PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Thistledown: https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/in…
Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 8-27-2024
Race 1
3 – Sueno Profundo – He has finished in the money in the last four starts, winning one race, running 2nd vs tougher in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Fenwick Jack – He won his last at PARX Racing, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Eddiemush – He drops in class today; his early speed running style helps chances and he can handle the distance.
Longshot:
2 – Gamerun – He can improve while returning to a sprint, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Food Foodie
Race 2
4 – I Feelucky Tonite – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, has a high % winning trainer whose horses win 20% of the races in sprints, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Try Harder – He has finished in the money in three out of her career four starts, winning one of the starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Strasse – He has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Checking Boxes – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, the rail post is winning at a 20% clip and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Crack the Code
3 – Hot Love
The 1234 Pick 4
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,4,6/5,6/4/1,3,5 – Cost $12.00
Race 3
5 – Hibachi – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Look Out Lambo – He has not raced for more than 2 months but has two bullet workouts in a row and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Wizard Serrat – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race he has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of claiming races he has a horse running in.
Longshot:
3 – Hidden Promise – He drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer who wins 33% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse.
Alternate:
4 – If We Get Lucky
Contest Pick: #5 – 6
Race 4-Female
4 – Anna Rocks – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Beyond a Million – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and has won 21% of the races at PARX Racing she has run in.
6 – More Ransom – She has a high % winning trainer and can handle the distance.
Longshot:
1 – Like a Pro – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
3 – Lulinda’s Heart
2 – Miss Loyalty
Contest Pick: #4 – 5
The No Favorite Pick 4
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,3,5,6/1,5,7,8,9/1,4/8,9 – Cost $50.00
Race 5
3 – Flat Out Flying – He has finished in the money in the last six starts, winning two races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Vine Jet – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Splendor Beauty – He has won two races out of the last three starts; he has a high % winning trainer and he has a good 5F workout on Aug-19.
Longshot:
7 – Roadtriptonowhere – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
8 – Ron Don Scorese
9 – Runandscor
Contest Pick: #3 -5
Race 6-Female
6 – Wishing Ona Prayer – She won her last race at PARX Racing; she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and he has a good 5F workout on Aug-17.
4 – Old Head – She finished 3rd in her last race, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 32% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse and drops in class today.
1 – Cici Unified – She has a high % winning trainer and the rail post is winning at a 23% clip.
Longshot:
7 – Juliet’s Music – She has won seven races at PARX Racing and can handle the distance.
Contest Pick: #6 – 4
Race 7
9 – Sir Mendel – He won his last race at Gulfstream Park and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Clancy O’Toole – He has a bullet 4F workout on Aug-1 and he can handle the distance.
8 – Freedom Eagle – He won his last race at PARX Racing by 10-lenghts and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Contest Pick: #1: #9 – 3
$.50 Pick 4: 3,8,9/6/1,2,4,5,6/3,8,11,12,13,14 – Cost $45.00
Race 8-Female
6 – Ringer Card – She ran 2nd in her last race, she has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez and Lasix is added.
5 – Eclair Blanc – She finished 4th in her last race after going wide during the race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, switches to a high % jockey and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Lady Sriracha – She has high % winning trainer and jockey and the rail post is winning at a 20% clip.
Longshot:
3 – Honest – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and has the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
4 – Peach Tea
2 – Wine and Roses
Contest Pick: #6 – 5
Bet: $10.00 Win & $20.00 Place: #6
Race 9
2 – Magic Michael – He has won nine races out of thirteen starts at PARX Racing, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and has high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Ridin With Biden – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 67% of the races, winning 39% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 100% of the races.
1 – Itwasthedevilsidea – He has a high % trainer, switches to a high % jockey and this combo in the last 14 days he has this record (5 2-1-1).
Longshot:
6 – Modern Era – He may improve while returning to dirt.
Alternate:
5 – Marvelousmoondance
3 – Suigu Star
Contest Pick: #2 – 4
Race 10
8 – Fair Haired Boy – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, switches to a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % jockey.
11 – Prince Colton – He has won two races out of the last three starts, finishing 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has high % winning trainer.
3 – Smoke Wagon – He won his last race at PENN National and he has a high % winning trainer whose horses win 20% of the races in sprints.
Longshot:
14 – Rabbit – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a good 4F workout on Aug-21.
Alternate:
12 – Booster Shot
13 – Silent Mode
Contest Pick: #8 – 11
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #6 – Ringer Card
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out Edge
3 – SUENO PROFUNDO – TLRSP# +4 and drops in class – never off the board at Parx or Distance
2 – GAMERUN – only horse in the race with a Par run – you have to give him a chance
4 – FENWICK JACK – career best effort could be on the table today – 2nd three race cycle – 3rd up was by far the best last time and just tied his top speed number
7 – EDDIEMUSH – consistent performer that moves down a little in class
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out Edge
6 – TRY HARDER – ML – first Lasix – some speed, potential upside with only 4 races
2 – STRASSE – speed and fade after track dropping from CD – maybe needed some rest after 8 races without a break – 1st up record is awful – though
4 – I FEELUCKY TONITE – Parx 4/0-0-4, Distance 4/0-0-3 – so let’s put him 3rd – makes sense
1 – CHECKING BOXES – rail edge and chance to run at the top of his ability in 3rd up
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
6 – LOOK OUT LAMBO – could come off the bench flying with a pair of bullet works since his last
5 – HIBACHI – ML – TLRSP +5 – 2nd by a neck at this level last out
1 – WIZARD SERRAT – should be absolutely flying at the end
3 – HIDDEN PROMISE – fairly consistent performer that show some more late race energy
Race 4: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 43% w2w – PP: 1-3 Bonus, 4-7 Big Penalty, 8+ Best
4 – ANNA ROCKS – ML – TLRSP +5 – second by a neck and sneaky drop from open to NW1 in a year
6 – MORE RANSOM – another sneaky class dropper from n2y to n1y – distance 2/0-2-0
5 – BEYOND A MILLION – catches a weight break and her numbers are almost the same as the 6
1 – LIKE A PRO – will try to close – but looks to be, as are the rest, a least a cut below the top 3
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
7 – ROADTRIPTONOWHERE – TLRSP# +5, 2nd by a neck at this level last out – 3rd up could be better
3 – FLAT OUT FLYING – ML – 2nd up should be as good or better than 1st – decent maintenance work since
1 – SPLENDOR BEAUTY – plenty of back class – rerun Feb 7th Parx it’s a win – solid work between
5 – VINE JET – decent work between race, good enough for the trainer to move up in class
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Big Rail Edge, Inside Out Otherwise
6 – WISHING ONA PRAYER – ML – Lone E – likely pacesetter – 54% – q30 – strong work between – w2w?
4 – OLD HEAD – rock solid at the distance 5/1-2-1 – lone PC -close to the pace with LS
7 – JULIET’S MUSIC – tough call over the one in 1st up – but rested versus a horse that looks like it needs a rest
1 – CICI UNIFIED
Race 7: 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf – OFF – 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
8 – FREEDOM EAGLE – MSW 50k winner by 10 last out with a good work between
9 – SIR MENDEL –track dropper
3 – CLANCY O’TOOLE – ML -wanted MTO and last workout is probably why – 47 flat for 4f – fastest of 85
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out Edge
1 – LADY SRIRACHA – typical 2nd race improvement is enough – 7/5 fav in debut – faltered at the start – last work was sharp
6 – RINGER CARD – 3 yo with 1st Lasix and ES – workouts say she is ready for first start in a year
5 – ECLAIR BLANC – run back to May 22nd race could win for SIM FAV
2 – WINE AND ROSES – some upside potential in only 3rd career outing
Race 9: 1 ¼ Miles – Bias: No Races at the Distance
2 – MAGIC MICHAEL – TLRSP# +6, Top Total Pace +13 – Tom horse – low odds 2nd place?
5 – MARVELOUSMOONDANCE – pacesetter in otherwise slowish EP field
4 – RIDIN WITH BIDEN – bad form last 4 – did run better with Paco – he returns in 3rd up
1 – ITWASTHEDEVILSIDEA – shown some pop when he gets forward – should contend early today
Race 10: 7 ½ Furlongs Turf – OFF – 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 43% w2w – PP: 1-3 Bonus, 4-7 Big Penalty, 8+ Best
11 – PRINCE COLTON – not a lot of ES here – to the front and never gives it up as SIM FAV
8 – FAIR HAIRED BOY – 2nd by a ½ length at this level last out – a pair of nice works since
3 – SMOKE WAGON – last race at PARX is more than good enough to win
14 – RABBIT – solid form right now – good work between races – ride’em while he is hot
