PARX Racing Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for PARX on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Mahoning Valley
PARX Horse Racing Picks and Plays
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
1 – The Method – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race and has a trainer who wins 33% of the races when he drops a horse off a claim.
5 – Open Lengths – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and likes the distance.
3 – Mo Ready – He broke slow in his last race and drops in class today and has a high % trainer who wins 19% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint- sprint -route.
Longshot:
6 – Vitesse – He drops in class today and has the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
4 – Kitten Street
2 – Long Gray Line
Bet: $1.00 DD: 1/ 1,3,7,8
Race 2
8 – Sailor Again – He took a two month break and then in his first race back won it easily by 10-lenghts at PARX Racing by going to the front and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – One Slick Start – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has a trainer / jockey combo who in the last 14 days has won two out of six starts.
1 – Vikram – He drops in class today and has a trainer who wins 50% of the races when he drops a horse down 2+ classes.
Longshot:
7 – Kowboy Karma – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Alternate:
2 – Drena’s Bullet
6 – Pylon
Bet: $.50 Trifecta: 3,8/1,3,8/1,2,3,7,8
Race 3
6 – Valiant Majesty – She won her last race at Laurel Park and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Argentina Girl – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and blinkers are added today.
1 – In My Opinion – She has finished in the money in 45% of her career starts and a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Brooklyn Heights – She switches to a high % winning jockey and Best Dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed.
Bet: $6 Exacta: 6/1
Race 4
6 – Seahorse d’Oro – She ran 2nd in her last race, has the highest last race speed rating and has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Emerald – She drops in class today, has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a good 4F workout on Mar-16.
1 – That’stony’ssister – She has won one out of two career races at PARX Racing and the rail post is winning at 22% clip.
Longshot:
7 – Irie Empress – She finished 4th in her last race at PARX Racing only losing by 1-1/4 lengths and has a high % winning jockey.
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 4th race #1,3,4,6,7- 5th race # 2,9 – 6th race # 3,4 – 7th race #1,2,7
Race 5
9 – Enforcer – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in over 50% of his starts and the shorter distance should help.
2 – Porsupuesto – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer.
6 – One More Score – He was beaten only 2- lengths vs similar in his last start, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Lucky as a Seven – He switches to a high % winning trainer and the rail post is winning at 21% clip.
Alternate:
4 – Cold Walker
5 – Maxim Moment
Bet: $5.00 Win #9
Race 6
4 – Didinger – He finished in the money in all five of his career races, winning one and has a high % winning trainer who wins 32% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again.
3 – Blue Royal – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Dreaming of Smarty – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has a high % winning trainer who wins 29% of the races when using 2nd time Lasix.
Longshot:
1 – Impetud – He won his last race at Penn National and has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Battuta d’Oro
Bet: $5.00 Win #4
Bet: $.50 Pick 5 – 6th race #4 – 7th race # 2,7 – 8th race # 2,3 – 9th race #5- 10th #1,5,8,9,10
Race 7
2 – Amusing Mischief – He finished 3rd vs similar in his only start and received the highest last race speed rating (tie).
7 – Marvelousmoondance – He finished in the money in six of the races out of eight starts at PARX Racing and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
4 – Threepete – He finished 3rd in his only start.
Longshot:
8 – Winged Foot – He is a first-time starter and has a good 5F workout on Mar-18.
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 7th race # 2,7 – 8th race # 2,3 – 9th race #5- 10th #1,5,8,9,10
Race 8
3 – Peak of Chic – She has won her last two races in a row at PARX Racing and now going for a hat trick, and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, and has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Spanikopita – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race PARX Racing and likes the distance.
1 – Snow Forecast– She switches to a high % jockey and should improve at the shorter distance.
Longshot:
7 – Pontiffany – She has won two out of her last three races, the shorter distance will be a plus and she has a high % jockey.
Alternate:
5 – La Familia
8 – Et’s Moon Maiden
Bet: None
Race 9
5 – Beren – He has done well at PARX Racing finishing in the money in 73% of the starts, winning 40% of the races and likes the distance finishing in the money in 80% of the starts, winning 40% of the races.
4 – Yodel E. A. Who – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today, has a high % winning trainer and a good 3F workout on Mar-16.
7 – Practical Coach – He finished 3rd in his last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Hopeful Treasure – He comes back from Laurel Park to PARX Racing where he has been in the money in five of the races out of six starts.
Alternate:
1 – Prince of Rain
2 – Dreams Untold
Bet: $15.00 Win #5- $3.00 Exacta: 5/4,6,7- Best Betting Race
Race 10
5 – Catalon – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer.
8 – Rainbow Trout – She has finished in the money in six out of her eleven starts at PARX Racing, winning one and drops in class today.
9 – Shewearsthepants – She switches to a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
10 – Another Saucy Six – She is a closer who had problems in her last race at PARX Racing, which caused a disappointing finish, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
2 – Golden Bow
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 1 1/8 Miles – Bias: 5 Races – 1 w2w – Rest Closers – PP: Really Strong Inside 3
1 – THE METHOD – strong rail edge, should be close to the front and room to be better in round two off the sidelines
5 – OPEN LENGTHS – seems to be getting fitter with increased PL in last three races
2 – LONG GRAY LINE – last race was better early but softer late, maybe he can put front and back together here
4 – KITTEN STREET – was the betting favorite against many of these in his most recent run, maybe lives up to it in classic 3rd after a layoff
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 5: 1,2,4,5/2,8/6/4,6/6
Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 37% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 2/3 and 8+ a Little Bump
2 – DRENA’S BULLET – at times runs big races – fast 3f work off the claim says tr Philip Aristone plans on sending him today – distance 16/3-4-4
8 – SAILOR AGAIN – crushed the field by 10 with TLRSP# by a decent margin, resume says 2nd after a layoff should top it, but distance 7/0-1-2
1 – VIKRAM – big drop in class, considerably better late in most recent, but Parx 8/1-0-0
6 – PYLON – has a +8 EP Edge through the opening quarter, two most recent wins came when he was involved from go
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 2,8/6/4,6/6
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 37% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 2/3 and 8+ a Little Bump
6 – VALIANT MAJESTY – TLRSP# by a long way, either needs to regress a lot or the other come to that level
5 – ARGENTINA GIRL – lone P horse in a field dominated by EP, has the top LP and should get the right trip
1 – IN MY OPINION – was even money favorite in last after track dropping but never fired, a pair of 3f works since says tr Alan Bedard is going to send
4 – BROOKLYN HEIGHTS
Suggested Wager: $5 Exacta ICE COLD: 6/5
Race 4: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 54% w2w -PP: Strong Rail, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
4 – EMERALD – who knows what happened in its last in 150K non graded stakes, this is more realistic with +7 EP/LP edge
6 – SEAHORSE D’ORO – TLRSP# at AQ – 2nd up history is 50/50, little Z
3 – ISLAND BELLE – if it’s raining, then this one as she smoked around the track in the mud last out
7 – IRIE EMPRESS – top LP and benefits from 2 and 5 scratching
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 4,6/6/3,4/2,4,7,8
Race 5: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 40% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Advantage, 4+ Penalty
6 – ONE MORE SCORE – track dropper from AQ in his 3rd start after a layoff, won lone PARX
5 – MAXIM MOMENT – similar fractions through 6f at 1m70y v 7f, top LP
4 – COLD WALKER – distance 3/2-1-0, was better early and late in his most recent
7 – JAA MODE – big drop in class from AQ – two nice workouts after fading in first up following more than 15 months on the sidelines
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,5,6/56,4,5,6,7,9
Race 6: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 54% w2w -PP: Strong Rail, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
4 – DIDINGER – bullets galore getting ready for first since November, first Lasix
3 – BLUE ROYAL – TLRSP# and drops in class for the 3rd off the break – lone P with 8 out
7 – DREAMING OF SMARTY – has a +8 at 2f and +9 at 4f, good work since going w2w in last
2 – BATTUTA D’ORO – sim says you have to have him and he should be closing at the end
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 5: 3,4/2,7,8/1,3/4,5/5,8
Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 37% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 2/3 and 8+ a Little Bump
7 – MARVELOUSMOONDANCE – lone P and just can’t get to the winners’ circle at Parx 8/0-5-1
2 – AMUSING MISCHIEF – tie TLRSP# in November debut, had a troubled trip
8 – WINGED FOOT – first time starter, Ness and Rodriguez win at 32% together
4 – THREEPETE – decently bet in debut, solid effort from start to finish
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 2,7,8/1,3/4,5/5,8
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 36% w2w – PP: Rail and 8+ Bias, 2-7 Fairish
3 – PEAK OF CHIC – winner two in a row, seconds by a head and a neck from 6 of last 7
1 – SNOW FORECAST – Frankie Pennington and Scott Lake – winner 6 of 12 together
4 – SARATOGA BEAUTY – lone EP horse, right distance 11/3-2-3, some good works prepping
2 – SPANIKOPITA – top LP and making 3rd off the break – won last 3rd up
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3,4/1,3/1,2,3,4,7
Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 37% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 2/3 and 8+ a Little Bump
5 – BEREN – drops from G3 after stumbling at the jump – and still almost caught them at the end
4 – YODEL E. A. WHO – lone PC horse with a +7 LP edge, usually a slow starter, tr Jamie Ness had two 3f works between races, could be closer to the front today
1 – PRINCE OF RAIN – TLRSP# and drops in class, could improve in 2nd odd the bench
7 – PRACTICAL COACH – fast work on March 10 at PARX 12/3-3-0, distance 2/0-2-0
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 1,4,5/2,3,5,7,8
Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 36% w2w – PP: Rail and 8+ Bias, 2-7 Fairish
5 – CATALON – is the lone EP and has a +7 LP edge and ranks as top EP/LP horse
8 – RAINBOW TROUT – proper distance 9/2-3-1, drops back to a level where she won by 7 ¾ lengths the last time she ran this low
7 – BELLA MARIA – lone PC horse, TLRSP#, runs best when carrying less weight, 10 pound break today
3 – PEARLBDANCING – class dropper that fared well at this level before
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 5,7,8/5,8/2,3,5,7,8
Parx Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
