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Parx Racing Picks & Analysis: Smart Sheets, Bias Insights, and Rich’s Winning Strategy for Every Race

We’ve got 11 races at Parx Racing for Terrific Tuesday — and with this many races and this many horses, it could turn into a wild day of upsets. Deep fields create volatility. Volatility creates opportunity. When you get big fields: Favorites become more vulnerable Pace scenarios get complicated Longshots get live trips Sequences become harder — and more valuable Today’s card sets up as one where structure and discipline matter more than ever. On the show: 🎯 Terry’s Best Bet 💵 Bennie and the Bets ($100 strategy) 🔁 Pick 4 sequences 📊 Smart Sheets edge featuring TOTAL PACE, PAR+, C ZONE, TLRSP#, and improvement angles We’re looking to identify: Chaos races worth spreading Logical chalk worth leaning on Longshots with legitimate pace setups Vulnerable favorites in crowded spots 11 races. Big pools. Upset potential. Drop your Best Bet in the comments before first post — let’s see if Terrific Tuesday lives up to its name. 🏇💰

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Terry’s Picks

PARX Racing – 3-31-2026

Race 1

10 – Young Squire: Trained by a high-percentage trainer and ridden by a successful jockey. Has top speed figures at today’s distance and on dirt, with a strong win rate when dropping off a claim.

9 – Amazing Woo; Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Highest last race speed rating; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

4 – Jewels in the Bay: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

1 – Cattin: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Rail post is winning at a 23% clip.

Alternate:

2 – Nicole’s King

8 – Tiempo Perfecto

Race 2

4 – Sergeant Sinatra: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Good 4F workout (Mar-20).

3 – Compa: Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

8 – Fastidious: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today.

Longshot:

6 – Sittin Chilly: Has a high % winning trainer; Can go the distance.

Alternate:

7 – Airman Trevor

$.50 Pick 4: 3,4,8/1,2,6/4,6,8/1,6,9 – Cost $40.50 

Race 3-

6 – Bestsugardaddyever: Placed in 5 of last 6 races, with 1 win and a recent 3rd; has top speed at today’s distance and fastest dirt speed among entrants.

2 – Melt With You: Has a high % winning trainer and jockey and likes the distance.

1 – Chelonian: Rail post is winning at a 24% clip; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

7 – Amity Road: Finished 3rd in last race; Has a high % winning trainer.

Alternate:

5 – Expensive Cut

Race 4-

8 – Riley’s Rockstar: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 60% of the races, winning 13% of the starts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

6 – Roxton: Won last race; Can handle the distance; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

4 – Coalville: Finished in the money in 6 races out of 8 starts, winning 1 race; Drops in class today.

Longshot:

1 – Encrypt: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning jockey; Can go the distance.

Alternate:

10 – Watch Hill

7 – Smooth Motion

$.50 Pick 4: 1,4,6,8/1,2,6,9/1,4/3,6,7 – Cost $48.00  

Race 5-

1 – Davola: Finished 2nd in last race as the favorite: High % winning trainer wins 30% of the races when bringing beaten favorite back; Rail post is winning at a 23% clip.

6 – Run My Card: Has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.

9 – Drake Drive: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

2 – Tiz the Coast: Drops in class today; Jockey has high win rates.

Alternate:

5 – What It Tiz

7 – Addyson’s Dream

Race -6-Female

1 – Could Be a Cougar: Won 3 races out of the last 5 starts; Rail post is winning at a 23% clip; Strong trainer stats.

4 – Mildoon: Ran 2nd in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

6 – Snappy Ride: Has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

5 – Jump a Fox: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 65% of the races, winning 19% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 43% of the races, winning 18% of the starts

Alternate:

2 – Mended We Stand

$.50 Pick 4: 1,4/3,6,7/4,5,6,7/2,3,5,6 – Cost $48.00

Bet: $20.00 Win: 1 – $10.00 Exacta Box:1/4 – $10.00 Exacta: 1/4,5,6 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 1,4,6

Race 7-

3 – Diamond Heist: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

6 – Backside Buzz: Won last race at PARX Racing; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

7 – Macaw: Won 6 races out of the last 8 starts; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Longshot:

2 – Ahsad: Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Can go the distance.

Alternate:

8 – Tojo’s Mojo

Race-8-

6 – Borracho: Runner-up last out as favorite; trainer wins 30% with beaten favorites. Fastest dirt speed in today’s field, trained and ridden by high-percentage connections.

5 – Nuedorf: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 57% of the races, winning 27% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 44% of the races, winning 22% of the starts.

7 – Curious Soul: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

4 – Liberty Star: Won last race at PARX Racing; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Strong trainer stats.

Alternate:

2 – Frost Mountain

1 – This Run’s for You

$.50 Pick 4: 4,5,6,7/2,3,6/3,6/3,7,9,10 – Cost $48.00

Race 9-Female

2 – Cocktail Humor: Finished in the money in the last 9 starts, winning 4 races and finishing 2nd in last race; Strong trainer and jockey stats; Highest speed figure at today’s distance.

6 – Ready for Trouble: Best Dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed; Switches a high % winning trainer and jockey.

3 – Persian: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

5 – Bailout Billy: Won 4 races out of the last 5 starts; Has a high % winning jockey.

Alternate:

7 – Caitlin the Great

Race 10-Female

6 – Presenceisapresent: Finished in the money in 2 races out of 2 career starts, winning the last race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

3 – Divine Intentions: Finished in the money in 4 races out of 5 career starts, winning 2 races; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

4 – Inanoceanoflove: Won last race at PARX Racing; Good 4F workout (Mar-21).

Longshot:

8 – Divine Seeker: Won 2 races out of 4 career starts at PARX Racing; Highest last race speed rating.

Alternate:

1 – Wanna Go Home

5 – Chambourcin

Race 11-

10 – Prairie Dunes: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

7 – Real Blues: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Switches to a high % winning jockey.

3 – Real Talented: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances; Has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

9 – Lucchesi: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 42% of the races, winning 17% of the starts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

1 – Southern Dream

5 – I Can Do Magic

Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 6th Race – #1 – Could Be a Cougar

Rich’s Picks

Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4+ Similar Discount

9 – AMAZING WOO – TLRSP#+7 – better EP/FRACTIONS and drops in 2nd up

10 – YOUNG SQUIRE – Ness-Hazelwood – didn’t they win everything together

2 – NICOLE’S KING – March 16 work of 47.4 says he should be ready

7 – TWENTY ONE KID – value horse with the biggest in race edge +7 LS

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,7,9,10

Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Early Speed, 49% w2w – PP: Inside Out

3 – COMPA – YES horse on the lead all by myself with only 50%+ C ZONE

8 – FASTIDIOUS – TLRSP#+ 6 – 5 ways better and drops – better in 2nd up

7 – AIRMAN TREVOR – SIM FAV – 5 ways better and drops

4 – SERGEANT SINATRA – biggest in race edge +8 LS

$0.50 Pick 4: 3,4,7,8/1,4,6/4,7,8,10/1,9

$5 Exacta Key Box: 3/4,7,8

Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bonus, 2/3 Discount, 4+ Fair

4 – NIXON JOY – has a +18 LS edge – that’s a lot and the top C ZONE

6 – BESTSUGARDADDYEVER – Kendrick coming in to ride this one – run back to Dec 24th

1 – CHELONIAN – coming in from AQ – but at PARX 12/5-2-1 – faster by about 3 seconds

2 – MELT WITH YOU – Sanchez – Ness in the 3rd up – maintenance work

Race 4: 1 1/16 Miles – Stalkers, 20% w2w – PP: Outside In

4 – COALVILLE – SIM FAV – super consistent – better EP/FRACTIONS and drops

10 – WATCH HILL – TLRSP# +7 – better ATB and drops

8 – RILEY’S ROCKSTAR – Top PAR+ – SIM SPEED # – tr hits at 24% off the claim

7 – SMOOTH MOTION – good chance to be out on the lead with 2nd best C ZONE – better 5 ways and drops

$0.50 Pick 4: 4,7,8,10/1,9/1,4,6/1,3,6,7

Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Early Speed, 48% w2w – PP: Inside Out

1 – DAVOLA – Big Sim FAV and +6 SIM SP# – Top TOTAL PACE – 2nd place?

9 – DRAKE DRIVE – speed of the speed – Better EP/FRACTIONS drops as Top C ZONE

5 – WHAT IT TIZ – TLRSP# +3 and drops in class

6 – RUN MY CARD – YES Value Horse – 3rd up

$5 Exacta Key Box: 1/5,6,9

Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Early Speed, 48% w2w – PP: Inside Out

1 – COULD BE A COUGAR – could be fast +11 EP pacesetter w/ standout C ZONE as Lone E

4 – MILDOON – TLRSP#+4 -SIM SP# +5 and Top Total Pace in 3rd up

6 – SNAPPY RIDE – Sanchez/Ness in the 3rd up and first off the claim

2 – MENDED WE STAND – tough call over the 5 – more value and longest shot in a 5 horse race

$0.50 Pick 4: 1,4/1,6,7/5,6,8/2,3,5,6,7

Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4+ Similar Discount

7 – MACAW – winner 2/3 at Parx – after coming in from NYRA

6 – BACKSIDE BUZZ – SIM FAV – TLRSP#+3 – Top TOTAL PACE  – Top SIM SP# – 3rd up

1 – NANCY MADE MY DAY – out on the front with the top C ZONE – lone class dropper

3 – DIAMOND HEIST – ITM 6/7 at Parx – out front with the 1 – but distance 4/0-1-0 – upgrade if wet

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,3,6,7

Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4+ Similar Discount

6 – BORRACHO – Strong SIM FAV – Top SIM SP# and Top TOTAL PACE +5  – Ness – Hazelwood again

5 – NUEDORF – lone Class Dropper with better EP – tr Pino 33% drop off the claim

8 – MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT – YES hose with VALUE – run back to Feb 18 does it

7 – CURIOUS SOUL – Pacesetter in the 3rd up – upgrade if it gets wet

$0.50 Pick 4: 5,6/3,3,5,6/3,6,8/1,6,7,10

Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Early Speed, 48% w2w – PP: Inside Out

2 – COCKTAIL HUMOR – SIM FAV – SIM SP#+5 and Top TOTAL PACE +7 – ITM 6/6 at PARX

5 – BAILOUT BILLY – out on the lead with lone C ZONE > 50% – fires off the bench

3 – PERSIAN – TLRSP# +5 – solid works and resume says better in 2nd up.

6 – READY FOR TROUBLE – Ness and Hazelwood again – class and track dropper from NYRA

Race 10: 7 Furlongs – Early Speed, 43% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4+ Discount, Outside Better

6 – PRESENCEISAPRESENT – chance for major improvement in just 3rd start – speed and 1st Lasix

8 – DIVINE SEEKER – TLPRSP# +7 – small improvement in only other 2nd up – great work between races

3 – DIVINE INTENTIONS – likely Pacesetter with the top C ZONE and PAR+ big jump in only other 2nd up

1 – WANNA GO HOME – either of her first two at PARX works – but probably needs the lead

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,3,6,8

Race 11: 7 Furlongs – Early Speed, 43% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4+ Discount, Outside Better

7 – REAL BLUES – 3 SP# Increase – better middle out –

10 – PRAIRIE DUNES – SIM FAV – Top Total Pace +5 – maybe more distance helps

6 – STAR MAN BOB – YES Value Horse with better EP/FRACTIONS – AON 9/2-0-0

1 – SOUTHERN DREAM – YES horse and only class dropper on the hot rail

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,6,7,10

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