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Parx Racing Picks & Analysis: Smart Sheets, Bias Insights, and Rich’s Winning Strategy for Every Race

It’s another fast and furious afternoon at Parx Racing, and Rich is rolling solo with a full 10-race card loaded with value plays, pace advantages, and bias insights. The Smart Sheets point to a clear edge for early speed, but several races feature powerful closers ready to pounce when the pace collapses. Using TLRSP# ratings, C-ZONE indicators, and track bias data, Rich’s Parx Ranks highlight which horses are best positioned to win, place, or deliver double and Pick-4 value. Whether you’re building tickets or tracking trends, today’s card has opportunity written all over it.

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Terry’s Picks

PARX Racing – 10-27-2025

Race 1

1 – Get Like Mike: Finished second as the favorite last time, now joins a trainer with a 35%-win rate when racing beaten favorites. The rail post wins 19%, and he rides with a high-percentage jockey.

7 – Prime Motive: Finished 2nd at PARX Racing; highest last race speed rating; has a trainer with a 22%-win rate in claiming races and an accomplished jockey.

2 – River’s Gamble: Throw out last race as he got a terrible start after being squeezed at the start, winning the previous start; Highest speed figure at today’s distance.

Longshot:

4 – Just Be Honest: Finished in the money in 2 races out of the last 3 starts, winning 1 of the starts and has a high-percent trainer who wins 35% of the claiming races.

Alternate:

8 – Artwell

3 – Vin Santo

Race 2

2 – Wiffleball: Ran second as favorite last time, but has a trainer winning 33% of comeback races, plus a top jockey and a sharp 4F workout (Oct-16).

6 – Trulli Warrior: Won last race at PARX and is trained and ridden by high-percentage connections.

3 – Reelin N Dealin: Ran 2nd in last race and has a top-winning jockey.

Longshot:

1 – Lex: He Has a top-winning trainer and jockey and should improve at the shorter distance.

Alternate:

4 – Captain Fancy

5 – Friday Surprise

$.50 Pick 4:1,2,3,4,6/1,2,3,4,6/1,2,3,4/4 – Cost $50.00  

Race 3-Female

6 – Ambessa: Drops in class today; Well bet in debut and gets a leading jockey.

3 – Astrid: Drops in class today and has the best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

1 – Rest Ashore: Drops in two-classes today for a trainer who wins 33% of these races; longer distance may benefit.

Longshot:

4 – In the Biz: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race, has a trainer who wins 18% of horses1st time at a route and high % winning jockey.

Alternate:

2 – Solemn Beauty

Race 4Female

2 – Captain Whiner: She ran 3rd in her last race as the favorite but switches to a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, paired with leading jockey.

1 – Boutwell Time: Rail post is winning at 20% clip; Drops in class today and has a trainer who wins 18% of the sprint races.

4 – Butter Kisses: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race and gets a leading trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

3 – Sweet Distraction: Won last race at PARX Racing; Highest last race speed rating and high % winning trainer.

Alternate:

5 – Angel Mesa

6 – Kate’s Love

$.50 Pick 4:1,2,3,4/1,4,5,7/3,5,6/4,9 – Cost $48.00

Race 5

4 – Cojelo Pa Ti: Finished 3rd in last race and has a top-winning trainer and jockey.

7 – Lucchesi: Won last race at PARX Racing; Highest last race speed rating and is trained and ridden by high-percentage connections.

1 – Banjo: Ran 2nd vs similar (on Turf) in last race, improve while returning to dirt and has a top-winning trainer.

Longshot:

5 – Chineseiam: Finished 3rd in last race, early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance will be a plus and has a top-winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

3 – Tojo’s Mojo

2 – Solo in Paris

Race 6

6 – Hey River: Ran 2nd in last race at PARX Racing; has a top trainer and likes today’s distance.

5 – Preach It Warrior: Finished 3rd in last race and has a high-percent trainer.

3 – Fully Committed: Won last race at PARX Racing and has a high-percent trainer who wins 20% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse.

Longshot:

1 – Modern Era: Rail post is winning at a 19% clip and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.

Alternate:

2 – Auden

4 – Pontiac

Race 7

4 – Musical Heart: Placed in 4 of last 6 starts, including 2 wins; trained by a trainer with a 31%-win rate after a horse has a long layoff; owns the top dirt speed among today’s runners and is teamed with successful connections.

9 – Full Irish: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.

8 – Hot Rod Rumble: Finished in the money in 3 races out of 4 starts and has a high-percent trainer.

Longshot:

3 – Rabbit: He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 43% of the races, winning 13% of the starts and distance will not be a problem as she has finished in the money in 57% of the races, winning 29% of the starts.

Alternate:

1 – Midnight Getaway

$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,4,8,9/1,5/7,8/2,3,7,10,11 – Cost $50.00

Race 8

1 – Houlton: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Has a high-percent trainer who wins 23% of the in claiming races and switches to a high % winning jockey.

5 – Tuskegee Airmen: Drops in class today; trainer and jockey have high win rates and has a good 4F workout (Oct-16).

3 – Margin of Air: Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a high-percent trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

4 – Concealed Carry: Drops in class today and has a high-percent trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

6 – Hoku

2 – Expensive Cut

Bet: $20.00 Win: 1 – $10.00 – Exacta Box: 1,5 – $10.00 Exacta:1/3,4,5 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 1,3,5

Race 9

8 – Chachaching: Finished in the money in the last 4 races, winning 3 starts, has the highest last race speed rating and has a high-percent trainer and jockey.

7 – Have You Heard: Won last race at Aqueduct and likes today’s distance.

6 – Call Me Fast: Class drop today; has top dirt speed, a winning trainer and jockey, and a solid 4F workout on Oct-15.

Longshot:

4 – Mad Banker: He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a bullet 4F workout (Oct-07).

Alternate:

5 – He’s Got Swagger

Race 10-Female

10 – Gotmistyonthemind: Finished in the money in both career starts, finishing 2nd in her last race; jockey has a strong win rate.

7 – Candothis: Drops in class today; was the beaten favorite last time but has a trainer with a 25%-win rate when returning beaten favorites. Shows the fastest dirt speed in this field and gets a top jockey.

11 – Gruene Hall: Drops in class today; trainer wins 23% of races with class drops and jockey has a strong win rate. Could do better returning to a sprint.

Longshot:

3 – Purple Lu Lu: Drops in class today; trainer wins 23% of Maiden Claiming races a horse he trains runs in and jockey has a strong win rate.

Alternate:

2 – Faux Pas

Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #1 – Houlton

Rich’s Picks

Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Small Discount

7 – PRIME MOTIVE – TLRSP#+ 4, SIM FAV and Top Total Pace +8

1 – GET LIKE MIKE – steady performer, decent works prepping for 1st up

2 – RIVER’S GAMBLE – toss last – should be coming late

8 – ARTWELL – good chance to be out front – better in 2nd up with 2 maintenance works

$5 Double: 7/2

Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Rail Strong, 2/3 Better, 4+ Same Discount

2 – WIFFLEBALL – heavy SIM FAV with Top Total Pace +7

6 – TRULLI WARRIOR – better pace from start to finish

5 – FRIDAY SURPRISE – fairly big drop in class from the Grade II Galant Bob Stakes

3 – REELIN N DEALIN – popped in last – could be in danger of regression – better 5 ways and cutting back in distance can help

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,6/2,3/2,4,6/ALL

$10 Win: 2

Race 3: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Best, 8+ Fair

2 – SOLEMN BEAUTY – YES – biggest MSW dropper and SIM FAV – Track Dropper

3 – ASTRID – could be on the least and Top Total Pace +7

6 – AMBESSA – decently bet in debut – didn’t do much – maybe some second race upside

1 – REST ASHORE – track dropper – has some EP – we’ll see if she can hang on

$10 Win: 2

Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Big Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair

2 – CAPTAIN WHINER – SIM FAV – resume says 3rd up could be the best – 2 works

4 – BUTTER KISSES – tough race in last – move inside should help – will roll late

6 – KATE’S LOVE – could be on the lead by herself and does best when she is forward

5 – ANGEL MESA – boom or bust in 2nd up – was better from the middle out in last

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,4,6/1,4,7/3,5,6/4,8,9

Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Rail Strong, 2/3 Better, 4+ Same Discount

4 – COJELO PA TI – Better ATB in last – best published work between races

1 – BANJO – as consistent as they come and should be forward

7 – LUCCHESI – both wins in 5 Parx races at – no wins in 12 elsewhere – horse for the course

5 – CHINESEIAM – just missed in last and cuts back in distance, which could help

Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Small Discount

3 – FULLY COMMITTED – TLRSP#+5 – biggest in race edge +6 LP and +15 Top Total Pace

5 – PREACH IT WARRIOR – much better ATB in last – better fractions too – more in 3rd up –best C ZONE

6 – HEY RIVER – better ATB in last – should be involved from gate to wire

4 – PONTIAC – the other YES horse with the 3 – could be LONE E with the lead

$10 Win: 3

Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Rail Strong, 2/3 Better, 4+ Same Discount

9 – FULL IRISH – YES horse that could be close to the lead and has the most LP

4 – MUSICAL HEART – another YES horse – ITM 7/9 at the distance with 4 wins

8 – HOT ROD RUMBLE – 3rd up and resumes says a bounce back race is coming

3 – RABBIT – the last of the YES horses – 1st up record in questionable

$0.50 Pick 4: 3,4,8,9/1,3/4,6,7,8/7,10,11

Race 8: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Best, 8+ Fair

1 – HOULTON – TLRSP# +8 – BIG SIM FAV and by far best PAR+ – Track Dropper?

3 – MARGIN OF AIR – better fractions last out – solid first up with decent works

5 – TUSKEGEE AIRMEN – Sanchez and Ness – can never overlook – Top Total Pace

4 – CONCEALED CARRY – could be Lone E and has a good chance to be pacesetter

Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Small Discount

8 – CHACHACHING – TLRSP#+3 – better EP and Fractions – big win in last – 5/3 at the distance and no wins in 19 at any other

7 – HAVE YOU HEARD – track dropper – off since May but some good works

4 – MAD BANKER – highly consistent performer – decent works for first up since Aug

6 – CALL ME FAST – Sanchez and Ness again – 2nd at Parx after coming in from Toga

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 4,6,7,8

Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Rail Strong, 2/3 Better, 4+ Same Discount

7 – CANDOTHIS – Only YES Horse – Big SIM FAV and Top Total Pace +6

10 – GOTMISTYONTHEMIND – maybe most upside in just 3rd career start – strong C ZONE if she can get to the lead

11 – GRUENE HALL – strong class drop – maybe some problems with shoe repair last out?

3 – PURPLE LU LU – another on a decent sized class drop and the other with a decent C ZONE

$0.50 Trifecta: 7,10,11/3,4,7,10,11/3,4,7,10,11
$4 Exacta Key Box: 7/3,4,10,11

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