Parx Racing kicks off Money Monday with a 9-race card on a fast track, setting up the kind of conditions where early speed and positioning can make all the difference. When the surface is playing quick, the action tends to follow—and today looks no different. This full-card breakdown uses Smart Sheets to identify: Horses most likely to be forward at the quarter mile Pace control and race-shape advantages Total Pace and C-Zone standouts Simulated odds compared to the morning line Profile of a Winner indicators based on Parx tendencies With a fast track in play, today’s focus is on: Finding the controlling speed Identifying which runners can sustain their advantage Spotting overlooked contenders that fit the race flow Building strong Pick 4 and vertical tickets Fast track. Fast pace. Fast decisions. 🎥 Watch now and see where the edge is.
🎥 Watch now and see where the edge is.
Founders Club:
Horse Racing Analytics and Handicapping Data – Smart Sheets – July 13, 2026
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Race 1–
4 – David’s Kitten: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the claiming races; Strong jockey stats.
6 – Winning Song: Ran 2nd in last race; Can handle the distance.
3 – Spherification: Won the last 2 races in a row going for a hat trick; Strong trainer stats; Likes the distance.
Longshot:
7 – Tiz the Coast: Finished 3rd in last race; Has a trainer who wins 25% of the races in the1st race after claim.
Alternate:
1 – No Mor Stones
$.50 Pick 4: 3,4,6/3,7/1,2,3,4/1,2,6,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 2-Female
7 – Allenhurst: Finished in the money in the last 8 races, winning 2 races, running 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Strong trainer stats.
3 – Sandy Girl: Won last race at PENN National; Can go the distance.
6 – Formaggio: Won last race; Likes the distance.
Longshot:
1 – Panama Limited: Won the last 2 races in a row going for a hat trick; Rail post is winning at 18% clip; Likes the distance.
Alternate:
5 – Kashmir Witch
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,6,7/1,2,3,4/1,2,6/3,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 3-
4 – Notamistake: Finished 3rd as the favorite in the last race; The high % winning trainer wins 25% with beaten favorites; Strong jockey stats.
3 – Matzoball Muhammet: 2nd vs similar last out; early speed suits shorter trip; fastest dirt speed; high-% jockey.
2 – Warheaded: Trainer wins 17% of the Maiden Claiming races; Best Dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed.
Longshot:
1 – Major Weigelia: Rail post is winning at 27% clip; Lasix & Blinkers added.
Alternate:
6 – Mi Hermano
Race 4–Female
2 – Blame Eve: Comes in from Santa Anitia after finishing 3rd in the last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Anita Glassofwine: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Rail post is winning at 21% clip; Strong trainer stats.
6 – Mo Probable: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Can improve at the longer distance.
Longshot:
7 – Rosie Outlook: Finished 2nd in last race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
Alternate:
3 – Sea Eff P T O
5 – Midwest Princess
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,6,7/1,3,8/2,3,5,6/2,4 – Cost $48.00
Race 5-
3 – Amity Road: Won the last 2 races in a row going for a hat trick; Highest last race speed rating; Strong trainer stats.
8 – Hermoso Hombre: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 54% of the races, winning 14% of the starts; Can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 56% of the races, winning 22% of the starts.
1 – Rerally: Finished in the money in 3 out of the last 4 races, winning 1 race; Switches to a high% winning trainer; Rail post is winning at a 21% clip.
Longshot:
7 – J J’s Ranger: Finished 6th as the favorite in the last race; The high % winning trainer wins 33% with beaten favorites; Drops in class today; Good 5F workout (Jul-03)
Alternate:
4 – Sal N Louie
Race 6-Female
5 – Mamarsha: Comes in from Churchill Downs to try PARX Racing; Likes distance; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
3 – Clean Winner: Won last race at Monmouth; Highest last race speed rating; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Cara’s Dreamweaver: Can improve in 2nd start since layoff; Strong trainer and jockey stats and this Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days (5 2-1-1.
Longshot:
2 – Tiptop: Been the bridesmaid the last 3 starts may become the bride today; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
Alternate:
4 – Spoonbill
7 – Lighten
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,5,6/2,4/5,7/3,4,5,7,8 – Cost $50.00
Race -7-
2 – Impressiveness: Finished in the money in 4 out of the last 5 races, winning 3 race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
4 – Beale Street Boy: Finished in the money in 3 out of the last 4 races, winning 1 race; Drops in class today; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
6 – Flash of Chaos: Won 1 race out of the last 3 starts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Point Barrow: Won last race; Rail post is winning at 20% clip; High-% trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Coach Rudy
Race-8-
5 – Youbetterbejoking: Won the last 2 races in a row going for a hat trick; Strong trainer stats; Likes the distance.
7 – Kick Startness: Won 3races out of the last 5 starts; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Walk Away Joe: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races in 2nd start after claim; Strong jockey stats.
Longshot:
6 – Twentyeighttothree: Finished in the money in the last 4 races, winning 2 races, running 2nd in last race; High-% jockey.
Alternate:
8 – Praetorian Guard
Bet: $20.00 Win: 5 – $10.00 Exacta Box:5/7 – $10.00 Exacta: 5/2,6,7 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 2,5,7
Race 9-Female
8 – Fussy Girl: Finished in the money in 2 races out of the last 3 starts, winning the 2 races; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Fuhgeddaboudit: Won the last 2 races in a row going for a hat trick; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
4 – Moor Strength: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Switches to a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
5 – Leftover Sushi: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
3 – Cruise Missile
6 – Browneyedvalentine
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #5 – Youbetterbejoking
Race 1: 1 1/16 Miles – Outside In Closers
3 – SPHERIFICATION – TLRSP#+3 – AoN – 10/3-0-0- but 2/5 at the Distance
6 – WINNING SONG – closers win – +12 LP and better ATB in last
1 – NO MOR STONES – Pacesetter and strong C ZONE
8 – SMALLCHANGEGEEP – most upside and best average race – track dropper
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,3,6,8/6,7/1,3,4/2,3,6,7
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Inside Early Speed
7 – ALLENHURST – Top TOTAL PACE +8 and PC vs all Speed – Top C ZONE – fits
6 – FORMAGGIO – TLRSP# +4 in first PARX run – peak race risk or horse for the course?
1 – PANAMA LIMITED – only 5 ways better last out and could test the pace
2 – BROAD STROKES 3SP# increases – big win in last
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,6,7/1,4/2,3,6,7/3,5,7,8
Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, Rail and 8+
4 – NOTAMISTAKE – YES horse down in class +6 SIM SP#
1 – MAJOR WEIGELIA – only MSW dropper with +7 TOTAL PACE
3 – MATZOBALL MUHAMMET – Last YES horse with the 4 and better PAR+
6 – MI HERMANO – some betting value and possibly longest shot in 5 horse race
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Early Speed, All Good Except 2/3
2 – BLAME EVE – only YES horse = Mandatory and drops
6 – MO PROBABLE – Top TOTAL Pace of 2 lengths
3 – SEA EFF P T O – MSW dropper – 2nd race upside and on the lead
7 – ROSIE OUTLOOK – standout C ZONE
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3,6/3,7,8/2,5,6/1,2,4
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Early Speed, All Good Except 2/3
3 – AMITY ROAD – 3SP# increases – TLRSP#+ 9
8 – HERMOSO HOMBRE – Most Upside and Drops
7 – J J’S RANGER – cannot overlook that early race edge with standout C ZONE
5 – FAST BOB – Top TOTAL PACE +6
$5 Exacta Key Box: 3/5,7,8
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Inside Early Speed
5 – MAMARSHA – tops many of the key Smart Sheet scores – CD Track Dropper
2 – TIPTOP – most upside in the race
6 – CARA’S DREAMWEAVER – Standout C ZONE with best average race
3 – CLEAN WINNER – consistent track dropper – Maybe 5 – could be lone E
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,5,6/1,2/2,5,6/2,3,5,6,8
Race 7: 1 Mile – Early Speed – Mostly Fair PPs
2 – IMPRESSIVENESS – TLRSP# +6 in May – bullet work prepping for Ness
1 – POINT BARROW – Top TOTAL pace of more than a length with top C ZONE
4 – BEALE STREET BOY – on the lead with the most upside – another Ness horse
7 – COACH RUDY – tough call over the rest – just a little better Smart Sheet #s overall
$5 Exacta Key Box: 2/1,4,7
Race 8: 1 Mile – Early Speed – Mostly Fair PPs
5 – YOUBETTERBEJOKING – SIM FAV on the PACE as top C ZONE
6 – TWENTYEIGHTTOTHREE – Top TOTAL PACE of a length – good value and C ZONE
2 – WALK AWAY JOE – only Better ATB – staying put all others class risers
7 – KICK STARTNESS – Ness Horse in the 3rd up – winner 4/7 at the distance and 4/23 at others
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Inside Early Speed
3 – CRUISE MISSILE – YES horse with Better EP/FRACTIONS and Drops
8 – FUSSY GIRL – killing it at Parx since coming from Tampa – did regress a little on last
2 – NEVER SWAY – grades out well in almost all Smart Sheets categories
5 – LEFTOVER SUSHI – Lone E YES horses on the lead and drops
$5 Exacta Key Box: 3/2,5,6,8
