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Terry’s Picks
PARX Racing – 11-04-2025
Race 1
8 – Rocket Night: Drops in class today; Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race; plus has a top trainer and jockey.
1 – Prairie Dunes: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Rail post is winning at a 19% clip; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Spit the Bit: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; He has a trainer who wins 18% routes he has a horse competing in; Early speed running style helps chances.
Longshot:
5 – Sheer Dominance: Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Irish Tenor
Race 2–Female
4 – Cocktail Humor: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race as the favorite but switches to a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and she has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Act of Faith – Finished 3rd in similar company last time; draws a winning rail post (20%), strong trainer (21% wins in maiden claimers), and a successful jockey.
3 – ‘ll Say No More – Drops in class today has a good jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Supersonic Betty: Finished 2nd in last race and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
6 – Weekend Honor
5 – Tiptop
$.50 Pick 4:1,2,3,4/2,3/2,3,4,6/1,4,5 – Cost $48.00
Race 3-Female
2 – Roman Goddess: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she switches to a high % winning trainer.
3 – Battling Time – Finished in the money 3 races out of the last 4 races; Drops in class today; Highest speed figure at today’s distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Ragtap Girl: Won last race at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Tariba Dream: Has won 2 races out of 4 starts at PARX Racing; Drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Joey the Fish
4 – Alma Brilha
Race 4
6 – Cap’n Cats: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; plus has a top trainer and jockey.
4 – Lucky Capo: Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Scaredy Catness: He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 2 winners from 2 starters, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a bullet 3F workout (Nov-04).
Longshot:
3 – Chubasco Sauce: He is a first-time starter whose high % winning trainer wins 27% of the races with 1st time starters and breeding suits today’s sprint distance.
Alternate:
1 – Rag Mama Rag
5 – Gavone
$.50 Pick 4:2,3,4,6/1,4,5/1,3,10,11/4,5 – Cost $48.00
Race 5-Female
5 – Sofster: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races in claiming races.
4 – Miss Cinnamon – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 59% of the races, winning 10% of the starts; can handle the distance finishing in the money in 80% of the races, winning 20% of the starts.
1 – Love Like Crazy: Won 2 races out of the last 4 starts; Rail post is winning at a 20% clip and can improve while returning to a sprint.
Longshot:
6 – Spirited Ride: Has a high % winning trainer and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
7 – Phone Eats First
8 – K D Kakes
Race 6–Female
10 – Lady d’Oro: Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Highest last race speed rating; Highest speed figure at today’s distance.
11 – Champagne Mischief – Has a high % winning jockey; Early speed running style helps chances and she likes the distance.
1 – Wine and Roses: Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Shudabeenacowgirl: Finished 3rd in last race; Early speed running style helps chances; Best dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed.
Alternate:
6 – Be My Queen
5 – Angel Mesa
Race 7–Female
4 – Got Game: 2 wins in 4 starts; quick early speed favors shorter distance; shares top dirt speed for today’s field and has an effective trainer-jockey combo.
5 – Repaynt – Won last race at PARX Racing by 7-lenghts and she has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Starship Legend: Ran 2nd in last race; Early speed running style helps chances; Can improve at the shorter distance and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
6 – Royal Party – Longer distance offers hope for improvement and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Joyful Joyce
$.50 Pick 4: 4,5/2,3,4,5,7/3,5/2,4,8,9,10 – Cost $50.00
Race 8–Female
5 – Devils Arrow: Won last race at PARX Racing; cut back in distance will help her due to early speed running style; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); has a proven trainer and jockey.
7 – Irish Banba – She finished in the money in 5 races out of 6 career starts, finishing 3rd in last race and she and has a top-winning trainer who wins 25% of the Allowance races he has a horse competing in.
3 – Tap Dancin Cowgirl – She won her debut race and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – I Am Rue: She has a high % winning trainer; Switches to a high % jockey; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); has a good 4F workout (Nov-04).
Alternate:
2 – Dadoo
1 – Little Cocoa Bean
Race 9-Female
3 – Put the Crazy Away – Finished in the money in her last 3 races, and she and has a top-winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Carousel Queen: Finished 3rd in last race, winning the prior start and switches to a high % winning jockey.
1 – Jackson’s Dixie – Rail post is winning at 20% clip; He has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-route-sprint and best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
7 – Angel of Hope: Has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a good 4F workout (Nov-04).
Alternate:
6 – Solemn Oath
Bet: $20.00 Win: 3 – $10.00 Exacta Box: 3/5 – $10.00 Exacta:3/1,5,7 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 1,3,5
Race 10
8 – Scheduling Dude: Fastest speed at today’s distance and the best dirt record. Trainer and jockey have strong win rates; handles this distance well.
2 – Coach Knight Ran 2nd in last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Vitement: Has a high % winning trainer and jockey
Longshot:
10 – Smooth Motion: She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 55% of the races, winning 18% of the starts; can handle the distance finishing in the money in 100% of the races.
Alternate:
4 – Dirty Harry
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race – #2 – Glows in the Dark
Rich’s Picks
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Inside Out
8 – ROCKET NIGHT – TLRSP#+7 – SIM FAV and Top Total Pace – a little faster last out
7 – IRISH TENOR – out on the lead by himself with a 10 pound break
10 – WAR COMMANDER – going to try Parx for the 1st time – some of the most back class
2 – SPIT THE BIT – biggest class dropper – a little faster last out
Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4-7 Discount, 8+ A little better than 4-7
4 – COCKTAIL HUMOR – Ness and Sanchez – TLRSP# +11 and on the lead
2 – SUPERSONIC BETTY – slow start in debut – but 2nd race upside
5 – TIPTOP – better EP and Fractions in last – biggest dropper
1 – ACT OF FAITH – tough call over the 6 – but more upside and less races
$.50 Pick 4:1,2,3,4/2,3/2,3,5,6/1,4,5 – Cost $48.00
Race 3: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Small Bonus, 8+ Discount
2 – ROMAN GODDESS – speedster with a length ES edge – Top Total Pace
3 – BATTLING TIME – TLRSP# +9 – Even $$ SIM FAVE and by far top Par+
1 – RAGTAP GIRL – much better EP and fractions in last – cut in distance helps
6 – JOEY THE FISH – top closer and biggest in race edge +12 LS
$5 Exacta Key Box: 2/1,3,6
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4+ Similar Discount
3 – CHUBASCO SAUCE – all noes and a maybe – taking top 2 firsters first
2 – SCAREDY CATNESS
6 – CAP’N CATS – TLRSP# +4 and top Total Pace +6 for experienced horses
5 – GAVONE – only Purse MSW dropper
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3,5,6/5,6/1,6,10,11/2,3,4
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,3,5,6
Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4-7 Discount, 8+ A little better than 4-7
5 – SOFSTER – TLRSP# 6 and better ATB in last – pacesetter on lead as Lone E
6 – SPIRITED RIDE – a little better ATB in last some upside
7 – PHONE EATS FIRST –more EP and resume says big pop in 2nd up is possible
1 – LOVE LIKE CRAZY – SIM FAV – better EP and cutting back in distance
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4+ Similar Discount
1 – WINE AND ROSES – pretty big class dropper – best races at Parx
10 – LADY D’ORO – Track dropper – Pino and Sanchez winning at 42% – SIM FAV & Top TP
11 – CHAMPAGNE MISCHIEF –ES and a maintenance work – right distance 3/1-1-0
6 – BE MY QUEEN – out front – YES horse on the class drop
Race 7: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Small Bonus, 8+ Discount
4 – GOT GAME – SIM FAV and Top Total Pace – lone Parx rerun is an easy winner
2 – MELODY’S KISS – much better EP in last and much faster
3 – STARSHIP LEGEND – aggressive ES edge and pacesetter
5 – REPAYNT – TLRSP#+5 – crushed the comp in last – drew off by 7 vs a field of 12
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4/1,3,5,7/1,5/2,8,9,10
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4-7 Discount, 8+ A little better than 4-7
3 – TAP DANCIN COWGIRL – 2nd race upside – catches 1st Lasix too
7 – IRISH BANBA – 5 SP # increases – won lone race at distance
5 – DEVILS ARROW – TLRSP# +5 – one of 2 YES horses – 1st time making 3rd up
1 – LITTLE COCOA BEAN – definitely faced better, +5 ES edge with top C ZONE by Far
Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4-7 Discount, 8+ A little better than 4-7
1 – JACKSON’S DIXIE – Only YES horse and Track Dropper
5 – CAROUSEL QUEEN – 3rd up – Sanchez returns – top 2 races in last 10 with Sanchez
3 – PUT THE CRAZY AWAY – 3SP# increases with TLRSP# +7 and Top Total Pace +6 –
7 – ANGEL OF HOPE – going to be out front – strong maintenance work between races
$5 Exacta Key Box: 1/ALL
Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4+ Similar Discount
2 – COACH KNIGHT – moving up the speed ladder – Better EP
10 – SMOOTH MOTION – 5 ways better and biggest class dropper
8 – SCHEDULING DUDE – YES horse that should be forward
9 – VITEMENT – best angle in the race – Tr 37% 2nd off the claim and most back class
