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Parx Racing Picks & Analysis: Smart Sheets, Bias Insights, and Rich’s Winning Strategy for Every Race

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Terry’s Picks

PARX Racing – 11-04-2025

Race 1

9 – Laugh Like Lucy: Finished in the money 2 races out of the last 3 races, winning 1 of the races; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the claiming races he has a horse running in and he has a high % winning jockey.

3 – Melittlefrostgirl: Finished 2nd vs similar in last race and has a high % winning trainer.

13 – Midway Vow: He has a high % winning trainer; Can improve while returning to dirt and the shorter distance.

Longshot:

6 – Hard Spice: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Has a high % winning trainer and blinkers added today.

Race 2Female

8 – Summary Judgment: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

7 – Divine Grace – Has won 6 races out of 13 starts at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

5 – Center Stage – Won last race at PARX Racing, winning by 15-lenghts and she has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

2 – Peach Perfect: She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 65% of the races, winning 29% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 59% of the races, winning 32% of the starts.

Alternate:

1 – I’m a Lucky Girl

$.50 Pick 4:2,5,7,8/2,6/2,4,5,6/1,4,6 – Cost $48.00  

Race 3-Female

6 – Gung Ho: Arrives at PARX Racing from Laurel Park following a win; has the fastest dirt speed today, and benefits from both a high-percentage trainer and jockey.

2 – Trotsky – Finished 3rd last race as favorite; has a trainer who wins 23% with beaten favorites and a top-performing jockey.

5 – Chance: She has a high % winning trainer and jockey and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

Longshot:

3 – Tavern Time: Drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and has a good 4F workout (Nov-05).

Alternate:

7 – Joey the Fish

1 – Play the Gray

Race 4Female

4 – Sonadora Girl: Won last race at PARX Racing; plus has a top trainer and jockey.

5 – Et’s Moon Maiden: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.

2 – Denali Rae: He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 62% of the races, winning 15% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 56% of the races, winning 22% of the starts.

Longshot:

6 – Miss M M: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

7 – Winkiwinki

1 – Rolls Royce Joyce

$.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5,6/1,6/1,5,6,9/2,6,7 – Cost $48.00

Race 5

1 – Kevin’s Strike: She has won her last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick; Rail post is winning at a19% clip; has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

6 – Get Like Mike – Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Highest last race speed rating; Has a high % winning trainer.

4 – B D Saints: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Switches to a high% trainer who wins 29% of the races when dropping horses 2+ classes, plus a top jockey.

Longshot:

9 – Sir Cupid: Ran 2nd in last race and has a high % winning jockey.

Alternate:

3 – I Can Do Magic

7 – Just Be Honest

Race 6Female

9 – Jake Rocks: Finished in the money in the last 4 races, winning 2 of the races; Switches to a high% trainer who wins 50% of the races when dropping a horse off a win.

6 – Musical Heart – Won last race at PARX Racing; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she likes the distance.

1 – We Ready: Finished in the money 6 races out of the last 8 races, winning 1 of the races; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

5 – Bronx Bomber Drops in class today; Has a high% trainer who wins 26% of the races in the 3rd race off a layoff; Highest speed figure at today’s distance and she has a high % winning jockey.

Alternate:

7 – First Money

3 – Mogalu

Race 7

6 – Dr. Steve: Finished in the money 9 races out of the last 10 races, winning 2 of the races and likes the distance.

2 – Final Shot: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer.

7 – Analog Jones – Finished 6th as favorite last time, but her trainer wins 25% with returning beaten favorites and he has a high % winning and trainer jockey.

Longshot:

3 – Gordian Knot – Drops in class today and he has a high % winning jockey.

Alternate:

5 – Downtownchalybrown

$.50 Pick 4:2,6/5,6/3,7,8,9/2,3,7,8,9,12 – Cost $48.00

Bet: $20.00 Win: 6 – $10.00 Exacta Box: 2/6 – $10.00 Exacta:6/2,3,7 – $5.00 Exacta Key Box: 6/2,3,7

Race 8Female

6 – Unsolved Mystery: Placed in 9 of last 10 races, with 4 wins; top trainer; best speed at today’s distance and on dirt among starters.

5 – Our Uptown Girl: He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 58% of the races, winning 24% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 70% of the races, winning 40% of the starts.

7 – Pearls and Heels: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey and a good 4F workout (Nov-04).

Longshot:

4 – Miss Easy: He has won 2 races out of the last 3 starts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

2 – Snappy Ride

Race 9-Female

7 – Pam Pam: Won last race at PARX Racing; Highest last race speed rating; has a proven trainer and jockey.

9 – Up N Runnin – Ran 2nd in last race, and she and has a top-winning trainer and jockey.

8 – Dazzy – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, and she has a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

3 – Shout to the Lord: Won last race at Laurel Park and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

1 – Jess’s Moment

Race 10

3 – Sal N Louie: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Can improve at the shorter distance; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the races in the 1st after race after claiming a horse; has a high % winning jockey.

2 – Three Captains: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the claiming races and can handle the distance.

8 – New Commission: Drops in class today and best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).

Longshot:

7 – Rabbit: Has finished in the money in 42% of the starts at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

12 – Zippy Gizmo

9 – Fight Fiercely

Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 7th Race – #6 – Dr. Steve

Rich’s Picks

Race 1: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Strong, 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount, Better Inside

13 – MIDWAY VOW – Speed and fade in last – strong work since – TLRSP#+5

3 – MELITTLEFROSTGIRL – pacesetter – and Top Total Pace +6

9 – LAUGH LIKE LUCY – even effort in last – shortens off a good work

6 – HARD SPICE – a little faster despite going 70 yards longer

$6 Win: 13

$3 Pick 3: 13/5,7,8/3

Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Inside Out

5 – CENTER STAGE – TLRSP#+3 and Top Total Pace +2 Lengths – won last by 15

8 – SUMMARY JUDGMENT – better EP and likely better in the 3rd up

7 – DIVINE GRACE – Sanchez and Ness – much better early – won next out last time the same improvement

2 – PEACH PERFECT – Z Pattern for a YES horse and of course – my chubby blonde girlfriend

$0.50 Pick 4: 5,7,8/3,6/2,4,5,6/1,3,4,6

Race 3: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Strong, 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount, Better Inside

3 – TAVERN TIME – TLRSP# +3 – Biggest class dropper – Track Dropper – good Parx works

6 – GUNG HO – 3SP# increases and Better ATB in last

7 – TRULLI WARRIOR – highly consistent and should get a good trip with strong C ZONE

1 – PLAY THE GRAY – biggest in race edge with LS + 1 ½ lengths

$5 Exacta Key Box: 3/1,2,6,7

Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4+ Similar Discount

4 – SONADORA GIRL – SIM FAV – much better EP In last in easy win

2 – DENALI RAE – usually comes off the bench ready and some of her best works prepping

5 – ET’S MOON MAIDEN – drops in class and should be better in 2nd up

6 – MISS M M – Top Total Pace and biggest class dropper

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5/1,3,4,6/7,9/2,3,6,8

Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Inside Out

6 – GET LIKE MIKE – speed and gave it up late in 1st up – better in round 2

1 – KEVIN’S STRIKE – SIM FAV – run back to OCT 15th race and it’s a wrap

4 – B D SAINTS – Ness Track Dropper – 1 ot 2 YES horses with the 6

3 – I CAN DO MAGIC – Top Total Pace +12

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4-7 Discount, 8+ A little better than 4-7

9 – JAKE ROCKS – Top Total Pace – run back to most recent Parx race would be enough

7 – FIRST MONEY – SIM FAV and top in race edge +7 – distance 3/2-1-0 – better in 2nd up

6 – MUSICAL HEART – better ATB and maybe better in 2nd up – Top C ZONE

2 – CURLINS CRUZIN – could be forward – a little better final time last out

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,6,7,9

Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4+ Similar Discount

6 – DR. STEVE – better EP and fractions – proper distance 8/3-4-0 – Lone EP

2 – FINAL SHOT – Big SIM FAV with the scratches – Top Total Pace

8 – RIVER DOG – better EP in last – biggest class dropper

3 – GORDIAN KNOT – 5 ways better with by far best C ZONE

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3,6,8/6,7/3,7,8,9/2,3,9

Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4-7 Discount, 8+ A little better than 4-7

6 – UNSOLVED MYSTERY – Out  Front – TLRSP# +5 and Top Total Pace +6 – Track Drop

7 – PEARLS AND HEELS – won 10/33 at Parx and 1 of 19 elsewhere – horse for course

5 – OUR UPTOWN GIRL – could be better in 2nd up –

4 – MISS EASY – Top C ZONE and maybe longest shot in a 5 horse race

$10 Win 6

Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Inside Out

3 – SHOUT TO THE LORD – could be out front with top Total Pace  – lots of upside in 3rd race

7 – PAM PAM – Ness Sanchez on a horse that’s a nose away from winning both routes

8 – DAZZY – Ness Silvera on  YES Horse with fantastic works prepping

9 – UP N RUNNIN – 3 SP# increases – 3rd up and could be lone E

Race 10: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Strong, 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount, Better Inside

3 – SAL N LOUIE – TLRSP#+6  with upside – last race better than it looks

9 – FIGHT FIERCELY – Top Total Pace +9 – left ARROW – first at Parx

2 – THREE CAPTAINS – could be better in 2nd PARX run and could be Lone E

8 – NEW COMMISSION – Most Parx back class – Biggest Class Dropper

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,3,8,9

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