Horse Racing Today

Parx Racing Picks & Analysis Today | 10 Races of Chaos – Value Hunting on Terrific Tuesday

Parx Racing delivers a 10-race card today filled with chaos, where just about every horse in many of these races has already proven it can win at this level. With no clear standouts and competitive fields across the board, today’s Terrific Tuesday is all about one thing—finding value. This full-card breakdown uses Smart Sheets to identify: Horses most likely to be forward at the quarter mile Pace scenarios that could separate contenders Total Pace and C-Zone advantages Simulated odds compared to the morning line Profile of a Winner indicators based on Parx trends When fields are this evenly matched, the edge shifts away from simply picking winners and toward identifying which horses are being mispriced by the public. The focus is on uncovering runners that have the right profile to win—but offer better value than their odds suggest. In addition to race-by-race analysis, we’ll also cover: Pick 4 opportunities Best Bet selections Value-driven plays for a chaotic card

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Terry’s Picks

PARX Racing – 5-12-2026

Race 1Female

5 – Cloud in the Wind: Switches to a high % jockey; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 37% of the races in the 1st race after claim.

2 – Golden Philly: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 56% of the races, winning 17% of the starts; Can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 33% of the starts.

6 – Erin’s Enthusiasm: Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance can help; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

7 – Fast Motion: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest last race speed rating.

Alternate:

3 – So Swell

Race 2Female

5 – Act of Faith: Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Drops in class today.

6 – English Elsa: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning jockey.

3 – Mia Counting: Has finished 3rd 3 times at PARX Racing.

Longshot:

1 – Lady Amelie: Rail post is winning at 19% clip; Has a good jockey.

Alternate:

2 – Confrontational

7 – Mrs Betty T

$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,5,6/1,2,6/2,3,4,6/3,4 – Cost $48.00 

Race 3-

2 – Iron Sword: Won last race at PARX Racing; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

1 – Vix: Rail post is winning at 19% clip; Has a high % winning jockey.

6 – Jolly Grey Giant: Switches to a high % jockey; Has a high % winning trainer; Can handle the distance.

Longshot:

3 – Centaur Central: Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Can go the distance.

Alternate:

4 – We Miss Neil

5 – Brentwood

Race 4-Female

4 – Floyness: Drops in class today; Trainer who wins 42% of the races when taking a horse down 2+ classes; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

6 – Breezefromtheeast: Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

2 – Mariah’s Big Girl: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances.

Longshot:

3 – Uptown Art: Finished 2nd in last race; Highest last race speed rating.

Alternate:

5 – Turn On Twiss

1 – Alyvia’s Lil Girl

$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,6/3,4,7/2,4,5,9/6,7 – Cost $48.00 

Race 5

4 – Carlin Contention: Won last race at PARX Racing; Drops in class today; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

3 – Boys of Summer: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer.

7 – Lookin Wild: Won 2 of last 4; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

2 – Reelin N Dealin: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race at PARX Racing; Switches to a high% trainer; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

5 – Kuz It’s Chilly

6 – Ramiel

Race 6-

9 – It’s Game Time: Finished in the money in the last 6 starts, winning 3 races; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

2 – Always Gambling: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 66% of the route races.

5 – Sal N Louie: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 53% of the races, winning 16% of the starts; Can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 57% of the races, winning 14% of the starts.

Longshot:

4 – Vanzzy: Finished in the money in 3 races out of 4 starts, winning 1 race; Strong trainer stats.

Alternate:

7 – Assembly Point

Race -7-Female

7 – More Than Grace: Won 3 races going for a 4th win; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

6 – I Am Rue: Won 2 of last 4; Has a high % winning trainer.

2 – Mo Attitude: Won last race at Aqueduct; Has a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

3 – Ringer Card: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 80% of the races, winning 60% of the starts; Can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 75% of the races, winning 50% of the starts.

Alternate:

1 – Sunflower State

8 – Lady Annabelle

$.50 Pick 4: 6,7/1,3,4,6/1,6,7/1,3,4,8 – Cost $48.00

Bet: $20.00 Win: 7 – $10.00 Exacta Box:6/7 – $10.00 Exacta: 7/2,3,6 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 2,6,7

Race 8-Female

6 – Onmywaytosavthday: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the starts in the 1st race after claim and has a high % winning jockey.

4 – Pittore d’Oro: A closure who can catch the front runners, running 2nd in last race.

3 – They Got Curry: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

1 – Dean of Belonging: Won her debut race at PARX Racing; Rail post is winning at a 22% clip; High % winning trainer.

Alternate:

9 – Parlaypauline

8 – Tiptop

Race-9-

1 – Red Zone Runner: Throw out the last race as he experienced lots of trouble; Rail post is winning at a 20% clip; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

7 – Ponder and Dream: Finished in the money in 6 races out of 6 career starts, winning 1 race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

6 – Check My Six: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

4 – Cool Million: Ran 2nd in last race; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint to route.

Alternate:

2 – Drum Roll Please

5 – Roan Burgundy

Race 10-

4 – Try Harder: Drops in class today; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

1 – Legal Deal: Won last race at PARX Racing; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Strong trainer stats.

8 – Cobble Road: Won 2 races in a row and now goes for a hat trick; High % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

3 – Romantic Gamble: Drops in class today ñ Early speed running style helps chances; High % winning jockey.

Alternate:

6 – Frost Mountain

Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 7th Race – #7 – More Than Grace

Rich’s Picks

Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Inside Speed

5 – CLOUD IN THE WIND – tr Brandon Kulp rocks 1st after the claim at 38%

7 – FAST MOTION – Top TOTAL PACE +10 – better 5 ways

2 – GOLDEN PHILLY – Ness on the claim and biggest drop – 38% too

3 – SO SWELL – some value here and will be coming late

Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Inside Speed

5 – ACT OF FAITH – average race wins – even his worst is better than all but…

6 – ENGLISH ELSA – has a strong late pace edge +7

8 – FASTERTHANUTOOTOOT – you have to give this one a shot vs these in 2nd career start

4 – IRIE AND MELLOW – better 5 ways and maybe improves more in the 2nd up

$0.50 Pick 4: 5/2,6/3,4,6/1,2,3,4,7

Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Inside Speed

2 – IRON SWORD – absolutely cruised to a win after more than a year off – TLRSP#+4 – could regress

6 – JOLLY GREY GIANT – most upside in the race – lone win 1st up like this – SIM FAV

5 – BRENTWOOD – a potential overlay with 2 length LS edge

4 – WE MISS NEIL – better EP/FRACTIONS – drops – tough call over the 1

Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Inside Speed

6 – BREEZEFROMTHEEAST – last race not as bad as it looks – crazy fast fractions

4 – FLOYNESS – toss last? Didn’t like turf? Speed and fades – Pino and Sanchez

3 – UPTOWN ART – TLRSP# +8 – tends to pair peak efforts

5 – TURN ON TWISS – should be forward and decent C ZONE vs the rest

Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Speed, Anywhere Except 2/3

4 – CARLIN CONTENTION – Standout C ZONE – easy win in lone PARX run – drops

7 – LOOKIN WILD – big SIM FAV and biggest dropper

3 – BOYS OF SUMMER – best average race and runs to the top side of it

2 – REELIN N DEALIN – top TOTAL PACE – only better 5 ways – major pop in last – regress?

Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Speed, Anywhere Except 2/3

3 – PRAETORIAN GUARD – dangerous if can get the lead – much faster early in last

9 – IT’S GAME TIME – drops after running TLRSP#+4 – maintenance work

7 – ASSEMBLY POINT – Paco on probably one of the most consistent horses

4 – VANZZY – Pino horse with the most back class at the distance

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 3,4,7,9

Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs – Inside Speed

7 – MORE THAN GRACE – dominated in the last 3 races – TLRP#+7

6 – I AM RUE – SIM FAV – top PAR+ – forget her last – stumbled and dropped her rider

1 – SUNFLOWER STATE – Ness and Hazelwood in first at Parx

3 – RINGER CARD – tough call over the 2 – but Tr of the 2 is 0/25

$0.50 Pick 4: 1,6,7/1,3,6,9/1,7/1,3,4,9

Race 8: 1 Mile – Inside Speed

1 – DEAN OF BELONGING – 2nd race PARABILITY

9 – PARLAYPAULINE – 3rd up for the 1st time – better EP and fraction – dirt is a question

3 – THEY GOT CURRY – Ness and Hazelwood – smoked in lone run at Parx

6 – ONMYWAYTOSAVTHDAY – track dropper with a Standout C ZONE

$5 Exacta Key Box: 1/3,4,6,9

Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Speed, Anywhere Except 2/3

7 – PONDER AND DREAM – super consistent – out on the front – only win in the mud

1 – RED ZONE RUNNER – rerun PARX debut and it’s a wrap – 1st Lasix helps – biggest drop

6 – CHECK MY SIX – Ness and Hazelwood again in the 3rd up

2 – DRUM ROLL PLEASE – TLRSP#+ 3 – but major gap – could back up here

Race 10: 7 Furlongs – Inside Speed

9 – NICOLE’S KING – 3rd up and just missed in last – going an extra ½ furlong is the key

1 – LEGAL DEAL – will be coming at the end and not too far off the pace here

3 – ROMANTIC GAMBLE – on the lead and drops as top TOTAL PACE

4 – TRY HARDER – Top C ZONE with most back class

$5 Exacta Key Box: 9/1,3,4,6

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