Parx Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Parx on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Mahoning Valley
PARX Horse Racing Tips and Comments
Race 1
8 – Abidale – She has won two out of the last four races, running 2nd vs similar in her last race, has a high % winning trainer and jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (16 7-2-1).
2 – Moonchild – She has an early foot finishing 3rd vs similar in her last race and has a high % winning trainer who wins 29% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and has a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has won two out of eight races.
3 – Tiz a Sharpie – She is a closer who ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Longshot:
4 – Summary Judgment – She has finished in the money in her last four races, winning one and running 2nd in her last race.
Alternate:
5 – Solemn Oath
1 – Chelsea Wall
Bet: $1.00 DD: 2,3,4,8 / 3,7
Race 2
7 – Mizzen Man – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Porsupuesto – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has a high % winning trainer who in the last 14 days has this record (8 3-1-0).
10 – Saint Marco – He has been knocking at the door finishing in the money in his last four races, running 2nd in his last race and earning the highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
1 – Maxim Moment – He competed in his first race at PARX Racing and finished a nice 2nd.
Alternate:
4 – Forty Comets
5 – Wheresthepassion
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 2nd race #3,7,10- 3rd race # 1,4,6- 4th race # 1- 5th race #3,5,6,7
Race 3
4 – Osprey– He is perfect at PARX Racing winning three out of his three starts here, likes the distance and has high % winning trainer Michael Moore.
6 – Strugar – He can either lead or come from off the pace to win a race and has high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Diesel – He has won four out of his last five races, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and drops in class today.
Longshot:
5 – Portal One – He has been off for 2-months but likes PARX Racing winning three out of five starts and a 3rd in his last start and has a decent workout on Feb. 1st.
Alternate:
3 – Commissioner G
8 – Yes It’s Roo
Bet: None
Race 4
1 – Prince Filip – He likes the track finishing in the money in 72% of the races, winning 36% of the starts and can handle the distance finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 33% of the starts.
5 – He Hate Me – He has finished in the money in five out of the six races, winning three of the races finishing a disappointing 4th in his last but had an excuse as off slowly and steadied.
2 – Redeem Eddie – He switches to a high % winning jockey and has a good 4F workout (Feb-06).
Longshot:
8- Puttheglassdown – He had trouble in his last race has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Prince James
7 – Sneakiness
Bet: $5.00 Win # 1
Race 5
7 – Allpaidup – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race and drops in class today.
9 – Gris Tormenta – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and has the highest last race speed rating.
4 – Bold’n Naughty – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race.
Longshot:
10 – Diane’s Comet – She should improve at today’s sprint distance as she likes to go to the front and lead to the finish line.
Alternate:
5 – Crazy Serena
6 – Shewearsthepants
Race 6
2 – High Velocity – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and the jockey in the last 7 days has this record (16 7-2-1).
5 – Breithorn – He ran 2nd in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and has a trainer who in the last 14 days has won three out of four races and a 2nd.
4 – Golden Spoke – He does well at PARX Racing finishing in the money in 52% of the races, winning 14% of the starts and can handle the distance finishing in the money in 58% of the races, winning 25% of the starts.
Longshot:
1- Rejected Again – He drops in class today; he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
6 – Strum and Pluck
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 6th race #2,4,5 – 7th race # 4,6,7 – 8th race # 2,3,9 – 9th race #3,9
Race 7
4 – B B Bad – He has finished in the money in his last four races, winning two of the races and can handle the distance.
7 – Hoopla – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has a trainer who wins 40% of the races when he drops a horse off a claim.
6 – In Sky We Trust – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has won two out of two starts.
Longshot:
5 – Ego Man – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
1 – Easy Day
8 – Hushion
Bet: None
Race 8
9 – Social Group – He has finished in the money in his last seven races, winning two and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
3 – Wizard Serrat – He has won three races out of the last six races, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and a high % winning trainer.
2 – Paradise Pride – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint to route and the jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (16 7-2-1).
Longshot:
7 – Lavery – He ran 2nd in his last race at PARX Racing.
Alternate:
5 – Roan Mountain
6 – Stay Hydrated
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 8th race #2,3,9 – 9th race # 1,3 – 10th race # 1,5,8 – 11th race #3,5,12
Bet: $9.00 Win # 9
Race 9
1 – Date Night Kisses – She has won two races out of the last three races; the rail post is winning at a 25% clip, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Mercy Mercy – She has won the only race she has competed in at PARX Racing and drops in class today.
6 – Flashndynamite – He drops in class today has a high % winning trainer and the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Longshot:
7 – Chronology – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race at PARX Racing.
Alternate:
4 – Beach Daze
9 – Ambitiously Placed
Bet: $5.00 Win # 1
Race 10
8 – Twisted Ride – He won his last races at PARX Racing, has a high % winning trainer and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Five Dreams – He has finished in the money in his last seven races, winning three of the races and drops in class today.
4 – Rob the Rich – He finished 3rd in his last race and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Allevare – He won his last races at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Hero Tiger
7 – Jalen Journey
Bet: None
Race 11
5 – Two Color Map – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating and high % winning trainer.
3 – Duck Ducky Goose – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and can handle the distance.
12 – Dadashev – He finished 3rd vs similar in last race.
Longshot:
9 – About the Multiple – He has a jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (8 4-0-1) and returning to a sprint should help.
Alternate:
8 – Primordial Fear
Bet: None
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Strong Rail Bias, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
8 – ABIDALE – Ness/Silvera coming in from Laurel for 3rd off the bench
4 – SUMMARY JUDGMENT – big 10 pound weight break with some early speed
2 – MOONCHILD – PARX 9/3-0-4, BTN FAV last out with better # ATB
7 – CHEWY CHEWY GOOD – could be part of the EP and jockey Silvestre Gonzalez gets off the 6 and 3 to be here
Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta: 2,4,7,8/4,8
Race 2: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 45% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Bonus, 4+ Fairish
7 – MIZZEN MAN – missed by a nose in his last, been really consistent in last 4
10 – SAINT MARCO – TLRSP# , PARX 3/0-1-2 since coming from Maryland tracks
2 – JOVIAL – doesn’t look like it on paper, but measure multiple ways could be pacesetter
6 – SON OF A BEAST – rough trip last out, let’s see if he gets a better one today
Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta: 2,6,7,10/7,10
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalker – 31% w2w – PP: Rail, 4-7 Fair, 2/3 Under Par, 8+ Bonus
1 – DIESEL – got some early wheels, tie TLRSP# and drops
4 – OSPREY – undefeated in three at PARX since coming from Florida
7 – GET THE W – very consistent 10-year-old, other to tie TLRSP#
6 – STRUGAR – couldn’t get past the 7 last out, maybe better in 2nd Parx try
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 1,4,7/1,5
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalker – 31% w2w – PP: Rail, 4-7 Fair, 2/3 Under Par, 8+ Bonus
5 – HE HATE ME – TLRSP# maybe builds on it in 2nd off the bench, +7 LP
1 – PRINCE FILIP – mixed results in round two off the sidelines – +5 EP edge at 4f
2 – REDEEM EDDIE – last better than it looks in the PPs, classic 3rd after a layoff
8 – PUTTHEGLASSDOWN – some regression in last two, bounce back candidate
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 1,5/1,4,5,9,10/2,5/1,6
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalker – 31% w2w – PP: Rail, 4-7 Fair, 2/3 Under Par, 8+ Bonus
9 – GRIS TORMENTA – TLRPSP# with nice closing push in last
5 – CRAZY SERENA – big drop in class after 2 brutal race, is it enough?
10 – DIANE’S COMET – Lone EP horse, maybe better shortening up?
1 – LADY BERNADETTE – early speed with a 10 pound weight break, why not in this spot?
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 5,9/5,9,10/1,4,5,9,10
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalker – 31% w2w – PP: Rail, 4-7 Fair, 2/3 Under Par, 8+ Bonus
2 – HIGH VELOCITY – top EP and Top LP, +6 EP/LP edge
5 – BREITHORN – Left Arrow Horse, tie TLRSP# and wight break today
4 – GOLDEN SPOKE – much faster fractions in last, but fades
1 – REJECTED AGAIN – first two at PARX were horrible, bullet work on Jan 27 says maybe things have changed
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 2,5/1,6/3,9/1,3,7
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalker – 31% w2w – PP: Rail, 4-7 Fair, 2/3 Under Par, 8+ Bonus
1 – EASY DAY – should get the right trip, lone PC, speed to chase, top LP and +6 O edge
6 – IN SKY WE TRUST – trainer Scott Lake winner 5/6 when dropping off a win in 2023
5 – EGO MAN – lone EP horse, better ATB in last effort, potential for upgrade in 3rd off the break
4 – B B BAD – PARX 10/3-3-2, has late push and, again, plenty of burners to catch in here
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,6/1,5,6/1,4,5,6,7
Race 8: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Strong Rail Bias, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
3 – WIZARD SERRAT – much better pace through first half mile in 1st start for tr Alfredo Velazquez
9 – SOCIAL GROUP – claimed constantly, another that bumped up his early effort, +O
2 – PARADISE PRIDE – Ness/Silvera, BTN FAV at higher level, but PARX 3/0-0-0
1 – SKILLFULL – drops to a level that looks like a good fit
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 3,9/1,3,7/6,8/3,5,12,14
Race 9: 1 Mile -Bias: Early Speed – 53% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, Especially Rail
1 – DATE NIGHT KISSES – big rail bonus, when she wins, wins big
7 – CHRONOLOGY – you have to play – big chance to get the lead where 53% go w2w
3 – MERCY MERCY – won lone PARX race with ease, 4 wide through the turns in last, should get a better ride here
6 – FLASHNDYNAMITE – winner 12 of 21 at PARX, odd drop down from OC 45 at AQ where she was competitive
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 1,3,7/8
Race 10: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 31% w2w – PP: Outside In Bias
8 – TWISTED RIDE – Lone E, O+ with big mid moves, PARX 10/4-2-2
6 – ALLEVARE – been off since July, the works getting ready are good though
1 – FIVE DREAMS – Strong speed number trend higher, regressed in last 3rd off the bench
2 – FAST BOB – top LP, enough speed in here, Dexter Haddock and tr Michael Moore 2/2 in 2023, +4.50
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 6,8/1,6,8/1,2,6,8
Race 11: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalker – 31% w2w – PP: Rail, 4-7 Fair, 2/3 Under Par, 8+ Bonus
5 – TWO COLOR MAP – TLRSP# and gets a weight break today
12 – DADASHEV – better fractions in last at 7f vs 6f in the race before
3 – DUCK DUCKY GOOSE – another that ran better fractions last out to and gets a weight break
14 – ANGELUS DIAMOND – 10 pound weight break, tr Felix Flores Coba 23% route to sprint
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,5,12/5,12/3,5,6,12,14
Parx Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
