Parx Racing features a competitive card today with multiple races presenting upset potential and value opportunities. This full-card analysis uses Smart Sheets to identify where the public may be mispricing horses by focusing on pace dynamics, positional advantage, and proven data-driven indicators. Today’s breakdown emphasizes: Horses most likely to be forward at the quarter mile Pace control and probability to lead Total Pace and C-Zone advantages Simulated odds compared to the morning line Profile of a Winner indicators by distance, surface, and track condition Special attention is given to identifying races where favorites may be vulnerable and where overlooked contenders have a structural advantage based on race shape. These scenarios often create separation in multi-race wagers, contest play, and value-focused strategies. This is a data-driven approach designed to highlight not just who can win—but how races are most likely to be won based on positioning, pace, and value.
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Terry’s Picks
PARX Racing – 4-14-2026
Race 1–Female
7 – Thegoddessofsnakes: Closer with top recent speed; Drops in class; Highest last race speed rating and fastest dirt speed among today’s starters.
3 – Obstinate: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
4 – Zoning Order: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Classy Miss: 3rd last time vs similar; top speed at this distance.
Alternate:
1 – Girlfromouterspace
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,4,6,7/1,2,3,4/2,4/2,4 – Cost $48.00
Race 2–Female
2 – Wild Girl: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
3 – Faytastic: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Highest last race speed rating; Has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Shudabeenacowgirl: Rail post is winning at 23% clip; Finished 3rd vs similar in last race.
Longshot:
4 – Azure Lady: A closer so the additional distance will help.
Alternate:
6 – Mikey’s Song
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,4/1,2,3,4/2/1,2,3,4,6,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 3-
4 – Alastar: Highest last race speed rating (tie); Has a high % winning trainer and jockey and this combo in last 14 days (13 4-3-2).
2 – Penn Franklin: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Arch Competitor: Rail post is winning at a 22% clip; Has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
3 – Very Bad Guy: Finished 3rd in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5- Magic Bay
6- Slew of Fortune
Race 4-
2 – Brave Blend: Fastest dirt speed among today’s starters; trained by a 17% route-to-sprint winner; high-percentage winning jockey.
4 – Reelin N Dealin: Winning jockey; dirt speed near average; can handle the distance.
1 – Keeping the Faith: Rail post is winning at 23% clip; Has a trainer who wins 17% of the Sprint races Has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Southern Dream: Finished 3rd in last race; Has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3- Mr. Mendelssohn
5 – Badbadbobby
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,4,6/1,2,4,7/5,7/1,3,5 – Cost $48.00
Race 5-
7 – Lucky Capo: Placed in 3 of last 4 races at PARX, drops in class, has the fastest dirt speed today, and a high-percentage winning jockey.
2 – Chuck’s Law: Drops in class; Trainer wins 18% of maiden claimers; High % jockey.
4 – Supernova Dream: Finished 3rd in last race; Has a high % winning trainer; Early speed running style helps chances.
Longshot:
1 – Disco Rhodes: Rail post is winning at a 23% clip; Drops in class today.
Alternate:
3- Point Barrow
Race -6-Female
7 – More Ransom: Has won her last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
5 – Peach Perfect: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Center Stage: Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Good 4F workout (Apr-07).
Longshot:
3 – Racey Ruby: Won last race; Highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Alternate:
2 – Date Night Kisses
4 – Volatility
$.50 Pick 4: 5,7/1,3,5,6,8/3,4/1,7,9,10,13 – Cost $50.00
Race 7-
3 – Sittin Chilly: Ran 2nd in last race; Highest last race speed rating; Strong jockey stats.
5 – Munyhungry: Drops in class today; Has a trainer who wins 17% of the sprints; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Sergeant Sinatra: Rail post is winning at a 20% clip; Has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Fastidious: Has a high % winning jockey; Can go the distance.
Alternate:
6 – Drake Drive
4 – Tiz the Coast
Race-8-Female
4 – Pachelbel: Performs well at PARX Racing, finishing in the money 78% of the time and winning 29%. Handles this distance with 91% in the money and 36% wins.
3 – Irish Maxima: Won last race at Aqueduct; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races when shipping in; Has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Jeanne Marie: Finished in the money in the 8 races out of the last 10 starts, winning 2 race; Has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Sweet Laura: Won last race at Aqueduct; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Eclair Blanc
2 – Beach Daze
Bet: $20.00 Win: 4 – $10.00 Exacta Box:3/4 – $10.00 Exacta: 4/3,5,6 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 3,4,5
Race 9-
9 – Amity Road: Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Drops in class today.
10 – Roan Burgundy: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer.
13 – Majestic Tiger: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Liberty Runner: Rail post is winning at a 21% clip; Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Good 4F workout (Apr-08).
Alternate:
7 – This Run’s for You
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #4 – Pachelbel
Rich’s Picks
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Discount, 4+ Same Small Bonus
3 – OBSTINATE – should be part of the early pace and best chance to run a par race
4 – ZONING ORDER – YES horse with the 3 and going back to a route helps
7 – THEGODDESSOFSNAKES – drops in class and was better from the middle out
6 – CLASSY MISS – top TOTAL PACE of more than a length as strongest closer – but speed is usually the way
$1 Pick 4: 3,4/1,2,3/2,3,4/2,3
Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – FAYTASTIC – 4 SP# increases including the TLRSP# by 6 points – same race = Win
2 – WILD GIRL – left arrow horse – closer that could have the lead here and drops
1 – SHUDABEENACOWGIRL – another that’s upped her speed figure in the last 4
4 – AZURE LADY – has a good chance to run her race with a top two C ZONE
6 – MIKEY’S SONG
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3/2,3,4/2,3/1,2,3,7,8
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Early Speed, 46% w2w – PP: Inside Out
2 – PENN FRANKLIN – closest to PAR of the bunch and only to improve EP/Fractions
4 – ALASTAR – Duo of Sanchez and Pino on the second up and drops
3 – VERY BAD GUY – finally healthy lone E type making 2 starts in a row for the 1st time
1 – ARCH COMPETITOR – tough call over the 5 – but strong rail and most likely to get the best trip
$5 Exacta Key Box: 2/1,3,4
Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Inside Out
2 – BRAVE BLEND – going to be heavily bet – one of those PARX horses – 2nd place?
3 – MR. MENDELSSOHN – value LONE E type and only with better EP/FRACTIONS
4 – REELIN N DEALIN – solid late pace edge and drops in class
1 – KEEPING THE FAITH – has some flexibility as a PC runner and should get a good trip
$1 Pick 4: 2,3/7,8/5,6,7/3,5,6
Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Inside Out
7 – LUCKY CAPO – one of two Par YES horses with by far best chance to run his race
8 – QUICK TO JUDGE – the other Par YES horse that ran highest last speed figure +9
2 – CHUCK’S LAW – should improve in his second run at PARX after track dropping
1 – DISCO RHODES – was decently bet in his debut – could pop in 2nd career start
$0.50 Trifecta: 7,8/1,2,7,8/ALL
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Discount, 4+ Same Small Bonus
6 – CENTER STAGE – grades out as an even money SIM FAV with top C ZONE – you’ll get better odds than that because of the 7 horse
7 – MORE RANSOM – chaos race – TLRSP#+ 3 and you get Ness/Hazelwood
5 – PEACH PERFECT – my chubby blonde girlfriend – yellow lab – strongest closer in 3rd up
3 – RACEY RUBY – tends to pair or triple peak races – did that last out
$0.50 Pick 4: 6,7/3,5,6/3,4,5/1,4,7,9,10
Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs – Stalkers, 40% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Struggle, 4-7 Smal Bonus, 8+ Best
3 – SITTIN CHILLY – ran the TLRSP#+ 9 and still has upside
5 – MUNYHUNGRY – the only PAR YES horse in the race – no choice but to take
6 – DRAKE DRIVE – out on the lead with a strong chance to get a winning trip
1 – SERGEANT SINATRA – chance to be better in the 3rd up – but not within 10 of the winner in the last 2
$5 Exacta Key Box: 3/1,5,6
Race 8: 7 Furlongs – Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Advantage, 4+ Similar Discount
3 – IRISH MAXIMA – Graded Stakes winner that is 3 for 3 at Parx – won 5 of 6 at the distance
4 – PACHELBEL – triple digit speed figure in last – cutting back in distance helps
5 – JEANNE MARIE – Grades out as SIM FAV and has a total pace edge of almost 2 lengths
6 – SWEET LAURA – Snachez/Ness with 3 SP# increase – just not as much upside as top 3
Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Discount, 4+ Same Small Bonus
9 – AMITY ROAD – bet chance to hit PAR in the race – 3rd up bonce back potential
7 – THIS RUN’S FOR YOU – Tops the Smart Sheet lists in 3 important categories – SIM FAV, SIM SPEEP # and Top TOTAL PACE
10 – ROAN BURGUNDY – most consistent runner in the race
1 – LIBERTY RUNNER – only horse to be better from start to finish in his last with TLRSP#+3
$0.50 Trifecta: 7,9,10/1,7,9,10/1,4,7,9,10,13
