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Parx Racing Picks & Analysis | Terry Is Back for Money Monday

Terry is back for Money Monday with 10 races at PARX Racing. Terry and Rich use Smart Sheets to examine SIM Odds, speed, pace, C-Zone, projected leaders and race shape to find value, vulnerable favorites and live longshots throughout the card.

Terry is back for Money Monday, and we’re kicking off the racing week with 10 races at Parx.

Rich and Terry will put the Smart Sheets to work across the entire card, digging into SIM Odds, speed, pace, C-Zone, projected first-call leaders and race shape to find the horses that may have an advantage the betting public is missing.

As always at Parx, we’ll be watching how the track plays early. Is speed holding? Are horses making up ground late? And more importantly, can we identify those advantages before the rest of the crowd adjusts?

We’ll hunt for vulnerable favorites, live longshots, exacta opportunities and value throughout the card — and see if we can get Money Monday started the right way.

Terry is back. Ten races. Money Monday. Let’s find the edge.

Download Today’s Smart Sheet: https://horseracingtoday.net/horse-racing-analytics-and-handicapping-data-smart-sheets-october-1-2026/

Smart Sheets Explanations: https://horseracingtoday.net/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/HRTSmartSheetsExplanations.pdf

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Race 1 – Female

6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, Inside 3

Terry’s Picks

7 – Legal Lightning: 3rd as favorite last out; high % winning trainer wins 31% with beaten favorites; Has a high % winning jockey.

4 – Synoptic: Speed may help her trip; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

9 – Sea Eff P T O: Won last race at PARX Racing; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Longshot:

3 – Alyvia Mavis: Finished 3rd in last race; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.

Alternates:

1 – Breezefromtheeast

8 – Luv Queen

Rich’s Picks

7 – LEGAL LIGHTNING – Top TOTAL PACE and SIM FAV – TOP PAR +

8 – LUV QUEEN E – most upside in the race – on the PACE and standout C ZONE

2 – MISKITA – maybe the inside speed horse – better EP/Fractions

1 – BREEZEFROMTHEEAST – similar fractions despite going longer – 4SP# increases

Rich’s Suggested Wager

$2 Double: 7,8/4,6,7


Race 2 – Female

1 Mile 70 Yards – Early Speed, all but 2/3 Good

Terry’s Picks

4 – Mary’s Reward: Won last race at PARX Racing; Switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey.

7 – Cruise Missile: Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Early speed running style helps chances; high % winning jockey.

6 – Perugia: Finished in the money in 3 out of the last 4 races, winning 2 wins; Switches to a high % winning jockey. Strong trainer stats.

Longshot:

3 – Sister Supream: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 56% of the races, winning 33% of the starts and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 63% of the races, winning 27% of the starts.

Alternate:

2 – Boss Like Beth

Terry’s Suggested Wager

$.50 Pick 4: 4,6,7/1,2/1,2,5,6/5,7 – Cost $24.00

Rich’s Picks

7 – CRUISE MISSILE – best LP#s and should not be too far off the pace – Top TOTAL PACE

4 – MARY’S REWARD – 4SP# increases – TLRSP# +3 – could be on the pace as top C ZONE

6 – PERUGIA – Only YES horse with the most upside – Ness horse

1 – FAYTASTIC – mostly consistent – scores a little bit better than the 2/3

Rich’s Suggested Wager

$0.50 Pick 4: 4,7/1,2/1,3,6/ALL


Race 3 – Female

6 Furlongs – Early Speed, Small Inside 3

Terry’s Picks

1 – Tara’s Talent: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Can improve while returning to a sprint; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

2 – Bright Kohana: Won last race at PARX Racing; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Switches to a high % winning trainer; high % winning jockey.

6 – Lady Arwen: Switches to a high % jockey; Drops in class today; Should improve while returning to a sprint.

Longshot:

4 – Shudabeenacowgirl: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Can go the distance.

Alternates:

7 – Don’t Tell Tammo

5 – Gia’s Fuego

Terry’s Suggested Wager

$20.00 Win: #1 Tara’s Talent

$5.00 Exacta Box: 1/2

$5.00 Exacta: 1/2,4,6

Cost: $45.00

Rich’s Picks

1 – TARA’S TALENT – biggest in race edge of +14 LP – most upside

2 – BRIGHT KOHANA – TLRSP# +6 with the Top TOTAL PACE – Pino/Snachez and 3rd up

4 – SHUDABEENACOWGIRL – much faster last out – but a no horse

6 – LADY ARWEN – tough call over the rest – ITM 6/6 at the distance


Race 4

6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, Inside 3

Terry’s Picks

5 – Mission Artemis: Finished in the money in the last 3 races, winning 1 race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

1 – Carnaby: Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race, winning the previous race; Highest last race speed rating; Switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey.

2 – Midlaner: Drops in class today; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Strong jockey stats.

Longshot:

6 – Hey Buddy: Won 3 races out of the last 5 starts; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Alternates:

3 – Broadcaster

4 – Capital Conquest

Terry’s Suggested Wager

$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,5,6/5,7/1,4/5,8 – Cost $16.00

Rich’s Picks

1 – CARNABY – Sanchez – Pino – sizeable drop and could be pacesetter

3 – BROADCASTER – most upside – better EP/Fractions – best SIM SP#

6 – HEY BUDDY – standout C ZONE – SIM FAV – OK 1st up – but solid works

5 – MISSION ARTEMIS – 4SP# increases – cut back in distance could help


Money Monday – Races 1–4

Race 1: Terry and Rich both put #7 Legal Lightning on top.

Race 2: Terry prefers #4 Mary’s Reward, while Rich puts #7 Cruise Missile first.

Race 3: Both Terry and Rich select #1 Tara’s Talent first and #2 Bright Kohana second.

Race 4: Terry selects #5 Mission Artemis, while Rich puts #1 Carnaby on top.

Best Bet of the Day: Race 6 – #4 Stanford Dropout

Race 5

1 Mile 70 Yards – Early Speed, all but 2/3 Good

Terry’s Picks

5 – Noted: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races in the 2nd start with trainer; Strong jockey stats.

7 – Royal ‘n Rando: Drops in class; 75% in the money and 20% wins at this distance; strong trainer and jockey stats.

4 – Slim Slow Slider: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 36% of the races when drops off claim; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Strong jockey stats.

Longshot:

6 – First Trumpet: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 19% of the routes; Strong jockey stats.

Alternate:

3 – Bob John Ray

Rich’s Picks

3 – BOB JOHN RAY – proper distance 4/7 and only 3 in 17 at others – SIM FAV – Better ATB

6 – FIRST TRUMPET – could be the pacesetter

7 – ROYAL ‘N RANDO – Only YES horse, most upside and biggest drop

4 – SLIM SLOW SLIDER – Sanchez and Ness – claim and drop 36% vs 26% overall


Race 6

6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, Inside 3

Terry’s Picks

4 – Stanford Dropout: In from last win at Delmar; Switches to a high % winning trainer; Has a high % winning jockey.

1 – Connor’s Crew: Finished in the money in 5 races out of 7 career starts, winning 2 races; Rail post is winning at 19% clip; Drops in class today; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

3 – Thunder Chuck: Won last race at Monmouth; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 42% of the races when drops off claim; Good 4F workout (Oct-04).

Longshot:

5 – Great Composer: Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race; Highest last race speed rating; Drops in class today; Strong jockey stats.

Alternates:

2 – Stinger Bee

8 – Southern Dream

Terry’s Suggested Wager

$20.00 Win: 4

$5.00 Exacta Box: 1/4

$5.00 Exacta: 4/1,2,3,5

Cost: $50.00

Rich’s Picks

4 – STANFORD DROPOUT – Del Mar shipper –pacesetter – sharp Sep 18 Parx work

5 – GREAT COMPOSER – SIM FAV – dangerous with the lead as potential lone E

1 – CONNOR’S CREW – as much upside as any with top C ZONE – biggest drop

3 – THUNDER CHUCK – better 5 ways and drops – track dropper

Rich’s Suggested Wager

$3 Exacta Key Box: 4/1,3,5


Race 7 – Female

6 Furlongs – Early Speed, Small Inside 3

Terry’s Picks

8 – I Believe in Magic: In the money in 8 of 10, with 3 wins; top distance speed figure; tied for fastest dirt speed.

5 – Cocoa’s Vivian: Won last race at PARX Racing; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

2 – Popover Gal: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance is a plus; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Longshot:

3 – Qualified Hire: In the money in 2 of 3, with 1 win; Drops in class today; Likes distance.

Alternate:

6 – Golden Philly

Rich’s Picks

8 – I BELIEVE IN MAGIC – TLRSP#+5 and TOP TOTAL PACE +8 – pacesetter

2 – POPOVER GAL – winner 5/11 at distance – 3 of 17 elsewhere

5 – COCOA’S VIVIAN – most upside with the top C ZONE – Sanchez – Pino

6 – GOLDEN PHILLY – tough call over the rest – but a solid PAR+

Rich’s Suggested Wager

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,8/2,3,4/4,6,7/1,2,3,4,9


Terry’s Best Bet of the Day

PARX Racing – Race 6 – #4 Stanford Dropout

4 – Stanford Dropout: In from last win at Delmar; Switches to a high % winning trainer; Has a high % winning jockey.

Terry’s Best Bet Wagers

$20.00 Win: 4

$5.00 Exacta Box: 1/4

$5.00 Exacta: 4/1,2,3,5

Cost: $50.00

Race 8

6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, Inside 3

Terry’s Picks

2 – Cash Account: First time starter with bullet 4F workout (Oct-03); Strong trainer and jockey stats.

4 – Spartacus: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

3 – Lasting Quality: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Good 4F workout (Oct-03).

Longshot:

6 – Wholelotoftrouble: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest last race speed rating (tie); Early speed running style helps chances.

Alternates:

5 – Honor Bound

1 – Rebellution

Rich’s Picks

2 – CASH ACCOUNT – no YES horse – got to take the 1st timer – Chad Brown

3 – LASTING QUALITY – +6 SIM SP# for the experienced horses +16 LP – better 2nd Parx

4 – SPARTACUS – 2nd at Parx after track dropping – first time making 2 starts in a row

6 – WHOLELOTOFTROUBLE – pacesetter and top C ZONE


Race 9

6 Furlongs – Early Speed, Small Inside 3

Terry’s Picks

4 – Whisper Roar: Won last race at PARX Racing; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

6 – Concord Bridge: Switches to a high-percentage trainer and jockey; should improve returning to a sprint; fastest dirt speed among today’s starters.

1 – My Military Hero: Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race; Highest last race speed rating; Drops in class today; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Longshot:

3 – My Man Woody: Finished in the money in 7 races out of the last10 starts, winning 3 races.

Alternates:

5 – Twooutathreaintbad

2 – Stormbreaker

Terry’s Suggested Wager

$20.00 Win: 4

$1.00 Exacta Key Box: 4/All

Cost: $32.00

Rich’s Picks

7 – PARKER BOONE – Pacesetting SIM FAV – 2nd race pop – Top C ZONE

6 – CONCORD BRIDGE – most upside and California track dropper

4 – WHISPER ROAR – Top SIM SP# and Top TOTAL PACE

3 – MY MAN WOODY – grades out well in all the Key Smart Stats

Rich’s Suggested Wager

$3 Exacta Key Box: 7/2,3,4,6


Race 10 – Female

5 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, Rail Bonus – the rest Fair Enough

Terry’s Picks

1 – Miss Ma’am: Speed ratings make her a threat; Rail post is winning at 24% clip; Can improve while returning to Dirt; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

4 – You Don’t Grab Me: First time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter; Breeding suits today’s sprint distance; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

9 – Beachfront Runner: Drops in class today; May improve with Blinkers added today; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of a horses 2nd career race.

Longshot:

3 – Bless Your Soul: First-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

2 – Music Into Gold

Rich’s Picks

3 – BLESS YOUR SOUL – Top Rated 1ser with a back bullet

1 – MISS MA’AM – NYRA dropping YES Horse

2 – MUSIC INTO GOLD – 2nd rated 1ster

4 – YOU DON’T GRAB ME – 3rd rated 1ster

Rich’s Suggested Wager

$2 Exacta Key Box: 3/1,2,4,9


Terry’s Best Bet of the Day

PARX Racing – Race 6 – #4 Stanford Dropout

4 – Stanford Dropout: In from last win at Delmar; Switches to a high % winning trainer; Has a high % winning jockey.

Terry’s Best Bet Wagers

$20.00 Win: 4

$5.00 Exacta Box: 1/4

$5.00 Exacta: 4/1,2,3,5

Cost: $50.00

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