Horse Racing Today

Parx Racing Picks & Analysis: Smart Sheets, Bias Insights, and Rich’s Winning Strategy for Every Race

Parx dirt often rewards tactical speed — but when pace pressure builds, prices can pop. Today’s card gives us multiple decision points: races that look formful on paper and others where value could emerge if the favorite is vulnerable. On today’s show: 🎯 Terry’s Best Bet 💵 Bennie and the Bets ($100 strategy) 🔁 Pick 4 sequences 📊 Smart Sheets edge featuring TOTAL PACE, PAR+, C ZONE, TLRSP#, and pace modeling We’re looking to identify: Lone speed situations Class drops that matter Hidden improvement angles Horses positioned to upset logical chalk Terrific Tuesday is about discipline and execution. Let’s build momentum. Drop your Best Bet in the comments before first post. 🏇💰

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Terry’s Picks

PARX Racing – 3-17-2026

Race 1

8 – Tojo’s Mojo: Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Likes the distance.

6 – Cisco Kid: Finished just 2 lengths behind similar competition last time; holds top speed figure at today’s distance; fastest Dirt Speed among today’s runners.

2 – Bourbon Aficionado: Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Good 3F workout (Mar-07).

Longshot:

5 – Bad Advice: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest last race speed rating.

Alternate:

1 – Back East

Race 2-

3 – Easy Action: Going for the 6th win in a row at PARX Racing; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

4 – Nancy Made My Day: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 80% of the races, winning 20% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 50% of the races, winning 13% of the starts.

7 – Mac Daddy Too: Finished in the money 2 races out of the last 3 starts, winning the last race; Switches to a high% trainer; Has a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

2 – Midlaner: Finished 2nd in the last start; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

6 – Three Captains

$.50 Pick 4: 3,4/2,6/2,4,5,6/1,2,4,5,6,8 – Cost $48.00 

Race 3

2 – Nomowineforyou: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Good 5F workout (Mar-11).

6 – Disco Rhodes: First time starter whose Dam has 2 winners from 2 starters; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of races with 1st time starters; Good 4F workout (Mar-10).

1 – Buff Gary: Rail post is winning at 22% clip; Drops in class today; Strong jockey stats.

Longshot:

5 – King of the Cross: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning wins 25% in 1st Time Maiden Claiming event.

Alternate:

3 – Nakimax

4 – Tongue Tied

Race 4-Female

6 – Pontiffany: Won 1 race out of the last 2 starts; Drops in class today; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

5 – Sofster: Finished in the money 7 races out of the last 8 starts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

4 – Sheza Bernardini: Won last race at PARX Racing; Strong jockey stats.

Longshot:

2 – Fuhgeddaboudit: Got lost in the fog last race, winning the previous race so with no fog may see clearly in today’s race; Has a high % winning jockey.

Alternate:

7 – Girlfromouterspace

3 – Burning Embers

$.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5,6/1,2/1,4,6/2,5,6,7 – Cost $48.00  

Race 5-Female

1 – Breezefromtheeast: Rail post is winning at a 22% clip; Ran 2nd in last race; Highest last race speed rating; Strong trainer stats.

2 – J K Strong: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance should help; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

5 – Breeze Along Belle: Strong trainer and jockey stats; Blinkers added today.

Longshot:

8 – Bulma: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer.

Alternate:

4 – Always in Play

6 – Sacred Prayer

Race 6-

4 – Carbonite: Won last race at PARX Racing; Drops in class today; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

6 – Authentic Kingdom: Finished in the money in the last 5 starts, winning 2 races and finishing 3rd vs tougher in last race.

1 – Adios Jersey: Won 2 races out of the last 3 starts; Rail post is winning at 24% clip; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

9 – Twentyeighttothree: Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Alternate:

8 – Capital Conquest

2 – Twenty One Kid

Race -7-Female

2 – Perugia: Won last race at PARX Racing; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

7 – Byebyejealouseye: Won last race at PARX Racing; Switches to a high % winning trainer; Has a high % winning jockey.

5 – House of Magic: Finished in the money 4 races out of the last 5 starts, winning 1 race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Longshot:

6 – Shubagail: Finished 2nd in the last 2 starts; Can handle the distance.

Alternate:

3 – I Am Rue

4 – Mila Rose

$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,5,6,7/3,6/3,5/1,2,3,6,8 – Cost $50.00

Race 8Female

6 – Golden Eib Micrphn: Finished in the money the last 10 starts, winning 4 races; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

3 – Pachelbel: Won last race at PARX Racing; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

4 – Lovely Charm: Finished in the money 3 races out of the last 4 starts, winning 2 races; Drops in class today; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.

Longshot:

5 – Jess’s Moment: Consistently performs at PARX Racing, with 68% in-the-money finishes and an 18%-win rate; handles the distance well with 60% in-the-money and 13% wins.

Alternate:

2 – Center Stage

1 – Spicy Delight

Bet: $20.00 Win: 6 – $10.00 Exacta Box: 3/6 – $10.00 Exacta: 6/3,4,5 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 3,4,6

Race-9-Female

3 – Alani: Ran 2nd in last race; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Strong trainer and jockey stats; Bullet 4F workout (Mar-09).

5 – Jeanne Marie: Finished 3rd in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

1 – Carousel Queen: Finished in the money 5 races out of the last 6 starts, winning 3 races; Rail post is winning at a 23% clip; Bullet 4F workout (Mar-11).

Longshot:

4 – Disco Ebo: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 75% of the races, winning 44% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 63% of the races, winning 42% of the starts.

Alternate:

6 – Beach Daze

Race 10-Female

1 – Take Time to Dream: Rail post is winning at a 22% clip; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer.

3 – Popthechampagne Ro: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 60% of the races, winning 13% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 75% of the races.

8 – Awesome Annmarie: Drops in class today; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

Longshot:

6 – Everheart: Drops in class today; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Alternate:

2 – Erin’s Enthusiasm

9 – Megan’s Noel

Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #6 – Golden Eib Micrphn

Rich’s Picks

Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 47% w2w – PP: Inside Out

6 – CISCO KID – most upside in the race – chance to improve in 2nd up Top SIM SP# and TP

8 – TOJO’S MOJO – trending in the right direction – switches to Sanchez

2 – BOURBON AFICIONADO – biggest class dropper – 1st up not so good

5 – BAD ADVICE – TLRSP#+4 – could be better in 3rd up – but way above normal – regression

Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Early Speed, 45% w2w – PP: Inside Out

3 – EASY ACTION – Only YES horse + 9 SIM SP# -+12 Top TOTAL PACE – better EP/FRACTs

4 – NANCY MADE MY DAY – should be forward and has enough LP – strong works

7 – MAC DADDY TOO – just missed in last – better LP and Early Fractions

5 – SHIPMAN – Sanchez and Ness – better EP and run back to Feb 3 would work

$0.50 Pick 4: 3,4/2,3,4,6/4,6/1,2,3,4,5,8

Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 47% w2w – PP: Inside Out

6 – DISCO RHODES – 1ster with a Bullet and Go work vs all noes and 1 maybe

3 – NAKIMAX – top rated firster  vs all noes and 1 maybe – as mentioned

2 – NOMOWINEFORYOU – TLRSP# +12 for the experienced horses

4 – TONGUE TIED – top TOTAL PACE with 2nd race upside

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,3,4,6

Race 4: 7 Furlongs – Early Speed, 44% w2w – PP: Strong 1-3, 4-7 Hit, 8+ Almost Fair

4 – SHEZA BERNARDINI – TLRSP# +14 and Top TOTAL PACE +11 SIM SP# +12 – pacesetter

6 – PONTIFFANY – Pino and Sanchez – winner at 45%

2 – FUHGEDDABOUDIT – last of the YES Horses – has some of the most upside

5 – SOFSTER – better 5 ways – last race better than the finish

$0.50 Pick 4: 4/1,2,3,4,5/1,3,4,6,9/2,3,4,6

Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 47% w2w – PP: Inside Out

5 – BREEZE ALONG BELLE – 2n d race upside past PAR and Top TOATL PACE +8

1 – BREEZEFROMTHEEAST – better 5 ways with TLRSP# +4

3 – HART OF COUPELLA – no matter what – you have to give the 1ster a chance vs these

2 – J K STRONG – better LP and Fractions – upfront and drops a little

$5 Exacta Key Box: 5/1,2,3,4

 

 

 

 

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 47% w2w – PP: Inside Out

6 – AUTHENTIC KINGDOM – PARX 8/3-3-0 – elsewhere 9/0-1-2 – better fractions drops

3 – BIAGIO – Top Total Pace in a wide open race

1 – ADIOS JERSEY – all or nothing 8/3-0-0 at Parx – Pacesetter – better EP/FRACTIONS

4 – CARBONITE – better 5 ways – should be forward and biggest dropper + 8 TLRSP#

$0.50 Trifecta: 1,3,4,6/1,3,6/1,3,4,6,8,9

Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Early Speed, 44% w2w – PP: Strong 1-3, 4-7 Hit, 8+ Almost Fair

4 – MILA ROSE – better EP/FRACTIONS and biggest class dropper – YES horse with

3 – I AM RUE – better 5 ways in last – should be better in the 2nd up

6 – SHUBAGAIL – SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE – another with more in 2nd up

2 – PERUGIA – Sanchz and Ness – should be forward – won last at Parx after NYRA drop

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,6/3,4/3,5/1,2,3,6,8,9

Race 8: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Stalkers, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Discount, 4+ a little better than Par

3 – PACHELBEL – TLRSP# +5 and TOP TOTAL PACE better EP and FRACTIONS – biggest drop

4 – LOVELY CHARM – could be LONE E if gets the lead – has triple digit speed figure ability

6 – GOLDEN EIB MICRPHN – Sanchez and Ness in 3rd up – consistent – faster by about 2 seconds

2 – CENTER STAGE – tough call over the 5 – much better C ZONE

$1 Pick 3: 3/3/ALL

Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Early Speed, 45% w2w – PP: Inside Out

3 – ALANI – SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE – by far best C ZONE – Pacesetter

5 – JEANNE MARIE – 3rd up and if she runs back to DEC 31 run – it’s a winner

6 – BEACH DAZE – ITM 8/9 at the distance – lone class dropper – TLRSP#+4

1 – CAROUSEL QUEEN – Sanchez gets off the 4 to run here

Race 10: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 47% w2w – PP: Inside Out

2 – ERIN’S ENTHUSIASM – class dropper – off since July solid works – could be up front

3 – POPTHECHAMPAGNE RO – Top TOTAL PACE – last race easy win but it was a no contest

6 – EVERHEART – SIM FAV and Top PAR+

1 – TAKE TIME TO DREAM – better EP and FRACTION

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