PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 12-16-2024
Race 1
4 – Paynter’s Prodigy – He finished 3rd in his last race and he has a trainer who wins 23% of the races when shipping a horse in to run.
5 – Separate Ways – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer.
3 – One America – He has a high % winning trainer 24% of the races in the 2nd start with this trainer and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
1 – Sharp Red Eagle – He has a high % winning jockey, the rail post is winning at a 20% clip, drops in class today and he can improve at the shorter distance.
Alternate:
2 – Unswayed
Race 2
8 – Rebel Empire – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – My Man Woody – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Rabbit – He won his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Sophia’s Prince – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 50% of the races, winning 50% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 60% of the races, winning 20% of the starts and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Chasing Stardom
3 – Disturbed
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,6,7,8/1,3,4,5/3,4/3,5 – Cost $48.00
Race 3 -Female
3 – Flagrunner – She has finished in the money in her five career races, she has a career high % winning trainer and she has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Ringer Card – She ran 2nd in her last race, the rail post is winning at a 20% clip, switches to a high % jockey, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the races when taking a horse from a maiden to maiden claiming race and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Lady Sriracha – She finished 3rd in her last race, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the maiden claiming races he has a horse competing in.
Longshot:
4 – Leretha – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Momma Pic
2 – Sweet Distraction
Race 4 -Female
3 – Maria Says So – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, her best dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed and she has a good trainer.
4 – Flag Song Flyin – She has a high% trainer and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – Peach Pass – She has a high% trainer who wins 18% of the claiming races he has a horse running in and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Blind Speed – She won her last race at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
5 – Cash On First
$.50 Pick 4: 3,4,5,6,7/3,5/2,5/2,4,5,6 – Cost $48.00
Race 5 -Female
3 – Gangster Rap – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Classy Miss – She likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 48% of the races, winning 19% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 47% of the races, winning 16% of the starts.
7 – Obstinate – She drops in class today, she has a trainer who wins 17% of the route races he has a horse running in, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
1 – Peach Perfect – She likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 60% of the races, winning 24% of the starts, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 19% of the races in the1st race after claiming a horse and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
8 – Bonita Lassie
2 – Tomarie
Race 6
2 – Trainer Please – He has finished in the money in his last seven starts, winning two of the races and he has a high % winning trainer.
5 – Iconic Legacy – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Mac Daddy Too – He switches to a high % trainer who wins 30% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
7 – Sleipnir – He has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick and he has a high % winning trainer.
Race 7 -Female
5 – Nature’s Candy – She has finished in the money in five races out of six starts at PARX Racing, winning two of the races, she has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Tiz Race Day – She has won three races out of five starts at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – So Fully Sue – She won her last race and blinkers are added today.
Longshot:
2 – Summary Judgment – She has won two out of her last three starts, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and has won four out of eight starts at today’s distance.
Alternate:
7 – Pleasant Dreams
$.50 Pick 4: #2,4,5,6/4,5/4,5,7/1,6,7,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 8
5 – Divine Miracle – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 71% of the races, winning 43% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 64% of the races, winning 29% of the starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Chelonian – He has finished in the money in three of his last four starts, winning one of the races, drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Uninvited Guest – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Jamie Dreams – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has a good 4F workout on Dec-04.
Alternate:
6 – Roan Mountain
2 – Riccio
Bet: $10.00 Win – $20.00 Place: #5 – $5.00 Exacta Box: #3,4,5 – $10.00 Exacta: 5/3,4,5 – $5.00 DD: 5/4,5
Race 9
4 – Lonesome Boy – He ran 2nd in last race and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
5 – Celestial Moon – He has a high % winning trainer, switches to a high % jockey and this trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has tis record (14 5-2-3).
7 – Deposition – He won his last race and he has a high% jockey.
Longshot:
2 – My Imagination – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 80% of the races, winning 20% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 64% of the races, winning 9% of the starts.
Race 10 -Female
8 – Callie Rae – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Spanish Girl – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Napolitan – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and the rail post is winning at a 20% clip.
Longshot:
6 – Cajun Dove – She drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 66% of the races when dropping a horse down 2+ classes.
Alternate:
2 – Her Ticket to Ride
5 – Keystormrising
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #5 – Divine Miracle
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out
5 – SEPARATE WAYS – TLRSP#+7 – better pace and fractions
2 – UNSWAYED – left arrowish – should not be too far from the pace with strong kick
3 – ONE AMERICA – pacesetter potential – could be better in 2nd PARX run in 2nd up
4 – PAYNTER’S PRODIGY – wide trip at CT in last, not the pace to be – 2nd up and seen tougher
Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out
8 – REBEL EMPIRE – Top TOTAL PACE +7 – Big Time PAR+
2 – RABBIT – Better EP in last
7 – MY MAN WOODY – walking up the speed ladder – 3 wins in 11 at PARX – none in 13 elsewhere
3 – DISTURBED – better fractions despite going a little longer
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out
1 – RINGER CARD – MSW dropper on the hot rail with better EP and Fractions – Pacesetter
3 – FLAGRUNNER – never off the board in 5 –
5 – LADY SRIRACHA – Top TOTAL PACE +5
4 – LERETHA – has a par race on the recent resume and might be fresh after rest
Race 4: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Best
3 – MARIA SAYS SO – only horse with a PAR RACE on her resume – little better fractions and LP
6 – BLIND SPEED – TLRSP#+5 – better LP in last
7 – PEACH PASS – 3rd up and very likely pacesetter
4 – FLAG SONG FLYIN – consistent performer
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Small Inside 3 Bonus, 4-7 Small Discount. 8+ Almost Fair
5 – CLASSY MISS – class drops and solid maintenance work between races
1 – PEACH PERFECT – tr Jacinto Solis – winner 1 of 3 with claim and drop
3 – GANGSTER RAP – TLRSP# +4 – better EP and Fractions
7 – OBSTINATE – better EP and last and drops
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out – Strong Rail
5 – ICONIC LEGACY – should be forward with Kendrick and that’s what you want
4 – JW’STRICKYMISCHIEF – could be pacesetter and better in 2nd up after a blowout win in last
2 – TRAINER PLEASE – class and track dropper? 3rd in lone PARX run
7 – SLEIPNIR – unbeaten in a pair at PARX – better EP
Race 7: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Best
5 – NATURE’S CANDY – only horse with a PAR race on her recent resume
4 – TIZ RACE DAY – Ness/Sanchez – winner 3/5 at PARX and dominated in last
2 – SUMMARY JUDGMENT – right distance – winner 4/8 and rolled in last
7 – PLEASANT DREAMS – dominate win in last with much better LP
Race 8: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Small Inside 3 Bonus, 4-7 Small Discount. 8+ Almost Fair
4 – CHELONIAN – better EP in last despite wide trip
5 – DIVINE MIRACLE – better early and late in last – tends to pair up strong runs
6 – ROAN MOUNTAIN – consistent performer with a big run last out and maintenance work
1 – JAMIE DREAMS – just missed in last and likely the same or a little better in 2nd up
Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Small Inside 3 Bonus, 4-7 Small Discount. 8+ Almost Fair
4 – LONESOME BOY – should be pacesetter – TLRSP# +7
5 – CELESTIAL MOON – Sanchez/Ness – better fractions in last
7 – DEPOSITION – definitely face better
8 – PRAETORIAN GUARD – at times shows stakes level LP
Race 10: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out
6 – CAJUN DOVE – class dropper and maybe most upside in just 4th start
7 – SPANISH GIRL – just missed last out at this level
8 – CALLIE RAE – TLRSP# +3 – maybe better in 2nd up
5 – KEYSTORMRISING – should be closing late
