PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
Race 1-Female
4 – Golden Philly – She finished 3rd in her last race, has a high % trainer, she switches to high % winning jockey and blinkers are added.
2 – Anabam – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 2 winners from 2 starters and she has a trainer who wins 23% of the Maiden Sp Wt races he has a horse running in, she has a high % winning jockey, her breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a bullet 4F workout on Aug-14.
8 – Winning Play – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter and she has high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races with 1st time starters and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Imperio Azteca – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter and she has high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races with 2-YO Horses and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Hopeforgreatness
Race 2
8 – Harp’s Hot Corner – He ran 2nd in his only start, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey, Lasix is added and he has a bullet 4F workout on Aug-14.
5 – Uncle Winchester – He ran 2nd in his last race, he has high % winning trainer who wins 17% of the races when shipping a horse in to run and he has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Addyson’s Dream – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race earning the highest last race speed rating, the rail post is winning at a 20% clip and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
3 – Music Box Dancer – He ran 2nd in last race only losing by a neck and he has high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
4 – Prince of Chill
2 – Hero’s Spirit
Contest Pick: #8-5
The 1234 Pick 4
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,5,8/1,7,8/2,7/2 – Cost $12.00
Race 3
7 – In Spades – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 59% of the races, winning 24% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 85% of the races, winning 29% of the races.
8 – Lost and Confused – He finished 3rd in his last start, he has a high % winning trainer Jamie Ness and he has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Check My Six – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Zoppi Fischbein – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
5 – Eddie W
Contest Pick: #7 – 8
Race 4-Female
7 – Leretha – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race at PARX Racing, can improve at the shorter distance as her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Beautifulcrazygirl – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, she has high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the Maiden Sp Wt races he has a horse running in and Lasix is added.
3 – Mikey’s Song – She finished 3rd in her last race, receiving the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Chance Occurrence – She did not finish her last race as she ducked out and lost the rider, she has a high % winning jockey and she has a trainer who wins 20% of the Maiden Sp Wt races he has a horse running in.
Alternate:
5 – Chit Chat Chub
1 – Keystormrising
Contest Pick: #7 – 2
The No Favorite Pick 4
$.50 Pick 4: #3,7,10/2,9/1,2,5,8/1,3,6,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
2 – Kohler’s – He has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and he has a high % winning trainer.
9 – Charlie Showtime – He has won two races out of three career starts, he has high % winning trainer who wins 18% of Sprints he has a horse running in and he has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Mac Daddy Too – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the allowance races he has a horse running in, can improve while returning to dirt and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
1 – Party At Sam’s – He finished 3rd in his last race, the rail post is winning at a 23% clip, may improve while returning to dirt, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and he has a bullet 4F workout on Aug-19.
Alternate:
4 – Big Boys Answer
3 – Humble Joe
Contest Pick: #2 -9
Race 6
8 – Dr. Lou – He finished 2nd in his last start, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 19% of the Maiden Sp Wt races he has a horse running in and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
6 – Day of Days – He finished 3rd in his only start, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the dirt starts races he has a horse running in and he has a good 4F workout on July-27.
5 – Cappetta – He should improve while returning to dirt and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Star Man Bob – He is a first-time starter whose breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has high % winning trainer who wins 28% of the races with 1st time starter and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Son of Delilah
7 – Smile Maker
Contest Pick: #8 – 6
Race 7
6 – Talented Man – He has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick; he has won three races out of five starts at today’s distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Keithsendshelloooo – He has won his last race that he ran at PARX Racing and can improve while returning to a sprint
3- Fore Harp – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 67% of the races, winning 67% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 67% of the races, winning 22% of the races.
Longshot:
1- Traders Luck – He has won two races out of last three starts and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Contest Pick: #1: #6-9
Race 8
6 – One More Scoop – He won his last race at PARX Racing receiving a 101-speed rating, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Ninetyprcentmaddie – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race at Aqueduct, drops in class today, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and he has a bullet 4F workout on Aug-20.
1 – Gordian Knot – He finished 3rd in his last race, he has high % winning trainer and jockey and he has a bullet 4F workout on Aug-20.
Longshot:
8 – Veeson – He won his last race at Parx Racing and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Capo
2 – Respirator
Contest Pick: #6 – 3
$.50 Pick 4: 3,6/6/2,4,6,11/3,5,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 9
6 – Movisitor – He ran 3rd vs similar in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he has high % winning jockey.
3 – Margin of Air – He finished in the money in seven out of the last eight starts, winning five of the starts and he has a high % trainer and jockey.
1 – Irish Cork – He ran 2nd in his last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
4 – Windsor Gold – He has a high % trainer and jockey, his early speed running style is a plus and he has a good 4F workout on Aug-19.
Alternate:
5 – Loose Ends
2 – Market Maven
Contest Pick: #6 -3
Bet: $10.00 Win & $20.00 Place: #6
Race 10-Female
2 – Morning Matcha – She has won two out of the last four races, drops in class today and has a high % trainer and jockey.
11 – New Hire – She ran 2nd (on AW) in her last race, and she has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Nature’s Candy – She has finished in the money in all five career races, winning one of the starts, she has a high % trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Mia Tosca – She finished 3rd (on Dirt) in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Contest Pick: #11 – 2
Race 11-Female
7 – Confirmed Star – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 25% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 33% of the races.
5 – Marion Grace – She has won three races out of the last four starts, finishing 2nd in her last race and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Jeanne Marie – He drops in class today and she has a high % trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Tootaloo Kangaroo – She won her last race at Penn National and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Marion Grace
10 – Voodoo You Do
Contest Pick: #7 – 5
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race – #6 – Movisitor
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – Outside to Inside
8 – WINNING PLAY – 2.85 – little better works overall than the 7
7 – IMPERIO AZTECA – 2.8
5 – IRISH BANBA – 2.7
2 – ANABAM – 2.6
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out Edge
8 – HARP’S HOT CORNER – been off 15 months – 3 yo 1st Lasix, runs remotely close to lone race is a winner
7 – E T’S EVASIVE MOON – 1st timer versus a bunch that haven’t come close to hitting par for this level
1 – ADDYSON’S DREAM – TLRSP# – resume says 3rd up should build on the last effort
5 – UNCLE WINCHESTER – more upside than the race making just 3rd start of career – pacesetter
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
7 – IN SPADES – most back class and resume says improvement coming in 2nd up
5 – EDDIE W – bounce back race coming
1 – CHECK MY SIX – better ATB in last – never off the board in 4 at the distance 4/2-1-1
8 – LOST AND CONFUSED – tough call over the 2 – but concerned the 2 could regress after pairing peak races
Race 4: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 21% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Similar Discount
7 – LERETHA – only horse in the race with a par speed score
5 – CHIT CHAT CHUB – chance to be forward – where she ran her best, 1 of 2 four YOs
2 – BEAUTIFULCRAZYGIRL – showed explosive mid pace in last race – getting 1st Lasix = more late race stamina
4 – CHANCE OCCURRENCE – the other 4 YO and the rest are 3 YOs
Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Big Rail Edge, Inside Out Otherwise
2 – KOHLER’S – winner two in a row – TLRSP# +7
7 – MAC DADDY TOO – track dropper – 3rd up should look like first up – add track drop bonus
9 – CHARLIE SHOWTIME – won first two at Parx on fast – tried mud and failed at PENN – back to PARX and fast
1 – PARTY AT SAM’S – can’t pass on the big rail edge – should be part of the early pace
Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – Outside to Inside
4 – DANSK – 2.8 with a PARX back bullet
2 – SON OF DELILAH – 2.8 with a Turfway back bullet
8 – DR. LOU – 2nd at this level in debut – room for upside
6 – DAY OF DAYS – better works since finishing behind DR LOU in debut
Race 7: 5 Furlongs Turf – OFF
6 – TALENTED MAN – +7 TOTAL PACE – Lone EP
3 – FORE HARP – could be out on the lead as main beneficiary of all the scratches
1 – TRADERS LUCK – strongest PAR + is consistent but bombed in last 3rd up
7 – SMOOTH B – Best Fast Track class – by far – lost to top pick 2x
Race 8: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 21% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Similar Discount
1 – GORDIAN KNOT – 3 SP# increases – bullet work since – PARX 7/4-0-2
6 – ONE MORE SCOOP – rerun July 3rd race – last race – and he is a winner – 3 SP increases too
3 – NINETYPRCENTMADDIE – ML – been running against much better – but did lose to top pick by about a length when they met last September
8 – VEESON – tends to run great in bunches – last out was career best – streak coming?
2 – RESPIRATOR – some sharp works – best published – prepping
Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
3 – MARGIN OF AIR – pacesetter with 30+ QH score
6 – MOVISITOR – ML – winner 5/7 at PARX – usually big but needs the lead
1 – IRISH CORK – explosive LS and should catch a fast enough pace to run some down
2 – MARKET MAVEN – has hit par for this level -the rest have not
Race 10: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – OFF
2 – MORNING MATCHA – ML – was entered as MTO – wish granted
6 – MIA TOSCA – repeat of last PARX route on dirt is a winner – Ruben Silvera rode then too
11 – NEW HIRE – got to love Paco in a short field
7 – PLEASANT DREAMS – moving up the speed ladder and won last 2
Race 11: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Big Rail Edge, Inside Out Otherwise
9 – JEANNE MARIE – 1st Lasix for a speed and fade horse – by far facing toughest comp – Ran in Black Eyed Susan last out
7 – CONFIRMED STAR – ML – won by 11 the last time she ran fresh
2 – FLAMINGO WAY – was getting better race by race art PARX before trying PID AW – back to PARX dirt
4 – THEGODDESSOFSNAKES – can’t pass up Paco
