PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 8-19-2024
Race 1
2 – Nuedorf – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Scamp Walker – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last raceand has a high % winning trainer.
6 – Borracho Concho – He drops in class today; he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
5 – Sir Cupid – He switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez and has a high %trained by Scott Lake.
Alternate:
1 – Liberty Runner
8 – The Grayt Pumpkin
Race 2
1 – Ego Man – He finished 3rd vs similar in last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and the rail post is winning at a 20% clip.
2 – Souper Fly Over – He finished 2nd in last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Mischievous Jones – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Harley’s Charly – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 62% of the races, winning 15% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 38% of the races.
Alternate:
3 – Enforcer
The 1234 Pick 4
$.50 Pick 4: #1/1,2,3,6/2,4,7/7,8 – Cost $12.00
Race 3-Female
6 – Dorothy’s the Boss – She won her last race at PARX Racing, has the highest last race speed rating and he has high % winning jockey and has a good 4F workout on Aug-10.
1 – Be Like Beth – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, the rail post is winning at a 20% clip and she has a trainer who wins 18% of the claiming races he has a horse competing in.
2 – Aunt Berra – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 58% of the races, winning 17% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 89% of the races.
Longshot:
3- All Hail Mo – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, throw out the race before as she clip heels and finished poorly but she has been improving each race since June 18th.
Alternate:
7 – Aztec Bay
Contest Pick: #3 – This is a Wide-Open race and I think the race sets up for a closer.
Race 4-Female
4 – Gee Charlie – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 2 winners from 5 starters, her breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races when debuting a horse in a maiden claiming race and she has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Candothis – She should improve while returning to dirt as she has the best dirt speed among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Flagrunner – She ran 2nd in her only start and she has a couple of bullet workouts in a row prior to the race.
Longshot:
1 – Bossy Kate – She finished 3rd in her last race, the rail post is winning at a 20% clip and has a good jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Chance Occurrence
6 – Sunny Side Up
Contest Pick: #4 – 2-Year-olds-anything can happen, she checks off a lot of boxes
The No Favorite Pick 4
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,3,4,6,7/1,7/1,5,4,8/1,2– Cost $48.00
Race 5
7 – Checkitup – He ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in his last race, he has a high % winning trainer who and he has a high % winning jockey.
8 – Ira the Icon – He finished in the money in two of his last four races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Hey What’s Up – He has a high % winning trainer and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
13 – Tio Tony – He has a high % trainer who wins 24% of the races when shipping a horse in to run and switches high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
Contest Pick: #7 – This horse shows it can be competitive at today’s distance and has a great jockey and trainer.
Bet: $10.00 Win & $20.00: # 7
Race 6-Female
1 – Magnificent Pearl – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 80% of the races, winning 30% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 70% of the races, winning 30% of the races.
8 – Dixie Groove – She finished in the money in her last seven races, winning three of the starts and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Lamasco – She drops in class today; her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Classy Miss – She finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating, switches to a high % jockey and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Alternate:
4 – Whyisshesoolucky
6 – Catti La Belle
Contest Pick: #1 – This horse is always in the mix and trained by Jamie Ness and ridden by Frankie Pennington a great combination.
Race 7-Female
2 – Mischief Maxey – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the dirt races she has a horse in and he has a high % winning jockey and a good 4F workout on Aug-13.
3 – Five a Side – She ran 2nd vs similar in her only start and she has a high % winning trainer.
1 – Maximus Angelicus – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 24% of the maiden Sp Wt races he has a horse in and he has high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Not Too Late – She drops in class today and she has a couple of bullet workouts in a row.
Alternate:
6 – Alyvia Mavis
7 – Demolition Woman
Contest Pick: #2 – She drops in class and has a very good workout
The Normal Pick 4
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3/1,6,13/1,3,4,7/2,3,4 – Cost $54.00
Race 8-Female
1 – Summersattheshore – She finished in the money in her last eight races, winning two of the starts and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
13 – Gun Runnin’ Gal – She Ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in last race and she has a good 4F workout on Aug-11.
6 – Singalong Kayla– She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, may improve at the shorter distance, has a high % winning trainer who wins 24% of the races in the 1st start with this trainer.
Longshot:
3 – So Fully Sue – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a good 4F workout on Aug-12.
Contest Pick: #1 – This horse has won two out of the last three races.
Race 9
4 – I Don’t See Colors – He won his last race and he has a high % winning jockey and has a good 5F workout on Aug-12.
3 – Swing Oil – He finished in the money in his last three races, winning two of the starts, he has high % winning trainer.
7 – North Pole – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 63% of the races, winning 16% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 60% of the races, winning 20% of the races.
Longshot:
1 – Smokin Holiday – He has won two of his last three races and he has high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Mr Sandman
Contest Pick: #3 – He has won two out of the last three races.
Race 10-Female
2 – Shackleford County – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and she has a bullet 3f ft workout on Aug 12th.
3 – Castilleja – She switches to a high% trainer who wins 31% of the races when dropping a horse off claim and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Bahama Pearl – She won her last race and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
1 – Peacelovenkarma – She likes the distance finishing in the money in five out of five starts, winning two of the races and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – This Round’s Mine
7 – Sirenetta
Contest Pick: #2 – I think her last workout shows she is ready to win
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 5th Race
7 – Checkitup
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
2 – NUEDORF – Q30 horse – usually pairs peaks – last was the first of the two?
5 – SIR CUPID – workouts might be more important than usual at Parx – best work and Paco
7 – SCAMP WALKER – should be coming at the end – faster fractions despite going longer in last
6 – BORRACHO CONCHO – class dropper with the most recent back class – weight break
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
1 – EGO MAN – can’t ever count out Ness and Sanchez
2 – SOUPER FLY OVER – most consistent performer in the race – limited upside and downside
3 – ENFORCER – 3rd up, exploded in last 3rd up with career best performance
7 – MISCHIEVOUS JONES – just needs to rerun his last race
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
6 – DOROTHY’S THE BOSS – signs of life last out – TLRSP# +4 – 3rd up – strong workout since
3 – ALL HAIL MO – showed a lot more enthusiasm late last out – has beaten some of these
1 – BE LIKE BETH – last win came off the sidelines, like today
2 – AUNT BERRA – 10 pound weight break, Distance 9/0-5-3
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
5 – SKY BABY – only the 7 has shown it can hit par – first timer with a back bullet – 4f in 47.2 BG
7 – CANDOTHIS – well bet in both starts – might be the big favorite
2 – FLAGRUNNER – second race improvement is borderline – conflicts, MSW but comes from Penn
4 – GEE CHARLIE – we’ll take the other fist timer, doesn’t have much to beat
Race 5: 7 ½ Furlongs Turf – OFF – 1 Mile
7 – CHECKITUP – just missed at this level last out – cutting back in distance helps
2 – HUMBLE JOE – if he can rerun his last start – it would be good enough
11 – TITANIUM RECKAGE – has an aggressive EP edge with all the scratches
13 – TIO TONY – solid work prepping – Paco rides
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Almost All Fair
5 – CLASSY MISS – should sit right off the pace – PACO rides – worried a touch about peak
1 – MAGNIFICENT PEARL – Ness – Pennington, strong at the distance 10/3-1-3, just 1 win in 10 at any other
6 – CATTI LA BELLE – will be coming at the end – mid pack
2 – LA CIENEGA – best chance to go w2w – needs more late race legs – maybe weight break helps
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 21% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Edge, 4+ Penalty
2 – MISCHIEF MAXEY – just missed in her debut at Parx at this level – went to Toga for 2nd start
3 – FIVE A SIDE – ML fav with 2nd race improvement – borderline PAR
4 – NOT TOO LATE – Parx works are too fast to ignore – needs to a fast start
5 – MAMAISGREATNSTRONG – first timer with a back bullet
Race 8: 7 ½ Furlongs Turf – OFF – 1 Mile
6 – SINGALONG KAYLA – Tampa to Philly – should press forward
1 – SUMMERSATTHESHORE – a little racing luck and could have won 6 in a row – much better EP
13 – GUN RUNNIN’ GAL – ML fav – some better fractions last out – most consistent performer
10 – VOLATILITY – tough call over the 9 – but could be a little more forward with similar LS
Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus – Inside Out
1 – SMOKIN HOLIDAY – rail bonus – crushed it in last PARX race
7 – NORTH POLE – drops in class – rerun last race and he is the winner
4 – I DON’T SEE COLORS – all or nothing type – 6/2-0-0 – wins close to the front – should be close
6 – MR SANDMAN – ML Fav – biggest class dropper and most consistent
Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – CASTILLEJA – ML FAV – +7 TOTAL PACE EDGE
4 – BAHAMA PEARL – PARX 9/0-3-3 – improved early and late in last
5 – THIS ROUND’S MINE – pacesetter with the Q30 score and +5 EP edge
2 – SHACKLEFORD COUNTY – 3rd up and just missed at this level last out
