Parx Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Parx on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Turf Paradise
Parx Horse Racing Picks and Plays
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
9 – Tough Workout – He has finished in the money in five out of his last six starts, winning one race and has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Double Dealer – He won his last race at PARX Racing; the rail post is winning at 19% clip and has a high % winning jockey and trainer.
4 – Battle of Yorktown – He has a high % winning jockey and has a trainer who wins 17% of the claiming races and can improve while returning to a route as he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Longshot:
6 – Exclusive Order – He has finished in the money in two out of three races, winning one.
Alternate:
2 – Speight’spercomete
Bet: $1.00 DD: 1,4,9/ 2,6,8
Race 2
2 – Boss Cara – She can either lead or come off the pace to win and won her last race at PARX Racing by going to the front, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and she has a bullet workout on March 8th.
6 – Touring Maryanne – She won her last race at PARX Racing; she has the highest last race speed rating and a trainer / jockey combo who in the last 14 days has won two out of three starts.
8 – Starship Blanca – She ran 2nd in her last race and has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
5 – Twirling Wind – She drops in class today and can handle the distance.
Alternate:
1 – Jet Force
Bet: $.50 Trifecta: 2,6/2,6,8/2,5,6,7,8
Race 3
7 – Refund Rigler – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has a good 4F workout on Mar-13.
5 – Go for the Kill – He has finished in the money in his last three starts, finishing 3rd in his last race and has a high % winning trainer.
9 – Hope for Gold – He has a high % winning trainer and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
Longshot:
10 – Dangnabbit – He has improved his speed ratings in the last three races wining one of the starts.
Alternate:
6 – Lazaretto
1 – Healy’s Hope
Bet: $.50 Trifecta: 5,7/5,7,9/5,6,7,9,10
Race 4
5- Vero Sun – He can either lead or come from off the pace to win a race and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
1 – True Dakotan – He has finished in the money in two of his last four starts, winning one and increasing his speed rating in the last three races.
2 – Mr. Briggs – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
8 – Taco Bean – He won his last race at PARX Racing.
Alternate:
10 – Cristiano’s Dream
11 – I Saw It All
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 4th race #1,2,5,8,10- 5th race # 4,6,7 – 6th race # 5,7 – 7th race #2
Race 5
6 – Artistic Reason – He has finished in the money in four of his five starts at PARX Racing, finishing 2nd in his last two races and the shorter distance should help.
4 – Angelus Warrior – He has finished in the money in seven starts out the last eight starts, winning two.
7 – Excursion – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Speightster Red – He likes the distance and has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
9 – Absentee
11 – Acker
Bet: $.50 Trifecta Box: 4,6,7
Race 6
5 – Big Ambition – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Lookinatlightening – She switches to a high % winning trainer who wins 33% of the races when using 1st time Lasix and switches to a high % winning jockey.
4 – Blanchiment – She has the best dirt speed among today’s starters, a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the races in maiden claiming races and a jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (11 4-2-1).
Longshot:
1 – Tempted to Touch – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, the rail post is winning at a 22% clip and Lasix is added.
Alternate:
6 – True Phenomenon
3 – Uptown Charlotte
Bet: $10.00 Win #5
Race 7
2 – Ninja Prize – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and he should improve at the shorter distance.
6 – Upfor Parole – He comes in from PENN National to try PARX Racing and switches to a good jockey.
5 – Union Reward – He ran 2nd in his last race and can improve at the shorter distance.
Longshot:
4 – Ben’s Imagine –He is a first-time starter, whose Dam has 1 winner from 2 starters and has some good workouts.
Alternate:
7 – Gambler’s Run
Bet: $.50 Pick 5 – 7th race #2- 8th race # 2,8 – 9th race # 8,10 – 10th race #6- 11th #4,6,7,11
Bet: $15.00 Win #2 – $1.00 Exacta Box: 2,5,6 – $2.00 Exacta: 2/4,5,6– Best Betting Race
Race 8
8 – Golden Eib Micrphn – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has the highest last race speed rating, and has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Cause I Said – He is a closer and has a win at PARX Racing and likes the distance.
3 – Cajun Cousin – He has won four out of ten starts at PARX Racing and drops in class today.
Longshot:
7 – Hipnotizada – He has an early foot and switches to a high % jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Baci
4 – Tilsa
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 8th race # 2,8 – 9th race # 8,10 – 10th race #4,6- 11th #4,6,7,11
Race 9
10 – All That Magic – She won her last race at PENN National, has a high % winning trainer and a good workout.
8 – Princess Lean – She closed from deep to win her last race and has a high % winning trainer.
11 – Dysfunctional – She comes in from Laurel Park after winning her last race easily to try PARX Racing for the first time and arrives with a trainer who wins 29% of the races when shipping a horse in to run.
Longshot:
9 – Tudor Peak – She comes in from Penn National after winning her last race.
Alternate:
3 – Smarty Pants Sandy
4 – Skerrett
Bet: None
Race 10
6 – Jezebel Jade – She won her last race at PARX Racing, has never finished out of the money at PARX Racing and has high % winning trainer.
4 – Rolls Royce Joyce – She has finished in the money in nine out of his last ten starts at PARX Racing, winning two including her last start.
1 – Mia Tosca – She has a high % winning trainer and should improve while returning to dirt.
Longshot:
8 – Chelsea Wall – She won her last race at PARX Racing, switches to a high % winning trainer who wins 32% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
9 – Broad Jumper
10 – Aruma
Bet: None
Race 11
6 – Leaping for Candy – She finished 3rd in her last race and has the highest last race speed rating.
11 – Wild n’ Sassy – She comes in from Laurel Park after being bumped at the start and finished a disappointing 7th but finished 2nd the race before and has a good workout on March 9th.
7 – Charlys Wild Angel – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
10 – Queenpin – She has a high % trainer who wins 21% of the races when taking a horse down 2+ classes and has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Escandalo
9 – Dons Last Call
Bet: None
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Tactical Speed – 45% w2w – PP: Small Rail and 2/3 Bias, 4-7 Big Discount, 8+ Big Bump
1 – DOUBLE DEALER – Q +9, TLRSP# and 3rd off the break, coming off maiden MCL 10 win in 7th Try
9 – TOUGH WORKOUT – could be lone E if breaks to the lead, going longer today after better 2/4f #s
4 – BATTLE OF YORKTOWN – best EP/LP score, little better fractions last out
6 – EXCLUSIVE ORDER – last was brutal, 1st off the claim for tr Carlos Soto, 19% v 13% overall
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 1,9/2,6,8
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 33% w2w – PP: Rail and 8+ Bias, 2-7 a little Under Par
2 – BOSS CARA – Parx 4/1-2-0, Distance 9/1-5-1 – decent work since winning last on Feb 1
6 – TOURING MARYANNE – TLRPSP# with big late race improvement. first off the claim tr Michael Pino – 21% angle
8 – STARSHIP BLANCA – another first off the claim, 23% for tr Robert Mosco, top EP/LP in the race
1 – JET FORCE – or the 10 likely to be frontrunner and showed more stamina late in last
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,6,8/2,6/1,2,6,8,10
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 33% w2w – PP: Rail and 8+ Bias, 2-7 a little Under Par
5 – GO FOR THE KILL – tie TLRPS# with better fractions at 6 1/2 f v 5 1/2f
9 – HOPE FOR GOLD – looks a lot like the 5, tie TLRSP# with better times at 6 ½ v 5 1/2f
1 – HEALY’S HOPE – looks like the 5&9, tie TLRSP# and faster times, better ATB and way better late
6 – LAZARETTO – better ATB in his last, little regression last time but still ITM, drop should help
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,6,8/2,6/1,2,6,8,10
Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 39% w2w – PP: Small Discount Rail, 4-7, Bonus 2/3, Bigger Bonus 8+
10 – CRISTIANO’S DREAM – TLRSP# and was better ATB in last, 3rd off the break but 3/0-0-0 at the distance
8 – TACO BEAN – tr Ellitott Soto-Martinez, better fractions and much better 2/4f pace #s
2 – MR. BRIGGS – not a big fan of the time last out, but likes the distance 3/0-1-2
3 – DADASHEV – tough call over the 1, but should be closer to the front and has the 2ns best LP
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,8,10/4,6/4,5/2,7
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out
4 – ANGELUS WARRIOR – Ness/Silvera – 33% winner first off the claim, 2 OK works since
6 – ARTISTIC REASON – Parx 5/1-3-1, exploded late in last
3 – SPEIGHTSTER RED – is the right distance for lone PC horse 11/2-5-0, did regress a little in last, record says it’s 50/50 he bounces back today
9 – ABSENTEE – big drop – suspicious – two works since last are slow – but distance is right
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,6/3,4,6/2,3,4,6,9
Race 6: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 42% w2w – PP: Strong Inside 3 Edge, 4-7 Under Par, 8+ Fairish
5 – BIG AMBITION – TLRSP# with bullet work since – should be ready
4 – BLANCHIMENT – NYRA track and biggest class dropper – lone PARX work was average – but +6 EP at 4f
7 – LOOKINATLIGHTENING – showed some early pop in her second outing, cutting back in distance with 1st Lasix helps
6 – TRUE PHENOMENON – help pace much longer last out with a maintenance work between starts
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,5/4,5,7/1,4,5,6,7
Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 35% w2w – PP: Inside 3 and 8+ Bias, 4-7 Discount
7 – GAMBLER’S RUN – first timer, steady work pattern, like the Jan 8th work
2 – NINJA PRIZE – going to be the heavy favorite – likely – last was at best the same as race 2, but pace regression ATB
4 – BEN’S IMAGINE – first timer – the Jan 19 work was nice, but the next work was March 8th – big gap concerns
3 – LUCKILY LEYTON – could be on the lead, which give him a chance
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,7/2,4,7/2,3,4,5,7
Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 35% w2w – PP: Inside 3 and 8+ Bias, 4-7 Discount
8 – GOLDEN EIB MICRPHN – TLRSP#, moving up in class in 2nd off the bench, distance 3/2-0-0
2 – CAUSE I SAID – sizable drop in class and last was better than it looks with faster fraction at 6F vs 5 1/2f
1 – BACI – has some back speed and catching a 10 pound weight break – decent at PARX 5/2-1-0
5 – TAKE CHARGE ERICA – crashed in last, but bounced back in form following the last time she bombed
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,2,8/2,8/1,2,3,5,8
Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 39% w2w – PP: Small Discount Rail, 4-7, Bonus 2/3, Bigger Bonus 8+
11 – DYSFUNCTIONAL – +16 EP/LP edge – TLRSP# and ships in from Laurel
8 – PRINCESS LEAN – closed nicely in first race at PARX after dropping in from Monmouth and GP
1 – PERFECT DIRECTION – sizable class drop, could be better in 3rd off the bench – distance 2/1-1-0
10 – ALL THAT MAGIC – nice win at PENN in last, decent work since, but not a fan of Penn shippers
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 8,11/1,8,11/1,4,8,10,11
Race 10: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 39% w2w – PP: Small Discount Rail, 4-7, Bonus 2/3, Bigger Bonus 8+
6 – JEZEBEL JADE – won last by 11, bullet work and go – repeat last race and it’s another W
4 – ROLLS ROYCE JOYCE – 2 SP# increases, little concerned about slower times last out
8 – CHELSEA WALL – Ness/Silvera again – first off the claim 33% for Ness
9 – BROAD JUMPER – going to close, probably better in 3rd off the bench, right distance 2/1-0-1
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,6,8/4,6/4,5,6,8,9
Race 11: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 56% w2w – PP: Strong Rail – Inside Out
A lot of bad horses in here – got to go with class droppers
10 – QUEENPIN – NYRA Track Dropper, class dropper and has some EP, OK Parx work
11 – WILD N’ SASSY – comes in from Laurel and is another class dropper, but not as big as it looks based on last race
9 – DONS LAST CALL – last of the class droppers, horrible start in debut, gets 1st Lasix
7 – CHARLYS WILD ANGEL – distance gives hope 5/0-2-1 but 22 tries already
Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta Box: 9,10,11
Parx Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
