PARX Racing Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for PARX on a $100 Budget
Support This Show – Click Here to Get Your HRT Gear Now
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Sunland Park
Parx Horse Racing Picks and Comments
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
1 – Fast Intentions – She won her last race at PARX Racing; the rail post is winning at 27% clip and her trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (8 2-3-1).
7 – Lean On – She won her last race at PARX Racing, earned the highest last race speed rating and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
2 – Mani Pedi – She drops in class today and has a jockey who in the last 7 days has won three out of five starts.
Longshot:
6 – Londonderry – She finished 2nd in her last race and does well at today’s distance.
Alternate:
8 – Sugar Streak
4 – Whyisshesoolucky
Bet: $1.00 DD: 1,2 6,7/1
Race 2
1 – Cold Walker – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has a high % winning trainer who in the last 14 days has two wins and two seconds out five starts.
5 – Go for the Kill – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a bullet 4f workout on Feb 2.
7 – Mischievous Juan – He finished in the money in six out of six starts in 2022, winning two of the races, the shorter distance should help, and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
3 – I Saw It All – He likes to be the bridesmaid and is back to a distance that suits him best.
Alternate:
8 – Refund Rigler
6 – Boom Boom Kaboom
$.50 Pick 4 – 2nd race #1 – 3rd race #2,3,6- 4th race #1,3,5 – 5th race #2,6,7,8
Race 3
2 – Passionate Dream – She has finished in the money in her last four races, finishing 2nd in the last start, has a high % winning jockey and a trainer who wins 21% of the races when bringing a horse back to race again.
6 – Flight – She won her last race at PARX Racing, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Girlfromouterspace – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, likes the distance and Lasix is added.
Longshot:
1 – Lost Luggage – She has a high % winning trainer, the rail post is winning at 27% clip and her early speed running style helps chances.
Alternate:
4 – All Hail Mo
5 – Popthechampagne Ro
Bet: None
Race 4
3 – Shaking Rags – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, has the highest last race speed rating and her best dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Can’t Complain – She finished 2nd in her last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Texas Tangie – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, the rail post is winning at 27% clip and Lasix is added.
Longshot:
6- Civil Notion – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last two race.
Alternate:
2 – Jsk Lucky’s Pushpa
4 – Royal Party
Bet: None
Race 5
8 – Boca Royalty – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and has the highest last race speed rating.
7 – Show Some Skin – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race.
6 – Afleet Diva – She has high % winning jockey Ruben Silvera who in the in last 7 days has this record (16 5-3-2).
Longshot:
2 – Field Letters – She switches to a high % winning jockey and appears to be able to lead or from off the pace to win a race.
Alternate:
5 – Gavichi
3 – Hey It’s Tati
Bet: None
Race 6
2 – Strong Breeze – He won his last race at PARX Racing, and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Tomater Gator – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has the highest last race speed rating.
6 – Birchmount Rd – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and his early speed running style helps chances.
Longshot:
3- Fearless Fly – He has finished in the money in the last four races, winning one and finishing 3rd vs similar in his last race.
Alternate:
5 – Pylon
1 – I’m Blaming You
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 6th race #2,4,6 – 7th race #1,2,5 – 8th race #3,5 – 9th race #2,5
Race 7
1 – Tatum – He finished 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and his trainer in the last 14 days has won four out of six races.
5 – Harley’s Charly – He ran 2nd in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and Lasix is added.
2 – My Imagination – He drops in class today and the trainer wins 21% when shipping a horse in to run and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Navy Rules – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 2 winners from 4 starter and has a has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Kaique
6 – Finally Captured
Bet: None
Race 8
5 – Plamen – He finished in the money in eight out of his last ten races, winning five and he is trained by Jamie Ness and ridden by Frankie Pennington.
3 – Visual Artist – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Nick Papagiorgio – He Finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Olympic Romp – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and the rail post is winning at 27% clip.
Alternate:
2 – Cobble Road
4 – Jump for Alex
Bet: $.50 Pick 4-8th race #3,5- 9th race #2,5 -10th race # 3,5,6,7 -11th race #2,6,7,10,11
Bet: – Bet: $10.00 Win # 5
Race 9
2 – Moon Dog – He came in from Churchill Downs to try PARX Racing for the first time and won the race by 19 lengths, has high % winning jockey Jeremy Laprida who returns to ride him again.
5 – Predominate – He finished in the money in his last four races, winning two and finishing 3rd vs similar in last race.
7 – Never Change – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and he is trained by Jamie Ness and ridden by Frankie Pennington.
Longshot:
4 – Hometown Hero – He switches to a high % winning jockey, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and may improve while returning to a route.
Alternate:
6 – Beachwalker
1 – Verbier
Bet: – Bet: $10.00 Win # 2
Race 10
5 – Seeking the Dream – She has won two races in a row, now going for a hat trick and has the highest last race speed rating.
7 – Cashing Big Checks – She finished in the money in nine out of her last ten races, winning three and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Nurturing – She has won four out of his last eight races and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
6 – B B’s Busted – She ran 2nd in her last race and has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
8 – Early Edition
2 – Lady Zeta
Race 11-Female
7 – Princess Lean – She drops in class today, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s.
2 – Bet On Drama – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and her trainer wins 25% of the Maiden Claiming races he has a horse entered in.
11 – Getaway Palace – She drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
10 – Mariah Alyvia – She finished 2nd vs similar in her last race.
Alternate:
6 – Cup of Life
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Early Speed – 33% w2w – Strong Rail, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
1 – FAST INTENTIONS – likely to be on the gas, best chance to go w2w
7 – LEAN ON E – sim says you got to have it – ran well the last time she had a similar rest, tr Mary Patterhall hits at 33% with claim repeaters
2 – MANI PEDI – drops in class, some late improvement in last
6 – LONDONDERRY – has a +10 LP edge and the top EP/LP combo
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 1,7/1,7,8
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 33% w2w – Similar 1-7, 8+ Bonus
1 – COLD WALKER – TLRSP# and lone EP horse, should get a good trip
7 – MISCHIEVOUS JUAN – maybe improves in the 2nd start off the bench
8 – REFUND RIGLER – could have a decent early pace, gets off to a good jump
5 – GO FOR THE KILL – been off since October 26th, last work was OK, has the most late juice
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Four: 1,7,8/2,6/3,5/2,6,8
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Early Speed – 33% w2w – Strong Rail, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
6 – FLIGHT – TLRSP# in 1st start off the claim for tr Alfredo Velazquez
2 – PASSIONATE DREAM – ran better fractions and early pace #s through the first half mile
3 – GIRLFROMOUTERSPACE – PARX 7/1-1-3, Distance 4/1-1-1
1 – LOST LUGGAGE – maiden win would be good enough – went w2w – should be close to the lead to, 1st Lasix should help
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,2,3,4,6/2,6/2,3,6
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Early Speed – 33% w2w – Strong Rail, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
3 – SHAKING RAGS – TLRSP# and just missed on last, 12f works since
5 – CAN’T COMPLAIN – up in class and resume says she’ll likely run a similar race in round off the sidelines
1 – TEXAS TANGIE – 20f works since last effort on Dec 14, finished behind two
2 – JSK LUCKY’S PUSHPA – 1st timer without much to beat
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Four: 3,5/2,6,8/2/1,2,4,5,6
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 33% w2w – Similar 1-7, 8+ Bonus
8 – BOCA ROYALTY – TLRSP# and better fractions in last
6 – AFLEET DIVA – +6 EP at 4f maybe upgrades in effort two after a layoff, Distance 9/2-1-4
2 – FIELD LETTERS – potentially better in 3rd start after a layoff, better times at 6f v 5 1/2f
5 – GAVICHI – class dropper with a weight break today
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 6,8/2,6,8/2,5,6,7,8
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 32% w2w – Slight Discount 1, 4-7, 2/3 and 8+ Bonuses
2 – STRONG BREEZE – w2w in last and similar fractions at 7f vs 6 1/2f
6 – BIRCHMOUNT RD – a little stronger mid pace number in last
4 – TOMATER GATOR – 3 sp# increases in a row, but slower fractions last out
5 – PYLON – down to lowest level in last 10, distance 5/1-2-1 and likely to be on the front
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Four: 2/1,2,4,6/1,3,5/1,2
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 33% w2w – Similar 1-7, 8+ Bonus
1 – TATUM – PARX debut gets it some, a lot of good works getting ready
2 – MY IMAGINATION -track dropper and that Jan 7 work, 3f in 35.4
4 – KAIQUE – has a +8 2f and +11 4f early speed edge, Lasix could really benefit here
6 – FINALLY CAPTURED – 1st time starter with decent works, tough call over the 5
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,2,4/1,2/1,2,4,5,6
Race 8: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Early Speed – 33% w2w – Strong Rail, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
5 – PLAMEN – Pennington/Ness, 3rd off the break, Parx 2/1-1-0, Distance 8/3-3-0
3 – VISUAL ARTIST – ness/Silvera, runs OK off the bench, TLRSP# – Jan 14th works was good
1 – OLYMPIC ROMP – been off since Nov 30th, four good works since Jan 7th – +7 LP edge
6 – NICK PAPAGIORGIO – looks better than the rest
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Four: 1,3,5/1,2/3,5/2,7
Race 9: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 67 % w2w 8/12 – Strong Rail, Inside 3 Bias
2 – MOON DOG – repeat that last race and this isn’t a contest
1 – VERBIER – going to have a good shot to be on the lead with +EP, from the 34% rail, 8/12 w2w at distance
5 – PREDOMINATE – PARX 4/2-0-2, consistent effort throughout last
7 – NEVER CHANGE – BTN Ness FAV, bonces back at 28%, 3 SP# increases
Suggested Wager: $5 Win: 1
Race 10: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 13/26 w2w – Rail Penalty, 2+ Similar
3 – NURTURING – has a +9 EP/LP edge – nice Jan 11 work -4f in 49.4
5 – SEEKING THE DREAM – big time upped her in race numbers last out, winning 2 in a row, last peak # was followed by regression
7 – CASHING BIG CHECKS – speed of the speed in a race with a lot of speed? Ness 27% route to sprint
2 – LADY ZETA – won 2 of 3 at Parx, probably prefers an off track, weight break today
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 3,5/2,6,7,9,10,11
Race 11: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 33% w2w – Similar 1-7, 8+ Bonus
2 – BET ON DRAMA – has a +6 EPP through 4f, potential for improvement in round two off the sidelines
7 – PRINCESS LEAN – has a +10 EP/LP combo, TLRSP# and trackdropper
6 – CUP OF LIFE – moved closer to the front in her last race, appears to be getting fitter
11 – GETAWAY PALACE – probably going to press for the lead, maybe the class drop helps sustain, been decently bet in all 3 races
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,7/2,6,7/2,6,7,9,11
Parx Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
