PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Will Rogers Downs – https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt
Free PARX Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
Race 1
1 – Bold Hoppertunity – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 36% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse and he has a high % jockey.
4 – Lucky Running Cat – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and he likes the distance.
7 – Lucky Lucky Luke – He closed to finish 4th only missing the win by 1-length, he has a high % winning trainer and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Longshot:
8 – Ascribe – He ran 2nd in his last race only losing by a neck and he has a high % trainer.
Alternate:
6 – Cauteloso
5 – Fast Payday
Race 2–
8 – Sailor’s Return – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 44% of the races, winning 20% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 75% of the races, winning 25% of the starts and he has a high % jockey.
3 – Lord Winsalot – He has a high % trainer and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Eddiemush – He has finished in the money in his last two starts, winning the last start and he has a high % trainer.
Longshot:
7 – Hotpot – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % trainer.
Alternate:
2 – We Ready
5 – Harley’s Charly
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,5,6,7,8/5/1,4/1,3,5,6,7,8,9 – Cost $49.00
Race 3-Female
5 – Annieworkstoomuch – She has finished in the money in nine races out of her last ten starts, winning four of the starts and she has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Our Uptown Girl – She has won two races out of her last three starts and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Boss Like Beth – She drops in class today and she switches to a high % winning trainer and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Mended We Stand – She won her last race at PARX Racing and her early speed running style helps her chances.
Alternate:
4 – Miss M M
Race 4
1 – Tap in Formation – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Six Whips – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 67% of the races, winning 33% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 57% of the races, winning 29% of the starts and he has a high % jockey.
3 – Pylon – He ran 3rd in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 40% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, his early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance can help.
Longshot:
6 – Chip’s Friend – He has finished in the money in three races out of his last five starts, winning two of the starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Reckless Place
$.50 Pick 4: 1,4/3,6,7,9/1,4,7/1,5,9,11 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
9 – Biagio – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and has high % winning trainer jockey Paco Lopez.
3 – Mister Lincoln – He ran 3rd vs similar in his last race, he has the best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Action Hero – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Maliblue – He has finished in the money in six races out of his last seven starts, winning four of the starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Pallino
8 – Planet
Race 6
7 – Cisco Kid – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Twentyeighttothree – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, he switches to a high % winning jockey and he likes the distance.
1 – Green Beans – He won his last race, the rail post is winning at 24% clip and he has a bullet 4f workout on Apr-09.
Longshot:
6 – Unswayed – He has finished in the money in three races out of his last four starts, winning one of the starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
9 – Onlygodcanjudgeme
Race 7
11 – Aaraj – He ran 3rd vs similar in his last race at PARX Racing, he has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Bullet Breeze – He won his last race, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer.
5 – Financial Strength – He has finished in the money in four races out of her last five starts and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
1 – Top of the Street – He has a high % winning trainer and he has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
Alternate:
2 – Humble Joe
4 – Scamp Walker
$.50 Pick 4: #1,5,9,11/1,3,4,6,7,8/4/1,6,8,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 8
7 – Showtime Matinee – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter, his breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Chilling Zensation – He is a first-time starter whose breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Sams After Party – He ran 2nd in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Wax Box – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter, his breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Sapphire Prince
8 – Dancing On Air
Race 9–
4 – Rominski – He has won nine races out of his last ten starts, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Paradise Valley – He has won five races out of his last seven starts, he has a high % winning trainer and he switches to a high % winning jockey and he has a bullet 4f workout on Mar-06.
7 – Veeson – He won his last race at PARX Racing, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and she has a bullet 4f workout on Apr-09.
Longshot:
9 – Beach Daze – He won his last race at PARX Racing, drops in class today and he has a trainer who wins17% of the Allowance races he has a horse competing in.
Alternate:
5 – Windsor Gold
2 – Traders Luck
Bet: $40.00 Win: 4 – $10.00 Exacta: 4/5,6,7,9 – $10.00 DD: 4/8,9
Race 10
9 – Exit Right – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 82% of the races, winning 41% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 75% of the races, winning 43% of the starts and he has a high % jockey.
8 – Pit Boss – He drops in class today, he has the highest last race speed rating and his early speed running style helps his chances.
6 – Makabim – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
1 – Dad’s On a Roll – He has a high % winning trainer and she switches to a high % winning jockey and the rail post is winning at a 23% clip.
Alternate:
3 – Under the Radar
5 – Saint Marco
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race – #4 – Rominsk
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Outside in 4+ The Same
1 – BOLD HOPPERTUNITY – EP Type that should be on the lead – if speed holds today?
4 – LUCKY RUNNING CAT – PACO 3rd up – wonder if he’ll ride for Ness again anytime soon with the ride on that heavy favorite yesterday
6 – CAUTELOSO – much better fractions last out
8 – ASCRIBE – just missed at this level last out – about 3 seconds faster
Race 2: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Small Bonus
8 – SAILOR’S RETURN – LONE E and was faster last out – most consistent – top C-ZONE
3 – LORD WINSALOT – run back to his last PARX race and it’s a wrap
7 – HOTPOT – showed stakes level LS in his last and closers crushed yesterday
4 – EDDIEMUSH – LEFT ARROW horse – doesn’t look like it on paper – but could be pacesetter
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Same Discount
2 – OUR UPTOWN GIRL – SIM FAV – best in race edge with 1 ½ length LS
5 – ANNIEWORKSTOOMUCH – should set the tempo early and has some LS too
4 – MISS M M – LEFT ARROW horse – ITM 6/8 at PARX
6 – MENDED WE STAND – better ATB in last and cuts back in distance
Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 42% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Small Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Bonus
1 – TAP IN FORMATION – TLRSP# +6 – much better pace ATB
4 – SIX WHIPS – signs of life in last with much more enthusiasm late
6 – CHIP’S FRIEND – only class dropper – if he can get off to a fast start
7 – RECKLESS PLACE – more than a length Top TOTAL PACE advantage
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Edge, 2/3 Bonus, 4+ Discount, 8+ a little Better
3 – MISTER LINCOLN – Ness and Sanchez with a maintenance work big SIM FAV
6 – ACTION HERO – 3rd up – last third up was the best of the cycle – if so, career best coming
7 – MALIBLUE – going to be out front – some excuses in last
8 – PLANET – track dropper trending higher and a win & place in a pair at the distance
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Edge, 2/3 Bonus, 4+ Discount, 8+ a little Better
7 – CISCO KID – TLRPSP# +4 and still has plenty of upside – lone PC
1 – GREEN BEANS – PARX debut – best works prepping for 1st race since Dec 7
6 – UNSWAYED – faster through the first half mile in last
4 – TWENTYEIGHTTOTHREE – PACO – consistent performer
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Small Bonus
11 – AARAJ – TLRSP#+3 – Top EP Edge by a length – Top TOTAL PACE +6
9 – BULLET BREEZE – 90% C-ZONE runner – better EP in last and race about 4 seconds faster
6 – GOOD REUNION – just missed at this level last out – closer
5 – FINANCIAL STRENGTH – a little stronger late – a little faster
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Same Discount
1 – WAX BOX – no YESSES – got to go with 1ster – we’ll go with PACO and the rail
7 – SHOWTIME MATINEE – strong works at PENN – not the biggest fan
4 – SAMS AFTER PARTY – going forward – TLRSP# +11 – maintenance work
3 – CHILLING ZENSATION – 3rd rated 1st timer –
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Edge, 2/3 Bonus, 4+ Discount, 8+ a little Better
4 – ROMINSKI – TLRSP# +4 and Top TOTAL PACE +11 – PARX debut – 3rd up
6 – PARADISE VALLEY – PACO – PARX 7/4-1-0 – bullet work prepping
7 – VEESON – best published work prepping for first since late January
2 – TRADERS LUCK – Lone EP and has a good chance to get a pace he likes
Race 10: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Ealy Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Inside Out
8 – PIT BOSS – TLRSP# +4 and has Top TOTAL PACE +6
9 – EXIT RIGHT – tr Kathleen Demasi wins 42% in 2nd starts with a new horse
3 – UNDER THE RADAR – Sanchez and Ness with plenty of back class – faster last out
12 – SUPER JOHN – going to be on the lead and drops
