Horse Racing Today

Parx Racing Picks & Analysis Today | Money Monday – Early Speed Advantage (10 Races)

Parx Racing kicks off Money Monday with a 10-race card featuring a good mix of routes and sprints, and once again, early speed looks like a major factor. On a track that consistently rewards horses that secure position early, understanding pace and race shape is critical. This full-card breakdown uses Smart Sheets to identify: Horses most likely to be forward at the quarter mile Pace control and probability to lead Total Pace and C-Zone advantages Simulated odds compared to the morning line Profile of a Winner indicators based on Parx track tendencies With both sprint and route races on the card, the key question is which horses can secure position early and carry that advantage through the stretch. At Parx, those who control the pace often control the outcome. In addition to race-by-race analysis, we’ll highlight: Pick 4 opportunities Best Bet selections Value plays that fit today’s race profile This is a data-driven breakdown designed to highlight how races are most likely to unfold—and where the best betting opportunities may exist across today’s Parx card.

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Smart Sheets – Monday, May 18, 2026

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Terry’s Picks

PARX Racing – 5-18-2026

Race 1

4 – Lookin At Mac: Switches to a high% winning trainer; Good 4F workout (May-12).

3 – Vino Gray: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer.

1 – World Wide Web: Rail post is winning at 20% clip; Switches to a high % jockey; Has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

8 – Notamistake: Switches to a high % winning jockey; Drops in class today; Trainer who wins 17% of the Route races; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).

Alternate:

5 – Bigshot Ness

7 – Ad Majora

Race 2-

1 – Walk Away Joe: Won 1 race out of 1 start at PARX Racing; Rail post is winning at a 20% clip; Drops in class today; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

6 – Amity Road: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

4 – Batter Up Bud: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer; Can go the distance.

Longshot:

5 – Thirsty Pappy: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 54% of the races, winning 31% of the starts; Can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 44% of the races, winning 19% of the starts.

Alternate:

3 – Admiral’s Wave

$.50 Pick 4: 1,4,5,6/2,5/2,3,6,7/3,4,5 – Cost $48.00 

Race 3Female

2 – Battling Time: Won last race; Highest last race speed rating; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

5 – Rowsie Express: Has won 3 races out of 5 starts at PARX Racing; Drops in class.

6 – Date Night Kisses: Drops in class today; Trainer wins 32% of the races when taking a horse down 2+ classes; Can go the distance.

Longshot:

3 – Obstinate: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.

Alternate:

2 – Confrontational

7 – Mrs Betty T

Race 4-

6 – Banjo: Finished 2nd as the favorite in the last race; The high % winning trainer wins 22% with beaten favorites; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

2 – Prairie Dunes: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer.

7 – Sergeant Sinatra: Won last race; Has a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

3 – Compa: Won last race; Switches to a high % winning jockey.

Alternate:

5 – Star Man Bob

4 – Lucchesi

$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,6,7/3,4,5/3,5/1,2,3,6 – Cost $48.00 

Race 5-Female

3 – Bective Abbey: Won last race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

5 – Gwen to Win: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Highest last race speed rating; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

4 – Mighty Lindsey: Finished in the money in 2 races out of 3 starts at PARX Racing, winning 1 race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Longshot:

2 – Extrasexyzqteepeye: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning jockey.

Alternate:

6 – Spoonbill

Race 6-

5 – Halftime Show: Finished in the money in all 4 career starts, winning 2 races; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

3 – Tested: Finished 2nd as the favorite in the last race; The high % winning trainer wins 26% with beaten favorites; Strong jockey stats.

1 – Play the Gray: Rail post is winning at a 20% clip; Beaten only 3/4-lengths vs similar in last start.

Longshot:

6 – King Deivys: Switches to a high % winning jockey; Has a trainer who wins 21% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-sprint-route.

Alternate:

2 – Regalpains

7 – Keeping the Faith

Bet: $20.00 Win: 5 – $10.00 Exacta Box:3/5 – $10.00 Exacta: 5/1,3,6 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 1,3,5

Race -7-

2 – Fromanothamutha: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races when taking a horse down 2+ classes; Strong jockey stats.

6 – Tricolour: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 72% of the races, winning 16% of the starts; Can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 71% of the races, winning 8% of the starts.

3 – Union Lights: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Can handle the distance.

Longshot:

4 – Checkitup: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 40% of the races, winning 12% of the starts; Can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 47% of the races, winning 11% of the starts.

Alternate:

7 – Cattin

$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,6/3,7/7,8/3,4,5,6,7,8 – Cost $48.00

Race-8-

7 – Trotsky: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race, winning the previous race; Early speed running style helps chances; Strong trainer stats; Good 4F workout (May-12).

3 – Complex Music: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

6 – Captain Fancy: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

4 – My Imagination: Best Dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed.

Race 9-

8 – Group Ticket: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the races in the 1st after race claim; Strong jockey stats.

7 – Who’s the King: Won 2 races in the last 3 starts; High % winning trainer and jockey; Bullet 5F workout (May-08).

1 – Profound: Ran 2nd in last race; Rail post is winning at a 20% clip; High % winning jockey.

Longshot:

4 – Devil’s Cay: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

6 – Hey Porter

Race 10-Female

8 – Legal Lightning: Switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

3 – Punch and Judy: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest last race speed rating; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the maiden claiming races.

5 – Anita Glassofwine: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Longshot:

7 – Emmyaswifty: Has a trainer who wins 50% of the of starts in the 2nd career race a horse has.

Alternate:

4 – Warrior Bunny Zee

6 – Stay Loyal

Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 6th Race – #5 – Halftime Show

Rich’s Picks

Race 1: 1 Mile – Early Speed, 29% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair

8 – NOTAMISTAKE – +7 AVG SP# Edge – 3rd race bounce back

4 – LOOKIN AT MAC – Ness and Hazelwood with Standout C ZONE

5 – BIGSHOT NESS – another Ness horse – should lead the way

1 – WORLD WIDE WEB – Sanchez – Track Dropper

$4 Double: 8/1,6

Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Early Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Mosly Fair except 2/3 Discounted

1 – WALK AWAY JOE – another Ness Hazelwood combo – Top TOTAL PACE +12 – drops

6 – AMITY ROAD – TLRSP# +8 – only 5 ways better – regression risk

5 – THIRSTY PAPPY – should challenge for the lead – winner 8/26 at Parx – 1 in 17 elsewhere

3 – ADMIRAL’S WAVE – on the pace with the top C ZONE but PARX 0/4

$0.50 Pick 4: 1,6/2,3,5,6/2,3,5,6/3,4,5

Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Early Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Mosly Fair except 2/3 Discounted

5 – ROWSIE EXPRESS – all or nothing pacesetter – 5/3-0-0 at Parx – Top C ZONE

2 – BATTLING TIME – Preakness winner Paco rides!

6 – DATE NIGHT KISSES – better EP in last despite going longer – drops

3 – OBSTINATE – some betting value 5/2 SIM ODDS vs 6-1 ML

$5 Exacta Key Box: 5/1,2,3,6

Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs – Stalkers, 35% w2w – PP: Strong Rail and 8+, Middle Horses Discounted

3 – COMPA – on the pace with Top C ZONE and Top TOTAL PACE

2 – PRAIRIE DUNES – better EP/FRACTIONS and pairs solid efforts

6 – BANJO – likely better in 2nd up – switches to Mychel Sanchez

5 – STAR MAN BOB – YES horse – SIM FAV – tough call over the 7 – Top PAR+

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3,5,6/3,4/1,3,5/2,3,5,7

Race 5: 7 Furlongs – Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Inside Out

3 – BECTIVE ABBEY – Top TOTAL PACE – 3rd up with Paco

4 – MIGHTY LINDSEY – on/off horse with bullet work between race – back to on

5 – GWEN TO WIN – most upside – in last race – but way out of line with rest of resume

6 – SPOONBILL – YES vs NO with the 2 – maybe longest in 5 horse field

Race 6: 1 Mile – Early Speed, 29% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair

5 – HALFTIME SHOW – just missed in last with 3SP# increases – Pacesetter – Top C ZONE

1 – PLAY THE GRAY – only YES horse – SIM FAV – 3rd up with upside

3 – TESTED – PARX 4/1-2-1 – better EP/FRACTIONS and drops

6 – KING DEIVYS – tough call over the 7 – but we are riding with Paco!

Race 7: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Early Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Mosly Fair except 2/3 Discounted

5 – AMEDEUS MUSIC – TLRSP# +6 with more upside – but PARX 8/0-1-1

2 – FROMANOTHAMUTHA – Ness and Hazelwood again – 2nd at Parx – 2nd up

7 – CATTIN – Standout C ZONE and Top TOTAL PACE

3 – UNION LIGHTS – tough call over the 6 – but – only better EP/FRACTIONS

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,5,7/3,7/6,7,8/2,3,5,6,8

Race 8: 7 Furlongs – Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Inside Out

3 – COMPLEX MUSIC – TLRSP#+6 – class and Track dropper from NYRA

7 – TROTSKY – Parx 8/1-3-3 – SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE

6 – CAPTAIN FANCY – Top PAR+ – only better EP/FRACTIONS and drops

4 – MY IMAGINATION – super consistent with sizzling LP at times +24

$1 Pick 3: ALL/7/2,3,5,6,8

Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Early Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Mosly Fair except 2/3 Discounted

7 – WHO’S THE KING – even money SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE +8 – 3rd up

8 – GROUP TICKET – Kendrick comes to ride – 3SP# increases – TLRSP#+8 – regress?

6 – HEY PORTER – yes horse with Standout C ZONE

4 – DEVIL’S CAY – YES will be part of the EP

$5 Double: 7/2,3,6,8

Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Early Speed, 45% w2w – PP: Inside Out

8 – LEGAL LIGHTNING – track and class dropping YES horse for Ness/Hazelwood

3 – PUNCH AND JUDY – YES horse – TLRSP#+ 7 – 3SP# increases – 3rd up – small regression

6 – STAY LOYAL – bullet work – 3rd race upside MSW dropper – Sanchez and 1st Lasix

2 – POLAR MAGIC – on the PACE with standout C ZONE – MSW dropper

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,3,6,8

 

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