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PARX Racing Picks and Analysis – September 22, 2025

PARX Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers

Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Finger Lakes – https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt

Free PARX Racing Picks

Terry’s Picks

PARX Racing – 9-22 -2025

Race 1

2 – Scheduling Dude: Was third as the favorite last time, now with a trainer who wins 35% with beaten favorites. Has the best dirt speed of today’s field.

7 – Save a Prayer: Has won 3 races out of 8 starts at PARX Racing; high-performing trainer and jockey.

4 – Soar Richard: Finished 3rd in last race; Early speed running style helps chances and he has a trainer who wins 24% of the claiming races he has a horse competing in.

Longshot:

3 – Omey Island: Ran 2nd in last race; Highest last race speed rating and has an effective trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

8 – Tempo Ride

5 – Jackson’s Legacy

$.50 Pick 4: 2/7/4/ 5,6,7/2,3,4,6/3,5,7– Cost $40.50

Race 2

5 – King Freud: Was second as the favorite last time, has a trainer who wins 32% with beaten favorites returning to race and has high % winning Jockey Paco Lopez.

6 – Earl of Dassel: Placed in both starts at PARX Racing; trained by a high-percentage trainer who wins 57% of claiming races when dropping a horse two or more classes.

7 – Nimmo: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances.

Longshot:

1 – Nixon Joy: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances.

Alternate:

3 – Zoppi Fischbein

$.50 Pick 4: 1,5,6,7/2,3,4,6/3,5,7/6,7 – Cost $48.00  

Race 3

2 – Aula: Has a High % winning trainer; Drops in class today; Highest speed figure at today’s distance and has the best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

6 – Jayjaydee: Performs well at PARX Racing, finishing in the money 47% of the time and winning 24% of starts. She also handles the distance, with 65% in-the-money finishes and 41% wins.

4 – Deplane: Won last race; Highest last race speed rating; Can go the distance.

Longshot:

3 – October Bliss: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; has a high-percentage winning trainer; can handle the distance.

Alternate:

5 – Rackataptap

Race 4Female

5 – Saint Grace: Knocking at the door finishing 2nd in the last three races and has a high-percentage winning jockey.

7 – Lil Miss Lollipop: Class drop today; top last-race speed rating; returns to dirt and is trained by a high-percentage winner.

3 – Young and Pretty: Ran 3rd last out against similar; has today’s top dirt speed and gets a leading trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

4 – Hurricane Jane: Third last out; longer distance could help.

Alternate:

2 – Alice Fantastic

$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,5,7/6,7/3,4,5,6,9/3,6 – Cost $50.00

Race 5

6 – Nostalgia’s Smile: Won 2 races in a row going for a hat trick and has high % winning Jockey Paco Lopez.

7 – Smokey Places: Has an early foot so the cutback in distance will be a plus and is handled by a trainer with strong win rates.

5 – Irish Tenor: Drops in class today; trainer wins 25% in second starts after a claim. Shares fastest dirt speed among today’s starters.

Longshot:

1 – Fortheloveofrun: Rail post is winning at a 30% clip and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).

Alternate:

8 – Maliblue

3 – Aves Makin’ Waves

Race 6

5 – Lasso: Drops in class for a PARX Racing debut with a leading trainer and jockey.

9 – The Grayt Pumpkin: Finished in the money in the last 4 races, winning one of the starts; handled by a trainer with strong win rates and switches to a high % winning jockey.

4 – Abadin: Finished in the money in the last 3 races, winning the last start; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters

Longshot:

6 – Nicole’s King: Won last race at PARX Racing and has a high-percentage winning trainer.

Alternate:

3 – Financial Strength

$.50 Pick 4: 3,4,5,6,9/3,6/2,7/1,2,3,4,8 – Cost $50.00

Race 7Female

3 – Old Head: Performs well at PARX Racing, finishing in the money 71% of the time and winning 26% of starts. She also handles the distance, with 82% in-the-money finishes and 27% wins.

6 – Dream Chaser: Was second as the favorite last time, has a trainer who wins 32% with beaten favorites returning to race; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; has a high-percentage winning jockey.

4 – Bound by Destiny: Drops in class; trained by a 27% winning ship-in trainer and owns today’s top dirt speed.

Longshot:

5 – So Swell: Drops in class; she has a trainer who wins 17% of the claiming races he has a horse competing in and has the highest last race speed rating.

Alternate:

1 – K D Kakes

7 – Forest Maiden

Race 8-Female

7 – Jeanne Marie: Finished in the money in 5 of her last 7 races, with 2 wins; has a trainer with a 23%-win rate in Allowance races and top jockey Paco Lopez.

2 – Beautiful Blome: Won 2 races in a row going for a hat trick, has a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races when shipping a horse in to compete; has a high-percentage winning jockey.

5 – Mia Tosca: Finished 3rd in last race, benefits from top trainer and jockey and she has a good 4F workout (Sep-13).

Longshot:

6 – Warrior’s Ransom: Ran 2nd in last race; has the best dirt speed, is fastest among today’s starters and has a high-percent winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

1 – Miss Anna Bella

4 – Beautifulcrazygirl

Bet: $20.00 Win: 7 – $10.00 – Exacta Box: 2,7 – $10.00 Exacta:7/2,5,6 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 2,5,7

Race 9Female

8 – Lino and Me: Switches to a high % jockey, has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races when dropping a horse down 2+ classes; should improve while returning to dirt.

1 – Little Squeeze: Switches to a high% trainer; Can improve at the shorter distance; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.

3 – Hard Spice: Finished 2nd vs tougher in last race and has a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

2 – Fifty Nine Fifty: Finished 3rd in her last race and has a high-percentage winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

4 – Starship Legend

5 – Spooky Gal

Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #7 – Jeanne Marie

Rich’s Picks

Race 1: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount, Inside Better than Outside

4 – SOAR RICHARD – Top Total pace, track dropper and it’s all in the name

7 – SAVE A PRAYER – should be out front – biggest class dropper – 3rd up Paco – prefers fast

2 – SCHEDULING DUDE – potential pacesetter vs field of mid and back – Track dropper

3 – OMEY ISLAND – another track dropper with TLRSP#+ 3 – better ATB and 3rd up

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,7/5,6,7/3,4/2,3,5,7

Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair

5 – KING FREUD – maybe too much ES, SIM FAV, Top Total Pace +5 – Track Dropper

7 – NIMMO – better fractions in last – sort of horse for course 2/9  and 0/12 elsewhere

6 – EARL OF DASSEL – very steady performer – closer, Parx 2/0-1-1

3 – ZOPPI FISCHBEIN – only YES horse – got to have him – doesn’t win much 2/50

$0.50 Pick 4: 5,6,7/3,4/2,3,5,7/5,6,7,8

Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair

3 – OCTOBER BLISS – wins when he gets the lead by himself – that could happen here – Top C ZONE

4 – DEPLANE – TLRSP#+10 – faster fractions and tends to pair up strong efforts

2 – AULA – Z Pattern and the most back class

6 – JAYJAYDEE – Top Total Pace  – 5 ways better in last

$5 Exacta Key Box: 3/ALL

Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair

3 – YOUNG AND PRETTY – 3rd up and just missed at this level last out – big late push

5 – SAINT GRACE – going to the front and Top Total Pace +6 – PARX 3/0-3-0 – last two by a neck and a head

7 – LIL MISS LOLLIPOP – track and class dropper – better EP

2 – ALICE FANTASTIC – SIM FAV – class and track dropper

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3,5,7/6,7/2,3,4,9/5,6,7

Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 48% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Under Par, 8+ Fair

7 – SMOKEY PLACES – likely to be forward – dominated off the bench last time

6 – NOSTALGIA’S SMILE – TLRSP# +14 – Top Total Pace +11 – track dropper Paco

5 – IRISH TENOR – 2nd try at Parx since coming from NYRA – SIM FAV

8 – MALIBLUE – Tons of speed and is could be the speed of the speed

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out

2 – TRACK OF MY TEARS – inside speed in 2nd up – resume says will hold speed longer

3 – FINANCIAL STRENGTH – Track and Lone Class Dropper with Paco

9 – THE GRAYT PUMPKIN – 3SP# increases – flips to Sanchez off the claim

4 – ABADIN – won 1st at Parx last out – DQd – tries again

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,3,4,9

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3,9/5,6,7/5,7/1,2,5,8,10

Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out

6 – DREAM CHASER – better pace – could improve in 2nd up

5 – SO SWELL – TLRSP# +7 – better ATB – catching a little extra distance helps

7 – FOREST MAIDEN – Top Total Pace +7 – last race better than it looks – faster by about a second

3 – OLD HEAD – Pacesetter with 1 length ES edge – need a big rebound in 2nd up

Race 8: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount

7 – JEANNE MARIE – could be the pacesetter – winner 4/8 at Parx – 2 solid works between

5 – MIA TOSCA – Sanchez/Ness – 1st time today – super consistent – faster in last

1 – MISS ANNA BELLA – TLRSP# +3, rerun that last race and it’s a wrap – small regression in second ups

6 – WARRIOR’S RANSOM – faster by about a second and better ATB

Race 9: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount, Inside Better than Outside

1 – LITTLE SQUEEZE – Track and class dropping Yes Horse with Top C Zone and rail edge

2 – FIFTY NINE FIFTY – faster by about 2 seconds in last

8 – LINO AND ME – SIM FAV with by Far top PAR+

5 – SPOOKY GAL – biggest class dropper – on the lead – decent C Zone and YES horse

$5 Exacta Key Box: 1/2,5,8,10

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