Race 1 – 6 Furlongs – Early Inside Speed

Terry’s Picks

3 – Miskita: Finished in the money in the last 3 races; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

6 – Anita Glassofwine: Drops in class today; Strong trainer stats.

2 – Bulma: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Switches to a high %; Strong trainer stats.

Longshot:

4 – Pom Pom: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance should help.

Alternate:

7 – Angel in Blue

Terry’s Suggested Wager

$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,6/4,6/1,2,4,7/3,4,7 – Cost $48.00

Rich’s Picks

4 – POM POM – SIM FAV – should be close to the pace with strong C ZONE

2 – BULMA – TLRSP# +9 – regression coming after major pop in SP#

7 – ANGEL IN BLUE – Sanchez – has some upside in just 4h start – top TOTAL PACE

6 – ANITA GLASSOFWINE – YES horse and one of the biggest droppers

Rich’s Suggested Wager

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,4,6,7/4,6,7,8/2,7/2,3,7

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Race 2 – 6 Furlongs – Early Inside Speed

Terry’s Picks

4 – Lady Sriracha: 3rd as favorite last out; high % winning trainer wins 23% with beaten favorites; top speed at today’s distance; fastest Dirt Speed.

6 – Miss Raucus: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer; Likes the distance.

8 – Sherunsthistown: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest last race speed rating (tie); Has a high % winning trainer 26% in the 2nd race after claim; Can go the distance.

Longshot:

7 – Briscoe County: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest last race speed rating (tie); Has a high % winning trainer; Switches to a high % winning jockey.

Alternate:

1 – Spooky Gal

Terry’s Suggested Wager

$.50 Pick 4: 4,6,7,8/1,2,4,7/4/1,3,4,5,7,8 – Cost $48.00

Rich’s Picks

4 – LADY SRIRACHA – top C ZONE in a chaos race – moving up the speed ladder – most upside

8 – SHERUNSTHISTOWN – Top TOTAL PACE – big improvement in last and more upside

6 – MISS RAUCUS – SIM FAV – top SIM SP# and drops a length

7 – BRISCOE COUNTY – Sanchez in 2nd Up – but 3/0-0-0 at PARX

Rich’s Suggested Wager

$0.50 Pick 4: 4,6,8/2,4,5,7/2,3,4,7/4,5

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Race 3 – 6½ Furlongs – Early Speed, Inside Out

Terry’s Picks

7 – Jesse: Won his debut race at PARX Racing; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

2 – If I Can Dream: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

4 – Alastar: Finished 3rd in last race; Strong trainer stats.

Longshot:

1 – King of the Cross: Won last race; Rail post is winning at 21% clip; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Alternates:

5 – It’s Authentic

3 – Petey Motto

Rich’s Picks

2 – IF I CAN DREAM – only YES horse, better EP/Fractions – drops – Sanchez/Pino – most upside

7 – JESSE – 2nd race upside puts him past PAR – won debut with ease

5 – IT’S AUTHENTIC – Top SIM SP# – better EP/Fractions and drops too

4 – ALASTAR – top TOTAL PACE – regressed a little last out but caught a fast pace

Rich’s Suggested Wager

$5 Exacta Key Box: 2/4,5,7

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Race 4 – 6 Furlongs – Early Inside Speed

Terry’s Picks

4 – Leretha: Finished in the money in 45% of the races at PARX Racing, winning 2 races; Strong trainer stats; Switches to a high % jockey.

7 – Silver City Kitty: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 53% of the races, winning 13% of the starts; Can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 50% of the races, winning 25% of the starts.

3 – Sunlit: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance is plus; Has a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

6 – Seven P R C: Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Alternates:

2 – Disco Flash

1 – Mariah’s Big Girl

Terry’s Suggested Wager

$.50 Pick 4: 3,4,7/1,4,5,8/2,4,5/4,6 – Cost $36.00

Rich’s Picks

7 – SILVER CITY KITTY – Top TOTAL PACE + 8 – Solid SIM SP# advantage – tr 0/17

3 – SUNLIT – TLRPS# +11 in early July – Parx 3/0-1-0

2 – DISCO FLASH – likely forward and one of the few that has fired 1st up

4 – LERETHA – tied for the most back class – a couple of works prepping

Rich’s Suggested Wager

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3,7/4,5/2,4,5/2,3,4,6,7

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Race 5 – 7 Furlongs – Early Speed, Inside Out

Terry’s Picks

4 – Aruma: In the money 6 of last 8, with 1 win; drops in class.

5 – Society Ball: Has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the Sprints; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.

1 – You Know Me: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Rail post is winning at 24% clip.

Longshot:

8 – Golden Philly: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Highest last race speed rating; Drops in class today.

Alternates:

3 – Mikey’s Song

7 – Waitwaitdonttellme

Rich’s Picks

4 – ARUMA – 4 tops most Smart Sheets stats with top TOTAL PACE +7

5 – SOCIETY BALL – most back class and drops

1 – YOU KNOW ME – mostly consistent performer – gets the rail edge

8 – GOLDEN PHILLY – could press early after major improvement last out

Suggested Wager

No suggested wager from Rich.

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Race 6 – 1 Mile 70 Yards – Early Speed, All Solid Except 2/3

Terry’s Picks

2 – Got Game: Won 2 races in a row going for hat trick; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

4 – Chelsea Wall: Finished in the money in 9 out of the last 10 races, winning 4 races; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

5 – Boss Like Beth: Won last race at PARX Racing; Highest last race speed rating (tie); Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Longshot:

6 – Magical Trick: Won 2 of last 4; high-% trainer and jockey.

Alternates:

3 – Ambitiously Placed

7 – Wow Lucky

Terry’s Suggested Wager

$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,5,6,7/4,6/2,4,7,10/1,7 – Cost $48.00

Rich’s Picks

4 – CHELSEA WALL – Ness and Sanchez – won last at Parx by 6½

2 – GOT GAME – Parx 5/4-1-0 – tied for the most upside with the 4

5 – BOSS LIKE BETH – won last big and tends to pair up strong efforts – biggest drop

3 – AMBITIOUSLY PLACED – super consistent – late runner with solid, relative C ZONE

Rich’s Suggested Wager

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,4/2,4,6/4,5,7,8/1,4,7,9

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Race 7 – 1 Mile 70 Yards – Early Speed, All Solid Except 2/3

Terry’s Picks

6 – Pam Pam: Finished in the money in 7 out of the last 9 races, winning 4 races.

4 – Warrior’s Ransom: Ran 2nd in last race; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

2 – Tariba Dream: Finished in the money in the last 6 races, winning 2 races; Has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

3 – Mildoon: Won his last race at PARX Racing; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Alternates:

5 – Literary

7 – Jess’s Moment

Terry’s Suggested Wager

$20.00 Win: 6

$10.00 Exacta Box: 4/6

$10.00 Exacta: 6/2,3,4

$5.00 Exacta Box: 2,4,6

Rich’s Picks

6 – PAM PAM – chaos race – best SIM SP# and upside – Ness horse – distance 6/3-2-0

4 – WARRIOR’S RANSOM – Sanchez and Pino – just missed in last – 2 good works – improves 2nd up

2 – TARIBA DREAM – 3rd up – hasn’t done 3 in a row since NOV – popped back then

3 – MILDOON – SIM FAV and tends to stay in form off a big effort like her last

Suggested Wager

No suggested wager from Rich.

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Race 8 – 1¼ Miles

Terry’s Picks

7 – Sunday Spirit: Won 6 of last 9; high-% trainer and jockey.

4 – Epic Luck: Won last race at Delaware; Early speed running style helps chances.

10 – Nixon Joy: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 62% of the races, winning 33% of the starts; Can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 100% of the races.

Longshot:

2 – Walk Away Joe: Finished 2nd in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternates:

9 – Winning Song

8 – Missouri River

Rich’s Picks

5 – SILENT MODE – SIM FAV – only better 5 way dropper – 3 SP# increases – 1st up OK – top PAR+ and C ZONE leader

7 – SUNDAY SPIRIT – Top TOTAL PACE – killer LP in last – trouble for the rest if involved early

8 – MISSOURI RIVER – won only race close to this length with one of his best performances

4 – EPIC LUCK – most upside in the race – better 5 ways

Rich’s Suggested Wager

$5 Exacta Key Box: 5/4,7,8,10

Race 8 is particularly interesting because Terry and Rich disagree on the top horse. Terry wants #7 Sunday Spirit, while Rich takes #5 Silent Mode on top. The morning line adds another wrinkle: #10 Nixon Joy is the 3-1 favorite, while Silent Mode is 6-1 and Sunday Spirit 5-1.

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Race 9 – 6 Furlongs – Early Inside Speed

Terry’s Picks

1 – Buff Gary: 3rd as favorite last out; high % winning trainer wins 23% with beaten favorites; Drops in class today; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

7 – Matzoball Muhammet: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance is a plus; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.

6 – Onishenko: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Can improve at the shorter distance.

Longshot:

5 – Rogue Prince: Has a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the Maiden Claiming races; Best Dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed.

Alternate:

4 – Silver Punch

Rich’s Picks

1 – BUFF GARY – could be lone E – TLRSP#+4 – with better early fractions

7 – MATZOBALL MUHAMMET – top TOTAL PACE – YES Horse – most back class

9 – ECONOMIC HEADWINDS – early speed – just 3rd race – catching 1st Lasix – decently bet in both starts

4 – SILVER PUNCH – Yes horse that is a class and track dropper

Rich’s Suggested Wager

$5 Exacta Key Box: 1/4,7,9

The morning line supports the confidence in Buff Gary: #1 Buff Gary is the 2-1 morning-line favorite, with #7 Matzoball Muhammet at 9-2.

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Best Bet of the Day

PARX Race 7 – #6 PAM PAM

Terry’s Best Bet of the Day is #6 Pam Pam — and this is one of the strongest points of agreement between Terry and Rich on today’s card.

Terry puts Pam Pam #1, and Rich independently puts Pam Pam #1 as well.

Terry’s angle is consistency: Pam Pam has finished in the money in 7 of her last 9 races while winning four.

Rich’s Smart Sheets analysis adds another layer. He identifies Pam Pam as having the best SIM Speed and upside in what he considers a chaos race. He also points to the distance record: 6 starts, 3 wins, 2 seconds.

The official morning line has Pam Pam at 2-1, making her the morning-line favorite over #4 Warrior’s Ransom at 5-2.

Terry’s Best Bet Wagers

$20 Win – #6 Pam Pam

$10 Exacta Box – 4/6

$10 Exacta – 6/2,3,4

$5 Exacta Box – 2,4,6

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Terry vs. Rich – Strongest Agreement

The strongest feature of today’s Parx card is how often Terry and Rich arrive at the same core contenders even when they rank them differently.

Race 2: Both use 4-6-8-7 as their four main horses. Terry has #4 Lady Sriracha first, and Rich agrees.

Race 3: Both are very interested in #2 If I Can Dream and #7 Jesse. Terry prefers Jesse, while Rich flips them and makes If I Can Dream his top selection.

Race 5: This is essentially complete agreement. Both rank #4 Aruma first, #5 Society Ball second, #1 You Know Me third and #8 Golden Philly fourth. That makes Race 5 one of the most unified opinions on the entire card.

Race 6: Both have #2 Got Game, #4 Chelsea Wall and #5 Boss Like Beth as their three primary horses. Terry favors Got Game while Rich favors Chelsea Wall.

Race 7: This is the biggest agreement of the day. Terry and Rich have the exact same four horses in the exact same order: 6-4-2-3.

Strongest Consensus

#1 – Race 7 #6 PAM PAM – Terry #1 / Rich #1 – BEST BET

#2 – Race 5 #4 ARUMA – Terry #1 / Rich #1

#3 – Race 2 #4 LADY SRIRACHA – Terry #1 / Rich #1

Those are the three horses where Terry’s handicapping and Rich’s Smart Sheets analysis line up most cleanly today.