Horse Racing Today

Parx Racing Picks & Analysis: Smart Sheets, Bias Insights, and Rich’s Winning Strategy for Every Race

Parx Racing features a 9-race card today, and after connecting on a strong Best Bet yesterday, Terry looks to go back-to-back with another top play. With multiple races offering clear pace advantages and competitive fields, today’s card presents both logical contenders and potential value opportunities. This full-card breakdown uses Smart Sheets to identify: Horses most likely to be forward at the quarter mile Pace control and probability to lead Total Pace and C-Zone advantages Simulated odds compared to the morning line Profile of a Winner indicators based on recent results The focus is on identifying which horses can secure early position and carry that advantage through the stretch, while also highlighting runners that may be overlooked by the public but fit today’s race shape. Can Terry deliver another Best Bet winner? We break down every race and highlight where the best opportunities may exist across today’s Parx card.

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Terry’s Picks

PARX Racing – 4-28-2026

Race 1

3 – Ortho Star: Finished 2nd at PARX Racing; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; high-percentage trainer and jockey.

6 – Face the Facts: Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; high-percentage trainer and jockey.

1 – Atrocious: Won last race; Rail post is winning at a 20% clip.

Longshot:

5 – Authentic Kingdom: Finished in the money in 5 races out of the last 6 starts, winning 2 races; high-percentage trainer; Can go the distance.

Alternate:

2 – Simply Disregarded

4 – Starlord

$.50 Pick 4: 3/2,3,5,6/1,3,4,5/1,2,3,4,5,6– Cost $48.00

Race 2Female

2 – Dale: Has won her last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick; Strong trainer stats.

6 – Ranting and Raving: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

5 – Sea Zest: Won last race at PARX Racing; Highest last race speed rating; Switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

3 – Courageous Fergie: Won last race at PARX Racing; Strong trainer stats.

Alternate:

4 – Give Her Another

$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,5,6/1,3,4,5/4,5/1,5,6 – Cost $48.00 

Race 3-Female

4 – Inamorata: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Longer distance can help.

5 – To Be Loved by You: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest speed figure at today’s distance.

3 – Spanish Girl: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Best Dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed.

Longshot:

1 – Eleanor Rigby: Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race; Rail post is winning at a 28% clip; Drops in class today.

Alternate:

2 – Hard Spice

6 – Sister Marjorie

Race 4-Female

5 – Twisted Halo: Won her debut race at PARX Racing; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Switches to a high % winning jockey.

4 – Nit Witness: Finished in the money in the 7 races out of 10 career starts; Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance is a plus; Strong trainer stats.

3 – Golden Chakra: Finished in the money in all 3 career starts, running 2nd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances the shorter distance will help.

Longshot:

6 – Sandy Girl: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Can handle the distance.

Alternate:

2 – Moon Fleet

$.50 Pick 4: 3,4,5,6/1,4,5,6/3,4/2,4,7 – Cost $48.00  

Race 5-

5 – Our Notion: Ran 2nd in last race; Highest last race speed rating; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

6 – Nomowineforyou: Won last race at PARX Racing; Strong trainer stats; Lasix added.

1 – Marvelous Mo: Finished in the money in the 7 races out of 10 starts at PARX Racing, winning 1 race; Rail post is winning at a 20% clip; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

Longshot:

4 – Starrosso: Won last race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Alternate:

2 – Willisau

3 – We Miss Neil

Race 6-

4 – Halftime Show: Finished in the money in the 3 races out of 3 career starts, winning 2 races; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

3 – Dirty Cash: Runner-up as favorite last time; Trainer wins 25% with beaten favorites returning; The shorter distance will help.

2 – Captain Fancy: Ran 2nd in last race; Highest last race speed rating.

Longshot:

6 – Penn Franklin: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

7 – Real Men Violin

5 – Gavone

$.50 Pick 4: 3,4/1,2,4,7/5,6/1,2,3,4,5,8 – Cost $48.00

Bet: $20.00 Win: 4 – $10.00 Exacta Box:3/4 – $10.00 Exacta: 4/2,3,6 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 2,3,4

Race -7-Female

4 – Pam Pam: Won 4 races out of the last 7 starts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

7 – Tower Twenty-Two: Won 3 races out of the 4 starts at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer; Switches to a high % winning jockey.

2 – Strike a Rose: Won her debut race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

1 – I Can Run: Finished 3rd in last race; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

5 – Songmaker

Race-8-Female

5 – Up N Runnin: Finished in the money in the 8 races out of 20 starts at PARX Racing, winning 1 race; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

6 – Peacefulezfeeling: Won last race at PARX Racing; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

3 – Little Cocoa Bean: Performs well at PARX Racing, finishing in the money 45% and winning 27% of races. Handles the distance with a 61% in-the-money rate and 20%-win rate.

Longshot:

1 – Xmas in Cairo: Won last race; Rail post is winning at a 20% clip; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

2 – Maximus Angelicus

7 – Wild Girl

Race 9-

2 – Ragatony: Finished 2nd in his debut race at PARX Racing; Switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey; Good 4F workout (Apr-18): Lasix added.

5 – My Military Hero: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Trainer has high win rate.

1 – Psalmist: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Rail post is winning at 20% clip; Drops in class today; Good 4F workout (Apr-18).

Longshot:

4 – Ghost Army: Finished 4th in last race after trouble at the start; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Alternate:

8 – Onceinawhile

Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 6th Race – #4 – Halftime Show

Rich’s Picks

Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 39% w2w – Inside Out

3 – ORTHO STAR – just missed in last and should be better in 2nd up – Pino and Sanchez

2 – SIMPLY DISREGARDED – to the lead and tries to stay there with top C ZONE

5 – AUTHENTIC KINGDOM – SIM FAV and highly consistent – Parx 9/3-3-0 elsewhere 9/0-1-2

6 – FACE THE FACTS – tough call over the 1 – but more upside

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3,5/3,5/1,3,4,5/2,3,4,5

Race 2: 1 Mile 70 yards – Early Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Discount, 4+ Bonus Outside In

5 – SEA ZEST – Hazelwood – Ness – Track Dropper and +5 TLRSP#

3 – COURAGEOUS FERGIE – Pacesetter – 3SP# increases – Top TOTAL PACE +6

2 – DALE – standout C ZONE – winning but regressing – weird

6 – RANTING AND RAVING – PACO – run back to maiden win 2 back gets er done

$0.50 Pick 4: 3,5/3,4,5/3,5/ALL

Race 3: 1 Mile – Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out – none from 8+

4 – INAMORATA – closest to Par and had some improvement in last

5 – TO BE LOVED BY YOU – only to improve some fractions and pace in a race of dogs

3 – SPANISH GIRL – biggest in race edge of +6 LS

1 – ELEANOR RIGBY – last race was better than it looks – faster by almost 2 seconds

$1 Pick 3: 3,4,5/3,5/1,5,6

Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs – Stalkers, 41% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Small Discount, 8+ Bonus

5 – TWISTED HALO – 2nd race upside way past par – Top TOTAL PACE +16

3 – GOLDEN CHAKRA – speed and should have more stamina in 2nd up

4 – NIT WITNESS – run back to March 23rd race – works – 3rd up – 50/50 bounce back

2 – MOON FLEET – big overlay and top C ZONE

$0.50 Pick 4: 3,5/1,2,5,6/2,3,4,5,7/2,4

Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 39% w2w – Inside Out

1 – MARVELOUS MO – pacesetter with top C ZONE and SIM FAV – by far PAR+

5 – OUR NOTION – Sanchez and Ness – TLRSP# +5 – 3 of his 4 races at Parx work

6 – NOMOWINEFORYOU – speed and 1st time Lasix – Better EP/FRACTIONS in last

2 – WILLISAU – better EP/FRACTIONS and drops – tough call over the 4 – Paco

$5 Exacta Key Box: 1/5,6

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 39% w2w – Inside Out

4 – HALFTIME SHOW  – absolutely crushed his last after coming from TWY – only 4th race

3 – DIRTY CASH –  a neck from winning both starts – 3rd race bounce back potential

2 – CAPTAIN FANCY – TLRSP#+5 – big SP# pop in last – regressed sharply after last peak number

7 – REAL MEN VIOLIN – better EP/FRACTIONS and only dropper – resume says he cycles higher after sings of life

$0.50 Pick 4: 3,4/2,4/1,3,5,6,8/2,4,5,6,7

Race 7: 1 Mile – Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out – none from 8+

2 – STRIKE A ROSE – 2nd race upside way past PAR – track dropper from AQ

4 – PAM PAM – SIM SPEED# average +6 better than the next – huge PAR+ Edge

6 – PRINCESS KALAMOH – should press early and cutting back a little helps

1 – I CAN RUN – biggest class dropper – trying her luck at Parx for the 1st time – Parx works are EH

$5 Exacta Key Box: 2/1,4,6

Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 39% w2w – Inside Out

5 – UP N RUNNIN – SIM SPEED# +6 edge – and biggest in race edge +6 and should be around early too

3 – LITTLE COCOA BEAN – SIM FAV and best PAR+ – Chance to be better in 2nd up

6 – PEACEFULEZFEELING – TLRPS# +7 – 3rd up – regression danger

8 – QUERY – such a big C ZONE edge in 3rd up – have to consider with upside

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 3,5,6,8

Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 39% w2w – Inside Out

4 – GHOST ARMY – 2nd Race Parability and drops

2 – RAGATONY – 2nd Race Parability with 1st Lasix

6 – WHO’S YOUR HATTIE – 1st timer – solid 5f Back Bullet at Parx

7 – COACH BENNETT – only Maybe – overlay that had Better EP/Fractions and drops

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,4,6,7

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