PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 12-17-2024
Race 1
9 – Bullet Breeze – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Whoosh – He has finished in the money in his last five starts, winning one of the races and he has a high % winning trainer.
1 – Surfboard – He has finished in the money in five starts out of his eight starts at PARX Racing, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a trainer who wins 17% of the route races he has a horse running in.
Longshot:
4 – Vin Santo – He drops in class today and he has a trainer who wins 18% of the races when shipping a horse in to run.
Alternate:
5 – Badbadbobby
6 – Utility
Race 2
6 – Byrde of War – He drops in class today, he has a high % winning trainer and blinkers are added today.
5 – Alchemism – He in the money in two starts out of his three career starts, he has a trainer who wins 21% of the 2YO races he has a horse running in and he has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Day of Days – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
4 – Cool Million – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 2 winners from 2 starters and 1 stakes winner, his breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Smallschool Wonder
2 – Sams After Party
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,4,5,6/2,3,4,5/3,4/8,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
2 – Riley’s Rockstar – He won his last race at PARX Racing, he has a trainer who wins 17% of a horse’s first race at route and he has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Fridayswithmurray – He won his debut race at PARX Racing, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer.
5 – Marchin Into April – He won his last race and the distance will not be a problem.
Longshot:
3 – Mr. Bogan – He won his last race by almost 10-lenghts, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Scudetto
1 – El Dollar
Race 4
3 – Harp’s Hot Corner – He has won his last three races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Enforcer – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a good 4F workout on Dec-10.
6 – Mr Sandman – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 60% of the races, winning 11% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 50% of the races and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Soze – He has won his last three races of his last four starts and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Yo Yo Candy
5 – Ninja Prize
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,4,6/8,9/6,7/1,4,5,8,9 – Cost $50.00
Race 5
9 – Ron Don Scorese – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 54% of the races, winning 14% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 52% of the races, winning 14% of the starts and he has a high % winning jockey.
8 – Bourbon Calling – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 60% of the races when dropping a horse down 2+ classes, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Makabim – He has finished in the money in five starts out of his last seven starts, winning two races and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
7 – Speightster Red – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Mega Charlie
Race 6
6 – Hoku – He closed to win his last race and received the highest last race speed rating and he switches to a high % winning trainer.
7 – Group Ticket – He won his last race by 11-lenghts and he has a high % winning trainer wins 30% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse.
4 – Helium – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
8 – Aztec – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has a trainer wins 17% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint to route.
Alternate:
1 – Epic Luck
2 – Jewels in the Bay
Race 7
5 – Strand Road – He ran 2nd in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the races when shipping a horse in to run.
8 – Let’smakeitadouble – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 3 winners from 3 starters and he has a high % winning jockey.
9 – Centaur Central – He has finished in the money in two races out of four career starts, he has the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
4 – Sweetenthedeal – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winners from 1 starters, his breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a good 4F workout on Nov-30.
Alternate:
1 – Light My Way
3 – Rons Gone Wrong
$.50 Pick 4: #1,3,4,5,8,9/1,3,4,7/3,8/2,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 8-Female
3 – Quercus – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Miss Raucus – She drops in class today, the rail post is winning at a 20% clip and she has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Laugh Like Lucy – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winners from 1 starters and 1 stakes winner and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Addieaddiebobaddie – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 6 winners from 7 starters and 1 stakes winner and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Miss Raucus
6 – Queen Khaleesi
Race 9
8 – It’s Game Time – He has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – In Spades – He has finished in the money in eight races out of his last ten starts, winning three of the races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Jasper’s Pride – He ran 2nd vs similar in last race and he can handle the distance.
Longshot:
9 – Divine Armor – He won his last race and he has a high % trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Just Step On It
Bet: $10.00 Win – $20.00 Place: #8 – $5.00 Exacta Box: #3,5,8 – $10.00 Exacta: 8/3,5,9 – $5.00 DD: 8/2,8
Race 10
2 – Copperhead Creek – He has finished in the money in three races out of his last four starts, winning one of the races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Winged Foot – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when dropping a horse down 2+ classes.
1 – Wynn Giant – He won his last race, the rail post is winning at a 20% clip and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
14 – Zap Motion – He finished 2nd in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 36% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and his early speed running style helps chances.
Alternate:
11 – Midnight Act
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race – #8 – It’s Game Time
Rich’s Picks:
ace 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Small Inside 3 Bonus, 4-7 Small Discount. 8+ Almost Fair
4 – VIN SANTO – 1 1/2 length drop class and NYRA track dropper in 2nd up
7 – WHOOSH – good form for sure – Top TOTAL PACE +5
8 – DOS DE OROS – class dropper after running about 2 seconds faster in last
10 – GAME MISCONDUCT – TLRSP# with some of the most back class
Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out
4 – COOL MILLION – highest rated 1st timer with a back bullet
6 – BYRDE OF WAR – 2nd race improvement and it’s a wrap
1 – SMALLSCHOOL WONDER – the next highest rated first timer on the rail
2 – SAMS AFTER PARTY – since the others have a long way to PAR – got to take the last 1ster too
Race 3: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Best
2 – RILEY’S ROCKSTAR – 2nd race improvement and it’s the winners’ circle – Top TOTAL PACE +9
4 – FRIDAYSWITHMURRAY – Ness horse that’s only making its 4th start – 3rd up here
3 – MR. BOGAN – decent series of works since last
5 – MARCHIN INTO APRIL – 3sp# Increases and better ATB in last
Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – HARP’S HOT CORNER – 3SP# increases – top PAR+ and Top TOTAL PACE +5 – Ness/Sanchez
6 – MR SANDMAN – better ATB in last with a little faster fractions
1 – YO YO CANDY – 3rd up on the hot rail – faster fractions last out and definitely faced the hardest
2 – SOZE – SIM FAV – solid at PARX – if he can run back two races
Race 5: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out
6 – MEGA CHARLIE – TLRSP#+3 – 3SP# increases – Z Pattern – better early and late
9 – RON DON SCORESE – Ness horse with the claim and drop – 38% angle
7 – SPEIGHTSTER RED – steady performer with plenty of back class
5 – MAKABIM – class dropper with a solid workout prepping
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Small Inside 3 Bonus, 4-7 Small Discount. 8+ Almost Fair
7 – GROUP TICKET – Ness off the claim – up a few classes winner 47% – will need to improve
6 – HOKU – much better fractions last out and usually runs well in bunches
8 – AZTEC – 2nd up and room to be better in 2nd race at PARX
2 – JEWELS IN THE BAY – doesn’t look like it on paper – better race last out and 3rd up
Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 58% w2w – PP: Almost Fair Everywhere – 4-7 a Little Bump
None of the experienced horses with a PAR run – first timers
8 – LET’SMAKEITADOUBLE – top Rated 1st timer with the best works
1 – LIGHT MY WAY – strong works – solid breeding and classic 5f work as his last
5 – STRAND ROAD – track dropper from NYRA and only needs to build a little on last race
3 – RONS GONE WRONG – decent string of works with solid breeding
Race 8 – 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out
5 – BROWNEYEDVALENTINE – just needs 2nd race improvement to score the w
3 – QUERCUS – drops from a NGSTK with TLRSP#+6 – could be lone E – but 2 will likely lead
7 – LAUGH LIKE LUCY – since none of the other experienced horse have a par race
4 – ADDIEADDIEBOBADDIE – taking the 2 firsters
Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Small Inside 3 Bonus, 4-7 Small Discount, 8+ Almost Fair
8 – IT’S GAME TIME – Pennington/Ness – better Fractions
2 – JUST STEP ON IT – a little more than a 2 length class drop – strong work between races
4 – DROPLINE – 3 SP# increases – could be better in 3rd up at lowest level of career
3 – IN SPADES – strong on an off track – ITM 9/11 at the distance
Race 10: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out
1 – WYNN GIANT – strong rail – TLRSP#+5 – better ATB and better fractions
2 – COPPERHEAD CREEK – about a 1 length class drop – ITM 6/7 at PARX
14 – ZAP MOTION – 2rd up and not far from being undefeated in a pair at PARX – but outside hurts
8 – WINGED FOOT – lowest level in last 10 and just needs to run back two races
