Parx Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Parx on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Thistledown
Parx Picks and Comments
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: 50/50 – 31% w2w – PP: Strong Rail Bias, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Fair
9 – RINGER CARD – by far the TLRSP# for experienced horses
2 – SWEET MISCHIEF – Jully 22nd work of 4f in 47.4 is what I am hanging my hat on with inside draw
5 – DEWEY DOIT – Aug 7th work of 4f in 47.3 on a good surface might be the best work for any in here
3 – MII AMO – Frankie Pennington is top jock and he stays here after a two-month rest
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,5,9/2,9/1,2,3,5,9
Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: 50/50 – 31% w2w – PP: Strong Rail Bias, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Fair
8 – FREEDOM EAGLE – jy Mychel Sanchez 25% winner on 1st timers with a + ROI of $0.58
7 – TIME TESTED – consistent work pattern, none of the works are outstanding but none of the recent ones were bad
4 – KOHLER’S – looks like he worked the 5 – both same 4f time on July 26 same tr John Servis
1 – CLANCY O’TOOLE – let’s play strong rail bias with a horse that has plenty of room to improve in start 2
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,7,8/7,8/1,3,4,7,8
Race 3: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 31% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out Bias
1 – TWIST HER – two-time Chris P horse, rides the hot rail – Sesame St horse as Lone P
4 – THEARCHERORTHEPREY – another Chris P angle, TLRSP# and better ATB, but MCL rise in 10th race
3 – SANDY Q – money burner, favorite in last three races, Paco rides, well beaten 2nd last time Paco on board
2 – TEMPTED TO TOUCH – considerably better ATB in last, upped speed figure in last two, tough call over the 9, but going with inside bias
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3,4/1,4/1,2,3,4,9
Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 30% w2w – PP: Fair 1-3, Penalty 4-7, 8+ Fair
1 – MARION GRACE – Paco rides, 3SP# increases, last race was a little deceptive slow
8 – BURANO – resume says 2nd up should be better than the first – solid work between races
9 – WARRIOR’S RANSOM – Silvera/Ness Combo, tie for TLRSP# and bullet work on Aug 11
11 – DANCING ON MY OWN – very consistent performer, third up
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 1,8,9/3,5,6,14/6/4,5
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 37% w2w – PP: Small Rail Bias, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Best
6 – SPIRIT SKY – Silvera/Ness combo, TLRSP in win on grass, moves back to dirt – nice work on Aug 9
3 – VEESON – might not look like it on paper, but has a chance to be pacesetter – maybe most upside
14 – SOCIAL ACCEPTANCE – last race better than it looks with faster early fractions and upgrades to Paco
5 – CHANCE OCCURRENCE – been off for more than a year, was well bet in two before that – decent works and 1st Lasix
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,6,14/3,6/3,5,6,9,14
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 37% w2w – PP: Small Rail Bias, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Best
$100,000 DR TERESA GAROFALO STAKES
6 – GOLDEN TABBY – TLRSP# and bullet work since, Mychel Sanchez and Jamie Ness winners 9/16
3 – GUNFYRE GAL – horse for the course with 4/3-1-0, off since Nov with some really good works prepping
5 – MIDNIGHT IN ALASKA – all or nothing horse 8/3-0-1, all the wins in 4 at the distance
4 – LA CIENEGA – either wins by a lot of misses by plenty – fast track is key 4/3-0-0
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 3,6/4,5/5,8,9/5,6,7
Race 7: 5 Furlongs Turf – Bias: 1 Race won w2w From the Rail
$100,000 MARSHALL JENNEY HANDICAP
5 – FORE HARP – two for two in Parx grass win w2w wins
4 – TALENTED MAN – last race was better than it looks with faster early fractions
2 – SMOOTH B – yet to win in 12 of turf – fast fractions last out and 2nd up
7 – WITTY – seconditis with four of them in the last five races – 6 straight HQ starts
Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: 50/50 – 31% w2w – PP: Strong Rail Bias, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Fair
$100,000 MISS BLUE TYE DYE STAKES
9 – JODY’S RUBY – improved everything in 2nd career start – a couple of decent works since
5 – ONE EYED JACKIE – last race better than it looks with faster fractions and a really strong work on Aug 12th
8 – SIRANI – looking at the July 29th work of 4f in 47.2 – a pair of maintenance works since
4 – STEAL THE DEAL – missed as the favorite in debut, tr Robert Reid Jr rebounds at 34%
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 5,8,9/5,9/4,5,6,8,9
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 37% w2w – PP: Small Rail Bias, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Best
$100,000 BANJO PICKER SPRINT STAKES
6 – UNCLE ERNIE – Prax 11/6-3-2, Distance 7/3-2-1, some good works getting ready
7 – TWISTED RIDE – drops for a pair of Graded Stakes at Belmont – won last two at this level – at Parx
1 – GORDIAN KNOT – 3rd after a layoff, better EP through first half mile – some really fast works
5 – BEREN – has the most back class, but hasn’t topped any of the top 3 when meeting
Suggested Wager: $2 Exacta Key Box: 6/5,7
Race 10: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: 50/50 – 31% w2w – PP: Strong Rail Bias, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Fair
$100,000 WHISTLE PIG STAKES
8 – ADDYSON’S DREAM – TLRSP# with consistent effort from gate to wire – decent work since
5 – POKER PARTNER – Paco riding easy debut winner at PID – would like a Parx work
3 – WHISKEYROMEOSIERRA – best bred for the distance and surface – was rushed to the front in debut, maybe a better start is the difference maker
6 – STANDPOINT – must think they have something here to start in NGSTK – tr Guadelupe Preciado winner 18/42 at NGSTK
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 3,5,6,8/3/8,10,15/11,12
Race 11: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 30% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ Small Discount
$100,000 STORM CAT STAKES
3 – NIMITZ CLASS – TLRSP#, serious back class, won lone PARX run with ease – distance 5/4-0-0
4 – BUY LAND AND SEE – maybe more of a turf horse, but did make easy work of the comp in lone Parx
7 – MARKET MAVEN – resume says 3rd up should be a rebound, Ness/Silvera – oddly Ness only 11% at this level
1 – KING KUMBALAY – 3rd up – will be closing,
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,4/3,4,7/1,2,3,4,7
Race 12: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: 3 Races – Stalkers – none w2w – PP: 1 from Rail, 1 from 4-7, and 1 8+
$100,000 MRS PENNY STAKES
8 – NEECIE MARIE – two for two on Parx grass – both with Paco riding like today
10 – MORNING MATCHA – class dropper, only question is turf – off track record suggests she could like it
15 – SOCIAL SUCCESS – won last five races – another making first grass start – lone off track was easy win
4 – VANILLA BEAN – 4sp# increases in a row – better ATB in last – Parx turf 3/1-1-1
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 8,10,15/11,12
Race 13 : 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 30% w2w – PP: Fair 1-3, Penalty 4-7, 8+ Fair
12 – MCCRAKENS GHOST – Ness/Silvera with a bullet work after an easy win
11 – WINDSOR GOLD – Parx dirt 9/2-5-1 – 8 high quality starts in last 10 races
2 – GAME SEVEN – been regressing but might have fresh legs after a layoff
5 – KEITHSENDSHELLOOOO – tough call over the 7, but been facing better company
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 11,12/2,11,12/2,5,7,11,12
