It’s another fast and furious afternoon at Parx Racing, and Rich is rolling solo with a full 10-race card loaded with value plays, pace advantages, and bias insights. The Smart Sheets point to a clear edge for early speed, but several races feature powerful closers ready to pounce when the pace collapses. Using TLRSP# ratings, C-ZONE indicators, and track bias data, Rich’s Parx Ranks highlight which horses are best positioned to win, place, or deliver double and Pick-4 value. Whether you’re building tickets or tracking trends, today’s card has opportunity written all over it.
👉 Download the Smart Sheets for in-depth data and pace insights.
https://horseracingtoday.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/PARX-10-14-25.pdf
Smart Sheets Explanations
https://horseracingtoday.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/Data-Sheet-Explanations.pdf
👉 Like what we do? You can support the show through the Tip Jar — it keeps us producing daily analysis and picks!
https://www.paypal.com/donate/?hosted_button_id=7EY3A57YHD44J
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Zia Park – https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt
Terry’s Picks
Race 1–Female
4 – Delicate: Strong early speed suits this shorter race; fastest dirt speed today with proven trainer and jockey.
6 – Alyvia’s Girl – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 73% of the races, winning 27% of the starts and she and has a top-winning jockey.
5 – Sofster – She finished 3rd vs similar in last race and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the claiming races he has a horse running in.
Longshot:
2 – Spirited Rid – She has a high % winning trainer and can go the distance
Alternate:
3 – Charm of the Song
Race 2
7 – Desert Aire: Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race; Highest last race speed rating and drops in class today.
3 – Winning Song: Finished 4th as favorite last time, but her trainer wins 27% with returning beaten favorites. She’s proven at this distance.
2 – Carry Grant: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race and best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
4 – No More Sins: Drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Changing the Karma
6 – Fast N Sweet
$.50 Pick 4:3,7/1,2,3,5,6/1,6/1,2,3,4,5 – Cost $50.00
Race 3
1 – It’s Authentic: 2nd in last race; fastest recent speed rating; trainer wins 30% of second starts after claiming; top dirt speed among today’s entries.
2 – Sunny Magic: Finished 3rd as favorite last time, but her trainer wins 27% with returning beaten favorites and he can improve at the shorter distance.
6 – Pastero: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race and is his trainer wins18% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-sprint-route.
Longshot:
3 – Keeping the Faith: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
5 – Penn Franklin
Race 4
6 – Ortho Star: Finished in the money in his last 4 races, winning the last start at PARX Racing; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) plus a top jockey.
1 – Chris’s Revenge: Winner of last race at PARX; Rail post is winning at a18% clip; best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); boasts strong trainer and jockey combo.
5 – Okie Den Den: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance will help and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Longshot:
3 – Lucchesi: He has won 2 races out of his last 4 starts and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
4 – Twenty One Kid
$.50 Pick 4:1,3,5,6/2,3,4,5/4,8/8,10,11 – Cost $48.00
Race 5-Female
3 – Saint Grace: Slow start last race only missing by 1 length; Drops in class and has a trainer and jockey with strong winning records.
2 – Miss Jones – Highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – It’s a Shore Thing – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – West Side Diva – Won last race at PARX Racing by 10-lenghts and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Hard Spice
Race 6–Female
4 – Megan’s Noel: Finished in the money in 3 races out of her last 4 starts at PARX Racing with 2 wins. Has a trainer with strong winning records and can handle the distance.
8 – Expect to Be Ready – Drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 40% of the races when taking a horse down 2+ classes.
3 – High Heel Warrior – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 47% of the races, winning 24% of the starts and distance will not be a problem as she has finished in the money in 53% of the races, winning 40% of the starts.
Longshot:
7 – Koutoubia: Won last race at Delaware Park and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
6 – Classy Miss
5 – Miss Chamita
Race 7
8 – Union Purrfection: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
10 – Inmortal J: Finished 2nd vs similar in last race and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 50% of the sprint races.
11 – Moving to Kentucky: Placed in 2 of last 3 at PARX Racing, including 1 win. Trained by a proven winner and ridden by a top jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Jackson’s Legacy: His trainer wins 20% of claiming races, and he has the fastest dirt speed among today’s starters with proven stamina.
Alternate:
5 – God Is Life
7 – Big Dosser
$.50 Pick 4: 3,8,10,11/2,4/2,3,4,6/2,5,12 – Cost $48.00
Race 8
4 – Beyondexpectations: Won 2 of 3 races at PARX Racing. Trained by a 23% allowance-winning trainer, has the fastest dirt speed today, and rides with a high-percentage winning jockey.
2 – Quasi Warrior: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances and has a good 4F workout (Oct-28).
3 – Marvelous Mo: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race and has a high preforming trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Mike’s Magic: Drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Authentic Kingdom
1 – Willisau
Bet: $20.00 Win: 4 – $10.00 Exacta Box: 2/4 – $10.00 Exacta:4/2,3,6 – $5.00 Exacta Key Box: 4/2,3,6
Race 9
6 – Factor U and Me In: Finished in the money in 8 races out of her last 10 starts with 3 wins. Has a trainer with strong winning records and can handle the distance.
4 – Harp’s Hot Corner: Last race winner; top speed figure at today’s distance, fastest dirt speed among starters, and has high-percentage trainer and jockey.
2 – Grahmalamadingdong: Won last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
3 – Ninja Prize: Won last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
5 – Action Hero
7 – Rebel Invasion
Race 10-Female
2 – Rama Bama Lana: Won last race at PARX Racing. Drops in class; trainer and jockey have strong records.
12 – Yo Leven: Finished 3rd against tougher last out; top dirt speed in today’s field and rides with a high-percentage winning jockey.
5 – Shudabeenacowgirl – Finished 2nd as favorite last time, but her trainer wins 20% with returning beaten favorites, she has the Highest speed figure at today’s distance and a good 3F workout (Oct-28).
Longshot:
8 – Treasure Peace: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race and has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Melittlefrostgir
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #4 – Beyondexpectations
Rich’s Picks
Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 48% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Fairish, 4+ Discount, 8+ a Little Better
4 – DELICATE – should be out front with a 10 point ES edge
6 – ALYVIA’S GIRL – showed a little better EP and drops
5 – SOFSTER – small Z pattern – PARX 2/0-0-2
2 – SPIRITED RIDE
Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 27% w2w – PP: Outside In
7 – DESERT AIRE – Track Dropper TLRSP#+13 and Top TOTAL PACE +7 and on the lead
2 – CARRY GRANT – much better EP in last – YES horse
3 – WINNING SONG – for sure coming at the end
1 – CHANGING THE KARMA – track dropper? Class dropper
$0.50 Pick 4: 7/1,5/1,5,6/ALL
Race 3: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount
5 – PENN FRANKLIN – out front and biggest class dropper
1 – IT’S AUTHENTIC – only YES Horse and +12 LRSP# – missed by a neck in last
2 – SUNNY MAGIC – weight break and most maybe the most consistent
6 – PASTERO – a little better early and late in last
$5 Exacta Key Box: 5/ALL
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside Out
6 – ORTHO STAR – SIM fav and 1 of 2 YES horses – could be pacesetter – ITM 4/4 at Parx
1 – CHRIS’S REVENGE – YES horse – TLRSP#+3 – won lone race at Parx in his last
5 – OKIE DEN DEN – Top TOTAL PACE – ITM 6/6 at the distance
3 – LUCCHESI – very likely better in the 2nd up
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,5,6/2,3,4,5/2,4,7,8/3,8
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 30% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2+ Almost Fair
5 – IT’S A SHORE THING – pacesetter with +12 Top Total Pace
2 – MISS JONES – SIM FAV that is getting better race to race
3 – SAINT GRACE – PARX 4/1-3-0 and won the only at the distance
4 – WEST SIDE DIVA – maybe the most upside in just 5th start and first time making 2 starts
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 30% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2+ Almost Fair
7 – KOUTOUBIA – trying Parx for the 1st time – any improvement in 2nd up is enough
8 – EXPECT TO BE READY – pacesetter dropping in class off two bad performances – suspicious
4 – MEGAN’S NOEL – consistent at PARX and will be rolling at the end
2 – BUNNY BONUS – SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE – 3SP# increases
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,4,7,8
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount, Inside a Little Better
8 – UNION PURRFECTION – SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE – ITM 6/7 at PARX
3 – JACKSON’S LEGACY – Weight Break and ITM 5/7 at Parx – needs to rebound
10 – INMORTAL J – will be closing at the end – faster by about second in last
4 – FOURTY FOUR – out front with a +6 ES
$0.50 Pick 4: 3,4,8,10,11/2,3,4/4,6/2,5,12
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair
4 – BEYONDEXPECTATIONS – TLRSP# +6 – SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE
2 – QUASI WARRIOR – not a fan of Penn Shippers – but faster in last and a pair of brisk works
3 – MARVELOUS MO – ITM 6/7 at Parx and popped in previous pair of 2nd ups
6 – MIKE’S MAGIC – class dropper – small track drop and fast works
$8 Pick 3: 4/4/2
Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair
4 – HARP’S HOT CORNER – Ness and Sanchez for the 1st time today – 4/4 at the distance
6 – FACTOR U AND ME IN – any of the last 3 would do
2 – GRAHMALAMADINGDONG – heading up the speed figure meter, 3rd up, better ATB
3 – NINJA PRIZE – tough call over the 7 – but consistently better numbers
$5 Exacta Key Box: 4/2,3,6,7
Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside Out
2 – RAMA BAMA LANA – SIM FAV and Top PAR+ won lone Parx race, last out, with ease
12 – YO LEVEN- track dropper with upside and 3rd up
5 – SHUDABEENACOWGIRL – top Total Pace +5 – fairly consistent
3 – MELITTLEFROSTGIRL – tough call over the 9 – but a YES vs a No
