PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 12-02-2024
Race 1
8 – Zanduhoc – He has finished in the money in two races out of three career starts, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer.
6 – Key Stat – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – D Day – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Fully Committed – He ran 2nd in his last race, the rail post is winning at a 20% clip and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Maliblue
Race 2 -Female
2 – Lost Love – She has finished in the money in her last four starts, winning two races and she has a high % winning trainer.
5 – Frosted Diamond – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 17% of the dirt starts a horse he trains competes in, he has high % winning jockey and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Alma Brilha – She has won two races out of the last four starts, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 19% of the races with a horse who has been 46-90 days away.
Longshot:
4 – Molly Malone – She won last race at PARX Racing.
Alternate:
6 – Fast Motion
3 – One of the Ones
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,4,5,6/1,3,5/5,7,8/2,3 – Cost $45.00
Race 3 -Female
1 – Entente – She drops in class today, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Miss Jones – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-sprint-route and she has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Mary Loves Louie – She drops in class today and she has the highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
2 – Nezuko – She drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the 1st race at a route races that he has a horse running in.
Alternate:
4 – Miss Hard to Get
Race 4
5 – Adeleke – He has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Try Harder – He has finished in the money in six races out of nine career starts, winning two of the races and he has a high % winning jockey.
8 – What a Blast – He won his last race but was disqualified for interference, he switches to a high % winning jockey and he has a high % winning.
Longshot:
6 – Twentyeighttothree – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 70% of the races, winning 20% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 75% of the races, winning 25% of the starts.
Alternate:
2 – Curlins Cruzin
1 – Carbonite
$.50 Pick 4: #5,7,8/1,2,3,7/3,5/3,7,9 – Cost $45.00
Race 5-Female
2 – Miss M M – She has finished in the money in five races out of the last nine starts, winning one race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Rapid Ruby – She finished 2nd in her last race, her early speed running style helps chances and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
7 – Miss Alex – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Sweet Mischief – She has a high % winning trainer and her early speed running style helps her chances so she can improve at the shorter distance.
Alternate:
Race 6-Female
3 – Hi Heeled Warrior – She has finished in the money in six races out of the last seven starts, winning one race and she has a high % winning trainer.
5 – Catti La Belle – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and the distance will not be a problem.
6 – Dixie Groove – She drops in class today, switches to a high% trainer and the additional distance should be a plus.
Longshot:
7 – Obstinate – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and she has the best dirt speed among today’s starters.
Alternate:
1 – Happy Union
2 – Bunny Bonus
Race 7-Female
7 – Haleigh B – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Juradicial – She won her last race and she has a high % winning trainer.
9 – Gavichi – She won her last race and switches to a high % jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Del Rey Dolly – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and can handle the distance.
Alternate:
5 – Rolls Royce Joyce
1 – Jezebel Jade
$.50 Pick 4: #3,5,6,7,9/1,2,3,4,7/6/3,6,7,8 – Cost $50.00
Race 8-Female
2 – Dadoo – She ran 2nd in her two career races and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 24% of the maiden Sp Wt races that he has a horse running in and she has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Angel of Hope – She ran 2nd in her last race, the rail post is winning at a19% clip and her early speed running style helps her chances.
4 – Delray – She has finished in the money in her two career races, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Wylda Wylde – She is a First-time starter whose Sire wins 18% of the races with 1st time starters, her Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Mischief Maxey
Race 9
6 – I Don’t See Colors – He has finished in the money in six races out of the last eight starts, winning three races and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
4 – Whiskeyromeosierra – He has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, and he has a high % winning jockey.
2 – All American Rod – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has won two of four career races.
Longshot:
9 – Capital Conquest – He ran 2nd in his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Party At Sam’s
10 – Cathedral Beach
Bet: $20.00 Win: #6 – $10.00 Exacta Box: #4,6 – $5.00 Exacta: 6/2,4,9 – $5.00 DD: 4,6/3,6,7,8
Race 10
6 – Remarkable Mo – He drops in class today, he can improve while returning to a sprint and blinkers are added today.
3 – Pine Alley – He ran 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and has a trainer who wins 25% of the maiden claiming races he has a horse competing in.
7 – Aves Makin’ Waves – His best dirt speed is faster is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
8 – Jaknava – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race.
Alternate:
11 – Voy Y Vengo
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race – #6 – I Don’t See Colors
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out
6 – KEY STAT – 3rd up an most upside in the race
5 – D DAY – little better Early in last and another in 3rd up
8 – ZANDUHOC – should be out front and drops in class
2 – MALIBLUE – TLRSP#+5 – better pace early in last
Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair
5 – FROSTED DIAMOND – only horse with a par run on resume and top PAR+ – consistent with – Top TOTAL PACE +6
2 – LOST LOVE – never off the board in 4 at PARX – drops to where she just missed two back
1 – ALMA BRILHA – coming off the bench and tr Daniel Velazquez wins at 20% first off the claim
6 – FAST MOTION a little better fractions last out and maybe too much ES for the rest
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair
2 – NEZUKO – 2nd race improvement would put her way past all the others – MSW dropper
3 – MISS JONES – Top TOTAL PACE +6
1 – ENTENTE – 3rd up and been facing a lot better
5 – MARY LOVES LOUIE – TLRSP# +4 – chance to be her best in 3rd up
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
5 – ADELEKE – Top TOTAL PACE +9 – TLRSP# +8 – Green Go – and most upside
7 – TRY HARDER – won at this level two back – a little faster early in last
6 – TWENTYEIGHTTOTHREE – could be better in 3rd up on class drop
8 – WHAT A BLAST – hard fought win in last with better fractions
Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 57% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 A Little Better than Fair, 8+ Fair
2 – MISS M M – Top TOTAL PACE +9 – TLRSP#+6 – average race is better than the top for most in here
3 – RAPID RUBY – should be out front with PACO -1st run at PARX
1 – SWEET MISCHIEF – should be forward – won 2/4 at the distance and none in 11 at any other
7 – MISS ALEX – of the rest, the only one with a PAR race on the recent resume
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair
5 – CATTI LA BELLE – most consistent horse in the race – ITM 13/18 at the distance
2 – BUNNY BONUS – signs of life in her last with better early fractions and pace
1 – HAPPY UNION – doesn’t look like it on paper, but was much quicker last out
3 – HI HEELED WARRIOR – lone E that could be on the lead – weight break
Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out
7 – HALEIGH B – TLRSP# +8 – better EP and Fractions last out – better in 2nd up
9 – GAVICHI – PACO – but 0/17 with trainer Scott Lake – that has to change at some point – no?
1 – JEZEBEL JADE- PAR race on recent resume with strong Par+
8 – IFIHADACHANCE – should improve in 2nd up
6 – DEL REY DOLLY
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
4 – DELRAY – TLRSP# +3 – repeat that race and she would be hard to beat for these
2 – DADOO – a pair of 2nds to start career and drops from a NGSTK
1 – ANGEL OF HOPE – going to be on the lead with the rail
7 – WYLDA WYLDE – first timer and the rest haven’t hit par
Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out
4 – WHISKEYROMEOSIERRA – winner two in a row – a bit concerned about peak pairing and regression
6 – I DON’T SEE COLORS – should be forward with TLRSP#+5
9 – CAPITAL CONQUEST – the only other horse in the race with a recent PAR effort – probably most consistent with most upside
2 – ALL AMERICAN ROD – finally healthy horse making 3rd start in a row for the first time
Race 10: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – PINE ALLEY – 3 thirds in 3 at PARX – consistent performer
6 – REMARKABLE MO – most upside in the race * better in 2nd up and 2nd try at PARX after track dropping from KY
11 – VOY Y VENGO – better ATB in last
7 – AVES MAKIN’ WAVES – if he can run back three races and it would be easy
