Parx Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Parx on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Golden Gate
Parx Picks and Comments
Charming Charles’ Choices
1. 4,1,7,2
2. 2,4,5,6
3. 6,2,3,5
4. 6,8,10,4
5. 6,10,2,1
6. 2,4,8,3
7. 4,1,3,7
8. 4,7,2,3
9. 10,9,6,4
10. 3,4,8,5
Plays
Race 1: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Tactical Speed – 29% w2w – PP: Small 1-3 Edge, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Best
4 – KITH – making a small drop in class, better EP numbers through 1st half – possible pacesetter
3 – SAMURAI SAINT – SIM Favorite, slightly better ATB and better fractions in last
7 – HEFFNER – TOP Total Pace horse, potential pacesetter and lone P
1 – SUNNY SAINT – down multiple classes tr Alfredo Velazquez winner 3/10
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,4,7/3,4/1,2,3,4,7
Race 2: 1Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 30% w2w – PP: Slight Rail Edge, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
5 – MR LAOBAN – MCL winner with TLRSP – weight break, maybe some regression here
7 – GOLDEN WILDCAT – class dropper coming off a race that was better than it ended with faster fractions at 1m70y than 1m
6 – EXCLUSIVE ORDER – 1st up on a class drop, runs close to best following rest
9 – URMIZZENTHEPOINT – chance to be pacesetter, overlay with solid back class for this level
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 5,6,7/5,7/1,2,5,6,7
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 37% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ Bonus
3 – NEWS BOX – won lone race at Parx last out with ease, tr Micheal Pino winning at 30%
6 – HE HATE ME – highly consistent performer, OK first up record, nice Aug 10 work at Delaware
5 – NIMBLE BEAST – class dropper with plenty of EP, been off since April, July 17 work of 4f in 47 is fast
2 – WAGON BOSS – Lone PC – Paco probably riding here instead of the 1 – probably because trainer change on claim
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,6/3,5,6/2,3,4,5,6
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf – Bias: 6 Races 50/50 – 1 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 1 from 2/3, 4 ws 4-7, and 1 from 8+
3 – SAVE YOUR TEARS – a pair of decent races on turf – showed better early in last
10 – JSK LUCKY’S PUSHPA – either race on turf, especially the last good enough to win here
8 – INCLUDE THE MUNNY – MSW dropper, lone Parx race on turf was her best by far
4 – CEE MINUS -seems like an odd claim for Jamie Ness – he’s usually right though winning at 34% off the claim
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,8,10/3,10/3,4,6,8,10
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 37% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ Bonus
3 – PARADIGM SHIFT – has some EP, been knocking at Parx 3/0-1-1 and distance 4/0-1-2
6 – TRUE PHENOMENON – biggest class dropper, TLRSP# – but at Penn, two blah maintenance works between starts
5 – BET ON DRAMA – a little faster early in her last race – 28 chances to win so far – ITM in 15
10 – LITTLE DOYLE – held speed a little longer in last, decent work between races
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,5,6/3,6/2,3,5,6,10
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 37% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ Bonus
2 – DECOUPAGE – top Total Pace +6, off the bench record is usually solid, down in class
4 – CLASSY SADIE – probably most upside in the race – drops in 2nd up
3 – BABY FADE – consistent performer, Parx 8/2-2-2 and Distance 5/2-0-1, just 1 win in 9 at any other distance
8 – PONTIFFANY – could improve in 2nd up, a little better time in 1st up
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3,4/2,4/2,3,4,8,9
Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 31% w2w PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Fair
7 – EASY DAY – most upside in the race, 2nd up – bullet work on Aug 22nd
4 – BAAFEED – drops in class coming off faster fractions and bullet work on Aug 23
6 – RIVER DOG – class and track dropper – just didn’t want to race last out, 2 really good works since
3 – ROB THE RICH – TLRSP# – weight break here, Parx 8/3-1-1, just 3 wins in 27 races elsewhere
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 4,6,7/2,5,7/4,6,10/3,4,5
Race 8: 1Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 30% w2w – PP: Slight Rail Edge, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
5 – DREAMING OF GERRY – TLRSP#, better ATB in last – faster final time by about 2 seconds
7 – SIMOVITCH – plenty of EP and loves to finish 2nd at Parx 6/1-4-0
2 – KUCHAR – definitely been facing the toughest in here, track dropper, class dropper, Ness/Silvera
4 – SPLICETHEMAINBRACE – big drop in class back to a level where he won 2 in a row with Paco – rides today
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,5,7/5,7/1,2,4,5,7
Race 9: 1Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 30% w2w – PP: Slight Rail Edge, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
4 – JAA MODE – it’s the right distance 6/3-2-0, last race better than it looks with much quicker fractions
10 – HELIUM – could improve 2nd up – Distance 6/1-4-1, bullet work on Aug 20 and Ness keeps Paco – Lone P
6 – PEOPLE FORCE – TLRSP#, not sure cutting back in distance helps here
9 – MIDNIGHT CHROME – top Total Pace horse, decent works between races, but 1st up record isn’t encouraging but tr John Servis wins at 36% next out with BTN FAVs
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,6,10/4,10/3,4,6,9,10
Race 10: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 31% w2w PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Fair
3 – AVA K’S BOY – lowest level in last 10, has a trio of decent works between races
5 – COUNTRY CAPTAIN – all or nothing horse – wins or loses big – Parx 5/3-0-0
4 – WE READY – ran similar fractions at 1m70y as 6f, cut back in distance should help
7 – THE TWINS SNEAKERS – TLRSP# and track dropper -trio of OK Parx works
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,4,5/3,5/3,4,5,7,10
