It’s another fast and furious afternoon at Parx Racing, and Rich is rolling solo with a full 10-race card loaded with value plays, pace advantages, and bias insights. The Smart Sheets point to a clear edge for early speed, but several races feature powerful closers ready to pounce when the pace collapses. Using TLRSP# ratings, C-ZONE indicators, and track bias data, Rich’s Parx Ranks highlight which horses are best positioned to win, place, or deliver double and Pick-4 value. Whether you’re building tickets or tracking trends, today’s card has opportunity written all over it.
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Terry’s Picks
PARX Racing – 11-04-2025
Race 1–Female
8 – Reina Mar: Won last race at PARX Racing and has a proven trainer and jockey.
7 – Royal Prado – She likes PARX Racing, winning 40% of the starts and winning 50% of her starts at today’s distance.
2 – Shoopthereitis – She finished 3rd vs similar in last race, she switches to a high % winning jockey and likes the distance.
Longshot:
9 – Lino and Me: She has a high % winning trainer, can improve while returning to a route races and a good 4F workout (Oct-29).
Alternate:
4 – Don’t Post It
3 – Fashionista
Race 2
5 – Monster Max: Finished 3rd vs similar in only start; Highest last race speed rating and a trainer who wins 30% of the races in a horse’s 2nd career race.
4 – Parker Boone: Making his debut; his dam has produced 3 winners from 4 starters, including a stakes winner. The trainer wins 25% with first-time starters and both trainer and jockey have strong win rates.
1 – Grey Bull: Rail post is winning at a 18% clip and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Petey Motto: He has a high % winning jockey, his early speed running style helps chances and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
3 – Top of D Agenda
6 – Global Winner
$.50 Pick 4:1,2,4,5/3,5,6/1,3,4,5/2,6– Cost $48.00
Race 3-Female
6 – Chelsea Wall: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; has a high % winning trainer who wins 40% of the races when dropping a horse down 2+ classes.
3 – Amy Mule – She has won her last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, and she has highest last race speed rating.
5 – Extremely Gruntled: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Girlfromouterspace: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race and she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Race 4
1 – Earl of Dassel: Finished 3rd in last race; Rail post is winning at 19% clip; plus has a top trainer and jockey.
4 – Torpedo Run: Disappointing finish last race after plenty of trouble so I will ignore that race; has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the claiming races.
5 – Ramiel: Has a win out of 3 starts at PARX Racing and early speed running style helps chances.
Longshot:
3 – Unswayed: His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
2 – Dr. Lou
$.50 Pick 4:1,4,5,6/2,6/3,4,6,8/6,7,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 5-
2 – Possum: Won last race at PARX Racing; Highest last race speed rating plus a top trainer.
6 – Face the Facts: Ran 2nd in last race at PARX and has a top jockey.
5 – Real Conviction: He has a high % winning trainer and jockey, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a good 4F workout (Oct-29).
Longshot:
7 – Boys of Summer: He has finished in the money in 5 races out of 7 starts at Parx Racing and he has a trainer who wins 33% of the races when taking a horse from a route to a sprint.
Alternate:
1 – Curious Soul
4 – Altobelli
Race 6
3 – Quaker City: Ran 2nd vs similar in only start as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races when bringing a horse back to race again and switches to a top jockey.
8 – Connor’s Crew: Finished 3rd vs similar in only start; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the Maiden Sp Wt races and switches to a top jockey.
4 – Wave Rider: He has a first-time starter whose Sire wins18% with 1st time Starters; Dam has 4 winners from 6 starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Aussie’s Heir: He is a first-time starter whose Sire wins 17% of the races with 1st time starters; Breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Our Notion
Race 7–Female
9 – Mildoon: Finished 4th last race at 6-1/2f and should benefit from added distance. Trainer wins 22% in the second start after claiming a horse and has a strong trainer-jockey team.
7 – Willow Bend – She has done well in her career finishing in the money in 61% of the races, winning 26% of the starts, drops in class today and she and has a top-winning trainer.
6 – Ambitiously Placed – Finished 3rd as favorite last time, but her trainer wins 35% with returning beaten favorites and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Miles of Smiles: Rail post is winning at 18% clip; May improve at the shorter distances and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Shetalkstomuch
2 – Telephone Line
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,6,7,9/3,5/4,6/1,3,6,10,11 – Cost $50.00
Race 8–Female
5 – Extrasexyzqteepeye: Finished 3rd in last race; Longer distance offers hope for improvement; has a proven trainer and jockey.
3 – Haunting Echoes – Finished 3rd vs similar in only start, highest last race speed rating, best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she and has a top-winning trainer.
6 – Savor It – She finished in the money in 2 races out of 4 career starts, drops in class today switches to a high % winning jockey and has a good 4F workout (Oct-25).
Longshot:
1 – Moon Halory: Rail post is winning at a18% clip and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
2 – Always in Play
Race 9
6 – Group Ticket: Finished in the money in 7 races out of her last 8 starts with 4 wins. Has a trainer and jockey with strong winning records and can handle the distance.
4 – Balantyne: She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 64% of the races, winning 14% of the starts; can handle the distance finishing in the money in 83% of the races, winning 50% of the starts.
5 – Sunday Spirit: Drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Silent Mode: Won last race at PARX Racing, drops in class today and he can go the distance.
Alternate:
3 – Dreaming of Gerry
7 – Time to Cruise
Bet: $20.00 Win: 6 – $10.00 Exacta Box: 4/6 – $10.00 Exacta:6/1,4,5 – $5.00 Exacta Key Box: 6/1,4,5
Race 10-Female
6 – Goldieness: Finished in the money in 6 races out of her last 7 starts with 3 wins, Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance will be a plus.
10 – Emily’s On Fire: Won last race at PARX Racing by 6-lenghts and rides with a high-percentage winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Umbral – She has won her last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, and she has a high-percentage winning trainer.
Longshot:
11 – Bad Temper: She loves running 2nd or 3rd having done that the last 10 starts and likes the distance.
Alternate:
1 – Popover Gal
4 – Creative Copy
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race – #6 – Group Ticket
Rich’s Picks
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 30% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2+ Almost Fair
8 – REINA MAR – YES horse with the biggest in race edge +7 LS – strong C ZONE
7 – ROYAL PRADO – SIM FAV tie Top PAR+ is the biggest class dropper
6 – SUNNY SIDE UP – consistent and should challenge for the lead
10 – YOU KNOW ME – very consistent – ITM 4/7 at Parx – Top TOTAL PACE
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 6,7,8,10
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside Out
4 – PARKER BOONE – first timer vs noes – a few very nice works
5 – MONSTER MAX – 2nd race upside – well bet in debut
1 – GREY BULL – another with 2nd start potential on the strong rail
6 – GLOBAL WINNER – let’s throw in another 1st timer vs noes
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 30% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2+ Almost Fair
6 – CHELSEA WALL – SIM FAV – Top TOTAL PACE +10 – resume says better in 2nd up
3 – AMY MULE – LRSP#+3 – better ATB in last – some regression concerns
5 – EXTREMELY GRUNTLED – got to give the pacesetter a shot
4 – GIRLFROMOUTERSPACE – somebody has to be 4th of 4 why not the 4?
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 30% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2+ Almost Fair
3 – UNSWAYED – Only YES – could be out front by a length – by far best C ZONE – w2w?
1 – EARL OF DASSEL – 3 SP# increases in a row TLRSP#+11 – better EP
5 – RAMIEL – first up with some decent works
4 – TORPEDO RUN – Top Total Pace and will be coming at the end
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,3/1,2,3,6/1,7,8/4,6,7,8
$5 Exacta Key Box: 3/ALL
Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair
6 – FACE THE FACTS finally healthy horse – 2nd start in a row for the 1st time since April
2 – POSSUM – SIM FAV – better ATB and top PAR+ and C ZONE – 2nd up
1 – CURIOUS SOUL – 4 SP# increases in a row – 3rd start after a layoff
3 – A VOTRE SANTE – tried Parx for the first time last out, easy win – Shampoo, wash, rinse, repeat
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside Out
8 – CONNOR’S CREW – YES horse and 2nd race upside way past PAR
7 – SMOKED BOURBON – 1st timer with a back and bullet and go
1 – OUR NOTION – 2nd race upside and goes beyond par
4 – WAVE RIDER – 1st timer ships in from Penn – works are there
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount, Inside a Little Better
7 – WILLOW BEND – Ness and Silvera – biggest class dropper and track drop?
6 – AMBITIOUSLY PLACED – Sanchez and Pino win at an incredible 48% – that’s insane
8 – STASSI – SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE – maybe better in 2nd up with a bullet work
4 – AEGEAN SEA – TLRSP# +3 – should be on the lead – 1st up with quick works
$050 Pick 4: 4,6,7,8/1,3/2,3,5,6/4,6,10
Race 8: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount, Inside a Little Better
3 – HAUNTING ECHOES – YES horse and 2nd race improvement and it’s over
1 – MOON HALORY – finished well behind the 3 in last – but 2nd race upside better than the rest
5 – EXTRASEXYZQTEEPEYE – by far best C ZONE – needs to run back to Sep 19th race
6 – SAVOR IT – moving up the speed ladder
Race 9: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount
6 – GROUP TICKET – Ness and Sanchez – showed elite LP in last
2 – HERMOSO HOMBRE – TLRSP# +8 and SIM FAV – better 5 ways
5 – SUNDAY SPIRIT – left arrow as they come – ITM 12/14 at PARX and better in 3rd up?
3 – DREAMING OF GERRY – NESS win 28% off he the claim – Top Total Pace
$3 Pick 3: 3/6/10
Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside Out
10 – EMILY’S ON FIRE – TLRSP#+5 – Snachez and Pino again – 3rd up
6 – GOLDIENESS – SIM FAV that should be forward
4 – CREATIVE COPY – very consistent – Top Total Pace
1 – POPOVER GAL – the right distance – 7/4-1-0 – just 1 win in 10 at any other
$5 Win: 10
