Parx Racing features a competitive card today with multiple opportunities to identify hidden value using Smart Sheets. This full-card analysis focuses on uncovering horses that the public may be overlooking by evaluating pace dynamics, positional advantage, and data-driven indicators that consistently produce winners. The approach emphasizes: Horses projected to be forward at the quarter mile Pace control and probability to lead Total Pace and C-Zone advantages Simulated odds compared to the morning line Profile of a Winner indicators by distance, surface, and track condition Special attention is given to identifying horses that may not appear obvious on paper but have a structural advantage within today’s race shape. These are often the types of runners that create separation in multi-race wagers and contest play. This is a data-driven breakdown designed to highlight where races are most likely to be won—and where value may exist—based on how races actually unfold on the track.
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Terry’s Picks
PARX Racing – 4-13-2026
Race 1–
4 – Matzoball Muhammet: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Two Dollar Bill: Drops in class today; Highest last race speed rating; Blinkers added today.
7 – Craigh Na Dun: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
3 – Gentleman Don: A closer so the extra distance can help.
Alternate:
1 – Harrison C
2 – Tap the Devil
Race 2–Female
2 – Samantha’s Capo: Won the last race at PARX Racing; Rail post is winning at a 23% clip Has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Noulikeabook: Won the last race at PARX Racing; Rail post is winning at a 23% clip; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Golden Chakra: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer; Lasix added.
Longshot:
3 – Soundsmischievous: Ran 2nd in last race as the favorite but has high % winning trainer wins 19% of the races when bringing beaten favorite back; Can go the distance.
Alternate:
4 – Breezefromtheeast
6 – Maddie’s Garden
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,5/1,2,5,7/5,6/3,5,6 – Cost $48.00
Race 3-Female
1 – Thisgirlsgotchill: Finished 3rd vs similar in only start; Rail post is winning at 23% clip; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
5 – South Boundary: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race in last two races; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
2 – Little Bohemia: First time starter whose Dam has 2 winners from 2 starters; Breeding suits today’s sprint distance; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Miss Mo Town: First time starter; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Polar Magic
3 – Mischief Storm
Race 4-
5 – Light My Way: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 78% of the races, winning 33% of the starts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Union Express: Won the last race at PARX Racing; Highest last race speed rating; Highest speed figure at today’s distance Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Modica: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Can go the distance.
Longshot:
1 – Riley’s Rockstar: Won the last race at PARX Racing; Rail post is winning at a 29% clip; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
Alternate:
2 – Praetorian Guard
3 – Run Cory Run
$.50 Pick 4: 5,6/3,5,6/2,3,4,6/4,5,6,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 5-Female
5 – Mighty Lindsey: Ran 3rd in last race as the favorite but has high % winning trainer wins 31% of the races when bringing beaten favorite back; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – The Beach Goes On: Finished in the money in the last 3 starts, winning 1 race; Has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
3 – Alyvia Mavis: Finished in the money in the last 3 races out of 5 starts, winning 1 race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
Longshot:
4 – Ourdaydreamingmiss: Won the last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Tiptop
1 – Give Her Another
Race 6-
6 – Mon Cher Amour: Finished 3rd vs similar in only start after being Bumped and steading at the start; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Dreaming of Bella: Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Drops in class today; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
2 – Courageous Fergie: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
3 – Midwest Princess: Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Honorisia
Race -7-
6 – Spherification: Won only start at PARX Racing; Switches to a high % jockey; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-route-sprint.
5 – Rocket Night: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race at PARX Racing; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Strong trainer and jockey stats.
4 – We Miss Neil: Drops in class today; Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance will help; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
9 – Saucy Ham: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Can improve while returning to a sprint.
Alternate:
7 – Pastero
2 – Redoubtableripken
$.50 Pick 4: 4,5,6,9/4,5/1,3/1,3,4,5,6,9 – Cost $48.00
Race-8-
4 – Imperial Spy: Finished in the money in the last 6 starts, winning the last race; Has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Play the Gray: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest last race speed rating; Likes the distance.
2 – Week’s Strong: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race at PARX Racing; Strong jockey stats.
Longshot:
1 – It’s Authentic: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Rail post is winning at a 22% clip.
Alternate:
8 – Shallus
3 – Real Men Violin
Race 9-Female
1 – Halo Hottie: Finished in the money in the last 3 races out of 5 career starts, winning 1 race; Can go the distance.
3 – Eye Candy Warrior: Finished 3rd in last race; Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance is a plus; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
5 – Ranting and Raving: Won the last race at PARX Racing; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Strong trainer and jockey stats.
Longshot:
2 – Courage On Tap: Won 1 of last 3 races at PARX Racing, placed in another; Drops in class; Trainer wins 25% when using first-time Lasix.
Alternate:
4 – Spoonbill
6 – Lotta Alpha
Bet: $20.00 Win: 1 – $10.00 Exacta Box:1/3 – $10.00 Exacta: 1/2,3,5 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 1,3,5
Race 10-Female
4 – Paddy’s Gift: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest last race speed rating (tie); Has a high % winning trainer.
1 – Channel Loop: Won the last race at PARX Racing; Rail post is winning at a 21% clip; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-route-sprint.
9 – Toxic Girl: Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Queen Catalina: Won the last race at PARX Racing; Can go the distance.
Alternate:
6 – Downanddirtydonna
3 – She Can Scat
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race – #1 – Halo Hottie
Rich’s Picks
Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Inside Out
4 – MATZOBALL MUHAMMET – tries to control the pace as a YES horse
5 – TWO DOLLAR BILL – the other YES horse the faces lighter company in 2nd up
6 – FOIL – most upside potential in just the 4th race
7 – CRAIGH NA DUN – 0-24 so far – some early and late improvement last out
Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – SOUNDSMISCHIEVOUS – Lone YES that could dominate if she runs to potential
5 – GOLDEN CHAKRA – only Class Dopper that tries to stay out front with top C ZONE
1 – NOULIKEABOOK – not sure any can beat her if she can rerun her last 6 ½ f time
2 – SAMANTHA’S CAPO – Pino and Sanchez never finished OTM in 5 starts (DQd 1x)
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,5/1,5,7/2,4,5,6/5,6
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Inside Out
1 – THISGIRLSGOTCHILL – 2nd race upside can put her past PAR
5 – SOUTH BOUNDARY – considerably better than the rest of the experienced horses
7 – MISS MO TOWN – top rated 1ster versus all noes and 1 maybe
2 – LITTLE BOHEMIA – 2nd rated 1st timer and Kendrick comes to ride
Race 4: 1 Mile – Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside Out and 8+ None
5 – LIGHT MY WAY – will try to dominate early and go w2w with a length TOTAL PACE edge
6 – UNION EXPRESS – 3SP# Increases and smoked to a +12 Speed Number edge last out
4 – MODICA – most likely to get a trip that suits with standout C ZONE
2 – PRAETORIAN GUARD – is hoping for a pace meltdown with dominating late speed
$0.50 Pick 4: 4,5,6/5,6/1,2,4,6/1,5,6,9
Race 5: 7 Furlongs – Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Advantage, 4+ Similar Discount
6 – THE BEACH GOES ON – been off for more than a year but PARX works say she is ready
5 – MIGHTY LINDSEY – ss long as she starts well another strong Ness/Sanchez runner
2 – TIPTOP – very likely pacesetter and room to grow in 2nd up
1 – GIVE HER ANOTHER – history says she will pop in the second start after a layoff
Race 6: 1 Mile – Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside Out and 8+ None
2 – COURAGEOUS FERGIE – rerun her last race and it might not be close
4 – DREAMING OF BELLA – MSW dropper that could dominate from start to finish
6 – MON CHER AMOUR – 2nd race upside and bettors believed in debut as 2-1 Fav
1 – HONORISIA – better early fractions and pace and adds to the drop list
$5 Exacta Key Box: 2/1,4,6
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Advantage, 4+ Similar Discount
5 – ROCKET NIGHT – could find running a little less distance to his liking in 2nd up
6 – SPHERIFICATION – high upside for a one race winner with Top TOTAL PACE +6
9 – SAUCY HAM – pretty much runs the same race over and over – won’t beat himself
1 – CHASE A DREAM – only horse to show race over race improvement and should do more in the second off the sidelines
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,5,6,9/1,2,5,8/1,5/1,4,6
Race 8: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Discount, 4+ Same Small Bonus
5 – PLAY THE GRAY – better from gate to wire in late with a few solid works since
8 – SHALLUS – chaos race and this one is coming off a dominating win at Penn?
1 – IT’S AUTHENTIC – the rail is too strong to overlook for a consistent performer
2 – WEEK’S STRONG – left arrow horse that could challenge the pace and closes
$5 Exacta Key Box: 5/1,2,4,8
Race 9: 1 Mile – Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside Out and 8+ None
1 – HALO HOTTIE – the rail is hot and just missed in last – 1st Lasix is extra juice today
5 – RANTING AND RAVING – not a ton of early speed and get out to the front with length TP
2 – COURAGE ON TAP – been in against better with lethal combo of EP and 1st Lasix
3 – EYE CANDY WARRIOR – going to catch some backing but I am not the biggest fan of Penn Shippers
Race 10: 7 Furlongs – Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Advantage, 4+ Similar Discount
4 – PADDY’S GIFT – only horse to show more start to finish – should over more in 2nd up
6 – DOWNANDDIRTYDONNA – C ZONE says he should get a great trip and offers value
1 – CHANNEL LOOP – rail is the place to be and mopped the comp in her last
9 – TOXIC GIRL – logical that she can take to PARX better in her 2nd Bensalem try
$5 Exacta Key Box: 4/1,6,9
