Parx Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Parx on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Will Rogers
Parx Racing Selections and Comments
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
7 – Aztec Queen – She finished 5th in her last race after bobbling and being bumped at the start and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 38% of the races when dropping a horse down 2+ classes.
2 – Bet On Drama She has finished in the money in three out of four races this year, finishing 3rd vs similar in last her race and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Angelofthegalaxy – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race.
Longshot:
3 – Charlys Wild Angel – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race.
Alternate:
6 – Hip Hop Hooray
1 – Scarlet’s Song
Bet: $1.00 DD: 2,7/ 2,7,9
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 1st race #2,4,7- 2nd race # 2,7,9 – 3rd race # 2 – 4th race #2
Race 2
7 – Wagon Boss – He ran 2nd in his last race only losing by a short nose, has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Magnetron – He drops in class today, should improve while returning to a sprint and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
9 – Indirectly – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Manahawkin – He drops in class today and has highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
8 – Forest Fire
3 – Sailor Again
Bet: None
Race 3
2 – Divinary – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Bruno Barber Girl – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Map of Life – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a Lasix added
Longshot:
7 – Bionic Kat – She has an early foot and was well bet in her debut.
Alternate:
6 – Now Act Surprised
Bet: $10.00 Win # 2
Race 4
2- Peak of Chic – She has finished in the money in five out of her last six races, winning three and winning her last race.
4 – Cajun Cousin – She won her last race and has a high % winning trainer.
6 – Awesome Pal – She won her last race, switches to a high % winning trainer and her jockey in the last 7 days has this record (10 4-2-2).
Longshot:
5 – Starship Rogue – She ran 2nd in her last race only losing by a head and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
1 – Shirley Greene
8 – Wishes and Dreams
Bet: $10.00 Win # 2- $.50 Pick 4 – 4th race #2,4- 5th race # 3,6- 6th race # 1,3,6,7 – 7th race #6,9
Race 5
3 – Malibu Star – He has won two races in a row at PARX Racing and now going for a hat trick and likes the distance.
6 – Crafty Don – He ran 2nd in his last race and has a jockey who in the last 7 days has finished in the money in eleven out of fourteen starts, winning eight races.
7 – Brett’s World – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and this combo in last 14 days has finished in the money in four out of four races, winning two and has a good 4F workout on Mar-01.
Longshot:
1 – Sicilia Mike – He finished 3rd in his last three races and the rail post is winning at 23% clip.
Alternate:
5 – Large
Bet: $10.00 Win #3
Race 6
1 – God Still Loves Me – She ran 2nd in her last race after winning the previous race and was claimed by a trainer who wins 22% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse.
3 – Snappy Ride – She finished 5th in her last race after hopping and getting a bad start, switches to a high % winning jockey and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – Advocate Harbor – She likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 46% of the races and distance will not be a problem.
Longshot:
4 – Catalon – She has an early foot so her early speed running style helps her chances and she can improve at the shorter distance.
Alternate:
5 – Baby Fade
2 – Xenatown
Bet: $.50 Trifecta: 1,3/1,3,7/1,3,4,5,7
Race 7
9 – World Gone Wild – She won her last race at PARX Racing, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
6 – Live Aid – She drops in class today; she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and has a bullet 3f ft Feb 08.
3 – Leviosa –She has a high % winning trainer who wins 29% of the races when dropping a horse off a claim.
Longshot:
1 – Isabella Smile – She won her last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
7 – Princess Kaira
Bet: $.50 Pick 5 – 7th race #3,6,9- 8th race # 4 – 9th race # 3 – 10th race #6 – 11th #1,2,4,5,6,7,8
Race 8
4 – Twisted Ride – He has won two races in a row at PARX Racing and now going for a hat trick, has the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
8 – Five Dreams – He has finished in the money in eight out of his last eight races, winning three and finishing 2nd in his last race and has a high % winning trainer.
9 – Smooth – He ran 2nd in his last race and has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
3 – Sir Alfred James – He drops in class today, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
1 – Dreams Untold
Bet: $10.00 Win # 4 – $.50 Pick 4 – 8th race # 4 – 9th race # 3 – 10th race #6 – 11th #1,2,4,5,6,7,8
Race 9
3 – Disco Ebo – She has won four out of her last five races, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Sweet Willemina – She has finished in the money in nine out of her last ten races, winning three and finishing 3rd in her last race and has a high % winning trainer.
8 – Nurturing – She has won five out of her last ten races, winning the last two races.
Longshot:
5 – American Pyramid – She has won two races in a row at PARX Racing and her early speed running style helps her chances.
Alternate:
9 – Centre Court Champ
6 – Buy the Best
Bet: $10.00 Win # 3
Race 10
6 – Tough Tickets – He finished poorly at Aqueduct after clipping off heel’s, steading at the 5/8 and returns to PARX Racing where he finished in the money in both of his starts.
3 – Treasure Trove – He came in from Laurel Park to try PARX Racing after winning two out of the three races this year.
7 – Double Crown – He finished 3rd in his only race at PARX Racing and the distance will be no problem.
Longshot:
8 – Ruby Bleu – He has won three out of the last six races and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Bet: $1.00 DD: 6/4,7,8
Race 11
4 – Easy Day – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has a high % jockey and has a trainer who wins 83% of the races when dropping a horse off a win.
8 – Cajun Lover – He has an early foot winning the last two races in a row, has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a bullet 3F workout on Mar-01.
7 – Get the W – He ran 2nd in his last race, winning the race before.
Longshot:
6 – Askin for a Baskin – He has won the only start he has had at PARX Racing, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
2 – Osprey
1 – Speedy Bolt
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 35% w2w – PP: 1-7 Mostly Fair, 8+ Bonus
2 – BET ON DRAMA – TLRSP# and 2sp# increases in a row
7 – AZTEC QUEEN – tr Ernesto Padilla-Preciado winner 5/13 down 2 classes, better fractions in career start number 2
8 – YELOMA – track dropper with a +7 edge at 4f, last Parx work was good
6 – HIP HOP HOORAY – only 3rd start, maybe has more upside with first Lasix
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 2/2,7,8/2,4/2,3,4
Race 2: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 38% w2w – PP: Strong Inside 3 Bias – 4-7 Discount, 8+ Fair
8 – FOREST FIRE – might be better in the 3rd off the break, has a +8 2f and +11 4f
7 – WAGON BOSS – missed by a nose in his last with better fractions
2 – MAGNETRON – last race was better than it ended with better fractions at 1m70y than the previous effort at the distance
4 – MANAHAWKIN – TLRSP# and drops in class to the lowest level in the last 10
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,7,8/7,8/2,4,7,8,9
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 38% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Bonus
4 – BRUNO BARBER GIRL – been close – Parx 10/0-5-1 and 3/0-2-0 this year
2 – DIVINARY – could be lone E – Parx 6/0-2-2
3 – IMAGINE RITA – has a +7LP and EP/LP Edge and lone PC
5 – MAP OF LIFE – been decently bet in both races – first Lasix
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3,4/2,4/2,3,4,5,7
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 35% w2w – PP: 1-7 Mostly Fair, 8+ Bonus
2 – PEAK OF CHIC – a neck and a head from winning 5 of last 6, smoked them last out with TLRSP#
9 – MISS PEPPINA – has some upside in her game, a little weight break today – lone EP in field full of mid pack and back types
4 – CAJUN COUSIN – all or nothing at Parx 9/4-0-0, but never off the board at distance 4/2-1-1
5 – STARSHIP ROGUE – big run off the bench with much better ATB – maybe more in 2nd off the sidelines
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 2/3/ALL/3,9,10
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed – 33% w2w – PP: Rail and Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Major Penalty
3 – MALIBU STAR – smashed the field in the last two – crushed pace#s ATB
4 – EXIT RIGHT – PARX 22/11-4-4 – considerably better late in his last
7 – BRETT’S WORLD – very consistent performer – a little better fractions last out
6 – CRAFTY DON – major upgrade in early pace last out, 4sp# increases
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,4/3,4,7/3,4,6,7,8
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 38% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Bonus
4 – CATALON – TLRSP# – EP horse in a field that is backloaded
5 – BABY FADE – last race was better than it ended, holding her speed longer
3 – SNAPPY RIDE – every now and then she pops a big race
1 – GOD STILL LOVES ME – BTN FAV – tr Felix Flores-Coba rebounds at 32%, third off the bench
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,4,5/4,5/1,3,4,5,7
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 35% w2w – PP: 1-7 Mostly Fair, 8+ Bonus
10 – AFLEET DIVA – fast track 6/4-1-0, blowout numbers in last
9 – WORLD GONE WILD – likes to win – 30/10-3-1 – maintenance works in between races
3 – LEVIOSA – drops of the claim for tr Michael Pino – 29% angle – all or nothing too on fast 11/5-0-0
6 – LIVE AID – major class drop – maybe better in 4th off the layoff
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,9,10/9,10/3,6,7,9,10
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 35% w2w – PP: 1-7 Mostly Fair, 8+ Bonus
4 – TWISTED RIDE – Parx 11/5-2-2 – TLRSP# can pop some big numbers along the way
8 – FIVE DREAMS – PARX 9/4-3-1 – very consistent performer – usually a giant mid move
9 – SMOOTH B – could be at/near peak form in his third after a layoff
1 – DREAMS UNTOLD – Pennington and John Servis winner 8/18 together
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 4,8/2,3,8/1,3,8/1,4,6,8
Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 38% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Bonus
3 – DISCO EBO – won four of her last five and the last was just wrecked the competition, 3rd off the bench here
2 – SWEET WILLEMINA – loves Parx – 14/9-1-3 – gets Kendrick – came for this ride alone
8 – NURTURING – won both races in 2023 running away late, potentially more in the 3rd off the break
1 – LISCOLVIN – drops from a G3, last two works getting ready for today are nice
9 – CENTRE COURT CHAMP –
5 – AMERICAN PYRAMID
4 – MY BEAUTIFUL BELLE
6 – BUY THE BEST
Race 10: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed – 33% w2w – PP: Rail and Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Major Penalty
8 – RUBY BLEU – much better through the middle and end of his last race – the old man loves to finish ITM 89/22-17-16 – benefits from 2 and 9 scratching
1 – PRINCE OF RAIN – a lot of fast works at Penn getting ready for today
3 – TREASURE TROVE – has plenty of back class and brilliant late pace at times
6 – TOUGH TICKETS – another that benefits from the 2 and 9 scratching and should be involved
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3,8/1,8/1,3,4,6,8
Race 11: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 35% w2w – PP: 1-7 Mostly Fair, 8+ Bonus
4 – EASY DAY – drop off the win – tr Scott Lake winner 5 of 6 how do you bet against that?
6 – ASKIN FOR A BASKIN – early speed at Laurel, shortening up here, won lone Parx effort handily
8 – CAJUN LOVER – been smashing the competition since jy Mychel Sanchez got on – bullet work since his last 3f in 35.1
1 – SPEEDY BOLT – won his first race at Parx after coming in from Woodbine, tr Louis Linder winner 3/4 dropping off the win
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,6,8/4,6/1,4,6,7,8
Parx Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
