Parx Racing Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Parx on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Turf Paradise
Parx Horse Racing Tips and Comments
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
2 – Frenchboro – He came in from Laurel Park and ran 2nd vs similar in his first race at PARX Racing losing by two lengths and earned the highest last race speed rating.
3 – Itwasthedevilsidea – He finished in the money in five out of his last six races at PARX Racing, finishing in 3rd vs similar in last race.
6 – Catty’s Uncle – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Louie’s Law – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, the rail post is winning at a 26% clip and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
4 – Stevie T
5 – Lucky Mucho Man
Bet: $1.00 DD: 2,3/ 1,2,5
Race 2
5 – Aztec Queen – She ran 2nd in her debut race as the heavily bet favorite but she has a trainer who wins 27% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and Lasix is added.
2 – Bionic Kat – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 3 winners from 3 starters and 1 stakes winner and her breeding suits today’s sprint distance.
1 – Lady Sicaria – She has the highest last race speed rating, drops in class today and her jockey in last 7 days has finished in the money in seven out of eight races, winning three of the starts.
Longshot:
6 – Dons Last Call – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 3 winners from 3 starters and has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Tempted to Touch
7 – Blue Sky Tune
Bet: None
Race 3
6 – Unimpeachable – He finished in the money in eight out of his last ten races at PARX Racing, winning three of the starts and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Hotpot – He has won two races in a row now going for a hat trick, has a high % winning trainer and a jockey who has won in last 14 days three out of seven starts.
2 – Doctor Doom – He ran 2nd in his last race and has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
4 – Romantic Gamble – He is coming in from Penn National after winning his last race there to try PARX Racing and has a trainer who wins 20% of the races when shipping a horse in to run.
Alternate:
5 – Crafty Jack
3 – Iconic Legacy
Bet: None
Race 4
2- Positively Awesome – He has an early foot so the shorter distance should help, and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
6 – Go for the Kill – He has won a race at PARX Racing, has the highest last race speed rating and has a trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (3 2-1-0).
1 – Ima Pharoah – His dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, the rail post is winning at 20% clip, has a high % winning trainer who wins 37% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and switches to a high % jockey.
Longshot:
4- Gushing Oil – He is a closer who ran 2nd vs similar in his last race using this running style and switches to a high % jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Mahomes Money
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 4th race #2,4,5,6- 5th race # 1,7,9 – 6th race # 2,7- 7th race #2,3,6
Race 5
9 – What’s to Blame – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has a jockey who in the last 14 days has this record (12 3-2-3) and has a good 4F workout (Feb-15).
7 – Speightster Red – He finished in the money in five out of his last six races winning two, has the highest last race speed rating and he has a trainer who wins 21% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again.
1 – My Train – He switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey; the rail post is winning at 26% clip, and he has a good 4F workout on Feb-15.
Longshot:
5 – Look Out Lambo – He switches to a high% trainer and a high % jockey.
Alternate:
10 – Excursion
8 – Magnetron
Bet: None
Race 6
2 – Balantyne – He ran 2nd vs similar in his only start after being well bet, has the highest last race speed rating and he has the best dirt speed among today’s starters.
7 – Marvelousmoondance – He has been knocking at the door finishing either 2nd or third in his last four races.
5 – Windsor Gold – He has finished in the money in two of three career starts and has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
1- Winged Foot – He is a first-time starter, trained by Jamie Ness and has jockey Ruben Silvera and has a good 4F workout on Feb-15.
Alternate:
3 – Nicky Da Fox
4 – Tequilamademedoit
Bet: $.50 Pick 5 – 6th race #2- 7th race # 2,3,4,6 – 8th race # 1,3,4 – 9th race #1,3,5,6,7- 10th race #10
$10.00 Win # 2
Race 7
3 – Hide the Ransom – He has the highest last race speed rating (tie), drops in class today and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Cuneo – He drops in class today, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and the shorter distance should help.
6 – Gravel Road – He drops in class today and his speed rating has improved in his last three races.
Longshot:
4 – Dangnabbit – He won his last race, likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 42% of the races winning 14% of the starts and the distance is no problem.
Alternate:
1 – Splitzville
7 – Calculated Breeze
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 7th race # 2,3,4,6 – 8th race # 1,3,4 – 9th race #1,3,5,6,7- – 10th race #10
Race 8
1 – Coles Conundrum – He ran 2nd in his only start as the heavily bet favorite, has high % winning trainer Robert Reid, Jr. who wins 33% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and switches to a high % winning jockey.
3 – Tatum – He has finished in the money in two of three career starts, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – One Bite – He should improve while returning to a sprint, Lasix is added and the trainer in last 14 days has won two out of three starts (3 2-0-1).
Longshot:
6 – My Imagination – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
Alternate:
8 – First to Last
5- Kaique
Bet: None
Race 9
7 – That’stony’ssister – She won her debut race at PARX Racing after being well bet in the debut at today’s distance and can repeat.
6 – Flashy Charge – She drops in class today, switches to a high % winning jockey, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and has a good 4F workout on Feb-15.
3 – Lassie’s Notion – She has finished in the money in her last five starts, winning one and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Perfect Direction – Her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and she has a bullet 4F workout on Feb-15.
Alternate:
1 – Moonboots
2 – In My Opinion
Bet: None
Race 10
10 – Horse Be With You – He ran 3rd vs similar in his last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and likes the distance finishing in the money in 66% of the races, winning 22% of the starts.
7 – Cristiano’s Dream – He has an early foot and with very few speed horses he may just last to the finish line, he switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Large – He finished 2nd in his last race and the shorter distance should help.
Longshot:
6 – Musk – He has won two races at PARX Racing and has a trainer who wins 23% of the claiming races he enters a horse in.
Alternate:
4 – True Dakotan
3 – Explain
Bet: $.50 Trifecta: 2,7,10/2,7,10/2,6,7,10
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed – 30% w2w – PP: Strong Rail Bias, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Par, 8+ Penalty
2 – FRENCHBORO – TLRSP# and appears to be getting better by the race
3 – ITWASTHEDEVILSIDEA – PARX 6/0-2-3 and distance 4/0-1-3
1 – LOUIE’S LAW – Lone PC horse between Ps and Cs
6 – CATTY’S UNCLE – has a +14 EP edge through 4f, maintenance work between races and 3rd off the bench
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,2,3/2,3/1,2,3,4,6
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 34% w2w – PP: Outside In Bias 8+
1 – LADY SICARIA – TLRSP# and drops in class, maybe better in 2nd career start
2 – BIONIC KAT – pinning hopes on Jan 3 work of 4f in 49 – 3/63
7 – BLUE SKY TUNE – only MSW to MCL dropper, 25% angle for tr Lousi Linder, jr vs 16%
5 – AZTEC QUEEN – was bet down to 3/2 in debut – getting 1st time Lasix – another with room to be better in 2nd career race
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,2,7/1,2/1,2,5,7,8
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Bonus
6 – UNIMPEACHABLE – better through first half mile, maybe better in 2nd off the break, 9/3-2-3
3 – ICONIC LEGACY – All or nothing horse, 11/3-0-0 – all of the Ws in 5 at the distance
5 – CRAFTY JACK – very likely to be on the front – will be hard to pass if he can hold it into the stretch
1 – HOTPOT – winner two in a row, upped his speed numbers in last two
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,5,6/3,6/1,3,4,5,6
Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 40% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Fair
6 – GO FOR THE KILL – TLRSP# and chance for it to go higher in second after a layoff
2 – POSITIVELY AWESOME – likely to be pacesetter, PARX 2/0-0-2, cutting back from 7f could be the deal maker here
1 – IMA PHAROAH – 1st off the claim for tr Cathal Lynch, a 29% angle
3 – MAHOMES MONEY – tough call over the 4, but we’ll take the one that should be close out of the gates
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: ALL/1,7/2/2,3
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed – 30% w2w – PP: Strong Rail Bias, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Par, 8+ Penalty
1 – MY TRAIN – Silvera/Ness – claim and drop – 35% winner for Ness
7 – SPEIGHTSTER RED – consistent performer, better fractions last out at 1m70 vs 1m
9 – WHAT’S TO BLAME – upped his speed number in last three with better pace#s through the first half mile
8 – MAGNETRON – lone P, should get a good trip here
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,7/1,7,9/1,7,8,9,10
Race 6: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 59% w2w – PP: Rail and Inside 3 Bias, 4+ a Little Under Par
2 – BALANTYNE – +8 EP edge at 4f at a distance 59% go w2w – +EP/LP edge
7 – MARVELOUSMOONDANCE -PARX 7/0-5-1, usually close at the end
1 – WINGED FOOT – good, consistent works, on the rail 28% winners
5 – WINDSOR GOLD – been well bet in each of his three races
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,7/1,2,7/1,2,4,5,7
Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 40% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Fair
2 – CUNEO – +8 EP advantage through opening ½ mile – should make big move out of the turn
3 – HIDE THE RANSOM – TLRSP# and drops in class, 3/1-1-1 in short sprints
6 – GRAVEL ROAD – last two races were good enough to beat the rest
7 – CALCULATED BREEZE – should be on the gas from go, cutting back a furlong could help
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 2,3/1,3,8/1,3,4,5,7/7,10
Race 8: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 42% w2w – PP: Rail Fair, Small 2/3 Edge, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Fairish
8 – FIRST TO LAST – Ruben Silvera on a $175 K first time starter at Parx? Just 12k less than all the others combined – smell a sandbagger on the works
3 – TATUM – on paper looks like he should be tough to beat, but seen so many of these types falter
1 – COLES CONUNDRUM – missed the favorite in debut, tr Robert Reid, jr – hit 22/66 next out, going to need a better start though
4 – ONE BITE – if he can run back to AQ for two back and any benefit from 1st Lasix, would be more than good enough to score
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3,8/3,8/1,3,4,5,8
Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Bonus
1 – MOONBOOTS – won at this level two back coming off the sidelines, won twice fresh in 3 chances
7 – THAT’STONY’SSISTER – won debut with good late move, tr Alan Bedard follows MDN win with another at 31% with a 12.58 ROI
3 – LASSIE’S NOTION – a little better early in her last outing, maintenance workout since
5 – PERFECT DIRECTION – tough call over the 4, flashed speed in last and faded, a bullet work between races
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 1,3,4,5,7/7,10
Race 10: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 42% w2w – PP: Rail Fair, Small 2/3 Edge, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Fairish
7 – CRISTIANO’S DREAM – lone E with a +6 EP edge through 4f
10 – HORSE BE WITH YOU – incrementally getting better from race to race P horse with +6 LP
2 – LARGE – Left Arrow Horse – PARX 9/0-6-0 – very consistent performer
6 – MUSK – been getting better from race to race, significant late pace increase in his last
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 7,10/2,7,10/2,6,7,10,11
Parx Way to the Winners’ Circle
