Parx Racing Picks Live – January 23, 2023 – Horse Racing Today

Race 1: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 7/14 w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Under Par, 8+ Bonus

7  – PAGETT – NYRA track dropper and MSW to MCL drop

1 – SHADOW CHASER – TLRSP# and down in class, 4SP# increases and potentially better in 3^rd off the bench

6 – SCANDALISSIMO – another track dropper from GP – a repeat of either of her his 1^st two races would be good enough to win

3 – BEFRIENDTHEENEMY – Class Dropper, Chris P angle, 2^nd off the bench

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,6,7/1,7/1,3,5,6,7

Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 28% w2w – PP: Rail and 8+ Bias, 2-7 Under Par

5 – JOVIAL – ran better fractions through the 1^st half mile last out

1 – MIZZEN MAN – missed by just a little in his last with improved LP

7 – BIG BROWN SHOES – TLRSP# and drops from ALW at Mountaineer and Flakes, uptick in third off the sidelines

8 – CAUSES TROUBLE – MCL riser with huge 2/4f pace numbers in last, not so sure he won’t be challenged today

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,5,7/1,5/1,2,7,8

Race 3: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 7/14 w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Under Par, 8+ Bonus

3 – MISCHIEVOUS JONES – likely to be better in 2^nd off the bench – much better late in last effort

7 – TANKINATOR – last race was better than it looks, especially in the beginning, dropping multiple classes helps – top PARX# by a decent margin

5 – CRAFTY DON – lone Parx race, last out, was good enough to win this one

2 – HOMETOWN HERO – best work on dirt – tr Jonathan Wong wins a lot dropping multiple classes

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,5,7/3,7/2,3,5,6,7

Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 28% w2w – PP: Rail and 8+ Bias, 2-7 Under Par

7 – CAN’T COMPLAIN – TLRSP# and coming downs from 75K NGST -1^st Lasix and could be on pace

10 – TRUE PHENOMENON – decently bet in debut and was steady, another that 1^st Lasix should help

5 – KISS ME HARDY – 1^st time, like the Dec 22^nd work, 4f in 48.4 – third of 72

6 – MARION GRACE – missed at the FAV in last, moving up in class, don’t see how that help, but carrying less weight could help

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 5,7,10/7,10/2,5,6,7,10

Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 35% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Under Par, 8+ Bonus

7 – HOPE FOR GOLD – head away from winning 3 in a row – better fractions last out

3 – CALCULATED BREEZE – lone EP horse with back speed, will be closer to the front here

8 – ONE SLICK START – beat the top pick two back, distance 2/1-1-0

5 – BUFFALO SHUFFLE – has a +8 LP at 4f, down in class and 5/0-3-0 at the distance

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,7,8/3,7/3,5,7,8,9

Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 28% w2w – PP: Rail and 8+ Bias, 2-7 Under Par

2 – LASSIE’S NOTION – could be pacesetter, has a swift work since her last

6 – PERFECT DIRECTION – has the top EP/LP combo in the race, TLRSP# in last and moving down

3 – MEMENTO MI –should be fit for today, nearly same fractions at 1m70y as 6f in previous

1 – BIG TENTATIONS – comes in from Laurel and a few tier 1 tracks like GP and SAR

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,6/2,3,6/1,2,3,6,7

Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Off the Pace, 2/8 w2w -25%  – PP: 1-3 and 8+ Bonus, 4-7 Discount

6 – IMA PHAROAH – kind of wild – at his best, probably easy work, at his worst, done early – Jan 17 bullet hints at the good version

9 – HIDE THE RANSOM – better ATB in last, kind of sketchy on slower fractions, but Parx 9/1-4-1 and distance 2/1-1-0

3 – CAJUN LOVER – should be on the gas from go, +EP at 4f, if he can hold the lead into the stretch, confidence will grow

2 – E T’S CANDY MAN – maybe better in third off the break, resume says same as last

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,6,9/6,9/2,3,5,6,9

Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 35% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Under Par, 8+ Bonus

7 – WINDSOR GOLD – good works, early speed and get the blinkers

9 – BURN THE EVIDENCE – has a +9 EP edge at 4f, 1st Lasix should help here

6 – MARVELOUSMOONDANCE – TLRSP#, Parx 6/0-4-1, cutting back in distance could help, top LP

4 – PRACTICAL WAY – hard choice over the 1, but taking GP dropper with bullet and go over Charles Town shipper

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 7,6,9/7,9/1,4,6,7,9

Race 9: 1 Mile 70 yards – Bias: Tactical Speed – 37% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bias, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty

3 – DREAMING OF GERRY – 2/2 at Parx, both EZ wins at 1m70, one by 8 the other by 10

8 – GOOD CULTURE – really consistent performer, start is the key, good start combined with solid LP is what backers are hoping for

9 – RED REVOLUTION – is also 2/2 at Parx and both at the distance, better ATB better early times

7 – EDGE OF GLORY – sim says he is an overlay and better ATB last out too – just ¾ lengths from winning last two at the distance

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,8,9/3,8/3,5,7,8,9

Race 10: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 7/14 w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Under Par, 8+ Bonus

6 – NO CONFESSION – MSW win in 8^th try, but TLRSP#

3 – BLUE ROYAL – also coming off the maiden win, 3^rd try, major EP upgrade in last with a pair of nice works since

7 – SHACKINTHEBOX – down in class and has EP, catching Lasix should help

8 – PAYNTED WARRIOR – dropping from a pair of NGSTK and is only closer

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,6,7/3,6/3,6,7,8,9

Race 11: 1 1/8 Miles – Bias: 1 Race – way off the pace from 2/3

7 – CALL FITZROY – TLRPS# with seconditis – three place finishes in a row

2 – SON OF A SAINT – horse is coming right back, tr Jospeh Taylor winner 2/3 with 1-5 days off

5 – LONG GRAY LINE – better early in last and has some late punch

4 – RONIN WARRIOR

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,5,7/2,7/2,4,5,7,10

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