Parx Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Parx on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Belterra Park
Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks and Comments
Charming Charles’ Choices
1. 7,6,5,4
2. 8,6,7,2
3. 3,6,4,2
4. 1,6,8,3
5. 5,10,3,7
6. 6,4,12,3
7. 3,5,8,10
8. 3,7,5,6
9. 3,4,5,8
10. 13,3,12,9
Plays
Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 31% w2w PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Fair
7 – FIVE STAR FRAN – saw speed hold yesterday, likely pacesetter, TLRSP# with slightly better late fractions
6 – TOTAL DISCRETION – last race better than finish as she ran faster at 7f v 6f, cut back helps
3 – POPTHECHAMPAGNE RO – 3rd up after being better ATB – distance 2/0-2-0
2 – RUBY DOOBY DOO – we’ll take a flyer, track switch with SIM FAV and Top Total Pace horse
Suggested Wager: $1 Double 6,7/6,8
Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 31% w2w PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Fair
8 – TREPAT – track dropper, off since December, a few really good works getting ready, possible pace setter
6 – LORD UHTRED – Silvera/Ness on the small class drop and track switch from Delaware – Parx 4/1-1-2
7 – IN SPADES – good sized drop in first race after a layoff, OK works getting ready
9 – PORSUPUESTO – tough call over the 1 – better SIM odds and more back class
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 6,8/2,3/1/3,7,9,10
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 37% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ Bonus
2 – LEVIOSA – could be the pacesetter – ran better fractions last out
3 – SIZZLING ROMA – at this point, how can you bet against Paco at Parx?
6 – ISABELLA SMILE – decent class drop after better EP# through the first half mile at Penn, right distance 19/4-2-4
1 – KNOCK OUT KID –decent work off the claim, tr Ruperto Perez 18% off the claim and gets a 7 pound weight break with some EP
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3,6/2,3/1,2,3,4,6
Race 4: 7 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: 3 Races – Stalkers/Closers – 0 w2w – PP: All From 1-3 – OFF 1 Mile
1 – PATTY CAKES – Nes/Silvera – top Total Pace +14 with scratches
9 – DISTORTED VIEW – just needs to run back to his March class
3 – WISHING ONA PRAYER – could be pacesetter with all the scratches – better 2nd up
2 – IRIE EMPRESS – 3rd after a layoff, drops in class and has a bullet work between races
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 1/3,7,9,10/3,7/3,8
Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 31% w2w PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Fair
7 – BE WATER – good shot to be pacesetter – drops in class back to where she was claimed – trying to sell?
9 – RIVERVIEW – down multiple classes with early speed – claimed at 12.5 up for sale at 7.5, but purse in 21 – hoping to win and be claimed? Weight break should help hold speed longer
10 – BACK TO D’ FUTURE – better ATB in last with better fractions, tr Elliott Soto-Martinez winner 4/16 1st off the claim
3 – OLD HEAD – decent class drop – oddly Servis and Pennignton 0-23 despite both winning at high rates at Parx
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 7,9,10/7,9/3,5,7,9,10
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 37% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ Bonus
3 – JEWELS IN THE BAY – Chis P angle with TLRSP# by a decent margin in first on dirt after trying grass in the first two
6 – GO EAST –class dropper – money burner though as he’s been the favorite in the last 2
4 – RESPIRATOR – another class dropper with some EP – showed a little better in his last
7 – CHASING STARDOM – only MSW dropper, only 1 race – getting 1st Lasix and 7 pound weight break
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta Box: 3,4,6,7
Race 7: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 30% w2w – PP: Slight Rail Edge, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
3 – IT’S GAME TIME – smoked in the last race with TLRPS# and resumes says second up could be better +9 Total Pace Edge
8 – LOOSE GOOSE – nice drop in class to a level where he won two in a row, distance 3/2-1-0, Ness/Silvera
2 – JARDANI – has some crazy late pace at times, but could be too far back at the jump to win
7 – BIRD KING – been regressing, but clearly has the most back class
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 3,8/1,3,4/3,5/3,7,9,13
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 31% w2w PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Fair
3 – BOURBON BON BAY – TLRSP# – hasn’t lost yet in 5 races, this will be the 1st time she’s gone two races in a row without a break – at 6 yo and only 5 races and never making it two in a row – beware
4 – SWEET WILLEMINA – should be closing late, could beat these if she gets off to a little better start – look for Frankie to try and break a little sharper today
7 – OLIVIA DARLING – could be out front with the 3 – like they did in the last race – couldn’t hang on – a cut back here might have been helpful
1 – SHERO – best Parx numbers in the race by a long way – a run back to that wins EZ
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,4/3,4,7/1,2,3,4,7
Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 31% w2w PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Fair
3 – FLOR DE SOMBRA – class dropper from 5 straight 100+ NGSTK – lots of EP, 1st Lasix – would be really concerned if the horse was in for a price – she is not – 55k purse is the attraction
5 – WICKED SIGHT – w2w in debut, horrible start in race #2, 8 of 8 15 lengths off the lead at the quarter, missed by a neck at 5 ½ – that reeks of talent
7 – PAPER MANSION – Ness/Silvera – last race was terrible, bullet work since – rebound?
8 – EUPHIMA – not a fan of Penn shippers at all, but Paco rides and you can’t ignore that
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 3,5/3,7,9,12,13
Race 10: 1 Mile Turf – OFF – 1 Mile
9 – FLIGHT – should be on/near the lead with some of the best late pace, could be hard to pass what you can’t catch
7 – DIVINE WINE – track and class dropper – Z pattern in last – look out for awakening
3 – SO FULLY SUE – got the maiden win last out in first go at Parx – three maintenance works since and two of them were really good
13 – BRUNO BARBER GIRL – off since June 27th, first up record not good so far, got lone win last out MCL 25k with Paco in his 1st run with the horse, Paco rides again
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,7,9/7,9/3,7,9,12,13
