PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 12-03-2024
Race 1
4 – Spinning Heart – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race at PARX Racing, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races in the second race after claiming a horse and he has a high % winning jockey.
7 – I Can Do Magic – He drops in class today, he has a trainer who wins 25% of the races when taking a horse from a maiden to a maiden claiming race and he has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Remarkable Mo – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races when taking a horse up one class, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Heat Alert – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 40% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Magical Road
6 – Evasive Moves
$.50 Pick 4: 4,7/1,2,3,7/4,5,6/1,5,6,11 – Cost $48.00
Race 2
2 – Reckless Place – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race at PARX Racing, he has the highest last race speed rating and he can manage the distance.
1 – Rahmer – He likes the distance and the rail post is winning at a 19% clip.
3 – Shanghai Superfly – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 52% of the races, winning 18% of the starts and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
7 – Mizzen Man – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 44% of the races, winning 15% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 50% of the races, winning 13% of the starts and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Spotted Bull
4 – Cousin Andrew
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,7/4,5,6/1,5,6,11/1,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
4 – Why Stop There – He was bumped at the start of his last race and finished poorly but he won the prior race, drops in class today, his early speed running style helps chances so he should improve at the shorter distance.
5 – Borracho Concho – His early speed running style helps chances and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
6 – Checking Boxes – He drops in class today, his best dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – The Grayt Pumpkin – He finished 4th after going wide into the stretch and he has the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
2 – El de Leo
3 – Heavy Timber
Race 4 -Female
6 – Merrychill – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and she has a high % winning jockey.
11 – Pull No Punch – She drops in class today and she has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Flag Song Flyin – She switches to a high% trainer and the rail post is winning at a19% clip.
Longshot:
5 – Wiki Lio – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Fast Gal
2 – Five Star Fran
Race 5
8 – National Law – He should improve while returning to dirt and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Au Some Warrior – He has a high % winning jockey and a trainer who wins 20% of the races in Maiden Sp Wt contest that he has a horse running in.
4 – River’s Gamble – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race.
Longshot:
7 – L Golden Boy – He has the highest last race speed rating, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Grey Images
$.50 Pick 4: #1,3,4,7,8/1,7/2,6/2,4,10,11 – Cost $50.00
Race 6
1 – Baafeed – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 57% of the races, winning 22% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 57% of the races, winning 14% of the starts.
7 – Pylon – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Jw’s Third Mischie – He won his last race at PARX Racing and the distance will not be a problem.
Longshot:
6 – Power Agenda – He drops in class today and his early speed running style helps his chances so he can improve at the shorter distance.
Alternate:
3 – Sea Trident
8 – Boom Boom Kaboom
Race 7
2 – Winning Time – He has finished in the money in seven races out of his seven career starts, winning three races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Don’t Wait Up – He has won two out of his last three races, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and he has a bullet 4F workout on Nov-25.
7 – Alpine Thunder – He has won three races out of his last five starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Tuskegee Airmen – He ran 2nd in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the allowance races that he has a horse running in and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Windsor Gold
Bet: $20.00 Win: #2 – $5.00 Exacta Box: #2,6,7 – $10.00 Exacta: 2/3,6,7 – $5.00 DD: 2/2,4,10,11
Race 8
11 – Whoosh – He has finished in the money in his last four, winning the last start, he has a high % winning trainer and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
2 – Birthday Bond Rob – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
4 – Strasse – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the races in the first race after claiming a horse and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Longshot:
10 – Mendelsfly – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer who wins18% of the claiming races he has a horse running in.
Alternate:
5 – Sam Wheat
3 – Don Tequilas
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 7th Race – #2 – Winning Time
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards- Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Small Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Small Discount, 8+ Fair
4 – SPINNING HEART – TLRSP#+8 – Ness/Silvera – improved EP in last
1 – REMARKABLE MO – track dropper from the KY circuit
3 – HEAT ALERT – speed, lightly raced – decent work on Nov 4th
7 – I CAN DO MAGIC – very consistent and competitive at this level
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
2 – RECKLESS PLACE – Left Arrow horse with TLRSP#+10
6 – SPOTTED BULL – weight break – consistent performer that should be closing – extra distance
7 – MIZZEN MAN – cut back in distance might help if he can get off to a decent start
1 – RAHMER – tough call over the 3 – going with the higher Q30 score with ES here
Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 56% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
1 – THE GRAYT PUMPKIN – TLRSP#+11 – class rising – one win in 31- be careful
6 – CHECKING BOXES – drops in class and should be forward
3 – HEAVY TIMBER – lots of evenly matched early speed here – some late speed
4 – WHY STOP THERE – enough early speed to get to the front – holding on is the issue
Race 4: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 23% w2w – PP: Inside Out, 4+ Discount
5 – WIKI LIO – last race better than it looks with better fractions
6 – MERRYCHILL – class dropper that could be better in 2nd up
9 – ECHO LAKE – big pop in only other 2nd up – just needs a better start
11 – PULL NO PUNCHES – maybe a track dropper at the lowest level of her career
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards- Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Small Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Small Discount, 8+ Fair
8 – NATIONAL LAW – Paco on a track dropper
4 – RIVER’S GAMBLE – better early on last – ITM 3/5 so far
1 – AU SOME WARRIOR – should be out front and could be hard to pass – Q30
6 – THE TIRE MAN – 3rd up and climbing the speed ladder
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
1 – BAAFEED – TLRSP#+4, big PAR+, drops after winning – strong LS #s and not far from the lead here
4 – JW’S THIRD MISCHIE – huge win last out that was better ATB
6 – POWER AGENDA – all or nothing at the distance – 8/4-0-0 – big drop in class – lowest in last 10
7 – PYLON – been close in 7 of last 10 races
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
2 – WINNING TIME – maybe too much ES for the rest – PACO – 3rd up – but a big class hike
6 – DON’T WAIT UP – Ness/Sanchez – think Sanchez won 4 yesterday – cut in distance helps
3 – TUSKEGEE AIRMEN – better fractions despite going a little longer
1 – CHUCK WILLIS – rail edge- speed and fade in last – maybe better in 2nd try at Parx
Race 8: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 23% w2w – PP: Inside Out, 4+ Discount
2 – BIRTHDAY BOND ROB – first up – decent series of works
10 – MENDELSFLY – held speed longer in last – usually puts multiple good races together
4 – STRASSE – might not look like it on paper – but strong chance to lead with Q30 score of 43
11 – WHOOSH – lots of late speed, took 25 races to win 1 – can he go back to back?
