PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Will Rogers Downs – https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt
Free PARX Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 4-07-2025
Race 1
8 – Matzoball Muhammet – He finished 3rd in his last race, and he has a high % winning trainer and he has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
3 – Lucchesi – He has finished in the money in two of his last three races, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Carry Grant – He Ran 2nd vs similar in last race and he has highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
5 – Mine Seeker – He has finished in the money in two races out of four races at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Lookin Wild
Race 2-Female
3 – You’re Forever – She won her last race at PARX Racing, she drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer.
1 – Phone Eats First – She has finished in the money in four races out of her last six starts, winning two of the races, the rail post is winning at a 22% clip and she has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Subway Susie – Her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, she has a high % winning jockey and can handle the distance.
Longshot:
5 – Merrychill – She has a high % winning and jockey and she and can handle the distance.
Alternate:
6 – Aztec Bay
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3/1,2/1,4,5,6/2,4,8,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
2 – Ava K’s Boy – He has finished in the money in nine races out of her last ten starts, winning four of the races, he drops in class, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Warrior’s Vow – He finished poorly in his last race but won the two previous starts, drops in class today, the rail post is winning at a 22% clip and he has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Sailor’s Return – He stumbled and lost his rider in his last race but finished 2nd in the previous start switches to a high % jockey and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
4 – My Man Woody – He won his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Commingling
3 – Grand Pick
Bet: $15.00 Win & $25.00 Place: 2 – $5.00 Exacta Key Box: #2/1,4,5 – $10.00 Exacta:2/1,4,5
Race 4
6 – Prince Colton – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, he has a high % winning trainer and he has a bullet 5f workout on April-02.
5 – Traffic Master – He has finished in the money in six of his last eight races, winning one of the starts, he drops in class today, he has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
1 – Tricolour – He has won two races out of his last three starts, the rail post is winning at a 22% clip and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Ike’s Gamble – He has won three races out of his last five starts, best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Melt With You
$.50 Pick 4: 1,4,5,6/2,4,8,9/7,8/2,6,7– Cost $48.00
Race 5
2 – Bad Advice – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today, he has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer.
9 – One Last Kiss – He drops in class today, his early speed running style helps his chances, switches to a high % jockey and he has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Viral Video – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
8 – Prince Lucas – He trainer who wins 22% of the races in the Maiden Claiming races he has a horse running in and he has a good 4F workout on Mar-29.
Race 6
7 – Bottles– He has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer.
8 – Lightning Boss – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, his early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance will help and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Riley’s Rockstar – He has finished in the money in two of his three career races, drops in class today, he has a high % jockey and Lasix is added.
Longshot:
2 – Wild Captain – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
1 – Superness
5 – Fridayswithmurray
Race 7
7 – It’s Game Time – He won his last race by 8-1/2 length at PARX Racing, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, he has a high % winning trainer and he has a good 4F workout on Mar-31.
2 – Youbetterbejoking – He has finished in the money in six races out of his last seven starts, winning two of the races and he switches to a high % winning jockey.
6 – Bode’s Maker – He drops in class today, switches to a high % winning trainer who wins 29% of the races in the 1st race with this trainer and switches high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Margie’s Fun Son – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and switches to a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
8 – Level Up
5 – Marty’s Magic
$.50 Pick 4: #2,7/1,4,6/2,3,4,8/1,4,9,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 8-Female
6 – Pure Lure – She has finished in the money in six races out of seven career races, winning three of the starts, she has a high % winning trainer and she has a good 4F workout on Apr-02.
4 – Dancing On My Own – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 61% of the races, winning 17% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 100% of the races, winning 20% of the starts.
1 – Beautifulcrazygirl – She won her last race, has the highest last race speed rating and the rail post is winning at a 22% clip.
Longshot:
3 – Doctor Abbie – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and can handle the distance.
Alternate:
2 – Warrior’s Ransom
5 – Paula’s Surprise
Race 9
8 – Ira the Icon – He won his last race, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Prince of Chill – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 82% of the races, winning 27% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 100% of the races, winning 50% of the starts.
2 – Hagrid’s Flame – He has won two races out of his last three starts of his starts at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Assembly Point – He has finished in the money in her last seven starts, winning three of the races, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Race 10
1 – Real Conviction – He has finished in the money in her last seven starts, winning three of the races and the rail post is winning at a 22% clip.
10 – Magical Road – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 83% of the races, winning 17% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 100% of the races, winning 20% of the starts.
9 – Master Munnings – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Nimmo – He won his last race by 9-1/2 lengths and he has a high % winning jockey.
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 3rd Race – #2 – Ava K’s Boy
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – LUCCHESI – Top TOTAL PACE of a more than a length – should be pacesetter – speed carried in the mud last week
5 – MINE SEEKER – consistent performer – ran about a second faster in last
8 – MATZOBALL MUHAMMET – PACO – third up and another that was faster
7 – CARRY GRANT – TLRSP# +7 – closer – not sure shortening up helps
Race 2: 7 Furlongs – Bais: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Bonus
3 – YOU’RE FOREVER – TLRSP# +9 better EP and Fractions in last – pacesetter
1 – PHONE EATS FIRST – hot rail – only class dropper – down more than a length
5 – MERRYCHILL – a lot better late in her last – some success on an off track
2 – SUBWAY SUSIE – 3rd after a layoff – last race better than it looks – fractions the same but longer
Race 3: 7 Furlongs – Bais: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Bonus
2 – AVA K’S BOY – SIM FAV should be close to pace and drops in class – left arrow
1 – WARRIOR’S VOW – rides the hot rail – same class drop as the 1
4 – MY MAN WOODY – LONE EP that was faster by more than a second in last
6 – COMMINGLING – speed and fade in last – drops and cuts back in distance
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 32% w2w – PP: Inside Out, 8+ Discount
6 – PRINCE COLTON – on the PACE and TLRSP# +6 – lone E – most middle back
2 – MELT WITH YOU – track dropper, Ness – Silvera – one of two with a PAR RACE
1 – TRICOLOUR – strong rail and probably the most consistent
4 – IKE’S GAMBLE – PACO – but hard to put much higher after last race
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Worst, 8+ Discount
2 – BAD ADVICE – TLSRP#+ 7 – with the 4 – only PAR RUNNERS – drops a little in class
9 – ONE LAST KISS – LONE E – if he gets the lead – look out –
4 – VIRAL VIDEO – as mentioned – has a PAR RACE – 3rd up – but the last two – BAD
7 – STILLWATER MOON – most upside in only the second start
Race 6: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Outside In – Rail Struggles
7 – BOTTLES – TLRSP# +7 – Only PAR RUNNER – Pacesetter
8 – LIGHTNING BOSS – Ness and Sanchez – track dropper – 2nd up – better fractions
6 – RILEY’S ROCKSTAR – class dropper with first time LASIX – some solid works
5 – FRIDAYSWITHMURRAY – Ness – Silvera – better EP in last
Race 7: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: 16 Races, 50% w2w – PP: Outside In
7 – IT’S GAME TIME – TLRSP#+5 – Ness and Pennington – won last by 8 – usually pairs strong outings – better ATB
6 – BODE’S MAKER – track dropper – Ness and Sanchez – first up after a while
8 – LEVEL UP – better pace from the middle out in last
4 – LUCKY DUDE – biggest in race edge with more than a 1 length advantage
Race 8: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 32% w2w – PP: Inside Out, 8+ Discount
6 – PURE LURE – second up – PARX 6/3-0-2 – 2nd up after a maintenance work
1 – BEAUTIFULCRAZYGIRL – TLRSP# +10 – SIM FAV – won last two by a combined 21 ½ lengths
4 – DANCING ON MY OWN – distance 5/1-3-1 – should be forward – 1 length ES edge
3 – DOCTOR ABBIE – better in 2nd up – better fractions in last and will be closing
Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 32% w2w – PP: Inside Out, 8+ Discount
4 – PRINCE OF CHILL – PACO – horse on an off track 2/1-1-0 with career best effort
6 – MEGA CHARLIE – SIM FAV – should be on the front with a 1 length ES edge
8 – IRA THE ICON – Sanchez and Ness – bullet work between races
3 – ASSEMBLY POINT – highly consistent performer – better early and fractions in last despite going longer
Race 10: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 32% w2w – PP: Inside Out, 8+ Discount
2 – BOYS OF SUMMER – run back to Jan 25th race and it’s a wrap
1 – REAL CONVICTION – along with the 2 – has a PAR RACE – better early pace
9 – MASTER MUNNINGS – Sanchez and Ness – heading for a big day? What’s new
4 – NIMMO – PACO – huge win in last – a big race normally followed by another
