last race after a win; features a trainer with a 33% first-route win rate and a top-performing jockey.
1 – Law School: Ran 2nd in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Ivy Girl: Ran 2nd in last race; Highest last race speed rating; Blinkers added today.
Longshot:
6 – Spoonbill: Won last race at PARX Racing; High % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Halo Hottie
7 – Courage On Tap
Bet: $20.00 Win: 3 – $10.00 Exacta Box: 1/3 – $10.00 Exacta: 3/1,2,6 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 1,2,3
Race-10
8 – Red Zone Runner: Finished in the money in 4 races out of the 4 career starts, winning 1 race; High % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – N. Y. Finest: Finished 2nd vs similar in last race as the favorite last time; trainer wins 20% with beaten favorites; Can improve at the longer distance.
3 – Psalmist: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint to route and a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Lucky Larry: Won last race at PARX Racing.
Alternate:
6 – Star Sweeper
Race 11-
9 – Mission First: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Tojo’s Mojo: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of races when dropping down 2+ classes; Can improve while returning to a sprint.
3 – Liberty Star: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 57% of the races, winning 27% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 20% of the starts.
Longshot:
8 – Romantic Gamble: Drops in class today; Can go the distance.
Alternate:
4 – Cantaro
6 – Geebert
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race – #3 – Our Golden Gator
Rich’s Picks
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Stalkers, 40% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Discount, 4+ Bonus
8 – WALDRIP – could be out on the lead – SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE
3 – CODY PASS – is another that could be forward – strong PAR+
2 – ELUSIVE TARGET – Top C ZONE horse – Ness Hazelwood won everything yesterday
7 – NIXON JOY – biggest in race edge +5 LS – winner 4/9 at PARX
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,3,7,8
Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 50% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
7 – SAINT EPHREM – out front – better LP and Early Fractions
1 – BRAVE BLEND – TLRSP#+7 and top TOTAL PACE and best PAR+
6 – SOLO IN PARIS – biggest in race edge +7 LS
4 – CAP STEAK ROBBERY – super consistent and could have some more upside
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,6,7/2,3/1,4,5/1,3,4,5,7
Race 3: 7 Furlongs – Stalkers, 35% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Dominant, 4-7 Worst, 8+ Discount
2 – SUNDAY SPIRIT – TLRSP#+6 – Top TOTAL PACE +5 – better EP/FRAC– Big SIM FAV – Standout C ZONE
3 – I FEELUCKY TONITE – better 5 Ways – better if it’s wet ITM 5/5
4 – POGI – left arrow thar should be out front
6 – BET N WIN – rerun his last race and it could be back to back Ws
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Inside Out
4 – COCKTAIL HUMOR – on the lead, TLRSP#+3 – SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE
5 – LADY ANNABELLE – YES Horse better ATB In last
1 – GOLDEN DANCER – 3 SP# increases and could make it four in the 2nd up
2 – WHATTA WORLD – consistent class dropper
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,4,5/1,3,5/2,7/1,4,5,6,10
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Stalkers, 40% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Discount, 4+ Bonus
5 – GAMESTONKS – big SIM FAV – biggest in race edge +6 – Top TOTAL PACE
1 – SYNERGISM – better ATB and top C ZONE – Ness Hazelwood again
3 – ROWSIE EXPRESS – 2 for 2 at PARX – Ness and Silvera
4 – WARRIOR’S RANSOM – solid performer and usually comes off the bench ready
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 50% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
2 – PASTERO – heavy SIM FAV – 1 of 2 YES horses
7 – CRAIGH NA DUN – left arrow with good chance to lead
4 – ALPHADINI – the other YES horse – decent work prepping
5 – GUNMAN JAYVO – could be Lone E if he can get out front
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,4,7/1,4,5,10/4,8/1,2,3,6
Race 7: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Stalkers, 40% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Discount, 4+ Bonus
5 – CHA CHA CHUKKA – Ness Hazelwood track dropper – Big SIM FAV and biggest drop
10 – MOTOWN HONEY – pace setting class dropper for Pino/Sanchez
4 – SWEET MARIE – top TOTAL PACE – will be forward
1 – ANGEL MESA – TLRSP# +4 and better 5 ways in last
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 50% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
4 – FRIDAY SURPRISE – out front +8 EP – Big SIM GAV and TLRSP#+16
8 – TRUST ISSUES – Ness Hazelwood – Track and Class Dropper and 2nd up
1 – LASSO – top PAR+ – super consistent and should be forward
9 – SMOKE WAGON – best C ZONE – will be coming late
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,4,8/1,2,3/1,5,6,7,8/3,9
$5 Exacta Key Box: 4/1,8,9
Race 9: 1 1/16 Miles – Closers, 0/4 w2w – PP: All from 2-7
3 – OUR GOLDEN GATOR – – 3rd race bounce back = Most Upside
1 – LAW SCHOOL – Only YES horse and big SIM FAB – Top TOTAL PACE +10
2 – IVY GIRL – resume says big pop in 2nd up could be coming
6 – SPOONBILL – does her best on the front and that’s where she should be
Race 10: 1 1/16 Miles – Closers, 0/4 w2w – PP: All from 4-7
8 – RED ZONE RUNNER – consistent performer – ITM 4/4 so far
5 – N. Y. FINEST – out front – left arrow and top TOTAL PACE
6 – STAR SWEEPER – 2 for 2 at PARX and both kind of EZ
1 – LUCKY LARRY – late scratched into this spot
Race 11: 7 Furlongs – Stalkers, 35% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Dominant, 4-7 Worst, 8+ Discount
9 – MISSION FIRST – BIG SIM FAV on the pace as potential LONE E – Top TOTAL PACE+7
3 – LIBERTY STAR – ITM 5/5 at the distance – better EP/FRACTS and drops
8 – ROMANTIC GAMBLE – not sure what happened last – but has bounced back before
6 – GEEBERT – TLRSP#+ 7 – better 5 ways
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 3,6,8,9
