PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 4-21-2025
Race 1
4 – Al Ameeq – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 36% of the races in the 2nd start with the trainer and drops in class.
3 – Aves Makin’ Waves – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has a high % winning trainer, he switches to a high % winning jockey and he likes the distance.
5 – Bad Advice – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and the rail post is winning at a 20% clip.
Longshot:
1 – Pontiac – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and the rail post is winning at a 20% clip.
Alternate:
2 – Solo in Paris
Race 2–
1 – Borracho Concho – He won his last race at PARX Racing, he drops in class, has a high % winning trainer and jockey and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Khopesh – He has finished in the money in 40% of his starts at PARX Racing and can handle the distance.
9 – Sugar Gray Leonard – He has a high % winning jockey and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Longshot:
7 – The Grayt Pumpkin – He won the race before his last start and likes the distance.
Alternate:
5 – Full Contact
2 – Bluey
$.50 Pick 4: 1,4,7,9/2,4,5/4,5/1,3,9,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 3-Female
5 – On Paradise Hill – She won her last race at PARX Racing, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Spanish Girl – She finished 3rd in her last race and she switches to a high % winning trainer and has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Charm of the Song – The rail post is winning at a 24% clip and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
4 – April Clover – She finished 3rd in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
6 – Moon Fleet
Race 4-Female
4 – Creative Copy – She has won three races in a row and she has a high % winning trainer.
5 – Rumint – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, she has highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the claiming races he has a horse running in.
2 – Pearls and Heels – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Confirmed Genius – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 48% of the races, winning 19% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 43% of the races, winning 19% of the starts.
Alternate:
6 – Divine Romance
$.50 Pick 4: 4,5/1,3,6,9,10/1,2,3,8,9/1,3 – Cost $50.00
Race 5-Female
3 – Western Woman – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Kiwi’s Gotyourback – She won her debut race and the rail post is winning at a 24% clip.
9 – Leretha – She has finished in the money in two races out of his last three starts, winning one of the races and she has a high % winning trainer and she switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
10 – I’m a Lucky Girl – She won her last race at PARX Racing, receiving the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
6 – Majestic Jo
Race 6
3 – Double Your Money – He has finished in the money in his last four races, winning two of the starts, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Prince Colton – He finished 2nd in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 32% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Mad Banker – He has won two races out of his last three starts, the rail post is winning at a 22% clip and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
9 – Omaha Eight – He has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick and she has a high % winning trainer and she switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
Alternate:
8 – Tricolour
7 – Normandy Hero
Race 7
1 – Get Set – He finished 2nd in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Ninja Prize – He has finished in the money in his last three races, winning one of the starts, he has a high % winning trainer and he switches to a high % winning jockey.
8 – Enforcer – He has finished in the money in seven races out of his last ten starts, winning one of the starts, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Eddie W – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and his early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance can help.
$.50 Pick 4: #1,3/1,2,3,4,5/4,9/1,2,3,5,7 – Cost $50.00
Bet: $40.00 Win: 1 – $5.00 Exacta Key Box: 1/2,3,8 – $10.00 Exacta: 1/2,3,8
Race 8-Female
2 – Noisy On the Bay – She has finished in the money in eight races out of her last nine starts, winning two of the starts and she has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Nature’s Candy – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 75% of the races, winning 25% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 75% of the races, winning 25% of the starts.
1 – True Phenomenon – She switches to a high % winning trainer and a high % winning jockey and the rail post is winning at a 22% clip.
Longshot:
5 – Thearcherortheprey – She has finished in the money in her last four starts, running 2nd in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Girvinized
Race 9–
4 – Latta – He has won three races out of his last four starts, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a high % winning jockey.
9 – Factor U and Me In – He has finished in the money in her last eight starts, winning three of the starts and she has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
6 – Neigh Dude – He has won three races in a row, he has a high % winning trainer and likes the distance.
Longshot:
10 – Zanduhoc – He has won two races out of his last three races, he has a high % winning trainer and can handle the distance.
Alternate:
8 – Yuletide Gallop
3 – Tatum
Race 10-Female
5 – Giant’s Audible – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer.
1 – Lily’s Time – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, she has the highest last race speed rating, the rail post is winning at a 24% clip and Blinkers are added today.
3 – Melittlefrostgirl – She switches to a high % winning jockey and has a high % winning trainer, best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and Blinkers are added today.
Longshot:
2 – Cruising Gal– She drops in class today, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races in the 2nd start with the trainer and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Eddie’s Angel
8 – So Emotional
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 7th Race – #1 – Get Set
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Inside Out – 4+ Similar Discount
5 – BAD ADVICE – better pace and fractions last out
3 – AVES MAKIN’ WAVES – better fractions – better pace ATB easy win
4 – AL AMEEQ – only horse with a PAR RACE – track dropper and class dropper
1 – PONTIAC – consistent performer and hot rail
Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 45% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Bonus
1 – BORRACHO CONCHO – TLRSP# +5 – strong rail – better fractions
5 – FULL CONTACT – should be at his best in the third up
4 – KHOPESH – just need to rerun his March 10th race and its over
7 – THE GRAYT PUMPKIN – our good friend Private Ross’ horse – got to have him
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair
5 – ON PARADISE HILL – 3SP# increases – TLRSP# +13 – should be close to the pace, 1length LS and 2Lenght Top TOTAL PACE
4 – APRIL CLOVER – just missed last out – could be the pacesetter – maybe track bias returns?
1 – CHARM OF THE SONG – rail wins a super high rate – better fraction last race
6 – MOON FLEET – tough call over the 2 – but consistently better numbers
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair
4 – CREATIVE COPY – strong SIM FAV – winner 3 in a row and could be set for a bounce back race
2 – PEARLS AND HEELS – consistent performer that can make powerful in race moves – switch to Sanchez is a tell
1 – DUELA DENT – strong rail – comes off the bench hot – pacesetter and only class dropper
5 – RUMINT – ITM 6/7 at PARX – strong work between races
Race 5: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Rail Big Bonus, 2/3 Fairish, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Fair
1 – KIWI’S GOTYOURBACK – 2nd race parability – strong rail
3 – WESTERN WOMAN – Kendrick comes to ride only horse with a par race
9 – LERETHA – doesn’t look like it on paper with better early fractions in last
6 – MAJESTIC JO – Paco on the pacesetter
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – DOUBLE YOUR MONEY – TLRSP# +6 and only class dropper – stakes level LP in last
9 – OMAHA EIGHT – PACO and either of the last two races could be good enough
2 – PRINCE COLTON – 3 sp# increases in a row – faster by more than 2 second
1 – MAD BANKER – Ness and Silvera – track dropper
Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Inside Out – 4+ Similar Discount
1 – GET SET – TLRSP# +5 – 6 of his last 7 races would be good enough
3 – NINJA PRIZE – much – much faster fractions in last
8 – ENFORCER – better EP and ES in last
10 – ROAN BURGUNDY – strong C-Zone and has the biggest in race edge – 1 length LS
Race 8: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Inside Out
2 – NOISY ON THE BAY – ITM 6/6 at the distance – could be better in 2nd up
4 – NATURE’S CANDY – first since New Year’s Eve with strong works
1 – TRUE PHENOMENON – Ness and Sanchez on the strong rail
5 – THEARCHERORTHEPREY – just needs to rerun her last race
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair
4 – LATTA – winner of two in a row – rerun last PARX race and it’s going to be tough for any other to win – biggest in race advantage of 1 length LS
6 – NEIGH DUDE – winner of three in a row and strong maintenance work between races
10 – ZANDUHOC – pacesetter – 3rd up
9 – FACTOR U AND ME IN – upped SP# in three in a row – ITM 6/8 at PARX and 5/6 at the distance
Race 10: Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair
2 – CRUISING GAL – pacesetter with a PAR race
5 – GIANT’S AUDIBLE – the other PAR runner in 2nd race at PARX after track dropping from NYRA and was better ATB and room for more in 2nd up
1 – LILY’S TIME – should be close to the front and has +12 LS and +12 Top TOTAL PACE
9 – LOVABLE EMMA – highest rated 1st timer and the rest are nos
