It’s another fast and furious afternoon at Parx Racing, and Rich is rolling solo with a full 10-race card loaded with value plays, pace advantages, and bias insights. The Smart Sheets point to a clear edge for early speed, but several races feature powerful closers ready to pounce when the pace collapses. Using TLRSP# ratings, C-ZONE indicators, and track bias data, Rich’s Parx Ranks highlight which horses are best positioned to win, place, or deliver double and Pick-4 value. Whether you’re building tickets or tracking trends, today’s card has opportunity written all over it.
👉 Download the Smart Sheets for in-depth data and pace insights.
https://horseracingtoday.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/PARX-10-14-25.pdf
Smart Sheets Explanations
https://horseracingtoday.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/Data-Sheet-Explanations.pdf
👉 Like what we do? You can support the show through the Tip Jar — it keeps us producing daily analysis and picks!
https://www.paypal.com/donate/?hosted_button_id=7EY3A57YHD44J
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Finger Lakes – https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt
Terry’s Picks
PARX Racing – 10-28-2025
Race 1
6 – Nostalgia’s Smile: Finished in the money the last 4 starts, winning 2 of the starts, now joins a trainer with a 35%-win rate when racing beaten favorites. The rail post wins 19%, and she rides with a high-percentage jockey.
9 – Probationer: Finished in the money in 4 races of the last 6 starts, winning 3 of the starts and is trained and ridden by high-percentage connections.
12 – Coach Knight: Finished 3rd in last race and has a high-percent winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Cassation: Finished 3rd (on Turf) in last race, can improve while returning to a sprint and has a trainer who wins 21% of the races when taking a horse from turf to dirt.
Alternate:
11 – Guaio
Race 2
8 – A Votre Sante: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race, has the highest last race speed rating, and has a high-percent winning trainer and jockey.
10 – Soar Richard: Finished second against stronger last time; has early speed and benefits from the shorter distance. Trainer wins 30% of first races after claiming a horse.
7 – Deportivo: He has a high-percent winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Prairie Dunes: Drops in class today; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; He has a top-winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
9 – Fastidious
$.50 Pick 4:3,7,8,9,10/4,7/1,2/1,5,6,8,9 – Cost $50.00
Race 3
7 – Nuedorf: He has won his last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Gun It: Finished in the money in 4 races of the last 5 starts, winning 2 of the starts, drops in class today and is trained by high-percentage winning trainer.
1 – Guaponess: He ran 2nd vs similar in last race and the rail post is winning at a18% clip.
Longshot:
5 – Capital Conquest: He can improve in 2nd start since layoff, and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Grouch
Race 4
2 – If I Were You: Ran second as favorite last time but has a trainer winning 25% of comeback races by returning beaten favorites, plus a top jockey and best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
1 – Kevin’s Strike: Winner of last race at PARX; top speed at today’s distance; shares best dirt speed among starters; boasts strong trainer and jockey combo.
6 – Redoubtableripken: Ran 3rd in last race winning the prior race and has a top-winning trainer.
Longshot:
9 – Standpoint: He won last race, switches to a top-winning jockey and can go the distance.
Alternate:
7 – King Deivys
8 – Spit the Bit
$.50 Pick 4:1,2,6,9/1,6,8/2,7/2,4,5,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
6 – Island Spirit: Has a top-winning jockey; can improve while returning to dirt and can improve while returning to a sprint.
8 – Irish Tenor: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Maliblue: Rail post is winning at a 29% clip and Drops in class today.
Longshot:
9 – Planet: Has a top-winning trainer and his best dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed.
Alternate:
5 – Wyatt Hunter
Race 6
7 – B B Bad: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); boasts strong trainer and jockey combo and has a bullet 3F workout (Oct-22).
2 – Lucky Dude: He won last race; Highest last race speed rating and has a high-percentage winning trainer.
5 – Neigh Dude: Won last race at PARX Racing and has a high-percent winning trainer and jockey and likes the distance.
Longshot:
4 – Hatch: Drops in class today and has a high-percent winning trainer and jockey and likes the distance.
Alternate:
8 – This Run’s for You
Race 7
5 – Cattin: Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and can handle the distance.
2 – Jayjaydee: Can improve while returning to a route and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
4 – Sailor’s Return: Drops in class today and has a high-percent winning jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Teewinot Pass: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race and can go the distance.
Alternate:
12 – Imaginized
11 – Zippy Gizmo
$.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5,7,12/3,6/1,2,3,5,6/3,4 – Cost $50.00
Race 8
6 – Rhythm ‘n Blues: Ran second as favorite last time but has a trainer winning 26% of comeback races by returning beaten favorites, best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Chowser: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race and trainer and jockey have high win rates.
4 – Lecanto: Figures to improve while returning to Dirt and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Rickie’s Kin: Ran 3rd in last two races and distance may help.
Race 9
6 – Golden Ice: He has won his last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Latta: Has won 4 races of the last 7 starts, Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Feeling Woozy: Won last race at today’s distance and has a winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Real Sensation: Won last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
3 – Deposition
4 – Praetorian Guard
Race 10
4 – Valenzan Day: Placed in 9 of last 10 races, with 3 wins. Trainer has a 35%-win rate when dropping horses two or more classes, and jockey also boasts a high win percentage.
3 – Amatteroftime: He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 41% of the races, winning 24% of the starts and distance will not be a problem as she has finished in the money in 50% of the races, winning 17% of the starts.
10 – Arak: Finished in the money in 2 races out of the last 3 starts, He has a top-winning trainer and jockey and has a bullet 5F workout (Oct-22).
Longshot:
7 – Wynn Giant: Ran 2nd in last race, drops in class today and can handle the distance.
Alternate:
2 – Greener Pastures
Bet: $20.00 Win: 4 – $10.00 Exacta:4/2,3,7,10 – $5.00 Exacta Key Box: 4/2,3,7,10
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 10th Race – #4 – Valenzan Day
Rich’s Picks
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Rail Strong, 2/3 Better, 4+ Same Discount
6 – NOSTALGIA’S SMILE – missed by a head in last and 1st at Parx – solid work & more upside
9 – PROBATIONER – dropping in class and cutting in distance helps
12 – COACH KNIGHT – the right distance 2/0-1-1 – has shown EP and LP – needs to put them together
11 – GUAIO – the other YES horse with the 6 – Z Pattern and catches a weight break today
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 6,9,11,12
Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 48% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair
8 – A VOTRE SANTE – TLRSP#+8 and Top Total Pace – could regress a little in 2nd up
10 – SOAR RICHARD – showed EP in his last – 1st at Parx after track dropping
1 – STILLWATER MOON – could be his best in 3rd up – a little better pace and fractions
7 – DEPORTIVO – some speed and fade in 1st up – more stamina in round 2
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,7,8,10/4,7/1,2,5,6/1,3,8
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Rail Strong, 2/3 Better, 4+ Same Discount
4 – GUN IT – track dropper for Jamie Ness – strong Parx works
7 – NUEDORF – could be forward with a good C ZONE – either of the last 2 would do
1 – GUAPONESS – tough call over the 5, better 5 ways
5 – CAPITAL CONQUEST – YES horse and could be longest shot in 5 horse race
$8 Win: 4
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Small Discount
6 – REDOUBTABLERIPKEN – could be forward and does his best work out there
1 – KEVIN’S STRIKE – TLRSP# +9 – lone other 3rd up was shaky
2 – IF I WERE YOU – 1st try at PARX and will be closing with biggest in race edge of a length
5 – HERO’S SPIRIT – a flyer – 1st time making 3 starts in a row – pacesetter and top C ZONE
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,2,6,5/1,3,8/2,5/2,4,5,7
$5 Exacta Key Box: 6/1,2,5,8
Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 48% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair
8 – IRISH TENOR – TLRSP#+4 and Top Total Pace + 1 ½ lengths – SIM FAV
3 – ADDYSON’S DREAM – could be forward with top C ZONE
1 – MALIBLUE – got to take the rail edge vs the rest that are filled with holes
4 – AVES MAKIN’ WAVES – sings of life in last – ITM 7/12 at the distance – by far best
$5 Exacta Key Box: 8/1,3,4,6
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Rail Strong, 2/3 Better, 4+ Same Discount
2 – LUCKY DUDE – 3SP# increases with TLRPS#+ 8 – SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE
5 – NEIGH DUDE – left arrow PC type that could be on the lead
7 – B B BAD – most consistent in the race – has shown stakes level LP before
4 – HATCH – Ness with Silvera on a track dropper with decent works
Race 7: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Small Discount
4 – SAILOR’S RETURN – lone class dropper that popped in last – pairs up good efforts
2 – JAYJAYDEE – wide last time out – move to the inside should benefit
5 – CATTIN – could be on the lead in 2nd Parx race after coming up from Florida
7 – TEEWINOT PASS – the last of the YES horses – so you know he can do it
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5/6,7/1,2,4,5,6/1,4,7
Race 8: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Best, 8+ Fair
6 – RHYTHM ‘N BLUES – only YES horse – better EP and Fractions – TLRSP# +11 in last 2
7 – RICKIE’S KIN – could get out to the lead and stay there
3 – CHOWSER – highly consistent MSW dropper
4 – LECANTO – one of them has to be 4th of 4 – why not the 4?
Race 9: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Best, 8+ fair
5 – LATTA – PC type that should be forward – PARX 4/3-0-1
6 – GOLDEN ICE – close to winning 5 of 5 at PARX – bullet work between races
2 – REAL SENSATION – killer LP in last win EZ Parx win in first try at the Bensalem track
1 – FEELING WOOZY – Ness Silvera on the pacesetter that was 5 ways better – Top C ZONE
Race 10: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Small Discount
4 – VALENZAN DAY – TLRSP# +4 – SIM FAV and best Par +
1 – COBBLE ROAD – Lone E with EP edge +11 to ignore for top TP and strong C ZONE
7 – WYNN GIANT – good work, solid first up and high level LS
3 – AMATTEROFTIME – missed by a nose in last and was faster by more than a second
