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Parx Racing Picks & Analysis: Smart Sheets, Bias Insights, and Rich’s Winning Strategy for Every Race

It’s another fast and furious afternoon at Parx Racing, and Rich is rolling solo with a full 10-race card loaded with value plays, pace advantages, and bias insights. The Smart Sheets point to a clear edge for early speed, but several races feature powerful closers ready to pounce when the pace collapses. Using TLRSP# ratings, C-ZONE indicators, and track bias data, Rich’s Parx Ranks highlight which horses are best positioned to win, place, or deliver double and Pick-4 value. Whether you’re building tickets or tracking trends, today’s card has opportunity written all over it.

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Terry’s Picks

PARX Racing – 10-21-2025

Race 1

2 – Kate’s Golden Dude: Finished in the money in the last 9 starts, winning 4 starts; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a top-winning trainer and jockey.

3 – Pogi: Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race at PARX Racing; Has a high-percent trainer and jockey.

1 – We Ready: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Rail post is winning at a 28% clip and has a top-winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

5 – Cobble Road: Early speed running style helps chances at the shorter distance and has a high-percent trainer who wins 35% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse.

Alternate:

8 – Cantaro

7 – Petulant Delight

Race 2

3 – Union Purrfection: Finished in the money in 6 races out of 7 career starts, winning 1 and has a top-winning trainer and jockey.

2 – Simply Disregarded: Finished second against tougher at PARX, drops in class, and is trained and ridden by high-percentage connections.

5 – One Improbable: Has a high-percent trainer who wins 22% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse and has a top-winning jockey.

Longshot:

6 – We Miss Neil: He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 55% of the races, and has a top-winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

1 – Prince Lucas

4 – Crack the Code

$.50 Pick 4:2,3,5,6/1,6/1,2,3,6/3,7,10 – Cost $48.00  

Race 3-Female

6 – Summary Judgment: Has won her last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, and she likes the distance.

1 – Date Night Kisses: Won last race at PARX Racing; Highest speed figure at today’s distance and gets a leading trainer and jockey.

3 – Expect to Be Ready: She has a 27%-win rate at PARX Racing, a trainer who wins 24% after claims, and a leading jockey.

Longshot:

5 – Thegoddessofsnakes: Third last out vs tougher, fastest dirt speed today; high-percentage trainer (20% wins off claim) with top jockey.

Alternate:

2 – Mo’s Vino Mesa

4 – Far Heart

Race 4Female

3 – Halo Hottie: Class dropper with a trainer winning 22% in sprint-sprint-route scenarios; paired with leading trainer and jockey.

2 – Courage On Tap: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today and has a good 4F workout (Oct-13).

1 – Tush Push: Drops in class today and gets a leading trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

6 – Purist: First-time starter who is bred well for route distance; High % trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

4 – Ivy Girl

5 – Catrina Zar

$.50 Pick 4:1,2,3,6/2,3,4,5,7,10/6,7/1,4 – Cost $48.00

Race 5-Female

10 – Disco Flash: Early speed running style helps chances; High % winning trainer and jockey.

7 – Justheart: At PARX Racing, she finishes in the money 75% of the time and wins 25% of her starts. She has placed in every race at this distance, with a top trainer and jockey.

3 – Cdakhat: Should improve while returning to dirt and her early speed running style helps chances.

Longshot:

2 – I’m a Lucky Girl: Ran 2nd in last race and has the highest last race speed rating.

Alternate:

5 – My Spring Sunshine

4 – Fashionista

Race 6

6 – Aula: Won last race at PARX Racing; tied for fastest dirt speed at today’s distance; has a top trainer and switches to a high-percentage jockey.

7 – Mr. Hustle: Finished in the money in the last 6 starts, winning 1 race, finishing 2nd in the last start; and has a high-percent trainer.

5 – Union Lights: Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race and drops in class today.

Longshot:

2 – Sal N Louie: Finished 2nd last out vs similar; has early speed; shares top dirt speed in today’s field.

Alternate:

3 – Assembly Point

4 – Brumba Waffle Toes

Bet: $20.00 Win: 6 – $10.00 – Exacta Box: 6,7 – $10.00 Exacta:6/2,5,7 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 5,6,7

Race 7Female

1 – Vixenzhypnotkhoney: Winner of last two races aiming for a third; rail position wins 18% of the time, with a top trainer and jockey combination.

4 – Rock Me Gently: Finished in the money in 9 races out of 10 starts, winning 3 and has a top-winning trainer and jockey.

6 – Leftover Sushi: She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 67% of the races, winning 33% of the starts and distance will not be a problem as she has finished in the money in 60% of the races, winning 30% of the starts.

Longshot:

3 – Mildoon: Won 2 races in a row; High % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

2 – Bailout Billy

5 – Put the Crazy Away

$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,4,6/4,8/6,7/4,5,6,7,9 – Cost $50.00

Race 8

4 – Amedeus Music: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Has a high-percent trainer who wins 30% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse and has a top-winning jockey.

8 – Speightster Red: Won 5 of last 8 races; has top speed at today’s distance and on dirt; trainer and jockey have high win rates.

3 – What a Blast: Won last race at PARX Racing and has a high-percent trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

5 – Irish Honor: At PARX Racing, he has finished in the money 68% of the time with a 21%-win rate; at this distance, he has been in the money 63% of the time and won 13%.

Alternate:

2 – Traffic Master

Race 9

6 – Adero: Ran 2nd in last race, winning the previous race and has a high-percent trainer and jockey.

7 – Film Star: Has won his last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick and has the best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

5 – Point Dume: Won last race at Delaware Park, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and has a good 4F workout (Oct-15).

Longshot:

8 – Awesome Flay: Placed in 6 of last 7 races, with 1 win; suited to this distance.

Alternate:

1 – Bernie’s Mitts

2 – Irish Cork

Race 10-Female

5 – Young and Pretty: Finished 2nd against comparable competition, could improve back at sprint distance; trainer and jockey have a strong win rate.

4 – Selvaggia: Drops in class today; Can improve while returning to dirt and gets a leading trainer and jockey.

6 – Nohai: Highest speed figure at today’s distance and gets a leading jockey.

Longshot:

9 – Rama Bama Lana: She has a high % winning trainer 24% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse; has a high-percent winning jockey and has the best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

Alternate:

7 – Carolyn Doris

Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 6th Race – #6 – Aula

Rich’s Picks

Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Same Discount

2 – KATE’S GOLDEN DUDE – Been off since May – good works and comes off hot – leader

3 – POGI – very consistent and should be better in 2nd Parx run after track dropping

5 – COBBLE ROAD – should be out front too – weight break could help today

1 – WE READY – 3rd up – moving inside should help after wide trip in last

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,2,3,5

Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Same Discount

3 – UNION PURRFECTION – 3SP# increase, TLRSP# +3 – strong C Zone says another good trip coming

2 – SIMPLY DISREGARDED – big SIM FAV and tie top total pace with and then 3 a gap

6 – WE MISS NEIL – first up with decent works

5 – ONE IMPROBABLE – big pop in mid move last out with faster fractions despite going longer

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3/1,3,6/2,3,6/2,3,5,7,10

Race 3: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount

6 – SUMMARY JUDGMENT – winner of 6/12 at the distance and better 2nd up

3 – EXPECT TO BE READY – one of two YES horses – much better EP in last

1 – DATE NIGHT KISSES – SIM FAV and Top Total Pace – consistent

5 – THEGODDESSOFSNAKES – The other YES horse – first up ?

Race 4: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount

2 – COURAGE ON TAP – TLRSP# +14, top LS +11 and Top Total Pace +7

3 – HALO HOTTIE – could be lone E depending on 1st times

6 – PURIST – top rated first timer – not saying much

4 – IVY GIRL – 2nd rated firster

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3,6/2,3,5,7,10/2,3,6/1,6

Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Biggest Discount, 8+ Discount

3 – CDAKHAT – 1 of 2 yes horses – only 2nd run at Parx after track dropping

2 – I’M A LUCKY GIRL – just missed at this level on last – will be coming late

7 – JUSTHEART – the other Yes horse – needs a better start

10 – DISCO FLASH – SIM FAV and Top Total Pace – pacesetter – outside post hurts

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,3,7,10

Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Inside Out

3 – ASSEMBLY POINT – better EP – if he is going to win it at this distance 11/14 wins – Only YES

6 – AULA – big early Speed vs a field of middle back types – rerun last race and it’s over

2 – SAL N LOUIE – SIM FAV and top total Pace -better EP and fractions – best C ZONE by far

7 – MR. HUSTLE – consistent but Parx 13/1-1-3

Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Same Discount

1 – VIXENZHYPNOTKHONEY – winner 2 in a row with room for upside

6 – LEFTOVER SUSHI – 1 of 2 Yes horses  – better mid-out pace and early fractions

2 – BAILOUT BILLY – the other Yes horse – should be forward with the 6 – 3rd up

4 – ROCK ME GENTLY – big win in last and could be better in 3rd up

$0.50 Pick 4: 1,2,4,6/3,4,8/5,7/4,5,6,9

Race 8: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Inside Out

4 – AMEDEUS MUSIC – Big SIM FAV – Ness and Sanchez – better in 2nd Parx and 2nd up

8 – SPEIGHTSTER RED – left arrow with high C ZONE – needs to rebound in 2nd up

3 – WHAT A BLAST – TLRSP# +3 – small drop – better in 3rd up – distance 3/6 all others 2/29

5 – IRISH HONOR  – solid at Parx 19/4-4-5 – decent prep work for first after late Aug

$8 Double: 4,8/7

Race 9: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount

7 – FILM STAR – SIM FAV and Lone EP – definitely faced a lot tougher

5 – POINT DUME – 2 for 2 at Parx – better EP in last

6 – ADERO – really consistent and coming off faster early fractions

8 – AWESOME FLAY – really tough call over the 1 – but has more back class and upside

$5 Exacta Key Box: 7/1,5,6,8

$20 Win: 7

Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Same Discount

9 – RAMA BAMA LANA – coming in from Delaware off the claim – 24% hit for trainer

6 – NOHAI – Top Total Pace and Sanchez could be a tell that she is ready

5 – YOUNG AND PRETTY – been close in the last 2 – maybe cutting back in distance helps

4 – SELVAGGIA – TLRSP# +5 – SIM FAV and best Par+ – did bomb in lone Parx and dirt trip

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