PARX Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Picks
Terry’s Picks
Race 1-Female
5 – Winnie Mae: Finished 3rd vs tougher in only start, drops in class today and has a top trainer.
7 – Extrasexyzqteepeye: Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and gets a leading trainer and jockey.
2 – Polar Magic: She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 2 winners from 2 starters and 1 stakes winner and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Coppedge: She is a first-time starter and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
6 – Shaunnasaprilfool
Race 2–Female
9 – Melittlefrostgirl: Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Highest last race speed rating (tie) and has a top trainer.
1 – Shudabeenacowgirl: Runner-up against stronger rivals last out; benefits from a favorable rail post (28%-win rate); drops in class; suited to shorter distance; tied for best dirt speed among today’s entries.
2 – Champagne Mischief: Won last race at Monmouth Park, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Savannah Georgia: Won last race at PARX Racing, early speed running style helps chances and likes the distance.
Alternate:
5 – Treasure Peace
$.50 Pick 4:1,2,5,6,9/1,3/,3,4,5,6,7/2,3 – Cost $50.00
Race 3-Female
3 – Charm of the Song: Finished in the money in 5 races out of the last 7 starts, winning 3, including the last race; Drops in class today; Has a high-percent winning trainer and can handle the distance.
1 – Sofster: Placed third in last race; rail post wins 19%; holds top speed at today’s distance; matches fastest dirt speed and has a leading trainer.
4 – Mo’s Vino Mesa: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race and highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
7 – Angelic Storm: Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Phone Eats First
Race 4
5 – It’s Game Time: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a top-winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Zap Motion: He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 50% of the races, winning 17% of the starts and distance will not be a problem as she has finished in the money in 50% of the races, winning 19% of the starts.
4 – Under the Radar: Highest speed figure at today’s distance and has done well in the past at today’s distance.
Longshot:
6 – Remarkable Mo: Drops in class today.
Alternate:
7 – Teewinot Pass
$.50 Pick 4:3,4,5,6/2,3/1,3,5,6,7,8/2,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
3 – Freedom Road: Has won 8 races out of the last 10 starts; Has a high-percent trainer and jockey; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – No Easy Days: Ran 2nd and then wins the next race two times in a row and finished 2nd in his last race so if he follows the pattern, he will win the next start and has a top-winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Normandy Hero: Finished in the money in 3 races out of the last 5 starts, winning 3 races; Drops in class today; Has a bullet 4F workout (Oct-07).
Longshot:
5 – Tap in Formation: Has won 3 races out of the last 4 starts; Has a high-percent trainer and jockey; Drops in class today.
Alternate:
7 – Dr Bayter
Bet: $20.00 Win: 3 – $10.00 – Exacta Box: 2,3 – $10.00 Exacta:3/2,5,6 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 2,3,6
Race 6–Female
8 – Dress Like Coco: Drops in class today; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high-percent trainer and jockey.
7 – Research Triangle: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest last race speed rating; Has a leading trainer and jockey.
1 – Wesawtaylorinparis: Rail post wins 28% of the time; drops in class today. Finished fourth last race as favorite, now with a trainer winning 22% with returning beaten favorites.
Longshot:
5 – Eake: First-time starter whose Dam has 4 winners from 6 starters and 1 stakes winner; Breeding suits today’s sprint distance; Has a high % trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Zephyr’s Jewel
3 – Minxzraggztorichez
Race 7
2 – Devil’s Cay: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey and Highest last race speed rating (tie).
8 – Runyonesque: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Highest last race speed rating (tie); Has a trainer who wins 17% of the races when shipping a horse in.
7 – Smoke Wagon: Has a high % winning trainer who wins 24% of the races when taking a horse from a route to a sprint and has a high % winning jockey and the shorter distance offers hope for improvement.
Longshot:
1 – Action Hero: Finished in the money in 4 races out of the last 6 starts, winning 2 races and has a high % jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Amore d’Oro
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,7,8/1,2,4,5 /1,6/1,7,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 8
1 – Mister Me: Finished 2nd against stronger; owns today’s top dirt speed; rail wins 28% of the time; drops in class; features a high-percentage trainer-jockey pair.
5 – Ponder and Dream: Finished third against stronger competition; Trainer wins 22% of Maiden Sp Wt races; Drops in class with a strong jockey.
4 – Racetrack Romance: Debut runner; dam produced 3 winners from 3 starters; bred for sprints; top trainer and jockey; recent bullet 3F workout (Oct-07).
Longshot:
2 – Fine Diamond: Ran 2nd vs similar in only start and has a top trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Connor’s Crew
3 – Our Notion
Race 9-Female
6 – Up N Runnin: Finished in the money her 5 last starts, winning 1 race, running 2nd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today and has a top trainer and jockey.
1 – Glows in the Dark: Finished 3rd against tougher last time; Rail post wins 20% of the time; drops in class today. Trainer wins 23% of sprint-to-route starts, top jockey aboard.
4 – Racey Ruby: Finished in the money in 6 her 7 last starts, winning 3 races; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; High % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Irish Banba: He won last race at PARX Racing; High % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – More Ransom
Race 10-Female
7 – Ahsad: Drops in class today; High % winning trainer and jockey and likes the distance.
8 – Catire Vizcaya: She has a High % winning trainer and can handle the distance.
1 – Major Thomas: She won two races out of the last 3 starts; High % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Khopesh: She drops in class today and has a High % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Union Lights
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 5th Race – #3 – Freedom Road
Rich’s Picks
Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 46% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Fair
1 – SOMEMUNNY TO LOVE – strong rail – basically the same ranking as the 3 – but tr better in MSW
7 – EXTRASEXYZQTEEPEYE – just missed last out at this level
2 – POLAR MAGIC – 1st timer – not rated as high as the 3 – but better works
3 – UPTOWN ART – 2nd Rated 1ster vs all noes
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,2,3,7
Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 46% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Fair
2 – CHAMPAGNE MISCHIEF – Z Pattern – faster by a second in her last
1 – SHUDABEENACOWGIRL – biggest class dropper – 2 lengths – better ES
9 – MELITTLEFROSTGIRL – the last of the 3 YES horses – better ATB and drops
8 – AMELIORATE – just needs to repeat her last race – maintenance work to stay sharp
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,2,8,9/1,3,4,5/5,6/3,5,6
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
1 – SOFSTER – could be pacesetter as a YES horse – best C ZONE – cut back in distance helps
4 – MO’S VINO MESA – SIM FAV, Top Total Pace with the biggest in race advantage +14 LP
3 – CHARM OF THE SONG – only class dropper – ok works prepping for 1st since July
5 – PHONE EATS FIRST – usually comes off the bench ready – strong works
Race 4: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 28% w2w – PP: Outside in – 4+ Same Bonus
5 – IT’S GAME TIME – LRSP#+12 – Pennington and Ness – could be better in 2nd up
6 – REMARKABLE MO – could be pacesetter +7 EP and has Top Total Pace +12
7 – TEEWINOT PASS – a YES horse that could be longest shot in a 5 horse race
4 – UNDER THE RADAR
$0.50 Pick 4: 5,6/3,6/2,4,5,6,7,8/2,3,4,6
Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair
3 – FREEDOM ROAD – Parx 4/3-0-1 – distance 6/4-1-1 – fast works prepping – not in for a $$
6 – NORMANDY HERO – heavy SIM FAV – Top Total Pace – Sanchez Ness
5 – TAP IN FORMATION – is a neck away from winning 4 in a row and should be forward
2 – NO EASY DAYS – could be the pacesetter with one of the top C ZONES – Parx 5/1-4-0
Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 46% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Fair
6 – ZEPHYR’S JEWEL – just going to take all the first timers – but 7/8 do scare me on bounce back races in 3rd career starts – because bounce backs could go past par
4 – MAYE’S MISFIT
2 – SHOW EM UP
5 – EAKE
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,4,5,6
Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair
2 – DEVIL’S CAY – Sanchez and Ness – highly consistent performer
3 – REBEL INVASION – much better EP in last – strong chance to be pacesetter
6 – AMORE D’ORO – run back to Aug 18th at Parx and it’s a wrap – maybe better in 3rd up
4 – CISCO KID – SIM FAV – strong PAR+ – trainer hits at 24% in 2nd off the claim
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,6/1,4,5,7/1,4/2,7,8
Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 46% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Fair
1 – MISTER ME – Lone YES and 2nd race parability with rail bonus
5 – PONDER AND DREAM – well bet in debut with 2nd race parability – solid work
4 – RACETRACK ROMANCE – 3/3 first timer – solid works
7 – CONNOR’S CREW – 2.98 first timer also good works
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,4,5,7
Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Same Discount
1 – GLOWS IN THE DARK – TLRSP# +6 and Top Total Pace +5 – Lone Dropper
4 – RACEY RUBY – SIM FAV and 1 of 2 YES horses – plenty of LP and could be involved from the jump
2 – MORE RANSOM – Other YES and consistent Ness horse that won last going 3 wide
6 – UP N RUNNIN – finally healthy horse making 2 starts in a row for only the 2nd time – drops
Race 10: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Small Bonus, 8+ Almost Fair
8 – CATIRE VIZCAYA – TLRSP# +5, great chance to be out front with top C ZONE
7 – AHSAD – cut back in distance helps – Z Pattern in last, most LP and Top Total Pace
2 – RENEGADE SERENADE – SIM FAV & longshot that ran faster by about a second in his last
6 – UNION LIGHTS – tough call over the 1 – not a fan of Penn Shippers – and the 6 ran about a second faster last out
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,6,7,8
$5 Exacta Key Box: 8/1,2,5,6,7
