PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 4-28-2025
Race 1
7 – Heat Alert – He has finished in the money in his last four races, running 2nd vs similar in last race only losing by a nose and he can handle the distance.
2 – Not a Dime Back – He finished 2nd in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Thedingoateyobaby – He comes in from Laurel to try PARX Racing for the first time and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
6 – Modern Era – He drops in class today and has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
8 – King Deivys
1 – Munyhungry
Race 2-Female
2 – Imperio Azteca – She won her last race at PARX Racing, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Breezy Dance – Her early speed running style helps her chances so the shorter distance will help, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Bruno Barber Girl – She drops in class today, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Wild Girl – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race and drops in class today.
Alternate:
1 – Treasure Peace
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,5,6/3,5/1,3,4,5/1,2,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 3-Female
3 – Megan’s Noel – She should improve while returning to dirt and she has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
5 – Tomarie – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 44% of the races, winning 17% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 58% of the races and winning 19% of the starts.
6 – Color Crush – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Miss Chamita – She has won 26% of her starts at PARX Racing, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the claiming races he has a horse running in and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Mo Town Annie
4 – Melodia
Race 4–
3 – Amazing Woo – He finished 3rd in his last race, his early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance should help, he has a trainer who wins 19% of the sprint races he has a horse running in and he has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Stay Funny – He ran 2nd in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has the highest last race speed rating.
4 – Carnaby – He won his last race at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
1 – Insisting – He has a high % winning trainer and the rail post is winning at a 26% clip.
Alternate:
6 – Bad Advice
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,4,5/1,2,7/1,3,5,9/2,3 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
7 – Light My Way – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the races when using 1st time Lasix.
1 – Sir Rob Roy – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, the rail post is winning at a 26% clip, he drops in class today and blinkers added today.
2 – Fastidious – His early speed running style helps his chances so the shorter distance will be a plus.
Longshot:
3 – Gunman Jayvo – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
4 – Chilling Time
Race 6
9 – Dance a Dini – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 35% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he switches to a high % winning jockey.
5 – Shouldhavebeengone – He switches to a high % winning jockey, has a high % winning trainer and he has a bullet 4F workout on Apr-23.
3 – Hardy Choice – His early speed running style helps his chances so the shorter distance will be a plus, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Run Cory Run – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 67% of the races, winning 22% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 88% of the races and winning 25% of the starts.
Alternate:
4 – Batter Up Bud
2 – Gurt’s Warrior
Race 7
3 – Nuedorf – He won his last race at PARX Racing, highest last race speed rating, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and he has a good 4F workout on Apr-19.
2 – A Dangerous Guy – He is trained by Scott Lake, drops in class today and he has a good 4F workout on Apr-17.
4 – Lord Winsalot – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
6 – Brindisi – He finished 3rd in his last race, switches to a high % winning trainer and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Jw’s Third Mischie
9 – Pardsy
$.50 Pick 4: #2,3/2,6/2,4,5,7/2,3,4,6,7,9 – Cost $48.00
Bet: $20.00 Win & $20.00 Place: 3 – $5.00 Exacta: 2,4,6,7/3 -$10.00 Exacta: 3/2,4,6,7
Race 8
2 – Sunday Spirit – He has finished in the money in his last ten races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Real Conviction – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Mr. Bogan – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he drops in class today.
Longshot:
1 – Zoppi Fischbein – He finished 4th in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 33% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and the rail post is winning at a 22% clip.
Alternate:
3 – Exclusive Dancer
5 – Noneedtoworry
Race 9-Female
7 – Pure Lure – She has finished in the money in his eight career races, winning three of the starts and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-route-sprint and she has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Et’s Moon Maiden – She won her last race at PARX Racing, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning trainer and has a high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
2 – Mia Tosca – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Our Uptown Girl – She has won three races out of her last four starts at PARX Racing, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Snappy Ride
3 – Jeanne Marie
Race 10-Female
2 – Golden Moonlight – She won her last race at PARX Racing, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Love to Eat – She has finished in the money in four races out of five starts at PARX Racing, winning one of the starts and she has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Bustin Down Doors – She has a high % winning trainer and she switches a high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
Longshot:
4 – Miss M M – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
9 – Shetalkstomuch
3 – Dream Chaser
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 7th Race – #3 – Nuedorf
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Rail Stinks, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ Small Bonus
7 – HEAT ALERT – TLRSP# +7 – SIM FAV – about 3 seconds faster
8 – KING DEIVYS – big rush at the end of the last – better in 2nd up and 2nd at Parx
2 – NOT A DIME BACK – Gulfstream Track Dropper
1 – MUNYHUNGRY – rail stinks, but if speed comes back – then this is the one – better ATB
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Small Discount
2 – IMPERIO AZTECA – TLRSP# +3 and Top TOTAL PACE of 11 – huge jump in only other 2nd up
3 – BREEZY DANCE – lone class dropper – lone P horse – solid work between races
1 – TREASURE PEACE – speed – on the strong rail – will need to bounce back
7 – SISTER EVE – better EP in last and a little quicker fractions
Race 3: 1 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Small Bonus, 8+ Discount
2 – MISS CHAMITA – last race better than it looks, faster by more than 5 seconds
3 – MEGAN’S NOEL – SIM FAV – track dropper for TWY – but not 100 – ran at Belterra before
1 – MO TOWN ANNIE – TLRSP# +3 – better ATB and Fractions – only in the field
5 – TOMARIE – pacesetter that was better ATB In last
Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 42% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ A Little Better than Fair
5 – STAY FUNNY – pacesetter that was better ATB with better fractions – TLRSP# +4
1 – INSISTING – strong rail for Gulfstream track dropper
4 – CARNABY – EZ win in last – same race = same result? 10 pound weight break
3 – AMAZING WOO – better EP and ITM 10/11 on a fast track
Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 42% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ A Little Better than Fair
1 – SIR ROB ROY – major rail bonus – SIM FAV
7 – LIGHT MY WAY – missed by a neck at this level in his last – 1st LASIX helps
3 – GUNMAN JAYVO – track dropper and biggest class dropper
5 – STILLWATER MOON – pacesetter and first LASIX with perhaps most upside in 3rd race
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out
1 – RUN CORY RUN – proper distance – ITM 7/8 and strong rail
5 – SHOULDHAVEBEENGONE – coming off the bench with a hot workout
3 – HARDY CHOICE – SIM FAV – top PAR+ – Ness and Pennington – 3rd up
9 – DANCE A DINI – most back class and will be rolling at the end
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Ealy Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Small Discount
3 – NUEDORF – 4SP# increases in a row – better fractions at 6f vs 5 ½ – top CZONE
4 – LORD WINSALOT – SIM FAV with the biggest in race advantage of 1 length
9 – PARDSY – switch to Sanchez a tell he is ready?
6 – BRINDISI – tough call over the 7 – but trainer seems to be better at spotting horses – winning at 31%
Race 8: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out
4 – MR. BOGAN – TLRSP# +7 – SIM FAV – pacesetter – risk of regression
2 – SUNDAY SPIRIT – ITM 9/9 at Parx and 6 of 6 at the distance
6 – REAL CONVICTION – another strong at PARX 6/6 ITM and 2 of 2 at the Distance
3 – EXCLUSIVE DANCER – tough call over the 1 – but by far top C-ZONE
Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Inside Out
7 – PURE LURE – Should be better in 3rd up
2 – MIA TOSCA – Sanchez and Ness – won last 1st up outing
5 – ET’S MOON MAIDEN – SIM FAV * Top TOTAL PACE +6 – PACO
3 – JEANNE MARIE – should be part of the ES and has some of her best works prepping
Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Ealy Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Small Discount
2 – GOLDEN MOONLIGHT – Sanchez and Ness and should be better in 2nd up
6 – LOVE TO EAT – pacesetter that was better ATB
9 – SHETALKSTOMUCH – huge LS edge of more than 3 lengths – highly consistent
7 – BUSTIN DOWN DOORS – PACO with a horse that has some upside
