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Parx Horse Racing Tip and Comments
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
1 – Titanic Rose – He finished 3rd in his last race, rail post is winning at 31% clip and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
6 – Miss Chamita – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, should improve while returning to a route and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
2 – Collin’s Grey Lady – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
4 – Livin’ At the Bu – He comes in from Del Mar to try PARX Racing for the first time and has a bullet workout on Jan 18th.
Alternate:
5 – Purrfect Mistress
3 – La Neblina
Bet: $1.00 DD: 1,2,4,6 / 2
Race 2
2 – Pontiffany – She has won two of the last three races and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Spirit Or Spite – She finished 2nd in her last race and her jockey in the last 7 days has this record (16 4-1-3).
1 – Powwa of Love – She drops in class today, has a trainer who wins 37% of the races when dropping a horse down 2+ classes and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Longshot:
7 – Shirley Greene – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
3 – Gavichi
8 – Sweet Lilly Factum
$.50 Pick 4 – 2nd race #2 – 3rd race # 1,2,3,4,6,7 – 4th race # 2,3,6,7- 5th race #2
Race 3
4 – Long Legged Boy – He has finished in the money in four of his five career races, winning one of the starts and the distance will not be a problem.
2 – Classic Union – He won his last race, has the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – In Spades – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has a trainer who wins 31% of the races when using 1st time Lasix.
Longshot:
3 – Meet the Elite – His early speed running style helps chances and the shorter distance will help.
Alternate:
1 – Freddyness
6 – Shouldhavebeengone
Bet: None
Race 4
7 – Peyton’s College – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, has high % winning jockey and the highest last race speed rating.
6 – La Regalada – She ran 2nd in her last race, drops in class today and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Scintillating Star – She finished 3rd vs similar in last race.
Longshot:
3- Happybirthdaycorey – She likes to go to the front so the shorter distance should be a benefit.
Alternate:
5 – Louella Street
4 – Imaginthekiss
Bet: None
Race 5
2 – Strugar – She won her last race at Turfway Park and is trained by Jamie Ness and ridden by Frankie Pennington.
5 – Get the W – She finished 3rd in her last race and has the highest last race speed rating.
4 – Sneakiness – She finished 3rd in her last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
6 – Hide the Ransom – She likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 70% of the races, winning 10% of them and likes the distance finishing in the money in 50% races, winning 13% of the races.
Alternate:
1 – Mach Trial
7 – Commissioner G
Bet: $10.00 Win # 2
Race 6
3 – Holdtheflight – He has finished in the money in his last five races winning two of the starts and switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Irish Honor – He won his last race at PARX Racing and drops after the win.
5 – Hard Sting – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1- Screen Saver – He won his last race at PARX Racing and the rail post is winning at 31% clip.
Alternate:
2 – Mr. Roundtree
4 – Vasariano
Bet: $.50 Pick 3: 3,5,7/1,2,3,7/1,7
Race 7
1 – Twisted Ride – She has finished in the money in the seven out of nine races at PARX Racing, winning three of the starts and drops in class today.
2 – Memory Bouquet – She finished 2nd in her last race and has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Geebert – She has won two races in a row going for a hat trick and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
Longshot:
3 – Splicethemainbrace – She has finished in the money her last five races winning two of the starts and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
Alternate:
4 – Final Shot
5 – Thiscatcanjump
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 7th race 1,2,3,7 – 8th race 1,7- 9th race # 1,2,6 – 10th race # 1,3,6,7,8
Race 8
7 – He’s Incredible – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has the highest last race speed rating (tie), has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
1 – Float On – He has a trainer who wins 25% of the races when taking a horse from a Sprint-Route-Sprint and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
4 – Maythehorsebwithu – He did not break well in his last start in the slop, but prior to that he finished in the money in six races in a row, winning two.
Longshot:
Alternate:
8 – Hushion
Race 9
1 – Far Mo Power – He had trouble in his last race, finishing 4th, drops in class today and has a good 4F workout on Jan-18.
3 – Eloquist – He has won four of his last five starts, drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Double Crown – He drops in class today and has a bullet 4F workout onJan-21.
Longshot:
5 – Irish Cork – He finished 5th as the favorite after having trouble in his last race but has a trainer who wins 31% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race.
Alternate:
7 – Amatteroftime
Bet: None
Race 10
3 – Boca Royalty – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Field Letters – She used her early speed to run 2nd vs similar in her last race.
8 – Smooth as Glass – She has been off for 7-months but finished in the money in 80% of her races in 2022, winning 40% of the starts.
Longshot:
7 – Isabella Smile – She likes PARX Racing and the distance.
Alternate:
6 – Quasar
5 – Hey It’s Tati
Bet: None
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers – 31% w2w – Strong Rail Bias, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Under Par
1 – TITANIC ROSE – better #s ATB in last, consistent performer, rides 27% winning rail
3 – LA NEBLINA – TLRSP#, 3 works since, lone PC
5 – PURRFECT MISTRESS – probably a class dropper running at same level at AQ in last , has early speed and probably better in R2 off the bench – speed and drop?
6 – MISS CHAMITA – has a +8 LP advantage, extra distance should help
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Five: ALL/2/ALL/7/5
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – Small Rail and 8+ Bias, 2-7 a Little Under Par
2 – PONTIFFANY – has a +6 LP/EP Combo, TLRSP# , better ATB and drops? Why?
4 – SPIRIT OR SPITE – BTN FAV, tr Miguel Rodriguez rebounds at 26%, better times last out
3 – GAVICHI – 3 SP# increases, better 2/4f #s last out
1 – POWWA OF LOVE – moving down multiple classes, tr Carlos Soto winner 3/8
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Four: 2/ALL/7/1,2,5
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 29% w2w – PP: Slight Rail Penalty, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Under Par, 8+ Bonus
2 – CLASSIC UNION – got the maiden win by 12 lengths, not usually a fan MCL risers unless TLRSP#
7 – IN SPADES – first time after the claim, won by 10 in last and gets 1st Lasix – 35% angle for tr Kathleen Demasi
4 – LONG LEGGED BOY – likely pacesetter, Parx 5/1-2-1
6 – SHOULDHAVEBEENGONE – increased SP# in 4 races after debut
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,4,7/2,7/2,3,4,6,7
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – Small Rail and 8+ Bias, 2-7 a Little Under Par
7 – PEYTON’S COLLEGE – a neck from winning both at Parx since coming from CD, better times at 6 ½f v 6
2 – SCINTILLATING STAR – resume says potential improvement in 2nd off the sidelines
6 – LA REGALADA – BTV FAV back in late NOV -tr Juan Guerreo winner 26/82
3 – HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY – speed, fade and first Lasix in 3rd off the break
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Four: 7/1,2,5/2,3,7/1
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – Small Rail and 8+ Bias, 2-7 a Little Under Par
5 – GET THE W – +8 EP Edge at 4f, +EP/LP Combo, distance is ? 22/1-5-3
2 – STRUGAR – track dropper for Turfway? Best work on AW – Ness 32% winner 1st off the claim
1 – MACH TRIAL – sim says you got to have him
6 – HIDE THE RANSOM – gets the nod over the 4, PARX 10/1-4-3, Distance 7/1-3-2
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,2,5/2,5/1,2,4,5,6
Race 6: Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers – 31% w2w – Strong Rail Bias, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Under Par
3 – HOLDTHEFLIGHT – usually competitive off the rest, PARX 5/2-1-1, Distance 6/2-1-2
7 – IRISH HONOR – crushed them in last with ATB upgrades, resume says better in Round 2 off the sideline
2 – MR. ROUNDTREE – Left Arrow Horse w/ TRLSP# – going to make a big mid move and see if it’s enough
5 – HARD STING – has a +8 LP edge, but might not get a the fastest of races here
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Trifecta: 2,3,7/3,7/2,3,5,6,7
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – Small Rail and 8+ Bias, 2-7 a Little Under Par
1 – TWISTED RIDE – competitive race but has a +O advantage
2 – MEMORY BOUQUET – probably best chance to go w2w – dig the Jan 14th work of 4f in 48.4
7 – GEEBERT – closer won two in row and will have plenty of speed to run down
3 – SPLICETHEMAINBRACE – upped his speed game in last two, tie TLRSP#
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Four: 1/1,5,7/1,3,5/1,3,7,8,9
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – Small Rail and 8+ Bias, 2-7 a Little Under Par
7 – HE’S INCREDIBLE – nose from winning 6 of last 7 – tie TLRSP#
1 – FLOAT ON – Sprint – route – sprint – winner 5/10 trainer Daniel Velazquez
5 – BAILEY – other to tie for TLRSP#, will try to make a strong mid move and hold them off
8 – HUSHION – benefits with the 9 scratching and should be forwardly places
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,5,7/1,7/1,4,5,7,8
Race 9: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 8/11 w2w – PP: Heavy Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Under Par, None 8+
3 – ELOQUIST – Left Arrow Horse, TLRSP# and Drops from 150k NGST at AQ – PARX 4/2-0-0 – all or nothing 12/5-0-0
1 – FAR MO POWER – dropping from 100K NGST was BTN FAV, gets the high win rate rail
5 – IRISH CORK – another failed FAV. Tr John Servis 31/95 next time out
8 – KING OF DREAMS – benefits from the 2 scratching and should challenge from go
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3,5/1,3/1,3,5,6,8
Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – Small Rail and 8+ Bias, 2-7 a Little Under Par
3 – BOCA ROYALTY – has a +7 EP/LP Edge, improved through first half mile last outing
1 – FIELD LETTERS – speed and fade in first race after a three month rest, looking for more in round 2
9 – STARSHIP BLANCA – TLRSP#, much better in the end last out
8 – SMOOTH AS GLASS – hasn’t run since June, ITM but no wins in last two off the bench races
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3,9/1,3/1,3,7,8,9
Parx Way to the Winner’s Circle Worksheet
