Horse Racing Today

Parx Racing Picks & Analysis Today | Speed, Speed & More Speed (Money Monday – 10 Races)

Parx Racing kicks off Money Monday with a 10-race card, and the story continues—speed, speed, and more speed. With recent results showing a strong early pace advantage, today’s races could once again favor horses that secure position at the quarter mile and never look back. This full-card breakdown uses Smart Sheets to identify: Horses most likely to be forward early Probability to lead at the quarter mile Total Pace and C-Zone advantages Simulated odds compared to the morning line Profile of a Winner indicators based on Parx track tendencies With multiple races featuring clear early speed edges, the focus is on identifying which runners can control the pace—and whether any overlooked horses can challenge that advantage and create value. In addition to race-by-race analysis, we’ll also cover: Pick 4 opportunities Best Bet selections Value plays that fit today’s speed-favoring profile This is a data-driven breakdown designed to highlight how races are most likely to unfold and where the best opportunities may exist across today’s Parx card.

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Terry’s Picks

PARX Racing – 5-11-2026

Race 1Female

4 – Laughing Lady: Finished 3rd in last race; Highest speed figure at today’s distance.

5 – Seven P R C: Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

7 – Broad Strokes: Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Longshot:

6 – Daisy Believes: Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Can handle the distance.

Alternate:

9 – Saint Grace

Race 2Female

6 – J C’s Lovin’ Life: Finished in the money in 4 races out of 6 starts at PARX Racing; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

7 – Flee: Ran 3rd in last race; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races when taking a horse up one class; has a high % winning jockey.

2 – Smokin Hot Wife: Ran 2nd in last race; Has a trainer who wins 18% of the Maiden Claiming; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

Longshot:

1 – Weekend Honor: Rail post is winning at 19% clip; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

5 – Think I’m in Love

4 – City Broad

$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,5,6,7/5,6/4,7/1,2,5,6,7 – Cost $50.00 

Race 3-Female

6 – Always in Play: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Highest last race speed rating; Drops in class today; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

5 – Dreaming of Bella: Drops in class today.; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

4 – Essential Girl: Throw out of the last race as she lost all chance because of major trouble; Drops in class today.

Longshot:

1 – Magic Word: Rail post is winning at a 22% clip; Drops in class today; Can improve while returning to a route.

Alternate:

3 – Maye’s Misfit

Race 4-Female

7 – Chelsea Wall: Finished in the money in the last of 7 starts, winning 4 races; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

4 – Umbral: Finished 3rd vs similar in last races; Likes the distance.

6 – Classy Miss: Finished 3rd the last 2 races; Can handle the distance.

Longshot:

5 – Bright Kohana: Drops in class today; Early speed running style helps chances; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

Alternate:

3 – Tomarie

$.50 Pick 4: 4,6,7/1,2,5,7/5,6/1,4,7,8 – Cost $48.00 

Race 5-Female

2 – Tavern Time: Finished in the money in 4 races out of 4 starts at PARX Racing, Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

5 – Bonafide: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 50% of the races when drops off claim; Switches to a high % winning jockey.

7 – Tall Cotton: Won last race; Highest last race speed rating; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Longshot:

1 – And Thats My Story: Rail post is winning at a 22% clip; Can improve while returning to dirt; Switches to a high % winning jockey; Has a high % winning trainer.

Alternate:

6 – Housebuster Dude

4 – Real Men Violin

Race 6-

5 – Backside Buzz: Finished in the money in the last of 4 starts, winning 1 race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

6 – Bermuda Run: Won 2 races out of the last 3 starts; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning jockey.

7 – Runandscore: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 61% of the races, winning 33% of the starts; Can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 80% of the races, winning 20% of the starts.

Longshot:

3 – Son of Thor: Won 5 races out of the last 10 starts at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

2 – Mac Daddy Too

Race -7-Female

8 – Hi Heeled Warrior: Finished in the money in 4 races out of 5 starts, winning 1 race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

4 – Miss Chamita: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Has a trainer who wins 18% of the claiming races.

1 – Alma Brilha: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Rail post is winning at 20% clip.

Longshot:

7 – Amy Mule: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 46% of the races, winning 13% of the starts; Can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 44% of the races, winning 17% of the starts.

Alternate:

5 – Ghostly Girl

9 – Beyond a Million

$.50 Pick 4: 1,4,5,7,8 /6,7/6,8/1,6,7,9,10 – Cost $50.00

Race 8-Female

6 – Pachelbel: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 74% of the races, winning 28% of the starts; Can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 58% of the races, winning 25% of the starts.

7 – Pearls and Heels: Finished 4th as the favorite; The trainer wins 23% with beaten favorites; Has a high % winning jockey.

2 – Misspent: Won 2 races in a row and now goes for a hat trick; High % winning trainer.

Longshot:

4 – Jump a Fox: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 61% of the races, winning 18% of the starts; Can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 67% of the races, winning 17% of the starts.

Alternate:

1 – Faytastic

Race-9-

6 – Winning Time: Finished in the money in 9 races out of 10 starts, winning 3 races; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

8 – Gordian Knot: Won 2 of last 4; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

2 – Factor U and Me In: Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance will be a plus; Can go the distance.

Longshot:

1 – Windsor Gold: Rail post is winning at a 19% clip; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Has a high % winning trainer; Can go the distance.

Alternate:

4 – Awesome Flay

Bet: $20.00 Win: 6 – $10.00 Exacta Box:6/8 – $10.00 Exacta: 6/1,2,8 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 2,6,8

Race 10-

7 – Twentyeighttothree: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 33% of the races when drops off win; Strong jockey stats.

9 – Magicnthemoonlight: Beaten only 1-1/4 lengths vs similar in last start; Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance can help; Highest speed figure at today’s distance.

6 – Power Agenda: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Longshot:

10 – Tuff Constitution: Finished 6th after being bumped at the start as the favorite; The high % winning trainer wins 31% with beaten favorites; Has a high % winning jockey.

Alternate:

1 – Ducale

Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race – #6 – Winning Time

Rich’s Picks

Race 1: 6 Furlong – Inside Speed

4 – LAUGHING LADY – one the lead with top C ZONE and hot work

9 – SAINT GRACE – offers some betting value as SIM FAV and highest SP# Average

7 – BROAD STROKES – lone Class Dropper – forward with decent C ZONE

2 – CLASSIC MYSTERY – biggest closing punch +5 LS – only with better EP/Fractions

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,4,7,9

Race 2: 6 Furlong – Inside Speed

6 – J C’S LOVIN’ LIFE – YES horse on the lead as only MSW dropper

2 – SMOKIN HOT WIFE – the other YES horse and a track dropper

7 – FLEE – Ness and Hazelwood – NYRA track dropper

1 – WEEKEND HONOR – solid works prepping – catches Sanchez today

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,6,7/5,6/5,7/ALL

Race 3: 1 Mile – Inside Speed

5 – DREAMING OF BELLA – not sure I’ve seen 100% on the lead with 100% C ZONE

6 – ALWAYS IN PLAY – TLRSP#+13 and top TOTAL PACE +13

1 – MAGIC WORD – last race sucked – but gets the rail and offers some value

4 – ESSENTIAL GIRL – only horse that was better ATB in last

Race 4: 1 Mile – Inside Speed

7 – CHELSEA WALL – 1:4 SIM FAV – Ness and Hazelwood in 2nd up bump

5 – BRIGHT KOHANA – on the pace – wins on the lead

4 – UMBRAL – Distance 5/3-1-1 – just 2 wins in 22 at any other distance

3 – TOMARIE – Top C ZONE

$0.50 Pick 4: 5,7/1,2,5,7/2,3,5,7/4,7,8

Race 5: 1 Mile – Inside Speed

2 – TAVERN TIME – Ness and Hazelwood – again – on the front – left arrow

7 – TALL COTTON – TLRSP# +3 and makes the 3rd up for the first time – boom or bust

5 – BONAFIDE – Sanchez on a track dropper

1 – AND THATS MY STORY – Paco on the top C ZONE – not sure if Tampa is a track drop

$5 Exacta Key Box: 2/1,3,5,7

Race 6: 6 Furlong – Inside Speed

5 – BACKSIDE BUZZ – SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE – Snachez and Pino winning at 43%

3 – SON OF THOR – Paco with 2nd up pop – winner 4/8 at the distance

7 – RUNANDSCORE – last race a lot better than it looks – faster by 2 seconds and drops

2 – MAC DADDY TOO – could be on the pace – as top C ZONE

Race 7: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Speed, Anywhere Excerpt 2/3

4 – MISS CHAMITA – SIM FAV with the biggest in race edge +9 LS

8 – HI HEELED WARRIOR – winner 7/19 at the distance – winner 2 of 21 at any other

7 – AMY MULE – betting value and class dropper with the most back class

1 – ALMA BRILHA – Z Pattern and has some upside

$0.50 Pick 4: 4,7,8/2,6/1,6,8/1,7,8,9,10

Race 8: 6 Furlong – Inside Speed

6 – PACHELBEL – 50 cent SIM FAV – average race is better than the best for most

2 – MISSPENT – better 5 ways and could be on the lead – TLRSP#+4

7 – PEARLS AND HEELS – if the 2 doesn’t lead – this one will as top TOTAL PACE

4 – JUMP A FOX – maybe 1 horse vs a no with the 1

Race 9: 6 Furlong – Inside Speed

6 – WINNING TIME – TLRSP# +5 and Top TOTAL PACE – Paco – as good or better in 2nd up

8 – GORDIAN KNOT – Sanchez and Ness – C ZONE above 50% as SIM FAV

1 – WINDSOR GOLD – Standout C ZONE – 3rd up with plenty of back class

4 – AWESOME FLAY – tough call over the rest – better smart sheets numbers and value

Race 10: 6 Furlong – Inside Speed

9 – MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT – Top C ZONE and on the Lead – big benefit with 5 scratching

7 – TWENTYEIGHTTOTHREE – TLRSP# +4 – Paco and consistent

1 – DUCALE – most upside in the race and on the rail

10 – TUFF CONSTITUTION – SIM FAV with Ness and Hazelwood again – last 2 kind of bad

$5 Exacta Key Box: 9/1,7,8,10

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