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PARX Racing Picks and Analysis – September 30, 2025

PARX Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers

Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Thistledown – https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt

Free PARX Racing Picks

Terry’s Picks

PARX Racing – 9-30 -2025

Race 1

2 – Redoubtableripken: Finished in the money in 2 races out of 4 last starts; and has a top-winning trainer.

6 – Sweet Winner: Ran 2nd in last race; Highest last race speed rating (tie).

8 – Master of Tweets: Has a top-winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

7 – Kerner: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances and his best dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed.

Alternate:

4 – Irish Wish

5 – Craigh Na Dun

$.50 Pick 4: 2,6,7,8/1,3,5,7/1,2,5/2,6 – Cost $48.00 

Race 2

7 – We Ready: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest speed figure at today’s distance and has a top-winning trainer and jockey.

3 – Pogi: Finished in the money in 3 races out of 5 last starts, winning 1 race; Has a top-winning trainer and jockey.

1 – My Devils Child: Won 2 races out of the last 5 starts; Rail post is winning at a 19% clip; Drops in class today and has a top trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

5 – Jayjaydee: Finished 3rd in last race and likes the distance.

Alternate:

2 – Justinspeightofit

$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,5,7/1,5/2,6/2,3,4,6,7 – Cost $50.00  

Race 3

5 – Probationer: Finished 3rd in last race, winning the 2 previous races and has a top-winning trainer.

1 – Max Forward Speed: Finished in the money in 8 races out of 10 last starts, winning 2 races; Rail post is winning at a 19% clip; Has a high-percent trainer and jockey.

2 – Simply Disregarded: Ran 2nd (on Turf) in last race; can improve while returning to dirt and has a top-winning jockey.

Longshot:

7 – One Last Kiss: Finished 2nd but has a trainer has a strong record with returning beaten favorites (25%-win rate) and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

Alternate:

4 – Carnaby

6 – My Kid Syd

Race 4

2 – Practical Coach: Won the last 3 races in a row; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Has a high % trainer and jockey.

6 – Easy Action: He has won his last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, Highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a high % winning jockey.

4 – Paxsational: Won last race at Saratoga; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 33%: of the races when dropping off a win and he has a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

5 – Jebologist: Won 2 races out of the last 3 starts, running 2nd vs similar in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a top trainer.

Alternate:

3 – Go East

7 – Cantaro

$.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5,6/2,3,4,7/3,5,6/1,2 – Cost $48.00

Race 5-Female

2 – Pocket Sand: Finished 4th but has a trainer has a strong record with returning beaten favorites (33%-win rate); Has a high-percentage winning jockey; Blinkers added today.

3 – Kate’s Love: Unsuccessful on turf last time; back to dirt where she’s placed in 4 previous runs and won once. Has the top speed for this distance.

4 – Edge of the Blade: Won last race at PARX Racing and likes the distance.

Longshot:

7 – Leilauni Sue: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

6 – Ringer Card

8 – Butter Kisses

Race 6Female

5 – Ragtap Girl: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race, should improve while returning to a route and has a high percentage winning trainer and jockey.

6 – Tariba Dream: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey and she can handle the distance.

3 – Melody’s Kiss: Ran 2nd in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

Longshot:

1 – Stay Opportunistic: Won last race at Monmouth Park and likes the distance.

Alternate:

2 – You Know Me

4 – Mikey’s Song

$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,5,6/1,2/4,9,10/2,6,7,9 – Cost $48.00

Race 7

1 – Get Set: Finished 2nd last out versus similar; rail post wins 20% of the time; High % winning trainer-jockey combo is 5-4-2 from 16 starts in the past 14 days.

2 – Bermuda Run: Finished in the money in her last 4 starts, with 1 win and has a top trainer and jockey.

5 – Guaponess: Placed in 7 of last 8 races, with 3 wins; features a top trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

7 – Roan Burgundy: At PARX Racing, she places in the money 44% of the time and wins 16%, with strong distance stats – 60% in the money and 30% wins.

Alternate:

3 – Capital Conquest

Bet: $20.00 Win: 1 – $10.00 – Exacta Box: 1,2 – $10.00 Exacta:1/2,5,7 – $5.00 Exacta Key Box: 1/2,5,7

Race 8

4 – Prince Colton: He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 75% of the races, winning 25% of the starts and distance will not be a problem as she has finished in the money in 71% of the races, winning 29% of the starts.

10 – Amedeus Music: Switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey and has a good 4F workout (Sep-23).

9 – Bestsugardaddyever: He has been knocking at the door finishing 3rd in the last 4 starts; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); High % winning trainer-jockey.

Longshot:

8 – Ahsad: Won last race at PARX Racing and has a top trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

3 – Khopesh

7 – Always Gambling

Race 9

6 – Jake Rocks: Won last race and has a top trainer and jockey.

9 – Forward Move: Won last race at Delaware Park; Highest last race speed rating has a top trainer.

4 – Crypt: Finished in the money in 2 races out of 4 last starts, winning 1 race; Has a top-winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

7 – Six Whips: Won last race at PARX Racing and at today’s distance.

Alternate:

3 – Wizard Serrat

Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 7th Race – #1 – Get Set

Rich’s Picks

Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out

7 – KERNER – more stamina in 2nd up

6 – SWEET WINNER – better ATB with faster early fractions – catching a weight break

2 – REDOUBTABLERIPKEN – Michael Pino first off the claim – 27%

5 – CRAIGH NA DUN – Top C ZONE with the biggest in race edge of a length

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,5,6,7/3,7/1,2,5/2,4,5,6
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,5,6,7

Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out

7 – WE READY – strong run in last and better in 2nd – extra ½ f helps

3 – POGI – lone class dropper – $150k NGST and track dropper – SIM FAV

5 – JAYJAYDEE – last better than it looks with faster fractions

2 – JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT – pacesetter – struggles at the distance

$0.50 Pick 4: 3,7/1,2,5/2,4,6/2,5,6,7,8

Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out

2 – SIMPLY DISREGARDED – lone PARX trip is more than good enough – cutting back helps

5 – PROBATIONER – winner 3/5 at PARX – resume says 3rd up should be solid

1 – MAX FORWARD SPEED – move inside helps – win and 2nd at the distance SIM & Top TP

4 – CARNABY – tough call over the 7 – ran faster last out

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,2,4,5

$5 Exacta Key Box: 2/1,4,5,7

Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out

2 – PRACTICAL COACH – by far best PAR+ – winner 3 in a row – all different running styles

6 – EASY ACTION – TLRSP#+ 3, won lone race at PARX with ease – same run = another EZ w

4 – PAXSATIONAL – SIM FAV could be out front with strong C ZONE

5 – JEBOLOGIST – tends to come off the bench ready – 3 solid works

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,4,6/2,5,6,7,8/2,5,6/1,8

Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out

5 – DELICATE – Only YES  horse – we saw a 1/5 only YES horse win yesterday

6 – RINGER CARD – 2nd up improvement – move to Sanchez a tell?

2 – POCKET SAND – pacesetter – second up – 2 works between –

7 – LEILAUNI SUE – just missed at this level last out – resume says more in round 2

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,5,6,7

Race 6: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount

6 – TARIBA DREAM – biggest in race edge of more than a length

5 – RAGTAP GIRL – should hold speed longer in 2nd up – rushed in last – just a cleaner start

2 – YOU KNOW ME – left arrow – pacesetter – better EP in last

3 – MELODY’S KISS – going to be closing – ITM 7/12 at PARX

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,5,6/1,8/1,7,9,10/1,6,9,10

Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out

1 – GET SET – Ness/Sanchez – better ATB with biggest in race edge +6.7 LS

8 – MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT – pacesetter – lone E and best PAR+ and C ZONE

5 – GUAPONESS – PC type that should be close and better in round 2 off the bench

6 – FINAL SHOT – finally healthy horse that has only made 2 starts in a row once before in the past year

Race 8: 1 Mile 70 Yard – Bais: Early Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Similar Discounts

7 – ALWAYS GAMBLING – 3SP# increases – TLRSP# +7 – classic 3rd up

9 – BESTSUGARDADDYEVER – Pennington/Ness in 3rd up – headed in the right direction

1 – RIVALRY – good chance to set the tone on the rail – won at Parx in last after track dropping

10 – AMEDEUS MUSIC – Sanchez/Ness – first run at PArX

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,5,6/1,8/1,7,9,10/1,6,9,10

Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out

9 – FORWARD MOVE – Ness horse that came to life in last – runs well in bunches

6 – JAKE ROCKS – 3rd up and very consistent

1 – COBBLE ROAD – SIM FAV – Top PAR + and Top Total Pace with Rail Edge

10 – CHIP’S FRIEND – chance to be out front – Better ATB with Z Pattern

 $0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,6,9,10

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