Uncategorized

PARX Racing Picks Live – March 13, 2023 – Horse Racing Today

PARX Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers

$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for PARX Racing on a $100 Budget

Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Turf Paradise

Parx Picks and Plays

Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping

Race 1 

5 – Look Out Lambo – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer and jockey, the combo in last 14 days has won four out of five starts.

4 – Mission Oberon – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race at PARX Racing, winning the previous race.

3 – In Equality – He drops in class today, has a high % winning trainer and jockey and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.

Longshot:

6 – Son of a Saint – He won his last race at PARX Racing and likes the distance.

Alternate:

7 – Runningforhome

2 – Private Network 

Bet: $1.00 DD: 3,4,5,6/ 1,7

 

Race 2

7 – Londonderry – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, switches to a high % winning trainer who in the last 14 days has won four races out of eight starts.

1 – Sugar Streak – She finished 2nd in her last two races, the rail post is winning at 22% clip and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

4 – Not a Trace – She drops in class today and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.

Longshot:

5 – Brody Slam – She won her last race at PARX Racing and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).

Alternate:

3 – Just Stay Home

Bet: $.50 Trifecta: 1,4,7/1,4,7/1,4,5,7

 

Race 3

6 – Shiftinggears – He won his last race at PARX Racing, was well bet in that debut and Lasix is added.

5 – Minxzhippsdontleye – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating, has a high % winning trainer and jockey and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

4 – Ryan’s Fleet – He drops in class today and his early speed running style helps chances.

Longshot:

1 – Runnin Joke – He drops in class today and has a high % winning jockey.

Bet: $1.00 Pick 3: 6/1,2,4,5 /4,8,9

 

Race 4

5- Baton – He finished 7th in his last race after being bumped at the start and coming into the stretched 4 – wide, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

1 – Moon Warrior – He has finished in the money in his last four races, winning two and the rail post is winning at a 22% clip.

2 – Mutasallem – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

4 – Simovitch – He switches to a high % winning jockey, may improve at the shorter distance and he has a good 5F workout on Mar-03.

Alternate:

7 – Celtic Heart

Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 4th race #1,2,4,5 – 5th race # 4,7,8,9- 6th race # 3,4,5 – 7th race #6

 

Race 5 

4 – Flight – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, has a high % winning trainer and should improve while returning to a sprint.        

8 – Road to Dreams – She was well bet in her debut race and won it at PARX Racing and then took a 6-month break but has a good 4f ft :48 B 4/56 on Feb15.

9 – Angelofcanterbury – She has a high % winning trainer, drops in class today, the highest last race speed rating and a good 4F workout on Mar-05.

Longshot:

7 – Old Head – She won her last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey who in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-1-0).

Alternate:

5 – Bay and Gold

2 – Arrogante

Bet: None

 

Race 6 

3 – Elusive Ryder – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last two races and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

4 – Mani Pedi – She has finished in the money 44% of the time at PARX Racing, winning 22% of the starts, drops in class today and likes the distance.

5 – Canoochee – She won her last race at PENN National and has won previously at today’s distance. 

Longshot:

2 – Lula’s Roadrunner – She switches to a high% trainer and has a high % winning jockey.

Alternate:

1 – Valerie First

Bet: None

 

Race 7

6 – Irish Exit – He won his last race at Aqueduct, has a high % winning trainer and jockey and this combo in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-1-0).

7 – Senior Investment – He drops in class today; has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

1 – Nautilus –He has won two out of three races at PARX Racing, drops in class today and the rail post is winning at 22% clip.

Longshot:

4 – Ron Don Scorese – He finished 3rd in his last race and the trainer in last 14 days has finished in the money seven out of eight starts, winning three of the starts.

Alternate:

3 – Vasariano

2 – Midnight Act

Bet: $.50 Pick 5 – 7th race #1,6,7- 8th race # 3,4,5,8 – 9th race # 3,5 – 10th race #1 – 11th #3’7

 

Race 8

8 – Mitropanos – He finished 3rd in his debut start at PENN National and has a good 4F workout Mar-02.

5 – Liberty for All – He is a first-time starter whose Sire wins 18% of the races with 1st time Starters, breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a bullet 3F workout (Mar-01).

3 – Holy Moly Moses – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter.

Longshot:

4 – Threepete – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 2 starters and the breeding suits today’s sprint distance.

Alternate:

7 – Nicky Da Fox

Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 8th race # 3,4,5,8 – 9th race # 3,5 – 10th race #1 – 11th #2,3,4

 

Race 9

3 – Glory Song – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint to route and the trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (6 2-1-2).

5 – The King Cheek – He has won three out of eight races at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

7 – Celtic Treasure – He finished 3rd in his last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

8 – El Hermano – He won his last race at PARX Racing.

Alternate:

2 – Yes Sir Colonel

4 – Kodapendent

Bet: None

 

Race 10

1 – Ifihadachance – She has finished in the money in her last five races, winning the last three races and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

7 – R Tenderoni – She has finished in the money in her last four races, winning two of the races and has trainer Jamie Ness.

6 – Beach Daze – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and has the highest last race speed rating. 

Longshot:

3 – Tiz a Sharpie – She finished 3rd in her last race and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.

Alternate:

9 – Fine One Won

8 – Ami’s Link

Bet: $10.00 Win #1 – Bet: $1.00 DD: 1/ 1,2,3,4

 

Race 11

4 – Gia’s Fuego – She drops in class today and she has the highest last race speed rating.

3 – J J Loves Billy – She drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the races when taking a horse down 2+ classes.

2 – Smooth as Glass – She has a trainer who wins 22% of the Claiming races he has a horse entered in and should improve at the shorter distance.

Longshot:

1 – Kenai Coo – She finished 3rd vs similar in last race.

Alternate:

6 – Let’s Celebrate

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 54% w2w – PP: Big Rail Edge, 2/3 Plus, 4+ a Little Under Par

7 – RUNNINGFORHOME – last race better than it might look, same fractions at 1m70y vs 7f

5 – LOOK OUT LAMBO – better EP numbers and times at 1m70y vs 1m, cut in distance helps here

2 – PRIVATE NETWORK – too much of an EP edge to pass

3 – IN EQUALITY – drops in class, won and 2nd by a neck the last pair he ran at this level

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 5: 2,3,4,7/1,7/4,5,6/2,5/9

 

Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bump, 2-7 close to Fair, 8+ Major Ding

7 – LONDONDERRY – fist off the claim tr Michael Pino – 22% winner, decent maintenance work since claim – improved 2/4f pace#s in last

1 – SUGAR STREAK – cannot overlook huge rail edge for a horse that upped her game in the last two

5 – BRODY SLAM – been competitive vs many of these, race cycle review says regression here is likely

4 – NOT A TRACE – beneficiary of 2 scratching and should set the tone from the jump

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,7/1,4,7/1,3,4,5,7

 

Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 38% w2w – PP: Little Downgrade Rail, 4-7, all others a Slight Bonus

5 – MINXZHIPPSDONTLEYE – TLRSP# with same times at 7f as 6 1/2f, cut back is the difference maker today

4 – RYAN’S FLEET – looks like big class drop, but was running over his head after maiden win, does have a +9 EP edge to the half mile marker

6 – SHIFTINGGEARS – top LP vs a group where most want to be forwardly placed, won debut with ease and gets Lasix today

1 – RUNNIN JOKE – drops in class – 3rd off the break and 2nd off the claim, 21% angle for tr Guadalupe

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,5,6/4,5/1,4,5,6,7

 

Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bump, 2-7 close to Fair, 8+ Major Ding

5 – BATON – is a neck from wining his two at Parx, another could be coming based of recent Parx work

2 – MUTASALLEM – really consistent performer with Parx record 10/2-4-2

1 – MOON WARRIOR – lone P. big fan of Tyler Conner, not so much for Pen Shippers – but the rail has too much of an advantage not to play

3 – BODE O – bullet work right before first race since Jan 11, little weight break

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 2,5/9/3/1,6,7

 

Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 38% w2w – PP: Little Downgrade Rail, 4-7, all others a Slight Bonus

9 – ANGELOFCANTERBURY – Silvera/Ness, really good workout since last and has a +11 EP/LP edge

5 – BAY AND GOLD – if she can run back to debut, possible with 1st Lasix

8 – ROAD TO DREAMS – crushed a short field in debut way back in August, consistent work pattern since Jan 11 and last was very good

7 – OLD HEAD – Left Arrow horse, Pennington/Servis won 7/18 together, +2.72 ROI, OK work after MCL win in 4th try, tough call over the 4,3

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 5,8,9/5,9/4,5,7,8,9

 

Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bump, 2-7 close to Fair, 8+ Major Ding

3 – ELUSIVE RYDER – considerably better fractions last out and dropping a few pounds here, won the last time she had a similar weight break, tells me tr Danial Velazquez takes pounds off when she is ready

4 – MANI PEDI – was a little better through the first half mile of last

1 – VALERIE FIRST – TLRSP# and rides the hot rail

5 – CANNOCHEE – looks to be in better form than the 2

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,4/1,3,4/1,2,3,4,5

 

Race 7: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bump, 2-7 close to Fair, 8+ Major Ding

6 – IRISH EXIT – a repeat of the last race would be good enough, some regression likely in round two off

1 – NAUTILUS – last race was a little better than it looks with better times, Parx 3/2-0-0, Distance 5/2-2-0

7 – SENIOR INVESTMENT – decent class drop and has a couple of nice works since his last race

3 – VASARIANO – better pace#s ATB in last, moving up in class

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,6,7/1,6/1,3,4,6,7

 

Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 33% w2w – PP: Rail and 8+ Bonus, 2-7 Almost Fair

5 – LIBERTY FOR ALL – tons of bullet works at GO, 280K work

3 – HOLY MOLY MOSES – like the Feb 21 work of 4f in 48

7 – NICKY DA FOX – sim says forwardly placed and you got to have him

4- THREEPETE – another first times works are OK

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 3,5,7/3/1,6,9/4

 

Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bump, 2-7 close to Fair, 8+ Major Ding

3 – GLORY SONG – Ness 30% sprint to route, TLRSP# with decent work between starts

5 – THE KING CHEEK – ran about a second faster in his last relative to the previous start, maybe better in second off the break

7 – CELTIC TREASURE – recent resume says second start after a layoff could be sizable bump

4 – KODAPENDENT – really consistent performer, dropping in class with a work between outings

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,5/3,5,7/3,4,5,7,8

 

Race 10: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bump, 2-7 close to Fair, 8+ Major Ding

1 – IFIHADACHANCE – winner 3 in a row, PARX 5/3-1-1, a pair of good works since last race

9 – FINE ONE WON – some issues at the start of her last race, if she breaks sharply, close to the lead she will be formidable

6 – BEACH DAZE – much better 1 mile time last out by more than 2 seconds, PARX 9/3-3-1

7 – R TENDERONI – dropping off the win for Jamie Ness, 25% winner

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,6,9/1,9/1,3,6,7,9

 

Race 11: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 33% w2w – PP: Rail and 8+ Bonus, 2-7 Almost Fair

4 – GIA’S FUEGO – improved pace through the first half mile of last – lone P

1 – KENAI COOL – better fractions in last – rail bonus could help

5 – GAVICHI – some EP in a route last out, cutting back in distance should help, 10 pound weight break

3 – J J LOVES BILLY – best of the rest with a chance to rebound in second off the break following a terrible effort

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,4/1,4,5/1,2,3,4,5

Parx Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet

You May Also Like

Horse Racing Today

PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Mahoning Valley: https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/in… Free PARX Racing Racing Picks Terry Hollywood...

International Horse Racing Picks

#HorseRacing, #HorseRacingTips, #ShaTin Support us with HRT Gear: https://horse-racing-today.myspreadshop.com/all Throw Back to Sha Tin for some synthetic and turf racing for Tom and Rich...

Horse Racing Today

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Laurel Park Free Fair Grounds Picks Terry Hollywood Hay’s...

Horse Racing Today

Churchill Downs Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Delta Downs: https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/in… Free Churchill Downs Picks Terry Hollywood...

Copyright © 2021 Horse Racing Today - ZoxPress Theme. Theme by MVP Themes, powered by WordPress.

Exit mobile version