Parx Racing Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Parx on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Mahoning Valley
Parx Horse Racing Picks and Comments
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
4 – Starship Gotham – He has finished in the money in his last five races at PARX Racing, winning one of the starts and has the highest last race speed rating.
5 – Buster Bruno– He comes in from Penn National to PARX Racing where he has done well in the past and drops in class today.
3 – Whata Guy – He has a high % winning trainer, switches to a high % winning jockey and his best dirt speed are fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Longshot:
2 – Vancouver d’Oro – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
1 – Alonzo Mosely
7 – Liberty Runner
Bet: $1.00 DD: 4,5 / 2,4,7
Race 2
2 – Catalon – She won two out of her last three races, winning her last race at PARX Racing and earning the highest last race speed rating.
4 – Touring Maryanne – She drops in class today and has finished in the money in 100% of her starts at today’s distance.
7 – I Love Magel – Her best dirt speed is fastest than the Avg Winning Speed.
Longshot:
1 – Risen Change – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race.
Alternate:
5 – Tiz Her Way
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 2nd race #1,2,4,7- 3rd race # 5- 4th race # 2,4,5,7,8- 5th race #4
Race 3
5 – Brody’s Code – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, has the highest last race speed rating, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and has a high % Jockey.
3 – Midnight in Alaska She has an early foot; her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and she switches to a high % winning trainer who in the last 14 days has this record (6 2-2-1).
2 – Sundria – She is a first time starter whose Dam has 5 winners from 5 starters and 1 stakes winner, breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a good 4F workout (Feb-14).
Longshot:
4 – Metanoia – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and has a bullet 4F workout (Feb-12).
Alternate:
1 – Mythreebutterflies
6 – Java’s Lucky Lady
$20.00 Win # 5
Race 4
7 – One Pair of Hands – She finished 2nd vs similar in her last race and has a high % winning jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (13 4-2-0).
8 – Inspector Reload – She has finished in the money in the last two races at PARX Racing.
5 – Queen Lucky – She has done well at PARX Racing in the past and at today’s distance and drops in class today.
Longshot:
4- Be Like Beth – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
2 – Scintillating Star
1 – Prospective Candy
Bet: None
Race 5
4 – Forest Fire – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and he has a good 4F workout on Feb-14.
3 – Indirectly – He will close to try and win and has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Drena’s Bullet – He likes Parx.
Longshot:
9 – Strum and Pluck – He drops in class today.
Bet: $.50 Pick 3 – 5th race # 4 – 6th race # 2,4,6,7 – 7th race #3,6,7,8
$8.00 Win # 4
Race 6
4 – Dancing On My Own – She ran 2nd vs similar in only start, has a high % winning trainer, switches to a high % winning jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (12 3-1-2).
7 – Divinary – He finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and has a trainer who wins 21% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse.
3 – Map of Life – She has a high % winning trainer, switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6- Elevenmonthslater – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race.
Alternate:
1 – Tempest Rising
Bet: $.50 Pick 5 – 6th race #3,4,6,7 – 7th race # 2 – 8th race # 1,5,7,8 – 9th race #4,5 – 10th race #3,4
Race 7
2 – In Spades – He has a high % winning trainer who has finished in the money five out of six races in the last 14 days, winning two starts and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
6 – Scandalissimo – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has the highest last race speed rating and has a high % winning jockey.
7 – The Colora Kid – He has a trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (15 4-3-4).
Longshot:
8 – Long Legged Boy – He finished in the money in four out of his last six races at PARX Racing, winning one.
Alternate:
5 – Shouldhavebeengone
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 7th race # 2 – 8th race # 1,5,7,8 – 9th race #4,5- 10th race #3,4
Race 8
5 – Will Take Control – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and won the race before at PARX Racing.
7 – Just a Thought – He has won a race at PARX Racing at today’s distance.
1 – Kith – He finished in the money in eight out of his last twelve races at PARX Racing, winning two.
Longshot:
8- Causalistic – He should improve while returning to dirt, drops in class today and his Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Bet: None
Race 9
4 – Mi Tres Por Ciento – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Mr. Roundtree – He finished in the money in his last five at PARX Racing, winning one.
6 – Float On – He finished 3rd in his last race and has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
7 – Mr. Extension – He came in from Monmouth Park and won his first race at PARX Racing by eleven lengths, has a trainer/ jockey combo who has won two races out of two starts in the last 14 days and a good 4F workout on Feb-12.
Alternate:
8 – Commissioner
3 – Nick the Cardshark
Bet: None
Race 10
3 – Crea’s Bklyn Law – He ran 3rd in his last three races, has the highest last race speed rating and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
4 – Tactical Plan – He drops in class today and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
9 – Mucho Macho Eddie – He finished in the money in six out of his thirteen races at PARX Racing and drop-in class today.
Longshot:
1 – Mo Ready – He has an early foot so the shorter distance should be a plus.
Bet: None
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed – 30% w2w – PP: Strong Rail Bias, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Par, 8+ Penalty
4 – STARSHIP GOTHAM – TLRSP#, better ATB in last, PARX 7/1-5-0
3 – WHATA GUY – could be lone E horse, If he gets the lead early – maybe
5 – BUSTER BRUNO – top LP, 3rd off the break
1 – ALONZO MOSELY – big rail edge, was better through the first half of his last effort, maybe better in round two off the sidelines
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,4/3,4,5/1,3,4,5,6
Race 2: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 42% w2w – PP: Rail Fair, Small 2/3 Edge, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Fairish
4 – TOURING MARYANNE – down in class, drops back to where she was claimed, +6 EP/LP Edge, weight break
2 – CATALON – +8 2f, + through 4f, w2w in last, best work when she is close or on the lead
7 – I LOVE MAGEL – lone PC horse, 10 pound weight break, 2nd after a layoff
1 – RISEN CHANGE –
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 2,4/2,5,6/2,5,7/2,3,4
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Bonus
5 – BRODY’S CODE – TLRSP# and a couple of maintenance works
2 – SUNDRIA – 1st timer with decent and consistent works
6 – JAVA’S LUCKY LADY – the other first timer and her works are the same as #2, got to take them both
3 – MIDNIGHT IN ALASKA – Gulfstream track dropper – some nice works since last race
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,5,6/2,5/1,2,3,5,6
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 34% w2w – PP: Outside In Bias 8+
2 – SCINTILLATING STAR – 3rd start after a layoff – has top EP and LP by a little in a competitive field
7 – ONE PAIR OF HANDS – a neck from winning two in a row, PARX 11/1-4-3
5 – QUEEN LUCKY – good distance 7/1-3-1 – all others 9/0-2-1
8 – INSPECTOR RELOAD – jy Franklin Gonzalez, Jr and tr Louis Linder jr ITM 5/7
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,5,7/2,7/2,4,5,7,8
Race 5: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 42% w2w – PP: Rail Fair, Small 2/3 Edge, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Fairish
4 – FOREST FIRE – better ATB in 1st off the bench, expecting more here
2 – DRENA’S BULLET – 1st off the claim for tr Michael Simone – 29% angle for 19% trainer
3 – INDIRECTLY – was stronger late in his last
1 – MONDAY’S WITH MIKE – with all the scratches knocking out speed, could be pacesetter at a big price
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,4/2,3,4/1,2,3,4,8
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Bonus
4 – DANCING ON MY OWN – probably too big of a early speed edge to overcome
8 – BRUNO BARBER GIRL – going to close – PARX 9/0-4-1 – Bob Dylan Horse
3 – MAP OF LIFE – decently bet in debut in open company – technically MSW is a class rise, facing state breds is probably a wash
1 – TEMPEST RISING – tough to believe jy Rueben Silvera doesn’t just take this race off if he didn’t feel he had a chance – LP+6 in debut
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,4,8/4,8/1,3,4,7,8
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 42% w2w – PP: Rail Fair, Small 2/3 Edge, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Fairish
6 – SCANDALISSIMO – TLRSP# by decent margin in first at PARX by 13
2 – IN SPADES – last race was better than it looks with better early fractions
1 – MINXZHIPPSDONTLEYE – has a plus EP edge – better fractions at 6 ½ f vs 6f
7 – THE COLORA KID – Ness and Silvera on Laurel shipper in 3rd off the bench
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 2,6/1,5,8/1,6,7/3
Race 8: 1 1/8 Miles – Bias: 3 Races Closers – 0 w2w – All Winners 2-7
8 – CAUSALISTIC -Left Arrow horse, track dropper, claim and drop multiple classes, 5/15 for tr Andrew Simoff
5 – WILL TAKE CONTROL – has the most LP and will be rolling late
1 – KITH – could be the pacesetter and sim say you got to have him
2 – WE BE THERE – seen it too many times – lone E horse that looks out of form gets the lead and goes
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,5,8/5,8/1,2,5,7,8
Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Bonus
7 – MR. EXTENSION – won its first race at PARX by 11, 4SP# increases – shocked if he’s anywhere close to 15-1
6 – FLOAT ON – consistent performer who will likely make a big mid move and be in contention out of the turn
1 – BAILEY – sim says we have to have him, learned my lesson
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,6,7/6,7/1,3,4,6,7
Race 10: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 42% w2w – PP: Rail Fair, Small 2/3 Edge, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Fairish
3 – CREA’S BKLYN LAW – TLRSP# and been flirting with PARX winners’ circle 4/0-0-3
1 – MO READY – BTN FAV going route to sprint, finished 2nd in only race at the distance
4 – TACTICAL PLAN – dropping in class after cutting final 7f time by about a half second
5 – BOURBON MISSION – Left Arrow Horse, looks to be improving and usually a consistent performer
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3/1,3,4/1,3,4,5,7
Parx Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
