We’re back at Parx Racing with 10 races, and with the track upgraded to fast, we’re expecting speed to become a much bigger part of the equation today.
Track condition matters. As the surface changes, so can the advantage — and if speed begins holding better, identifying the horses most likely to control the early pace could give us an edge before everyone else catches on.
Rich and Terry will use the Smart Sheets to break down % Chance to Lead, C-Zone, Early Pace, Total Pace, SIM Speed and SIM Odds while looking for horses positioned to take advantage of today’s conditions.
But we’re not going to assume anything. We’ll watch the early races, see whether the track confirms what we expect, and adjust from there.
If speed takes hold at Parx today, we want to find it before the betting public does.
Download Today’s Smart Sheet: https://horseracingtoday.net/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/PRX_20261013_2b529a_HRT.pdf
Smart Sheets Explanations: https://horseracingtoday.net/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/HRTSmartSheetsExplanations.pdf
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Race 1
7 Furlongs – Early Speed, Strong Inside 3
Terry’s Picks
7 – Vancougar: In from last win at Delmar; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Switches to a high % winning trainer; Has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Trotsky: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 86% of the races, winning 14% of the starts and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 85% of the races, winning 15% of the starts.
1 – Zeus’ War: Another horse coming in from Delmar to try PARX Racing for the first time; Drops in class today; Good 5F workout (Oct-07; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
Longshot:
9 – Ball of Fire: Won 2 races out of the last 3 starts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – King Deivys
Rich’s Picks
1 – ZEUS’ WAR – inside advantage and Top TOTAL PACE +5
7 – VANCOUGAR – TLRSP# +7 – could be forward – most upside – Top C ZONE
2 – FIELDING – nice price on the potential pacesetter
6 – TROTSKY – Paco – 3rd up – distance 7/1-3-2 – others 23/2-6-7
Rich’s Suggested Wager
$2 Exacta Key Box: 1/2,6,7,9
Race 2
7 Furlongs – Early Speed, Strong Inside 3
Terry’s Picks
2 – Nikki’s Charm: 3rd as favorite last out; high % winning trainer wins 26% with beaten favorites; Has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Beale Street Boy: Rail post is winning at 24% clip; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey and the combo in last 14 days (8 2-2-0).
7 – Lookin At Mac: One for one at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey Should improve while returning to dirt and the shorter distance.
Longshot:
6 – Gavone: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
Alternates:
5 – Horse of the Sea
4 – Right Wing Runner
Terry’s Suggested Wager
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,5,6,7/5/2,4,5,7/1,3,5 – Cost $30.00
Rich’s Picks
2 – NIKKI’S CHARM – Pacesetter with a Top TOTAL PACE +7 – most upside
7 – LOOKIN AT MAC – lots of upside too – won only Parx race by 19
3 – AMERICA’S HONOR – consistent – Top PAR+ with the biggest in race edge +7 LS
1 – BEALE STREET BOY – Ness and Sanchez – 3rd up and drops
Rich’s Suggested Wager
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,7/3,5,6,7/2,4,6/1,3,5
Race 3 – Female
6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, Inside 3
Terry’s Picks
5 – Relevate: Finished in the money in 4 out of the last 5 races, winning 1; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
7 – Maclean’s Lullaby: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race, winning the previous race; Likes the distance.
1 – Aboltofsecondwind: Rail post is winning at 19% clip; Early speed running style helps chances so returning to a sprint should help.
Longshot:
6 – Crown Royal Babe: High % winning trainer wins 24% in the 2nd race after claim; Blinkers added today; Strong jockey stats.
Alternates:
2 – Smokin Hot Wife
3 – Critical Magic
Rich’s Picks
5 – RELEVATE – most upside and one of 2 YES horses
7 – MACLEAN’S LULLABY – maybe a Track Dropper – better EP last put
3 – CRITICAL MAGIC – TLRSP# +3 and Top TOTAL PACE – other YES – potential Lone E
6 – CROWN ROYAL BABE – could be on the lead – left arrow horse – bullet work prepping
Race 4 – Female
1 Mile – Early Speed, Rail Bonus, Others Mostly Fair
Terry’s Picks
2 – Extrasexyzqteepeye: Finished in the money in 6 out of the last 7 races, winning 2; Early speed running style helps chances.
4 – Briscoe County: 2nd last out; top last-race speed rating; trainer wins 19% sprint-to-route; high-percentage jockey.
5 – Astrid: Won 2 races in a row going for hat trick; Can handle the distance.
Longshot:
7 – Lady Sriracha: Ran 2nd in last race; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
Alternates:
6 – Dadoo
3 – Joyful Joyce
Rich’s Picks
4 – BRISCOE COUNTY – potential pacesetter – tops many Smart Stats – bad trip in last
6 – DADOO – only YES horse with the most upside – better EP/Fractions – lone Dropper
2 – EXTRASEXYZQTEEPEYE – better 5 ways in last – ES vs mostly closers
7 – LADY SRIRACHA – tough call over the 5 – but much better Parx numbers
Rich’s Suggested Wager
$2 Exacta Key Box: 4/2,6,7
Race 5
7 Furlongs – Early Speed, Strong Inside 3
Terry’s Picks
5 – Keeping It Country: Having a good career wining 23% of the races; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
3 – First Money: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Highest last race speed rating (tie); Can go the distance.
1 – Action Hero: Ran 3rd vs similar in last race; Rail post is winning at 24% clip; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
Longshot:
2 – Modica: Drops in class today; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
Alternates:
7 – Majestic Lion
4 – Lunar Rocket
Terry’s Suggested Wager
$20.00 Win: 5
$5.00 Exacta Box: 3/5
$5.00 Exacta: 5/1,2,3
Cost: $45.00
Rich’s Picks
3 – FIRST MONEY – Top PAR+ horse and C ZONE – SIM FAV – could pop in 2nd UP
5 – KEEPING IT COUNTRY – Top TOTAL PACE +5 with +8 LS and drops
1 – ACTION HERO – Paco – YES horse – major move forward in last – tends to pair
2 – MODICA – most upside in the race – biggest class dropper – but tr 0/35 – route to sprint
Race 6
6 Furlongs – Early Speed, Small Inside 3
Terry’s Picks
3 – Strawberry Treat: Finished in the money in 9 out of the last 10 races, winning 5; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
10 – Float On: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 68% of the races, winning 23% of the starts and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 66% of the races, winning 21% of the starts.
9 – Frost Mountain: Won last race at PARX Racing; Highest last race speed rating; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Amusing Mischief: Won 2 races in a row going for hat trick; Strong trainer and jockey stats; Good 5F workout (Oct-03).
Alternates:
7 – Liberte de Bayeux
6 – Cojelo Pa Ti
Terry’s Suggested Wager
$20.00 Win: 3
$5.00 Exacta Box: 3/10
$5.00 Exacta: 3/5,7,9,10
Cost: $50.00
Rich’s Picks
9 – FROST MOUNTAIN – Top SIM SP# +7 and Top TOTAL PACE +5
4 – NANCY MADE MY DAY – could be on the pace – big 2nd up pops
10 – FLOAT ON – Paco with the best Parx numbers – most consistent
6 – COJELO PA TI – most upside – big run in last – regression threat – folds when challenged
Rich’s Suggested Wager
$2 Exacta Key Box: 9/3,4,6,10
Race 7 – Female
5 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, Rail Bonus – the rest Fair Enough
Terry’s Picks
6 – Mommy Makeover: First-time starter; dam produced 4 winners from 6 starters, including 1 stakes winner; trainer wins 19% of dirt starts; bred for today’s sprint; bullet 4F workout Oct. 2.
4 – Vandalism: Ran 2nd in only start; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Tengo Esperanza: First-time starter; Dam has 5 winners from 7 starters and 1 stakes winner; Breeding suits today’s sprint distance; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
Longshot:
3 – Flying Free: Finished 3rd vs tougher in only start; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternates:
2 – Yourownspecialway
5 – Peaches N Dreams
Terry’s Suggested Wager
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,5,6,7/1/3/All – Cost $30.00
Rich’s Picks
7 – TENGO ESPERANZA – 2nd Rated 1ster with a Back Bullet
6 – MOMMY MAKEOVER – 3rd Rated 1ster with BGO and Back Bullet
5 – PEACHES N DREAMS – Top Rated 1ster
3 – FLYING FREE – 2nd race Parability and drops
Rich’s Suggested Wager
$0.50 Pick 4: 3,5,6,7/4,6/1,3/4,5,8,9
Race 8
1 Mile 70 Yards – Early Speed, all but 2/3 Good
Terry’s Picks
1 – Our Notion: 6th as favorite last out after trouble; high % winning trainer wins 30% with beaten favorites; Has a high % winning jockey; Rail post is winning at 21% clip.
6 – Donnelly’s Hollow: Finished 3rd in last race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
4 – Drum Roll Please: Finished in the money in the last 4 races, winning 1; Strong trainer stats; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
3 – Time Tested: Won 2 races in a row going for hat trick; Can handle the distance; Strong jockey stats.
Alternates:
7 – Party With Smarty
5 – Cody Pass
Terry’s Suggested Wager
$20.00 Win: 1
$5.00 Exacta Box: 1/6
$5.00 Exacta: 1/3,4,6,7
Cost: $50.00
Rich’s Picks
6 – DONNELLY’S HOLLOW – Paco – 3rd up and just missed last out with killer LP
4 – DRUM ROLL PLEASE – most upside – most consistent – top SIM Speed #
1 – OUR NOTION – Sanchez – Ness – might need the lead – might not get it
7 – PARTY WITH SMARTY – standout C ZONE and more distance helps
Rich’s Suggested Wager
$1 Pick 3: 6/1,3/4,5,8,9
Race 9 – Female
7 Furlongs – Early Speed, Strong Inside 3
Terry’s Picks
3 – Lady Annabelle: Won last 6 races in a at PARX Racing; Drops in class today; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
6 – Pachelbel: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 72% of the races, winning 26% of the starts and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 77% of the races, winning 31% of the starts.
7 – Nature’s Candy: Has a high % winning and jockey; Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance can be a plus.
Longshot:
1 – Presenceisapresent: Finished in the money in 3 races out of 4 career starts, winning 2; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
Alternates:
8 – Thisgirlsgotchill
5 – Carousel Queen
Rich’s Picks
3 – LADY ANNABELLE – TLRSP# +5 – SIM SP# +5 – Top TOTAL PACE +10 – Top C ZONE
1 – PRESENCEISAPRESENT – most lightly raced – untapped potential
7 – NATURE’S CANDY – biggest class dropper – winner 3/4 at the distance – 2nd up regresser
6 – PACHELBEL – Paco on the horse with the most upside – triple digit ability
Rich’s Suggested Wager
$2 Double: 1,3/4,5,8,9
Race 10
5 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, Rail Bonus – the rest Fair Enough
Terry’s Picks
2 – Cannonbury: Ran 2nd vs similar in only start; Highest last race speed rating; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Strong trainer stats.
7 – Schubert Sonata: Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Has a high-percentage trainer and jockey.
9 – Valhalla: First time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 2 starters and 1 stakes winner Breeding suits today’s sprint distance; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
Longshot:
5 – Prayed Up: First time starter whose Breeding suits today’s sprint distance; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternates:
1 – Parfiveintwo
3 – Chef Sparrow
Rich’s Picks
4 – PENNILESS PAULY – longshot 1ster with bullet and go
8 – HOSTILITY – Top Rated 1ster – but all in the same neighborhood
9 – VALHALLA – 2nd Rated 1ster – Pletcher and Kendrick? WTH are they doing here?
5 – PRAYED UP – 3rd Rated 1ster
Rich’s Suggested Wager
$1 Exacta Box: 4,5,8,9
Terry’s Best Bet of the Day
PARX Racing – Race 8 – #1 Our Notion
1 – Our Notion: 6th as favorite last out after trouble; high % winning trainer wins 30% with beaten favorites; Has a high % winning jockey; Rail post is winning at 21% clip.
Terry’s Best Bet Wagers
$20.00 Win: 1
$5.00 Exacta Box: 1/6
$5.00 Exacta: 1/3,4,6,7
Cost: $50.00
