PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 12-02-2024
Race 1 -Female
10 – Apollonia Vitelli – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie), she has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the maiden claiming races he has a horse running in and she has a high % winning jockey.
8 – Jump a Fox – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Faux Pas – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and can manage the distance.
Longshot:
4 – Spanish Girl – She drops in class today, she has the highest last race speed rating, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Blind Speed
11 – Bahamian Baby
Race 2 -Female
4 – Loveumom – She has finished in the money in her last two starts, finishing 3rd in her last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again.
2 – Institution – She won her last race, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Lino and Me – She drops in class today, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the races when shipping a horse in to compete and switches to high % jockey Paco Lopez.
Longshot:
5 – Bitcoin Baby – Her early speed running style helps her chances and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Romance by Chance
7 – Exhale
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,4,5,6/1,3,5,7/1,2,3,4,5/1 – Cost $50.00
Race 3 -Female
5 – Angel of Harlem – She drops in class today and has trainer who wins 22% of the starts in the second start with this trainer and her early speed running style helps her chances so she may improve at the shorter distance.
7 – Norho’s Gamble – She has a trainer who wins 25% of the starts in the second start with this trainer and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Picardy – Her best dirt speed is close to the avg winning speed.
Longshot:
1 – Whiskey and Rain – She has a trainer who wins 26% of the starts in the second start with this trainer.
Race 4
2 – Latta – He won his last race at PARX Racing, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
1 – Big Z Og – He ran 2nd vs similar (on Turf) in his last race, may improve while returning to dirt and the rail post is winning at a 20% clip.
5 – Dropline – He finished 3rd in his last race, his best dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Chain Lightning – He won his last race at PENN National and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Bernie’s Mitts
6 – Bronx Boys
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,4,5/1,2,4,6/4,5/1,5,6 – Cost $48.00
Race 5-Female
1 – Tiz Race Day – She ran 2nd vs similar (on Turf) in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Racey Ruby – She has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 66% of the races when the trainer drops a horse off a win and she has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Noisy On the Bay – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, has a high % winning trainer and she switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Go Margie Go – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
5 – Melody’s Kiss
8 – Snow Lake
Race 6
5 – Neigh Dude– He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 64% of the races, winning 12% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 55% of the races, winning 33% of the starts.
4 – Rebel Empire – He finished 4th in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and drops in class today.
9 – Six Whips – He has finished in the money in his last four starts, winning two races and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
6 – Dathoss – He ran 2nd vs similar in last race, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
1 – Roan Burgundy
8 – Up Against It
Race 7
1 – Maximus Speed – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his only start, drops in class today, the rail post is winning at a 19% clip and blinkers added today.
6 – Pilote Comete – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races when shipping a horse in to compete and he has a bullet 3f workout on Nov 27.
5 – Atrocious – He has finished in the money in six out of his ten career races, and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Addyson’s Dream – He ran 3rd vs similar in his last race, and he has a good jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Jasiel
3 – Don Tequilas
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,5,6,8/3,7/3,4/2,3,4,7,11 – Cost $50.00
Race 8-Female
3 – Divine Grace – She has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Amy Mule – She has finished in the money in her last six starts, winning one race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – She’sarollingstone – She has finished in the money in seven races out of nine starts this year starts, winning one race and she has finished in the money in seven races out of eight starts at today’s distance.
Longshot:
6 – Thegoddessofsnakes – She switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez and has a trainer who wins 19% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-sprint-route.
Alternate:
1 – Whistler’s Style
2 – Flashndynamite
Race 9-Female
4 – Dream Chaser – She just keeps getting better winning the last two races and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Our Uptown Girl – She won her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Shetalkstomuch – She has won two races out of the last three starts and she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Longshot:
5 – Mary Q – She finished 3rd in her last race, she has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
2 – You’re the One
Bet: $20.00 Win: #4 – $10.00 Exacta Box: #3,4 – $5.00 Exacta: 4/2,5,6 – $5.00 DD: 3,4/2,3,4,11
Race 10-Female
2 – Awesome Pal – She has won two races out of the last five starts, drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Road to Dreams – She drops in class today, she has a trainer who wins 66% of the races when dropping a horse down 2+ classes and she has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Lamasco – She has the best dirt speed among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
11 – So Swell – She likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 53% of the races, winning 13% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 67% of the races, winning 20% of the starts.
Alternate:
7 – Boca Royalty
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race – #4 – Dream Chaser
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards- Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Small Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Small Discount, 8+ Fair
10- APOLLONIA VITELLI – improved in last and drops to lowest level of her career
4 – SPANISH GIRL – TLRSP#+4 and drops to a level where she finished 2nd two back
3- BLIND SPEED – maybe a turf horse, but if she runs back two races – it’s a wrap
8 – JUMP A FOX – just missed at this level last out
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
1 – ROMANCE BY CHANCE – TLRSP#+8 and only horse with a recent PAR run – weight break
2 – INSTITUTION – track dropper and highly consistent performer
4 – LOVEUMOM – should be out front, better 2/4f pace in last with a strong work between
7 – EXHALE – a little better ATB with faster early fractions
Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 56% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
5 – ANGEL OF HARLEM – boom or bust race coming in 2nd up after more than a year off
7 – NORHO’S GAMBLE – consistent performer that should be involved right away
2 – LA BELLA BOROBETA – TLRSP# +11 – top CZONE
1 – WHISKEY AND RAIN – tough call over the 3 – most LS in the race
Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Inside Out with a Strong Rail
2 – LATTA – TLRPS#+9 – PACO and will be rolling at the end
1 – BIG Z OG – 3rd up and should be on the lead
4 – CHAIN LIGHTNING – maybe most upside with just two races
5 – DROPLINE – could be better in the 2nd up after being a little better ATB
Race 5: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 4-7 Small Discount, 8+ Best
1 – TIZ RACE DAY – Ness/Sanchez – drops back to a level where she finished 2nd by a nose
5 – MELODY’S KISS – drops in 2nd up – resume suggests a big bounce coming
2 – GO MARGIE GO – cuts in distance and makes 2nd run after a rest
6 – NOISY ON THE BAY – PACO – classic 3rd start after a layoff – ITM 7/8 at PARX
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
8 – UP AGAINST IT – TLRSP# +7 and top CZONE – huge win last out
9 – SIX WHIPS – never off the board in 4 at Parx – catching a weight break today
4 – REBEL EMPIRE – Ness/Silvera – early speed and drops in class
5 – NEIGH DUDE – PACO on a class dropper with tons better EP in last
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 23% w2w – PP: Inside Out, 4+ Discount
1 – MAXIMUS SPEED – track dropper with any second race improvement and it’s not close
6 – PILOTE COMETE – only experienced horse with a Par race and TLRSP#+5
8 – ADDYSON’S DREAM – a little better EP and fractions last out
7 – LEIGH’S LAST HERO – since all the rest don’t have a par race – got to have the first timer
Race 8: 1 Mile 70 Yards- Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Small Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Small Discount, 8+ Fair
3 – DIVINE GRACE – Sanchez/Ness – winner 4/8 at Parx and 4/6 at the distance
7 – AMY MULE – just a little racing luck from winning 3 of 4 at Parx
4 – SHE’SAROLLINGSTONE – Ness/Silvera – ITM 7/8 at the distance and first at Parx
6 – THEGODDESSOFSNAKES – PACO on a highly consistent performer
Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Inside Out with a Strong Rail
4 – DREAM CHASER – 50 Q30 score and should be on the lead – Sanchez/Ness
3 – OUR UPTOWN GIRL – won last by more than 5 lengths and 6/2-3-0 at the distance
5 – MARY Q – tough call over the 6 – but picking PACO at ParX is never tough
Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
4 – ROAD TO DREAMS – top TOTAL PACE +6 – lowest level in last 10
3 – LAMASCO – Tr Michael Pino is strong 1st off the claim at 24% with a horse with the most back class
2 – AWESOME PAL – mostly ALL or NOTHING type – drops in class
7 – BOCA ROYALTY – TLRSP# +3 – better ATB in last
